Real Madrid vs Paris Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 15 Apr 2025

No. 7 Real Madrid take on No. 8 Paris in this EuroLeague Play-In game at Movistar Arena.

The market might have underrated Paris and -114 makes plenty of appeal considering they are +8 on the spread. Back the underdogs to cover the line against Madrid.

Real Madrid won their last game 91-89. This was a road victory against Partizan.

Paris Basketball previous game saw them claim a 72-63 home win over Alba Berlin.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Madrid beat Paris in their last head-to-head encounter. It was a 105-104 scoreline.

EuroLeague	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
10  Real Madrid	10	8	1545	1521	24	7-1	3-7	1L
15  Paris	6	12	1631	1670	-39	4-6	2-6	1W

View Full Standings

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Real Madrid lineup: Alberto Abalde, Facundo Campazzo, Gabriel Deck, Usman Garuba, Edy Tavares.

Paris lineup: TJ Shorts II, Tyson Ward, Sebastian Herrera, Kevarrius Hayes, Mikael Jantunen.

Real Madrid vs Paris Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve lined up a pick which requires Paris to keep close to the favorites in this EuroLeague matchup. We think that the betting line of +8 can be covered and you can secure -114.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and studying the form guide are important duties ahead of making basketball predictions. We also place great emphasis on the stats and a data-led approach can be effective.

Key Real Madrid vs Paris EuroLeague stats:

• The +8 line has been covered by Paris in all of their last 5 games.
• The +8 line has been covered by Paris in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +8 line has been covered by Paris in 6 consecutive games.
• The -8 line hasn’t been covered by Madrid in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -8 line hasn’t been covered by Madrid in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -8 line hasn’t been covered by Madrid in 4 consecutive games.

Paris +8 Probability

The betting sites are estimating that there is a 53.2% likelihood of this pick winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

In the hunt for bigger odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the betting line. There’s extra juice depending on how risky you want your bet to be.

Our Game Prediction

Paris +8 @ -114 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Filip Petrusev Over 5.5 Rebounds -143

Filip Petrusev (Crvena zvezda) is available at -143 to have Over 5.5 rebounds. The Player Rebounds line looks really attractive when it comes to having an Overs bet.

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Tyson Ward Under 5.5 Rebounds -125

Tyson Ward (Paris) can be wagered to have Under 5.5 rebounds at -125. There’s every chance that he will go Under as we’re confident he’ll fail to cover the Player Rebounds line.

Correct Score Prediction

Real Madrid 92 - 89 Paris

There’s every chance that this is going to be a close game and we’ll have a play on Madrid enjoying a 92-89 winning scoreline. Hopefully this can go close.

Real Madrid vs Paris Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Real Madrid are -333 favorites and that means a 77% chance of winning this EuroLeague game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. Paris Basketball are the underdogs at +255 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

There is a spread of 7.5 and total points has a line of 176.5. There are lots of popular ways to bet on basketball including the Totals. If you want to back Over 176.5, it’s -110.

There are hundreds of team props and game lines when it comes to wagering on high-level European basketball contests and we recommend visiting the top betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the game.

Moneyline

Real Madrid

-333

Paris

+255

Point Spread

Real Madrid -7.5

-110

Paris +7.5

-110

Total Points

Under 176.5

-110

Over 176.5

-110

TJ Shorts is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can back -125 that he gets Over 19.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -111.

TJ Shorts (Paris)

Over 19.5

-125

Under 19.5

-111

Nadir Hifi (Paris)

Over 15.5

-111

Under 15.5

-125

Mario Hezonja (Real Madrid)

Over 15.5

-111

Under 15.5

-125

Dzanan Musa (Real Madrid)

Over 14.5

-125

Under 14.5

-111

Walter Tavares (Real Madrid)

Over 13.5

-125

Under 13.5

-111

Tyson Ward (Paris)

Over 11.5

-111

Under 11.5

-125

TJ Shorts (Paris)

Over 8.5

-111

Under 8.5

-125

Walter Tavares (Real Madrid)

Over 8.5

-111

Under 8.5

-125

Tyson Ward (Paris)

Over 5.5

-111

Under 5.5

-125

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some basketball bettors prefer to look at the EuroLeague micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Latest 0 regular season and play-off games stats.

Real Madrid Stats

Paris Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Moneyline

• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games
• -9.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +9.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 169.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 167.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 180: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 180 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.40 pts and allowed 84.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 87.90 pts and allowed 79.50 pts in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 183.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 178.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 180: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 180 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 87.70 pts and allowed 95.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 86.60 pts and allowed 91.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Starting Lineups

Real Madrid Confirmed Lineup

6 Alberto Abalde

7 Facundo Campazzo

14 Gabriel Deck

16 Usman Garuba

22 Edy Tavares

Paris Confirmed Lineup

0 TJ Shorts II

3 Tyson Ward

7 Sebastian Herrera

13 Kevarrius Hayes

20 Mikael Jantunen

EuroLeague Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Hapoel Tel Aviv	13	5	1593	1490	103	6-2	7-3	1W
2  Valencia	12	6	1612	1534	78	8-1	4-5	1W
3  Panathinaikos	12	6	1597	1539	58	6-2	6-4	3W
4  Barcelona	12	6	1549	1501	48	6-2	6-4	1L
5  Fenerbahce	11	6	1363	1331	32	7-3	4-3	2W
6  Monaco	11	7	1617	1502	115	7-2	4-5	2W
7  Olympiacos	9	7	1407	1344	63	6-3	3-4	1W
8  Zalgiris	10	8	1563	1478	85	6-4	4-4	1L
9  Crvena zvezda	10	8	1544	1501	43	8-2	2-6	1L
10  Real Madrid	10	8	1545	1521	24	7-1	3-7	1L
11  Olimpia Milano	9	9	1502	1510	-8	5-4	4-5	2L
12  Dubai	9	9	1562	1577	-15	7-2	2-7	2W
13  Virtus Bologna	8	9	1388	1398	-10	6-1	2-8	1L
14  Maccabi	8	10	1615	1629	-14	4-6	4-4	5W
15  Paris	6	12	1631	1670	-39	4-6	2-6	1W
16  Baskonia	6	12	1550	1603	-53	6-3	0-9	2L
17  Anadolu Efes	6	12	1426	1494	-68	3-6	3-6	2L
18  Partizan	6	12	1455	1604	-149	5-5	1-7	3L
19  Bayern Munich	5	13	1395	1522	-127	4-4	1-9	9L
20  ASVEL	5	13	1389	1555	-166	5-3	0-10	1W

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