Troy vs Kentucky Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Mar 2025

No. 14 Troy Trojans (23-10, 13-5 Sun Belt) square off against No. 3 Kentucky Wildcats (22-11, 10-8 SEC) in this Midwest Region first round matchup at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

Troy might not be a complete pushover against Kentucky and we fancy them against the spread. You can get a generous +11.5 and the underdogs are available at -115.

Troy Trojans won their previous game, beating Arkansas State Red Wolves at home. It was a 94-81 win.

Kentucky Wildcats lost on the road in their last game. Alabama Crimson Tide won 99-70.

NCAAB Regular Season	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Kentucky	16-7	1884	1641	243	13-4	3-3	2W
Troy	16-8	1999	1804	195	7-4	9-4	1W

View Full Standings

Troy vs Kentucky Prediction & Picks

Troy might not be heavily beaten in this college contest and that leads us to back the underdogs against the spread. Especially when you can get +11.5 which is available at -115.

The first port of call is to check out the injury report for each team and then scroll through the form guide. We take this information and apply it to the latest available stats to come up with a verdict.

Key Troy vs Kentucky stats:

• The +11.5 line has been covered by Troy in all of their last 10 games.
• The +11.5 line has been covered by Troy in all of their last 20 games.
• The +11.5 line has been covered by Troy in 20 consecutive games.
• The -11.5 line hasn’t been covered by Kentucky in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -11.5 line hasn’t been covered by Kentucky in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -11.5 line hasn’t been covered by Kentucky in 3 consecutive games.

Troy +11.5 Probability

The sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 53.5% likelihood of this pick winning. In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

There are lots of ways to bet on Troy and that includes Winning Margin. Choose from a range of fixed intervals and get rewarded if you’re on the money.

Our Game Prediction

Troy +11.5 @ -115 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (21:52, 20 March 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Koby Brea Under 11.5 Points +101

Koby Brea (Kentucky) is available at +101 to total Under 11.5 points. It’s anticipated that he might fall short of the mark and that leads us to an Unders bet.

Latest Koby Brea Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 12.5

-105

Under 12.5

-123

Rebounds

Over 3.5

+113

Under 3.5

-147

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Jackson Fields Over 7.5 Points -132

Jackson Fields (Troy) can be wagered to total Over 7.5 points at -132. We’ve found an opportunity to bet on Player Points where we’re able to back him to cover the line.

Latest Jackson Fields Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 7.5

-130

Under 7.5

-100

Rebounds

Over 4.5

+102

Under 4.5

-132

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Troy 74 - 83 Kentucky

Let’s roll the dice and try Kentucky to achieve a 83-74 winning scoreline. There are huge betting odds for this potential outcome and it’s a fun type of wager to enjoy.

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Troy vs Kentucky Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks are taking no chances with their Moneyline odds of -667 about Kentucky which reflects they have a 87% chance of winning this college game. The market suggests that Troy are least likely to win at +460.

The current spread is 11.5 and total points is 151.5. There are many ways to bet on basketball including the Totals. If you want to wager Over 151.5, there are odds of -108.

Favorites Kentucky are available at odds of -280 when it comes to beating the opposition to 20 points. Troy are chalked up at +200 to reach this total first.

If you’re planning to place a bet on a college basketball contest, visit the betting sites and check out the many available game lines and team props. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Troy

+460

Kentucky

-667

Point Spread

Troy +11.5

-115

Kentucky -11.5

-105

Total Points

Under 151.5

-112

Over 151.5

-108

Otega Oweh is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can get -103 that he scores Over 17.5 points or -125 that he goes Under.

Otega Oweh (Kentucky)

Over 17.5

-103

Under 17.5

-125

Tayton Conerway (Troy)

Over 15.5

-101

Under 15.5

-128

Myles Rigsby (Troy)

Over 12.5

-114

Under 12.5

-114

Amari Williams (Kentucky)

Over 12.5

-114

Under 12.5

-114

Koby Brea (Kentucky)

Over 12.5

-105

Under 12.5

-123

Andrew Carr (Kentucky)

Over 10.5

-120

Under 10.5

-108

Thomas Dowd (Troy)

Over 10.5

-120

Under 10.5

-108

Lamont Butler (Kentucky)

Over 9.5

-100

Under 9.5

-130

Jackson Fields (Troy)

Over 7.5

-130

Under 7.5

-100

Marcus Rigsby Jr. (Troy)

Over 7.5

-102

Under 7.5

-127

Tayton Conerway (Troy)

Over 4.5

+120

Under 4.5

-156

Myles Rigsby (Troy)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-145

Marcus Rigsby Jr. (Troy)

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-108

Amari Williams (Kentucky)

Over 8.5

-110

Under 8.5

-118

Thomas Dowd (Troy)

Over 7.5

+110

Under 7.5

-143

Otega Oweh (Kentucky)

Over 5.5

+117

Under 5.5

-152

Andrew Carr (Kentucky)

Over 5.5

+110

Under 5.5

-143

Tayton Conerway (Troy)

Over 4.5

-152

Under 4.5

+116

Jackson Fields (Troy)

Over 4.5

+102

Under 4.5

-132

Myles Rigsby (Troy)

Over 3.5

-152

Under 3.5

+117

Koby Brea (Kentucky)

Over 3.5

+113

Under 3.5

-147

Marcus Rigsby Jr. (Troy)

Over 2.5

-141

Under 2.5

+109

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to college basketball and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether the next shot will be a Two or a Three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Troy Stats

Kentucky Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games

Point Spread

• +11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games

Point Spread

• -11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 141.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 151.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 75.10 pts and allowed 66.00 pts in the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 162.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 151.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.00 pts and allowed 80.90 pts in the last 10 games

NCAAB Regular Season Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Southeastern	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Vanderbilt	19-3	1953	1603	350	12-1	7-2	3W
Texas A&M	17-5	2024	1710	314	12-1	5-4	1L
Florida	16-6	1898	1570	328	13-2	3-4	2W
Tennessee	16-6	1809	1531	278	13-3	3-3	4W
Arkansas	16-6	1952	1707	245	13-3	3-3	1L
Georgia	16-6	2031	1708	323	12-4	4-2	3L
Kentucky	16-7	1884	1641	243	13-4	3-3	2W
Alabama	15-7	2016	1826	190	11-5	4-2	1W
Missouri	15-7	1769	1629	140	13-1	2-6	1W
Auburn	14-8	1856	1708	148	11-3	3-5	1L
LSU	14-8	1822	1636	186	10-4	4-4	1W
Texas	14-9	1966	1723	243	11-4	3-5	2W
Ole Miss	11-11	1631	1580	51	9-3	2-8	4L
Mississippi State	11-11	1712	1720	-8	8-6	3-5	1L
South Carolina	11-12	1777	1731	46	10-5	1-7	4L
Oklahoma	11-12	1900	1774	126	9-4	2-8	9L

Sun Belt	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
South Alabama	16-7	1674	1555	119	9-2	7-5	1L
Troy	16-8	1999	1804	195	7-4	9-4	1W
Marshall	15-8	1844	1706	138	11-2	4-6	2W
Appalachian State	16-9	1789	1606	183	10-3	6-6	5W
Arkansas State	14-10	1945	1877	68	7-3	7-7	1W
Texas State	14-11	1838	1777	61	12-2	2-9	3W
Coastal Carolina	14-11	1822	1790	32	6-4	8-7	1L
Georgia Southern	14-11	2024	1989	35	8-5	6-6	2L
Southern Miss	12-13	1841	1838	3	9-2	3-11	1L
James Madison	11-13	1773	1806	-33	8-3	3-10	2L
Georgia State	9-15	1695	1772	-77	6-4	3-11	3L
Louisiana	8-16	1477	1646	-169	5-6	3-10	3W
Old Dominion	7-17	1775	1866	-91	4-5	3-12	2L
UL Monroe	4-20	1727	1979	-252	3-9	1-11	1W

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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