Troy vs Kentucky Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Mar 2025
No. 14 Troy Trojans (23-10, 13-5 Sun Belt) square off against No. 3 Kentucky Wildcats (22-11, 10-8 SEC) in this Midwest Region first round matchup at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.
Troy might not be a complete pushover against Kentucky and we fancy them against the spread. You can get a generous +11.5 and the underdogs are available at -115.
Troy Trojans won their previous game, beating Arkansas State Red Wolves at home. It was a 94-81 win.
Kentucky Wildcats lost on the road in their last game. Alabama Crimson Tide won 99-70.
| NCAAB Regular Season | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kentucky
|
16-7 | 1884 | 1641 | 243 | 13-4 | 3-3 | 2W |
Troy
|
16-8 | 1999 | 1804 | 195 | 7-4 | 9-4 | 1W |
Troy vs Kentucky Prediction & Picks
Troy might not be heavily beaten in this college contest and that leads us to back the underdogs against the spread. Especially when you can get +11.5 which is available at -115.
The first port of call is to check out the injury report for each team and then scroll through the form guide. We take this information and apply it to the latest available stats to come up with a verdict.
Key Troy vs Kentucky stats:
Troy +11.5 Probability
The sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 53.5% likelihood of this pick winning. In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.
There are lots of ways to bet on Troy and that includes Winning Margin. Choose from a range of fixed intervals and get rewarded if you’re on the money.
Player Prop Picks
Koby Brea (Kentucky) is available at +101 to total Under 11.5 points. It’s anticipated that he might fall short of the mark and that leads us to an Unders bet.
Latest Koby Brea Player Prop Odds
Jackson Fields (Troy) can be wagered to total Over 7.5 points at -132. We’ve found an opportunity to bet on Player Points where we’re able to back him to cover the line.
Latest Jackson Fields Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Get in the game with a same game parlay. Our picks are Troy to cover the +11.5 spread, Over 151.5 on the total and Koby Brea (Kentucky) to score Under 11.5 points.
A basketball same game parlay is an awesome way of cheering on different selections within the same game. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single wager. The odds can combine to great effect.
Correct Score Prediction
74
-
83
Kentucky
Let’s roll the dice and try Kentucky to achieve a 83-74 winning scoreline. There are huge betting odds for this potential outcome and it’s a fun type of wager to enjoy.
Troy vs Kentucky Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The sportsbooks are taking no chances with their Moneyline odds of -667 about Kentucky which reflects they have a 87% chance of winning this college game. The market suggests that Troy are least likely to win at +460.
The current spread is 11.5 and total points is 151.5. There are many ways to bet on basketball including the Totals. If you want to wager Over 151.5, there are odds of -108.
Favorites Kentucky are available at odds of -280 when it comes to beating the opposition to 20 points. Troy are chalked up at +200 to reach this total first.
If you’re planning to place a bet on a college basketball contest, visit the betting sites and check out the many available game lines and team props. Find the lines which are the most attractive.
Otega Oweh is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can get -103 that he scores Over 17.5 points or -125 that he goes Under.
It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to college basketball and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether the next shot will be a Two or a Three-pointer.
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Troy Stats
Kentucky Stats
- Game Totals: An average of 141.10 pts in the previous 10 games
- Over 151.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 75.10 pts and allowed 66.00 pts in the last 10 games
NCAAB Regular Season Table Select Season
| Southeastern | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Vanderbilt
|
19-3 | 1953 | 1603 | 350 | 12-1 | 7-2 | 3W |
Texas A&M
|
17-5 | 2024 | 1710 | 314 | 12-1 | 5-4 | 1L |
Florida
|
16-6 | 1898 | 1570 | 328 | 13-2 | 3-4 | 2W |
Tennessee
|
16-6 | 1809 | 1531 | 278 | 13-3 | 3-3 | 4W |
Arkansas
|
16-6 | 1952 | 1707 | 245 | 13-3 | 3-3 | 1L |
Georgia
|
16-6 | 2031 | 1708 | 323 | 12-4 | 4-2 | 3L |
|
Kentucky
|
16-7 | 1884 | 1641 | 243 | 13-4 | 3-3 | 2W |
Alabama
|
15-7 | 2016 | 1826 | 190 | 11-5 | 4-2 | 1W |
Missouri
|
15-7 | 1769 | 1629 | 140 | 13-1 | 2-6 | 1W |
Auburn
|
14-8 | 1856 | 1708 | 148 | 11-3 | 3-5 | 1L |
LSU
|
14-8 | 1822 | 1636 | 186 | 10-4 | 4-4 | 1W |
Texas
|
14-9 | 1966 | 1723 | 243 | 11-4 | 3-5 | 2W |
Ole Miss
|
11-11 | 1631 | 1580 | 51 | 9-3 | 2-8 | 4L |
Mississippi State
|
11-11 | 1712 | 1720 | -8 | 8-6 | 3-5 | 1L |
South Carolina
|
11-12 | 1777 | 1731 | 46 | 10-5 | 1-7 | 4L |
Oklahoma
|
11-12 | 1900 | 1774 | 126 | 9-4 | 2-8 | 9L |
| Sun Belt | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
South Alabama
|
16-7 | 1674 | 1555 | 119 | 9-2 | 7-5 | 1L |
|
Troy
|
16-8 | 1999 | 1804 | 195 | 7-4 | 9-4 | 1W |
Marshall
|
15-8 | 1844 | 1706 | 138 | 11-2 | 4-6 | 2W |
Appalachian State
|
16-9 | 1789 | 1606 | 183 | 10-3 | 6-6 | 5W |
Arkansas State
|
14-10 | 1945 | 1877 | 68 | 7-3 | 7-7 | 1W |
Texas State
|
14-11 | 1838 | 1777 | 61 | 12-2 | 2-9 | 3W |
Coastal Carolina
|
14-11 | 1822 | 1790 | 32 | 6-4 | 8-7 | 1L |
Georgia Southern
|
14-11 | 2024 | 1989 | 35 | 8-5 | 6-6 | 2L |
Southern Miss
|
12-13 | 1841 | 1838 | 3 | 9-2 | 3-11 | 1L |
James Madison
|
11-13 | 1773 | 1806 | -33 | 8-3 | 3-10 | 2L |
Georgia State
|
9-15 | 1695 | 1772 | -77 | 6-4 | 3-11 | 3L |
Louisiana
|
8-16 | 1477 | 1646 | -169 | 5-6 | 3-10 | 3W |
Old Dominion
|
7-17 | 1775 | 1866 | -91 | 4-5 | 3-12 | 2L |
UL Monroe
|
4-20 | 1727 | 1979 | -252 | 3-9 | 1-11 | 1W |
- Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
- PF = Total Points For
- PA = Total Points Against
- N. Pts = Point Differential
- Home = Home Record
- Away = Away Record
- Strk = Current Streak
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