Vanderbilt vs Saint Mary's Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Mar 2025

No. 10 Vanderbilt Commodores (20-12, 8-10 SEC) lock horns with No. 7 St. Mary's Gaels (28-5, 17-1 WCC) in this East Region first round game at Rocket Arena in Cleveland, Ohio.

There’s a strong case for backing Saint Mary's on the spread when they face Vanderbilt. The line looks really appealing considering you can get -105 when it comes to the favorites at -4.5.

Vanderbilt Commodores lost when they last took to the court. They were turned over 79-72 at home to Texas Longhorns.

Saint Mary's Gaels were beaten 58-51 in their last game, being turned over at home to Gonzaga Bulldogs.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Saint Mary's beat Vanderbilt in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 75-65 scoreline.

NCAAB Regular Season	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Vanderbilt	16-0	1488	1153	335	10-0	6-0	16W
Saint Mary's	16-2	1437	1169	268	12-0	4-2	7W

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Vanderbilt vs Saint Mary's Prediction & Picks

There’s a great opportunity to cover the spread by backing Saint Mary's at -4.5 in this college showdown. We can get odds of -105 and this is our best pick.

In order to come up with the best college basketball picks, we like to know the team news and study the latest form. There are also lots of numbers to crunch from the available stats.

Key Vanderbilt vs Saint Mary's stats:

• The -4.5 line has been covered by Saint Mary's in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -4.5 line has been covered by Saint Mary's in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Vanderbilt in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Vanderbilt in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Vanderbilt in 3 consecutive games.

Saint Mary's -4.5 Probability

The sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 51.3% likelihood of this pick winning. After careful examination, our analysts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

It’s possible to move the line for your selection and this allows bettors to get increasingly bigger odds. If you’re looking for more juice, then this option could tick the boxes.

Our Game Prediction

Saint Mary's -4.5 @ -105 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: AJ Hoggard Under 2.5 Rebounds -103

AJ Hoggard (Vanderbilt) is available at -103 to rack up Under 2.5 rebounds. We think that he will fail to cover this total and this Player Rebounds bet can be taken with confidence.

Latest AJ Hoggard Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 8.5

-100

Under 8.5

-130

Assists

Over 4.5

+118

Under 4.5

-154

Rebounds

Over 2.5

-120

Under 2.5

-108

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Augustas Marciulionis Over 14.5 Points -115

Augustas Marciulionis (Saint Mary's) can be wagered to record Over 14.5 points at -115. We’re happy to take this Player Points prop bet as he is capable of a big performance.

Latest Augustas Marciulionis Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 14.5

-118

Under 14.5

-110

Assists

Over 6.5

+117

Under 6.5

-152

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-143

Under 3.5

+110

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Correct Score Prediction

Vanderbilt 66 - 74 Saint Mary's

There’s lots of entertainment when it comes to a correct score wager. A play on Saint Mary's to achieve a 74-66 victory should give bettors a good run for their money.

Vanderbilt vs Saint Mary's Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

With the sportsbooks giving them a 67% probability of winning this college game, Saint Mary's might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -200 Moneyline betting odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +164 about Vanderbilt.

4.5 is the spread and 135.5 is the total points line. A Total wager relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. If you're keen on Over 135.5, this selection is available at -115.

If you’re keen on Saint Mary's reaching 20 points before their opponents, the favorites are -175 to oblige. Conversely, Vandy can be backed at +125 to make this total first.

If you’re betting on college basketball, we recommend heading to the betting sites and scanning through the wide range of team props and game lines. There’s the opportunity to wager pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Vanderbilt

+164

Saint Mary's

-200

Point Spread

Vanderbilt +4.5

-108

Saint Mary's -4.5

-112

Total Points

Under 135.5

-105

Over 135.5

-115

Jason Edwards is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can back -101 that he gets Over 15.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -128.

Jason Edwards (Vanderbilt)

Over 15.5

-101

Under 15.5

-128

Augustas Marciulionis (Saint Mary's)

Over 14.5

-118

Under 14.5

-110

Paulius Murauskas (Saint Mary's)

Over 12.5

-120

Under 12.5

-108

Mitchell Saxen (Saint Mary's)

Over 11.5

-110

Under 11.5

-118

Tyler Nickel (Vanderbilt)

Over 8.5

-125

Under 8.5

-103

Luke Barrett (Saint Mary's)

Over 8.5

-114

Under 8.5

-114

Devin McGlockton (Vanderbilt)

Over 8.5

-112

Under 8.5

-115

AJ Hoggard (Vanderbilt)

Over 8.5

-100

Under 8.5

-130

Jordan Ross (Saint Mary's)

Over 6.5

-103

Under 6.5

-125

Augustas Marciulionis (Saint Mary's)

Over 6.5

+117

Under 6.5

-152

AJ Hoggard (Vanderbilt)

Over 4.5

+118

Under 4.5

-154

Paulius Murauskas (Saint Mary's)

Over 1.5

+178

Under 1.5

-238

Mitchell Saxen (Saint Mary's)

Over 1.5

-108

Under 1.5

-120

Luke Barrett (Saint Mary's)

Over 1.5

+141

Under 1.5

-185

Jason Edwards (Vanderbilt)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

+173

Mitchell Saxen (Saint Mary's)

Over 8.5

+104

Under 8.5

-135

Paulius Murauskas (Saint Mary's)

Over 7.5

+106

Under 7.5

-137

Luke Barrett (Saint Mary's)

Over 6.5

-141

Under 6.5

+108

Devin McGlockton (Vanderbilt)

Over 6.5

-102

Under 6.5

-127

Augustas Marciulionis (Saint Mary's)

Over 3.5

-143

Under 3.5

+110

Tyler Nickel (Vanderbilt)

Over 2.5

+118

Under 2.5

-154

AJ Hoggard (Vanderbilt)

Over 2.5

-120

Under 2.5

-108

Jason Edwards (Vanderbilt)

Over 1.5

-110

Under 1.5

-118

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some bettors prefer to look at the college basketball micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Vanderbilt Stats

Saint Mary's Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 158.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 135.5: Covered in the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 76.80 pts and allowed 81.80 pts in the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 129.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 135.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 68.70 pts and allowed 60.30 pts in the last 10 games

NCAAB Regular Season Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

West Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Gonzaga	17-1	1646	1222	424	12-0	5-1	10W
Saint Mary's	16-2	1437	1169	268	12-0	4-2	7W
Santa Clara	14-5	1582	1358	224	10-2	4-3	1W
Seattle	12-6	1384	1228	156	9-3	3-3	3L
San Francisco	12-7	1438	1304	134	8-1	4-6	1W
Pacific	12-7	1441	1305	136	9-0	3-7	1W
Loyola Marymount	11-8	1460	1353	107	8-5	3-3	1L
Oregon State	9-10	1350	1412	-62	8-6	1-4	1L
Portland	8-10	1402	1453	-51	8-4	0-6	2W
Washington State	7-10	1353	1382	-29	5-4	2-6	1L
San Diego	7-11	1328	1389	-61	6-4	1-7	1L
Pepperdine	5-14	1324	1447	-123	4-7	1-7	6L

Southeastern	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Vanderbilt	16-0	1488	1153	335	10-0	6-0	16W
Georgia	14-2	1543	1198	345	11-1	3-1	1W
Texas A&M	13-3	1499	1239	260	10-1	3-2	6W
Arkansas	12-4	1430	1230	200	10-2	2-2	1L
Missouri	12-4	1307	1147	160	10-0	2-4	1L
LSU	12-4	1370	1160	210	9-2	3-2	3L
Florida	11-5	1363	1135	228	11-1	0-4	2W
Tennessee	11-5	1318	1076	242	10-2	1-3	1L
Oklahoma	11-5	1351	1166	185	9-0	2-5	2L
Alabama	11-5	1496	1323	173	9-4	2-1	2L
Mississippi State	10-6	1280	1229	51	8-3	2-3	1L
Kentucky	10-6	1338	1111	227	10-4	0-2	1W
Texas	10-6	1404	1201	203	8-3	2-3	1W
South Carolina	10-6	1272	1113	159	9-3	1-3	1L
Auburn	10-6	1400	1265	135	9-3	1-3	1W
Ole Miss	9-7	1203	1113	90	9-2	0-5	1W

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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