Washington Mystics vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Picks & Odds | 05 Sep 2024

Will Mystics Stay Within Touching Distance?

The Mystics look a value play at +5 on the spread. They could beat the Mercury and the -112 about this pick makes plenty of appeal.

96-87 Triumph for Mercury in Previous H2H Matchup

Washington Mystics won their previous game by a 90-86 scoreline. It was on the road against Dallas Wings at College Park Center.

Phoenix Mercury won their last game which was at home. It was a 74-66 triumph at Footprint Center against Atlanta Dream.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Mercury have beaten the Mystics in the last two matchups. They won 83-80 at Footprint Center and triumphed 96-87 at Entertainment and Sports Arena. The past 10 clashes between these teams have seen six Mercury wins.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
4  Mercury	25	14	3240	3105	135	14-6	11-8	4W
10  Mystics	16	25	3194	3345	-151	10-10	6-15	7L

View Full Standings

Washington Mystics vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks

Mystics look easy to back at -112 considering they’ve been given a spread of +5. This looks a good number when squaring off in this WNBA showdown.

The team news that filters through can have a knock-on effect as far as the WNBA betting lines and odds are concerned. We use this information along with the form guide, while some key stats are also taken into consideration.

Key Mystics vs Mercury stats:

• The +5 line has been covered by Mystics in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +5 line has been covered by Mystics in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The +5 line has been covered by Mystics in 3 consecutive games on the road.
• The -5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 13 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +5 line has been covered by Mystics in 6 of their last 10 games against Mercury.

Mystics +5 Probability

According to the sportsbooks, there’s a 52.9% likelihood of our pick landing a return. However, we think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

There’s a chance to secure bigger odds and this can be achieved by moving the line. Squeeze more juice from your pick by taking an alternative betting view.

Best Bet

Mystics +5 @ -112 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Ariel Atkins Over 15.5 Points -100

Ariel Atkins (Mystics) can be backed to total Over 15.5 points at -100. We think this is the pick of the prop bets that are on offer when it comes to backing her on Player Points.

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Brittney Sykes Under 13.5 Points -100

Brittney Sykes (Mystics) can be backed to register Under 13.5 points at -100. We’re expecting her to fall short when it comes to Player Points as the line looks high enough.

Correct Score Prediction

Mystics 79 - 80 Mercury

There are huge odds available when it comes to the Mercury landing a 80-79 win. A close game is anticipated between two evenly-matched teams.

Washington Mystics vs Phoenix Mercury Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Think Mercury Likeliest to Win

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Phoenix Mercury as -233 favorites for this WNBA game, implying that they are 70% likely to win. For those wanting to back Washington Mystics, you will find +188 about the underdogs.

There is a spread of 5.5 and total points has a line of 166. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. Those expecting a low total can back Under 166 at -111.

Basketball bettors are spoilt for choice thanks to the wide range of game lines and team props which are available for every contest on the coupon. Head to the betting sites and find the best value wagers.

Moneyline

Mystics

+188

Mercury

-233

Point Spread

Mystics +5.5

-111

Mercury -5.5

-111

Total Points

Under 166

-111

Over 166

-111

Kahleah Copper Favorite to Get Most Points

Kahleah Copper is favorite when it comes to getting the most points. You can get -133 that she goes Over 20.5 points and -100 when it comes to Under.

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 20.5

-133

Under 20.5

-100

Brittney Griner (Mercury)

Over 17.5

-139

Under 17.5

+105

Ariel Atkins (Mystics)

Over 15.5

+105

Under 15.5

-139

Diana Taurasi (Mercury)

Over 14.5

-105

Under 14.5

-125

Brittney Sykes (Mystics)

Over 13.5

-111

Under 13.5

-118

Natasha Cloud (Mercury)

Over 9.5

-128

Under 9.5

-104

Stefanie Dolson (Mystics)

Over 9.5

-100

Under 9.5

-132

Sophie Cunningham (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-125

Under 8.5

-105

Julie Vanloo (Mystics)

Over 7.5

-109

Under 7.5

-122

Natasha Cloud (Mercury)

Over 6.5

-115

Under 6.5

-115

Diana Taurasi (Mercury)

Over 4.5

+130

Under 4.5

-175

Julie Vanloo (Mystics)

Over 4.5

+125

Under 4.5

-167

Brittney Sykes (Mystics)

Over 3.5

+105

Under 3.5

-139

Ariel Atkins (Mystics)

Over 2.5

-125

Under 2.5

-105

Brittney Griner (Mercury)

Over 6.5

-139

Under 6.5

+105

Stefanie Dolson (Mystics)

Over 5.5

-120

Under 5.5

-110

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 4.5

+105

Under 4.5

-139

Natasha Cloud (Mercury)

Over 4.5

+105

Under 4.5

-139

Sophie Cunningham (Mercury)

Over 4.5

-115

Under 4.5

-115

Diana Taurasi (Mercury)

Over 3.5

-114

Under 3.5

-116

Brittney Sykes (Mystics)

Over 3.5

-100

Under 3.5

-132

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Washington Mystics Stats

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 158.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 154.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 161.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 161.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 79.80 pts and allowed 78.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 79.30 pts and allowed 74.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 166.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 158.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 161.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 161.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.60 pts and allowed 86.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 77.10 pts and allowed 81.60 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	31	8	3382	2997	385	18-2	13-6	1W
2  Dream	26	14	3347	3084	263	13-6	13-8	2W
3  Aces	26	14	3308	3263	45	14-5	12-9	12W
4  Mercury	25	14	3240	3105	135	14-6	11-8	4W
5  Liberty	24	16	3405	3240	165	16-5	8-11	1L
6  Valkyries	21	18	3072	2997	75	12-7	9-11	3W
7  Storm	22	19	3379	3276	103	9-10	13-9	2W
8  Fever	21	19	3381	3287	94	11-9	10-10	1L
9  Sparks	18	20	3264	3344	-80	8-12	10-8	1W
10  Mystics	16	25	3194	3345	-151	10-10	6-15	7L
11  Sun	10	30	3052	3435	-383	6-14	4-16	2L
12  Sky	9	30	2957	3353	-396	5-15	4-15	4L
13  Wings	9	31	3269	3524	-255	5-16	4-15	7L