Xavier vs Illinois Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Mar 2025

No. 11 Xavier Musketeers (22-11, 13-8 Big East) play No. 6 Illinois Fighting Illini (21-12, 13-9 Big Ten) in this Midwest Region first round game at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

We’re delighted to see Xavier have been given a headstart on the spread. Take the +3.5 at odds of -115 when they clash with Illinois.

Xavier Musketeers secured a 86-80 win against Texas Longhorns in their previous game.

Illinois Fighting Illini suffered a defeat in their last game. A 88-65 scoreline occurred on the road against Maryland Terrapins.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last matchup between Xavier and Illinois saw the former win. It was a 83-74 scoreline.

NCAAB Regular Season	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Illinois	15-3	1532	1214	318	10-3	5-0	7W
Xavier	11-7	1394	1362	32	10-4	1-3	2W

View Full Standings

Xavier vs Illinois Prediction & Picks

There’s a great opportunity to back Xavier against the spread here. The underdogs should be able to produce a solid performance in this college contest, with +3.5 making lots appeal at -115.

The team at Sportsgambler.com are right across the latest injuries and the form guide also informs our college basketball predictions. This data is combined with the latest stats.

Key Xavier vs Illinois stats:

• The +3.5 line has been covered by Xavier in all of their last 5 games.
• The +3.5 line has been covered by Xavier in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +3.5 line has been covered by Xavier in 9 consecutive games.

Xavier +3.5 Probability

The sportsbooks make it a 53.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our analysts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college basketball bet.

If you want to secure a bigger potential payout on your wager, there’s the possibility to move the line. Take a look at the various prices and see which spread you think will be covered.

Our Game Prediction

Xavier +3.5 @ -115 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Dailyn Swain Over 2.5 Assists -122

Dailyn Swain (Xavier) can be wagered to total Over 2.5 assists at -122. We’re tempted to back him to cover the Player Assists line, with plenty of juice on offer.

Latest Dailyn Swain Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 11.5

-103

Under 11.5

-125

Assists

Over 2.5

-115

Under 2.5

-112

Rebounds

Over 5.5

-102

Under 5.5

-127

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Marcus Foster Under 5.5 Rebounds +102

Marcus Foster (Xavier) can be backed to total Under 5.5 rebounds at +102. We’re pretty confident that this Player Rebounds wager will end up falling short of the line.

Latest Marcus Foster Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 8.5

-111

Under 8.5

-116

Assists

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

+104

Rebounds

Over 5.5

-125

Under 5.5

-103

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Correct Score Prediction

Xavier 84 - 81 Illinois

We’re expecting a close contest so it might be worth going for Xavier to win by a 84-81 scoreline. You can get a massive price and we should hopefully get a run for our money.

Xavier vs Illinois Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Sportsbooks’ favorites Illinois are regarded as likeliest victors for this college game and the -192 about them triumphing means a 66% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. Xavier are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +160.

The current spread is 4.5 and total points is 161.5. There are many ways to bet on basketball including the Totals. If you want to wager Over 161.5, there are odds of -115.

If you’re keen on Illini reaching 20 points before their opponents, the favorites are -150 to oblige. Conversely, Xavier can be backed at +110 to make this total first.

The betting sites offer stacks of team props and game lines when it comes to most college basketball contests. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Xavier

+160

Illinois

-192

Point Spread

Xavier +4.5

-110

Illinois -4.5

-110

Total Points

Under 161.5

-105

Over 161.5

-115

The favorite to land the most baskets is Ryan Conwell. Odds of -111 can be found for him scoring Over 18.5 points and there is -116 for him to go Under.

Ryan Conwell (Xavier)

Over 18.5

-111

Under 18.5

-116

Zach Freemantle (Xavier)

Over 17.5

-103

Under 17.5

-125

Will Riley (Illinois)

Over 15.5

-114

Under 15.5

-114

Kasparas Jakucionis (Illinois)

Over 15.5

-111

Under 15.5

-116

Kylan Boswell (Illinois)

Over 13.5

+103

Under 13.5

-133

Tomislav Ivisic (Illinois)

Over 12.5

-109

Under 12.5

-119

Tre White (Illinois)

Over 11.5

-114

Under 11.5

-114

Dailyn Swain (Xavier)

Over 11.5

-103

Under 11.5

-125

Marcus Foster (Xavier)

Over 8.5

-111

Under 8.5

-116

Dayvion McKnight (Xavier)

Over 8.5

-110

Under 8.5

-118

Ben Humrichous (Illinois)

Over 5.5

+112

Under 5.5

-145

Kasparas Jakucionis (Illinois)

Over 4.5

+102

Under 4.5

-132

Kylan Boswell (Illinois)

Over 3.5

-112

Under 3.5

-115

Dayvion McKnight (Xavier)

Over 3.5

-101

Under 3.5

-128

Ryan Conwell (Xavier)

Over 2.5

-112

Under 2.5

-115

Will Riley (Illinois)

Over 2.5

-169

Under 2.5

+130

Tomislav Ivisic (Illinois)

Over 2.5

-115

Under 2.5

-112

Dailyn Swain (Xavier)

Over 2.5

-115

Under 2.5

-112

Zach Freemantle (Xavier)

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-108

Marcus Foster (Xavier)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

+104

Zach Freemantle (Xavier)

Over 6.5

-130

Under 6.5

+101

Tomislav Ivisic (Illinois)

Over 6.5

-114

Under 6.5

-114

Will Riley (Illinois)

Over 5.5

+118

Under 5.5

-154

Kasparas Jakucionis (Illinois)

Over 5.5

+103

Under 5.5

-133

Tre White (Illinois)

Over 5.5

-127

Under 5.5

-102

Dailyn Swain (Xavier)

Over 5.5

-102

Under 5.5

-127

Marcus Foster (Xavier)

Over 5.5

-125

Under 5.5

-103

Kylan Boswell (Illinois)

Over 4.5

-115

Under 4.5

-112

Ben Humrichous (Illinois)

Over 3.5

+139

Under 3.5

-182

Ryan Conwell (Xavier)

Over 2.5

-141

Under 2.5

+109

Dayvion McKnight (Xavier)

Over 2.5

-167

Under 2.5

+127

For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, college basketball micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to wager on the Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Xavier Stats

Illinois Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 155.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 159.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 81.60 pts and allowed 73.50 pts in the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 164.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 159.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 81.70 pts and allowed 83.20 pts in the last 10 games

NCAAB Regular Season Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big Ten	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Nebraska	18-0	1466	1176	290	14-0	4-0	18W
Michigan	17-1	1668	1242	426	11-1	6-0	3W
Purdue	17-2	1598	1294	304	13-1	4-1	1L
Michigan State	17-2	1491	1207	284	12-1	5-1	5W
Illinois	15-3	1532	1214	318	10-3	5-0	7W
USC	14-4	1501	1364	137	9-2	5-2	1L
Iowa	14-5	1480	1185	295	12-1	2-4	2W
Wisconsin	13-5	1503	1362	141	10-1	3-4	4W
Ohio State	13-5	1498	1299	199	9-3	4-2	2W
UCLA	13-6	1476	1318	158	11-1	2-5	1W
Indiana	12-7	1541	1329	212	11-3	1-4	4L
Washington	10-8	1442	1332	110	7-3	3-5	2L
Minnesota	10-9	1384	1294	90	9-5	1-4	4L
Penn State	9-9	1383	1373	10	8-6	1-3	5L
Rutgers	9-10	1335	1408	-73	9-3	0-7	2L
Maryland	8-10	1341	1400	-59	7-4	1-6	1W
Northwestern	8-10	1392	1295	97	7-6	1-4	5L
Oregon	8-11	1405	1411	-6	7-6	1-5	5L

Big East	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
UConn	18-1	1491	1202	289	10-1	8-0	14W
Villanova	14-4	1415	1253	162	9-2	5-2	1L
St. John's	14-5	1613	1370	243	9-3	5-2	5W
Seton Hall	14-5	1371	1214	157	8-3	6-2	3L
Butler	12-7	1584	1442	142	11-3	1-4	2W
Xavier	11-7	1394	1362	32	10-4	1-3	2W
Creighton	11-8	1486	1394	92	9-2	2-6	1L
DePaul	11-8	1399	1329	70	10-4	1-4	1L
Georgetown	9-9	1379	1334	45	7-5	2-4	5L
Providence	9-10	1705	1640	65	7-4	2-6	1L
Marquette	7-13	1517	1574	-57	7-6	0-7	1W

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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