Xavier vs Illinois Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Mar 2025

No. 11 Xavier Musketeers (22-11, 13-8 Big East) play No. 6 Illinois Fighting Illini (21-12, 13-9 Big Ten) in this Midwest Region first round game at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

We’re delighted to see Xavier have been given a headstart on the spread. Take the +3.5 at odds of -115 when they clash with Illinois.

Xavier Musketeers secured a 86-80 win against Texas Longhorns in their previous game.

Illinois Fighting Illini suffered a defeat in their last game. A 88-65 scoreline occurred on the road against Maryland Terrapins.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last matchup between Xavier and Illinois saw the former win. It was a 83-74 scoreline.

NCAAB Regular Season	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Illinois	23-7	2534	2071	463	15-5	8-2	1W
Xavier	14-16	2351	2390	-39	13-7	1-9	1L

View Full Standings

Xavier vs Illinois Prediction & Picks

There’s a great opportunity to back Xavier against the spread here. The underdogs should be able to produce a solid performance in this college contest, with +3.5 making lots appeal at -115.

The team at Sportsgambler.com are right across the latest injuries and the form guide also informs our college basketball predictions. This data is combined with the latest stats.

Key Xavier vs Illinois stats:

• The +3.5 line has been covered by Xavier in all of their last 5 games.
• The +3.5 line has been covered by Xavier in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +3.5 line has been covered by Xavier in 9 consecutive games.

Xavier +3.5 Probability

The sportsbooks make it a 53.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our analysts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college basketball bet.

If you want to secure a bigger potential payout on your wager, there’s the possibility to move the line. Take a look at the various prices and see which spread you think will be covered.

Our Game Prediction

Xavier +3.5 @ -115 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 20, 23:52). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Dailyn Swain Over 2.5 Assists -122

Dailyn Swain (Xavier) can be wagered to total Over 2.5 assists at -122. We’re tempted to back him to cover the Player Assists line, with plenty of juice on offer.

Latest Dailyn Swain Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 11.5

-103

Under 11.5

-125

Assists

Over 2.5

-115

Under 2.5

-112

Rebounds

Over 5.5

-102

Under 5.5

-127

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Marcus Foster Under 5.5 Rebounds +102

Marcus Foster (Xavier) can be backed to total Under 5.5 rebounds at +102. We’re pretty confident that this Player Rebounds wager will end up falling short of the line.

Latest Marcus Foster Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 8.5

-111

Under 8.5

-116

Assists

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

+104

Rebounds

Over 5.5

-125

Under 5.5

-103

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Xavier 84 - 81 Illinois

We’re expecting a close contest so it might be worth going for Xavier to win by a 84-81 scoreline. You can get a massive price and we should hopefully get a run for our money.

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Xavier vs Illinois Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Sportsbooks’ favorites Illinois are regarded as likeliest victors for this college game and the -192 about them triumphing means a 66% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. Xavier are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +160.

The current spread is 4.5 and total points is 161.5. There are many ways to bet on basketball including the Totals. If you want to wager Over 161.5, there are odds of -115.

If you’re keen on Illini reaching 20 points before their opponents, the favorites are -150 to oblige. Conversely, Xavier can be backed at +110 to make this total first.

The betting sites offer stacks of team props and game lines when it comes to most college basketball contests. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Xavier

+160

Illinois

-192

Point Spread

Xavier +4.5

-110

Illinois -4.5

-110

Total Points

Under 161.5

-105

Over 161.5

-115

The favorite to land the most baskets is Ryan Conwell. Odds of -111 can be found for him scoring Over 18.5 points and there is -116 for him to go Under.

Ryan Conwell (Xavier)

Over 18.5

-111

Under 18.5

-116

Zach Freemantle (Xavier)

Over 17.5

-103

Under 17.5

-125

Will Riley (Illinois)

Over 15.5

-114

Under 15.5

-114

Kasparas Jakucionis (Illinois)

Over 15.5

-111

Under 15.5

-116

Kylan Boswell (Illinois)

Over 13.5

+103

Under 13.5

-133

Tomislav Ivisic (Illinois)

Over 12.5

-109

Under 12.5

-119

Tre White (Illinois)

Over 11.5

-114

Under 11.5

-114

Dailyn Swain (Xavier)

Over 11.5

-103

Under 11.5

-125

Marcus Foster (Xavier)

Over 8.5

-111

Under 8.5

-116

Dayvion McKnight (Xavier)

Over 8.5

-110

Under 8.5

-118

Ben Humrichous (Illinois)

Over 5.5

+112

Under 5.5

-145

Kasparas Jakucionis (Illinois)

Over 4.5

+102

Under 4.5

-132

Kylan Boswell (Illinois)

Over 3.5

-112

Under 3.5

-115

Dayvion McKnight (Xavier)

Over 3.5

-101

Under 3.5

-128

Ryan Conwell (Xavier)

Over 2.5

-112

Under 2.5

-115

Will Riley (Illinois)

Over 2.5

-169

Under 2.5

+130

Tomislav Ivisic (Illinois)

Over 2.5

-115

Under 2.5

-112

Dailyn Swain (Xavier)

Over 2.5

-115

Under 2.5

-112

Zach Freemantle (Xavier)

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-108

Marcus Foster (Xavier)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

+104

Zach Freemantle (Xavier)

Over 6.5

-130

Under 6.5

+101

Tomislav Ivisic (Illinois)

Over 6.5

-114

Under 6.5

-114

Will Riley (Illinois)

Over 5.5

+118

Under 5.5

-154

Kasparas Jakucionis (Illinois)

Over 5.5

+103

Under 5.5

-133

Tre White (Illinois)

Over 5.5

-127

Under 5.5

-102

Dailyn Swain (Xavier)

Over 5.5

-102

Under 5.5

-127

Marcus Foster (Xavier)

Over 5.5

-125

Under 5.5

-103

Kylan Boswell (Illinois)

Over 4.5

-115

Under 4.5

-112

Ben Humrichous (Illinois)

Over 3.5

+139

Under 3.5

-182

Ryan Conwell (Xavier)

Over 2.5

-141

Under 2.5

+109

Dayvion McKnight (Xavier)

Over 2.5

-167

Under 2.5

+127

For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, college basketball micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to wager on the Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Xavier Stats

Illinois Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 155.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 159.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 81.60 pts and allowed 73.50 pts in the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 164.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 159.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 81.70 pts and allowed 83.20 pts in the last 10 games

NCAAB Regular Season Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big Ten	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Michigan	27-2	2580	1993	587	16-1	11-1	2W
Nebraska	25-5	2331	1970	361	18-2	7-3	1L
Michigan State	24-5	2271	1924	347	16-2	8-3	4W
Illinois	23-7	2534	2071	463	15-5	8-2	1W
Purdue	22-7	2387	2028	359	15-4	7-3	2L
Wisconsin	20-9	2406	2205	201	14-2	6-7	1W
Iowa	20-9	2195	1886	309	16-2	4-7	1L
UCLA	20-10	2328	2130	198	17-2	3-8	1W
Ohio State	19-11	2403	2184	219	13-5	6-6	2W
USC	18-11	2296	2231	65	11-6	7-5	5L
Indiana	18-12	2362	2144	218	15-5	3-7	1W
Washington	14-15	2210	2109	101	9-6	5-9	1L
Minnesota	14-16	2107	2055	52	12-7	2-9	1L
Northwestern	13-16	2137	2102	35	10-8	3-8	3W
Rutgers	12-17	2037	2187	-150	10-7	2-10	1W
Penn State	12-18	2230	2389	-159	10-10	2-8	1L
Maryland	11-18	2049	2236	-187	9-7	2-11	2L
Oregon	11-19	2122	2217	-95	9-9	2-10	2L

Big East	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
UConn	27-3	2361	1955	406	16-2	11-1	3W
St. John's	24-6	2466	2122	344	15-3	9-3	2W
Villanova	23-7	2314	2109	205	14-3	9-4	1W
Seton Hall	20-10	2116	1945	171	12-4	8-6	1W
DePaul	16-14	2121	2082	39	12-7	4-7	1L
Butler	15-15	2378	2319	59	13-7	2-8	2L
Creighton	15-16	2343	2329	14	11-6	4-10	1W
Providence	14-16	2573	2526	47	10-7	4-9	1L
Xavier	14-16	2351	2390	-39	13-7	1-9	1L
Georgetown	13-17	2231	2213	18	9-8	4-9	7L
Marquette	11-19	2250	2274	-24	9-8	2-11	1W

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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