Xavier vs Illinois Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Mar 2025

No. 11 Xavier Musketeers (22-11, 13-8 Big East) play No. 6 Illinois Fighting Illini (21-12, 13-9 Big Ten) in this Midwest Region first round game at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

We’re delighted to see Xavier have been given a headstart on the spread. Take the +3.5 at odds of -115 when they clash with Illinois.

Xavier Musketeers secured a 86-80 win against Texas Longhorns in their previous game.

Illinois Fighting Illini suffered a defeat in their last game. A 88-65 scoreline occurred on the road against Maryland Terrapins.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last matchup between Xavier and Illinois saw the former win. It was a 83-74 scoreline.

NCAAB Regular Season	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Illinois	22-6	2384	1933	451	14-4	8-2	1L
Xavier	13-14	2108	2135	-27	12-6	1-8	2L

View Full Standings

Xavier vs Illinois Prediction & Picks

There’s a great opportunity to back Xavier against the spread here. The underdogs should be able to produce a solid performance in this college contest, with +3.5 making lots appeal at -115.

The team at Sportsgambler.com are right across the latest injuries and the form guide also informs our college basketball predictions. This data is combined with the latest stats.

Key Xavier vs Illinois stats:

• The +3.5 line has been covered by Xavier in all of their last 5 games.
• The +3.5 line has been covered by Xavier in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +3.5 line has been covered by Xavier in 9 consecutive games.

Xavier +3.5 Probability

The sportsbooks make it a 53.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our analysts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college basketball bet.

If you want to secure a bigger potential payout on your wager, there’s the possibility to move the line. Take a look at the various prices and see which spread you think will be covered.

Our Game Prediction

Xavier +3.5 @ -115 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 20, 23:52). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Dailyn Swain Over 2.5 Assists -122

Dailyn Swain (Xavier) can be wagered to total Over 2.5 assists at -122. We’re tempted to back him to cover the Player Assists line, with plenty of juice on offer.

Latest Dailyn Swain Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 11.5

-103

Under 11.5

-125

Assists

Over 2.5

-115

Under 2.5

-112

Rebounds

Over 5.5

-102

Under 5.5

-127

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Marcus Foster Under 5.5 Rebounds +102

Marcus Foster (Xavier) can be backed to total Under 5.5 rebounds at +102. We’re pretty confident that this Player Rebounds wager will end up falling short of the line.

Latest Marcus Foster Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 8.5

-111

Under 8.5

-116

Assists

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

+104

Rebounds

Over 5.5

-125

Under 5.5

-103

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Xavier 84 - 81 Illinois

We’re expecting a close contest so it might be worth going for Xavier to win by a 84-81 scoreline. You can get a massive price and we should hopefully get a run for our money.

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Xavier vs Illinois Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Sportsbooks’ favorites Illinois are regarded as likeliest victors for this college game and the -192 about them triumphing means a 66% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. Xavier are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +160.

The current spread is 4.5 and total points is 161.5. There are many ways to bet on basketball including the Totals. If you want to wager Over 161.5, there are odds of -115.

If you’re keen on Illini reaching 20 points before their opponents, the favorites are -150 to oblige. Conversely, Xavier can be backed at +110 to make this total first.

The betting sites offer stacks of team props and game lines when it comes to most college basketball contests. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Xavier

+160

Illinois

-192

Point Spread

Xavier +4.5

-110

Illinois -4.5

-110

Total Points

Under 161.5

-105

Over 161.5

-115

The favorite to land the most baskets is Ryan Conwell. Odds of -111 can be found for him scoring Over 18.5 points and there is -116 for him to go Under.

Ryan Conwell (Xavier)

Over 18.5

-111

Under 18.5

-116

Zach Freemantle (Xavier)

Over 17.5

-103

Under 17.5

-125

Will Riley (Illinois)

Over 15.5

-114

Under 15.5

-114

Kasparas Jakucionis (Illinois)

Over 15.5

-111

Under 15.5

-116

Kylan Boswell (Illinois)

Over 13.5

+103

Under 13.5

-133

Tomislav Ivisic (Illinois)

Over 12.5

-109

Under 12.5

-119

Tre White (Illinois)

Over 11.5

-114

Under 11.5

-114

Dailyn Swain (Xavier)

Over 11.5

-103

Under 11.5

-125

Marcus Foster (Xavier)

Over 8.5

-111

Under 8.5

-116

Dayvion McKnight (Xavier)

Over 8.5

-110

Under 8.5

-118

Ben Humrichous (Illinois)

Over 5.5

+112

Under 5.5

-145

Kasparas Jakucionis (Illinois)

Over 4.5

+102

Under 4.5

-132

Kylan Boswell (Illinois)

Over 3.5

-112

Under 3.5

-115

Dayvion McKnight (Xavier)

Over 3.5

-101

Under 3.5

-128

Ryan Conwell (Xavier)

Over 2.5

-112

Under 2.5

-115

Will Riley (Illinois)

Over 2.5

-169

Under 2.5

+130

Tomislav Ivisic (Illinois)

Over 2.5

-115

Under 2.5

-112

Dailyn Swain (Xavier)

Over 2.5

-115

Under 2.5

-112

Zach Freemantle (Xavier)

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-108

Marcus Foster (Xavier)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

+104

Zach Freemantle (Xavier)

Over 6.5

-130

Under 6.5

+101

Tomislav Ivisic (Illinois)

Over 6.5

-114

Under 6.5

-114

Will Riley (Illinois)

Over 5.5

+118

Under 5.5

-154

Kasparas Jakucionis (Illinois)

Over 5.5

+103

Under 5.5

-133

Tre White (Illinois)

Over 5.5

-127

Under 5.5

-102

Dailyn Swain (Xavier)

Over 5.5

-102

Under 5.5

-127

Marcus Foster (Xavier)

Over 5.5

-125

Under 5.5

-103

Kylan Boswell (Illinois)

Over 4.5

-115

Under 4.5

-112

Ben Humrichous (Illinois)

Over 3.5

+139

Under 3.5

-182

Ryan Conwell (Xavier)

Over 2.5

-141

Under 2.5

+109

Dayvion McKnight (Xavier)

Over 2.5

-167

Under 2.5

+127

For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, college basketball micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to wager on the Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Xavier Stats

Illinois Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 155.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 159.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 81.60 pts and allowed 73.50 pts in the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 164.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 159.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 81.70 pts and allowed 83.20 pts in the last 10 games

NCAAB Regular Season Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big Ten	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Michigan	26-2	2496	1923	573	16-1	10-1	1W
Nebraska	23-4	2123	1770	353	17-2	6-2	1W
Purdue	22-5	2239	1870	369	15-3	7-2	1W
Michigan State	22-5	2118	1786	332	16-2	6-3	2W
Illinois	22-6	2384	1933	451	14-4	8-2	1L
Wisconsin	19-8	2245	2047	198	14-2	5-6	1W
Iowa	19-8	2052	1758	294	15-2	4-6	1L
UCLA	19-9	2183	2000	183	16-2	3-7	2W
USC	18-10	2229	2149	80	11-5	7-5	4L
Ohio State	17-10	2170	1974	196	12-5	5-5	1L
Indiana	17-11	2221	2020	201	14-4	3-7	3L
Washington	14-14	2137	2019	118	9-5	5-9	1W
Minnesota	13-15	1982	1905	77	11-7	2-8	1L
Northwestern	12-16	2074	2040	34	9-8	3-8	2W
Maryland	11-16	1923	2093	-170	9-6	2-10	1W
Rutgers	11-17	1968	2122	-154	10-7	1-10	2L
Penn State	11-17	2097	2226	-129	9-9	2-8	3L
Oregon	10-17	1921	2003	-82	8-9	2-8	1W

Big East	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
UConn	25-3	2218	1848	370	14-2	11-1	1W
St. John's	22-5	2265	1924	341	13-3	9-2	13W
Villanova	21-6	2099	1890	209	13-3	8-3	1L
Seton Hall	19-9	1972	1806	166	12-4	7-5	1W
Butler	15-13	2246	2161	85	13-6	2-7	2W
DePaul	14-13	1930	1884	46	12-6	2-7	1L
Creighton	14-14	2120	2119	1	11-4	3-10	1L
Xavier	13-14	2108	2135	-27	12-6	1-8	2L
Georgetown	13-15	2078	2050	28	9-8	4-7	5L
Providence	12-15	2344	2288	56	9-6	3-9	1W
Marquette	10-18	2121	2156	-35	9-7	1-11	1W

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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