Xavier vs Illinois Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Mar 2025

No. 11 Xavier Musketeers (22-11, 13-8 Big East) play No. 6 Illinois Fighting Illini (21-12, 13-9 Big Ten) in this Midwest Region first round game at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

We’re delighted to see Xavier have been given a headstart on the spread. Take the +3.5 at odds of -115 when they clash with Illinois.

Xavier Musketeers secured a 86-80 win against Texas Longhorns in their previous game.

Illinois Fighting Illini suffered a defeat in their last game. A 88-65 scoreline occurred on the road against Maryland Terrapins.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last matchup between Xavier and Illinois saw the former win. It was a 83-74 scoreline.

NCAAB Regular Season	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Illinois	17-3	1709	1366	343	11-3	6-0	9W
Xavier	11-9	1570	1544	26	10-5	1-4	2L

View Full Standings

Xavier vs Illinois Prediction & Picks

There’s a great opportunity to back Xavier against the spread here. The underdogs should be able to produce a solid performance in this college contest, with +3.5 making lots appeal at -115.

The team at Sportsgambler.com are right across the latest injuries and the form guide also informs our college basketball predictions. This data is combined with the latest stats.

Key Xavier vs Illinois stats:

• The +3.5 line has been covered by Xavier in all of their last 5 games.
• The +3.5 line has been covered by Xavier in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +3.5 line has been covered by Xavier in 9 consecutive games.

Xavier +3.5 Probability

The sportsbooks make it a 53.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our analysts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college basketball bet.

If you want to secure a bigger potential payout on your wager, there’s the possibility to move the line. Take a look at the various prices and see which spread you think will be covered.

Our Game Prediction

Xavier +3.5 @ -115 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (23:52, 20 March 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Dailyn Swain Over 2.5 Assists -122

Dailyn Swain (Xavier) can be wagered to total Over 2.5 assists at -122. We’re tempted to back him to cover the Player Assists line, with plenty of juice on offer.

Latest Dailyn Swain Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 11.5

-103

Under 11.5

-125

Assists

Over 2.5

-115

Under 2.5

-112

Rebounds

Over 5.5

-102

Under 5.5

-127

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Marcus Foster Under 5.5 Rebounds +102

Marcus Foster (Xavier) can be backed to total Under 5.5 rebounds at +102. We’re pretty confident that this Player Rebounds wager will end up falling short of the line.

Latest Marcus Foster Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 8.5

-111

Under 8.5

-116

Assists

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

+104

Rebounds

Over 5.5

-125

Under 5.5

-103

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Xavier 84 - 81 Illinois

We’re expecting a close contest so it might be worth going for Xavier to win by a 84-81 scoreline. You can get a massive price and we should hopefully get a run for our money.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Xavier vs Illinois Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Sportsbooks’ favorites Illinois are regarded as likeliest victors for this college game and the -192 about them triumphing means a 66% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. Xavier are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +160.

The current spread is 4.5 and total points is 161.5. There are many ways to bet on basketball including the Totals. If you want to wager Over 161.5, there are odds of -115.

If you’re keen on Illini reaching 20 points before their opponents, the favorites are -150 to oblige. Conversely, Xavier can be backed at +110 to make this total first.

The betting sites offer stacks of team props and game lines when it comes to most college basketball contests. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Xavier

+160

Illinois

-192

Point Spread

Xavier +4.5

-110

Illinois -4.5

-110

Total Points

Under 161.5

-105

Over 161.5

-115

The favorite to land the most baskets is Ryan Conwell. Odds of -111 can be found for him scoring Over 18.5 points and there is -116 for him to go Under.

Ryan Conwell (Xavier)

Over 18.5

-111

Under 18.5

-116

Zach Freemantle (Xavier)

Over 17.5

-103

Under 17.5

-125

Will Riley (Illinois)

Over 15.5

-114

Under 15.5

-114

Kasparas Jakucionis (Illinois)

Over 15.5

-111

Under 15.5

-116

Kylan Boswell (Illinois)

Over 13.5

+103

Under 13.5

-133

Tomislav Ivisic (Illinois)

Over 12.5

-109

Under 12.5

-119

Tre White (Illinois)

Over 11.5

-114

Under 11.5

-114

Dailyn Swain (Xavier)

Over 11.5

-103

Under 11.5

-125

Marcus Foster (Xavier)

Over 8.5

-111

Under 8.5

-116

Dayvion McKnight (Xavier)

Over 8.5

-110

Under 8.5

-118

Ben Humrichous (Illinois)

Over 5.5

+112

Under 5.5

-145

Kasparas Jakucionis (Illinois)

Over 4.5

+102

Under 4.5

-132

Kylan Boswell (Illinois)

Over 3.5

-112

Under 3.5

-115

Dayvion McKnight (Xavier)

Over 3.5

-101

Under 3.5

-128

Ryan Conwell (Xavier)

Over 2.5

-112

Under 2.5

-115

Will Riley (Illinois)

Over 2.5

-169

Under 2.5

+130

Tomislav Ivisic (Illinois)

Over 2.5

-115

Under 2.5

-112

Dailyn Swain (Xavier)

Over 2.5

-115

Under 2.5

-112

Zach Freemantle (Xavier)

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-108

Marcus Foster (Xavier)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

+104

Zach Freemantle (Xavier)

Over 6.5

-130

Under 6.5

+101

Tomislav Ivisic (Illinois)

Over 6.5

-114

Under 6.5

-114

Will Riley (Illinois)

Over 5.5

+118

Under 5.5

-154

Kasparas Jakucionis (Illinois)

Over 5.5

+103

Under 5.5

-133

Tre White (Illinois)

Over 5.5

-127

Under 5.5

-102

Dailyn Swain (Xavier)

Over 5.5

-102

Under 5.5

-127

Marcus Foster (Xavier)

Over 5.5

-125

Under 5.5

-103

Kylan Boswell (Illinois)

Over 4.5

-115

Under 4.5

-112

Ben Humrichous (Illinois)

Over 3.5

+139

Under 3.5

-182

Ryan Conwell (Xavier)

Over 2.5

-141

Under 2.5

+109

Dayvion McKnight (Xavier)

Over 2.5

-167

Under 2.5

+127

For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, college basketball micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to wager on the Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Xavier Stats

Illinois Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 155.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 159.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 81.60 pts and allowed 73.50 pts in the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 164.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 159.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 81.70 pts and allowed 83.20 pts in the last 10 games

NCAAB Regular Season Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big Ten	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Nebraska	20-1	1690	1374	316	15-0	5-1	1L
Michigan	19-1	1817	1376	441	13-1	6-0	5W
Michigan State	19-2	1670	1334	336	13-1	6-1	7W
Illinois	17-3	1709	1366	343	11-3	6-0	9W
Purdue	17-4	1747	1454	293	13-2	4-2	3L
USC	15-5	1642	1509	133	9-3	6-2	1W
Iowa	14-5	1480	1185	295	12-1	2-4	2W
UCLA	14-6	1547	1382	165	12-1	2-5	2W
Wisconsin	14-6	1672	1506	166	10-2	4-4	1L
Ohio State	14-6	1644	1451	193	10-3	4-3	1W
Indiana	14-7	1695	1455	240	12-3	2-4	2W
Washington	11-9	1580	1465	115	8-3	3-6	1W
Minnesota	10-10	1441	1370	71	9-6	1-4	5L
Northwestern	9-11	1530	1434	96	7-6	2-5	1L
Penn State	9-11	1532	1555	-23	8-7	1-4	7L
Rutgers	9-12	1473	1578	-105	9-5	0-7	4L
Oregon	8-12	1462	1483	-21	7-6	1-6	6L
Maryland	8-12	1459	1580	-121	7-4	1-8	2L

Big East	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
UConn	20-1	1653	1350	303	12-1	8-0	16W
St. John's	15-5	1701	1453	248	9-3	6-2	6W
Villanova	15-5	1548	1379	169	10-2	5-3	1L
Seton Hall	14-6	1431	1281	150	8-3	6-3	4L
Butler	13-7	1671	1518	153	12-3	1-4	3W
DePaul	12-8	1466	1389	77	11-4	1-4	1W
Creighton	12-9	1642	1573	69	10-2	2-7	1L
Xavier	11-9	1570	1544	26	10-5	1-4	2L
Georgetown	10-10	1511	1478	33	7-5	3-5	1W
Providence	9-12	1864	1808	56	7-5	2-7	3L
Marquette	8-14	1679	1723	-44	8-6	0-8	1W

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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