Botafogo vs São Paulo Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Apr 2025

Get the Best Value By Backing Fogo

We’ll back Botafogo with a fair degree of confidence when they clash with São Paulo. At betting odds of -118 on the Full-Time Result market, this looks a value pick and we expect a return.

2-1 Win for Fogo in Pair’s Previous Clash

Botafogo suffered a defeat in their last game. A 1-0 scoreline occurred on the road against Red Bull Bragantino. Fogo had most of the ball enjoying 63% possession and two shots on target.

São Paulo played Cruzeiro at home in their previous game. It was a 1-1 draw. Luis Zubeldia's team managed two shots on goal and enjoyed 57% possession, with Ferreira on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Botafogo have gone unbeaten in their past nine meetings with São Paulo. In their last clash, Botafogo claimed a 2-1 win at home. The previous 10 H2H games have ended in five Botafogo victories, four draws and a solitary win for São Paulo.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Botafogo	20	10	5	5	30	13	17	30:13	35
7	São Paulo	22	8	8	6	26	23	3	26:23	32

View Full Table

Botafogo have 5 wins, 1 loss and 4 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 12.7 attempts. The Rio de Janeiro side have averaged 56.9% possession and 5.7 corners per match, with their opponents getting 0.4 goals from 2.9 shots on goal, 7.6 attempts and 2.9 corners.

Jefferson Savarino leads the way with 4 goals, Gregore has 2, with Igor Jesus and two others on 1. Igor Jesus, Thiago Almada and Jefferson Savarino are the leading assists makers with 2.

São Paulo have 2 victories, 3 defeats and 5 draws, with an average of 7.5 attempts, 2.7 shots on goal and 1.2 goals. Tricolor Paulista average 57.8% possession, 4.9 corners awarded and 5.3 corners against them, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 4.9 shots on goal and 11.1 attempts.

We’ve seen Luciano Neves, Luiz Gustavo, Andre and Lucas Moura score 2 goals each. Lucas Moura has been the top assist maker with 2 in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Botafogo confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): John Victor (GK), Vitinho, Jair Cunha, Alexander Barboza, Cuiabano, Gregore, Marlon Freitas, Artur Guimaraes, Jefferson Savarino, Matheus Martins, Igor Jesus.

São Paulo confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Rafael (GK), Nahuel Ferraresi, Robert Arboleda, Alan Franco, Cedric Soares, Marcos Antonio, Alisson, Wendell, Matheus Alves, Ferreira, Jonathan Calleri.

Botafogo vs São Paulo Prediction & Betting Tips

We can back Botafogo at -118 to claim a Série A victory and this looks like a standout price. The betting sites give us the chance to grab a slice of value for this selection.

We’re keen to follow the latest form and understand any patterns that emerge. The same applies to injuries that could affect key players. Combined with the best stats, there is plenty of information to make a verdict.

Key Botafogo vs São Paulo league stats:

• Botafogo have won 13 of their last 20 games at home.
• Botafogo have won 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• Botafogo have won 2 consecutive games at home.

Fogo to Win Probability

According to the betting sites, our pick has a 54.1% chance of landing a return. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

If you’re expecting Fogo to win but also think they’ll keep a clean sheet, then it stands to reason to back the bigger odds on the Result + Both Teams to Score No market.

Our Match Prediction

Botafogo To Win @ -118 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Botafogo 1 - 0 São Paulo

There are odds of +460 available that Botafogo land a 1-0 win. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Matheus Martins to Score +270

Matheus Martins (Botafogo) has racked up two goals in his past five Serie A matches on home soil. This statistic guides us towards Anytime Goalscorer where we’re able to back him to find the net at appealing odds of +270.

Latest Matheus Martins Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+270

First

+550

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

+110

Shots

Over 2.5

-116

Under 2.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Botafogo Over 4.5 Corners -150

It’s been an average of 6.50 Botafogo corners in the past ten home matches, with São Paulo conceding a corner average of 7.20 in their last five away games. We’re expecting history to repeat itself and for the Botafogo Team Corners line to get covered at -150.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Botafogo

Total

8.60 5.70 2.90

Home

8.80 6.50 2.30

Away

10.60 5.80 4.80

São Paulo

Total

10.20 4.90 5.30

Home

8.70 5.40 3.30

Away

10.30 4.00 6.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-102

Under 9.5

-139

Botafogo Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-138

São Paulo Corners

Over 3.5

-120

Under 3.5

-120

Most Corners

1

-185

X

+575

2

+170

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Botafogo vs São Paulo Odds

Bookies favourites Botafogo are regarded as the likeliest winners for this Serie A game and the -115 about them triumphing means a 53% chance of winning based on their current betting odds. At +335, São Paulo are regarded as having a lower probability of winning this match.

Under 2.5 Goals is currently the betting favourite and a bet on this option would mean you need no more than two goals to be scored.

A Bet Builder allows you to combine different Série A betting markets for a match. For example, you might want to predict the Match Winner and Total Goals at a football betting site.

Full-Time Result

1

-115

X

+235

2

+335

Half-Time Result

1

+155

X

+107

2

+370

Double Chance

1X

-500

12

-345

X2

-118

Draw No Bet

1

-278

2

+205

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-114

2 Hcp +0.5

-109

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-179

Over 2.5

+138

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+106

No

-152

Botafogo vs São Paulo Lineups & Team News

You’ve found the right place for Botafogo vs São Paulo team news, with all the latest information available including lineups and injuries so you’re fully informed.

If you’re looking for the latest player information, check out the Série A squads.

Botafogo Team Page São Paulo Team Page