Excelsior vs Ajax Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 01 Feb 2026
Eredivisie Betting Preview: Excelsior vs Ajax
Excelsior clash with Ajax at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, with kick-off set for 06:15 on Sunday 1 February.
We can’t resist the chance to back Ajax on the basis that they are -137 to land a win against Excelsior. We’ll back this Full-Time Result wager with optimism based on the available information.
Following our Ajax to win prediction? Make sure you're betting smart—get the latest BetMGM promo code and read our trusted review to get the best value.
Excelsior drew away from home in their last game. A 0-0 scoreline was played out against FC Twente at De Grolsch Veste. Ruben den Uil's team had only 35% possession and one shot on target.
Ajax won their previous Eredivisie game which was at home. It was a 2-0 triumph at Johan Cruyff Arena against Volendam. The Amsterdam club racked up fourteen shots on goal and enjoyed 65% possession, while Youri Baas netted twice.
On Wednesday night, Ajax were beaten 2-1 in the Champions League when hosting Olympiacos.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Excelsior have avoided defeat against Ajax in the past three meetings. In the last clash, Excelsior banked a 2-1 win when visiting Johan Cruyff Arena. The previous 6 H2H meetings have involved three Ajax wins, one Excelsior victory and two draws.
| Eredivisie | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |  Ajax |
20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 39:26 | 37 |
| 13 |  Excelsior |
20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 20:35 | 22 |
Excelsior have 3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 10.9 attempts. The Rotterdam side have averaged 45.8% possession, 401.3 passes and 3.9 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.6 goals from 5.0 shots on goal, 14.3 attempts and 6.5 corners.
Top goalscorer Noah Naujoks has found the net 6 times, Irakli Yegoian 2, with Miliano Jonathans and two other players on 1. Leading assistor is Derensili Sanches Fernandes with 2, while goalkeeper Stijn van Gassel has 2 clean sheets.
Ajax have 5 victories, 2 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 6.7 shots on goal, 15.7 attempts and 1.9 goals. The Sons of God average 58.9% possession, 554.6 passes, 4.9 corners taken and 4.7 corners against them, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 12.9 attempts and 4.9 shots on goal.
Mika Godts is top scorer on 5, with Youri Baas and Kasper Dolberg next on 3. Oscar Gloukh is top assists provider with 4, while Vitezslav Jaros has kept 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Excelsior predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Stijn van Gassel (GK), Nolan Martens, Casper Widell, Stan Henderikx, Simon Janssen, Chris-Kévin Nadje, Lennard Hartjes, Miliano Jonathans, Irakli Yegoian, Gyan de Regt, Mike van Duinen.
Ajax predicted lineup (4-3-3): Vitezslav Jaros (GK), Anton Gaaei, Aaron Bouwman, Youri Baas, Lucas Rosa, Davy Klaassen, Youri Regeer, Sean Steur, Rayane Bounida, Kasper Dolberg, Mika Godts.
Excelsior vs Ajax Prediction & Betting Tips
Explore our best Excelsior vs Ajax picks, including our main match prediction, top corners bet, correct score forecast, player performance props and a bet builder ready to use.
Match Prediction
It’s great to get a value price of -137 for an away win in this Eredivisie clash. Ajax are expected to be superior and this could be the best route to achieving a payout.
We’re always aware of the injuries and suspensions for each team before we decide which way to go with our football picks. The form and data also help the Eredivisie experts at Sportsgambler.com when it comes to a betting view on the action.
Key Excelsior vs Ajax league stats:
The top betting apps make it a 57.8% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 60-65%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.
If you want to back Ajax to oblige at a larger price, why not contemplate a wager on the Double Result? You require them to be in front at the interval and the final whistle.
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Correct Score Prediction
0
-
2
Ajax
Ajax can be backed to win 2-0 when it comes to the correct score. We’ll go for the +700 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.
Player Prop Picks
Kasper Dolberg (Ajax) has fired over 2.5 shots in four straight Eredivisie games. We think this could be a decisive stat and we’ll bet on him to cover the Player Shots line which is on offer at odds of -103.
Davy Klaassen (Ajax) has scored two goals in his past five Eredivisie matches. We’ll throw a dart at +350 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look pretty attractive.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
We’ve seen the past ten Excelsior home games feature an average 8.60 corners. We advise betting on the -123 that the sides won’t cover the line, with this Total Corners bet hopefully providing a return.
Excelsior
Ajax
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’re happy to go with a bet builder that has Ajax to come out on top, one or both teams drawing a blank as well as Kasper Dolberg (Ajax) to record Over 2.5 shots.
Should you want to back different outcomes for the same football game, then a bet builder will suit your needs. Bettors enjoy creating a tailored wager based on their predictions for how a match is likely to turn out.
Excelsior vs Ajax Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Some will want to go ahead and back Ajax at -141 to win this Eredivisie encounter. After all, this betting price suggests a 58% chance that the favourites end up succeeding. If you want to wager on the underdog, Excelsior have been priced up at +340.
If Ajax at -0.75 beat Excelsior by one goal, then you get a win with half your stake and the other half refunded. A victory by 2+ goals means a full payout at Asian Handicap odds of -110.
The lowest odds can be found for Over 2.5 Goals, which means at least three goals being netted. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get -179 when it comes to BTTS Yes.
For those visiting the best betting sites, you are guaranteed a fantastic service for all the Eredivisie games. The hundreds of football markets always ensure lots of choice.
There is +170 available that Wout Weghorst finds the net, while he is available at +475 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.
Excelsior have finished with five losses, four victories and one draw in the past 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 1.20.
Ajax have not lost on their travels in the past three matches. The Amsterdam club have recorded six draws, three wins and one loss in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 2.20 goals per game and conceding 1.90.
When previously meeting at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Excelsior and Ajax played out a 2-2 draw.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior Home Stats |
4-1-5 | 2.20 | 1.00 | 1.20 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | |
| Ajax Away Stats |
3-6-1 | 4.10 | 2.20 | 1.90 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 0 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Excelsior League Stats
Ajax League Stats
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 1 defeat and 6 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 10 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 6.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 4.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.60 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 5.20 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 45.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 45.70% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 58.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 57.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Excelsior this season are Noah Naujoks (6), Irakli Yegoian (3), Gyan de Regt (2)
- Top Assistors for Excelsior this season are Derensili Sanches Fernandes (2), Irakli Yegoian (2), Rick Meissen (2)
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Excelsior vs Ajax Lineups & Team News
Double-check the Excelsior vs Ajax team news before placing your bets. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Eredivisie lineups and injury news right here.
Excelsior Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Ajax Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Excelsior Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Ajax Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Previous Excelsior Lineups
Previous Ajax Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Excelsio Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Ruben den Uil
Ajax Player Stats & Squad
Eredivisie Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 61:25 | 53 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 51:29 | 39 |
| 3 | Ajax | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 39:26 | 37 |
| 4 | NEC Nijmegen | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 49:33 | 35 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 35:32 | 32 |
| 6 | Sp. Rotterdam | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 25:34 | 32 |
| 7 | Groningen | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 28:24 | 31 |
| 8 | Twente | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 29:22 | 30 |
| 9 | Fortuna Sittard | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 30:34 | 25 |
| 10 | SC Heerenveen | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 31:30 | 24 |
| 11 | Utrecht | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 29:26 | 23 |
| 12 | PEC Zwolle | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 26:42 | 23 |
| 13 | Excelsior | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 20:35 | 22 |
| 14 | Go Ahead E. | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 30:33 | 21 |
| 15 | Volendam | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 21:35 | 17 |
| 16 | Telstar | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 24:33 | 16 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21:32 | 15 |
| 18 | Heracles | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 28:52 | 14 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 33:16 | 23 |
| 2 | Ajax | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19:9 | 23 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 29:18 | 22 |
| 4 | NEC Nijmegen | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 25:13 | 20 |
| 5 | Utrecht | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18:10 | 17 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:15 | 17 |
| 7 | AZ Alkmaar | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 20:16 | 16 |
| 8 | Twente | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | 16 |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | 16 |
| 10 | Groningen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:9 | 15 |
| 11 | Volendam | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:13 | 15 |
| 12 | Go Ahead E. | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 15:12 | 14 |
| 13 | Sp. Rotterdam | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:18 | 14 |
| 14 | SC Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17:18 | 13 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | 13 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 17 | Heracles | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 18:23 | 10 |
| 18 | Telstar | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17:23 | 7 |
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