Lecce vs AC Milan Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 08 Mar 2025

Lecce and Milan may not score many goals between them and that means we will wager on Under 2.5. This Total Goals pick could be the best plan of action and you can secure a price of -100.

Lecce have been defeated in back-to-back games. On the road at Artemio Franchi, Firenze, Fiorentina recently beat them 1-0. The Apulia club enjoyed 52% possession and four shots on target.

AC Milan have suffered three straight defeats, recently being beaten at home by Lazio 2-1 at San Siro. Sergio Conceicao's side had four shots on goal and boasted 61% possession, with Samuel Chukwueze on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Milan have claimed consecutive victories over Lecce, winning by 3-0 and 3-0 scorelines when hosting at San Siro. The previous 7 H2H games have featured four Milan victories and three draws.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	AC Milan	22	13	8	1	35	17	18	35:17	47
17	Lecce	22	4	6	12	13	29	-16	13:29	18

View Full Table

Lecce have 2 wins, 5 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.7 goals from 2.9 shots on goal and 10.8 attempts. Marco Giampaolo's team have averaged 48.7% possession, 405.6 passes and 5.1 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.4 goals from 4.5 shots on goal, 11.8 attempts and 4.7 corners.

Nikola Krstovic and Santiago Pierotti are the leading goalscorers with 3, while Tete Morente has 1. Nikola Krstovic has the most assists with 2, while goalkeeper Wladimiro Falcone has 3 clean sheets.

Milan have 4 victories, 4 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.3 goals from 5.2 shots on goal and 15.5 attempts. I Rossoneri have averaged 56.1% possession, 450.5 passes, 6.8 corners taken and 4.5 corners against, while conceding 1.3 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 11.9 attempts.

The leading scorers have been Rafael Leao and Tijjani Reijnders with 3, while Samuel Chukwueze has 2. Rafael Leao and Christian Pulisic have clocked up 2 assists, with Mike Maignan keeping 2 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Lecce confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Wladimiro Falcone (GK), Frederic Guilbert, Federico Baschirotto, Gaby Jean, Antonino Gallo, Lassana Coulibaly, Medon Berisha, Santiago Pierotti, Thorir Helgason, Tete Morente, Nikola Krstovic.

AC Milan confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Marco Sportiello (GK), Kyle Walker, Matteo Gabbia, Malick Thiaw, Theo Hernandez, Warren Bondo, Yunus Musah, Alex Jimenez, Tijjani Reijnders, Christian Pulisic, Santiago Gimenez.

Lecce vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips

The price of -100 looks particularly appealing when it comes to wagering Under 2.5 for this Serie A showdown. It’s expected that these teams could be set to play out a low-scoring clash.

Our football predictions are always well-researched and it starts with a combination of team news and form guide. Once we have a clear idea of what might happen, we match up the latest data.

Key Lecce vs AC Milan league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Lecce games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 Lecce games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 Lecce games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 12 of the last 20 Milan games.

The latest betting odds imply that our pick has a 50% prospect of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

Bettors looking for an alternative at bigger odds might want to take a look at the Under 1.5 Goals option which will pay out providing we see no more than one goal being scored during the ninety minutes.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -100 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (18:37, 06 March 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Lecce 0 - 2 Milan

Our prediction for the correct score is Milan to land a 2-0 victory and this is available at +750. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.

Corners Prediction

Lecce Over 3.5 Corners -125

In their past five home games, Lecce have covered the 3.5 corners line, while the previous four Milan matches have involved them conceding over 3.5 corners. Lecce should be able to cover the line when it comes to Team Corners and betting odds of -125 are available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Lecce

Total

11.50 5.50 6.00

Home

10.90 6.60 4.30

Away

10.00 3.90 6.10

Milan

Total

10.10 5.40 4.70

Home

11.10 5.80 5.30

Away

10.10 5.80 4.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-137

Under 9.5

-104

Lecce Corners

Over 3.5

-164

Under 3.5

+114

Milan Corners

Over 5.5

-111

Under 5.5

-127

Most Corners

1

+165

X

+550

2

-179

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Lecce vs AC Milan Odds

AC Milan are the shortest price to win this Serie A game according to the bookies, with the gambling operators giving them a 54% probability due to their -119 betting odds. At +330, Lecce are regarded as having a lower probability of winning this match.

The Under 2.5 / Over 2.5 Goals betting market has the two outcomes at a similar price.

To combine various Serie A selections within the same match, you will find football betting sites offer a Bet Builder. Start adding the picks you fancy until you’re happy with the overall payout.

Full-Time Result

1

+330

X

+245

2

-119

Half-Time Result

1

+335

X

+128

2

+138

Double Chance

1X

-111

12

-345

X2

-476

Draw No Bet

1

+205

2

-278

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

-105

2 Hcp -0.5

-119

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-102

Over 2.5

-127

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-143

No

+108

Lecce vs AC Milan Lineups & Team News

It’s great to get the latest lineups for the match, with injuries being flagged up thanks to our up-to-date Lecce vs Milan team news.

The Serie A squads highlight the star players operating for every team in the division.

Lecce Team Page AC Milan Team Page

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