Napoli vs Fiorentina Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 09 Mar 2025

Fiorentina look like a play on the Asian Handicap with a +1 goal start at -111. There is money back for a single goal defeat and a nice pay out for this wager if they manage to beat or draw with Napoli.

Napoli played Inter Milan at home in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw at Diego Armando Maradona. The Naples outfit had most of the ball enjoying 62% possession and four shots on target, while Philip Billing bagged the goal.

Fiorentina have experienced back-to-back road defeats. In their previous game, they beat Lecce at home, winning 1-0 at Artemio Franchi, Firenze. La Viola enjoyed 48% possession and had three shots on goal, with Robin Gosens striking early in the first half.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Napoli had the upper hand in the last clash between these sides. At Artemio Franchi, Firenze, they recorded a 3-0 away victory over Fiorentina. We’ve seen the previous 10 H2H matches involve five Napoli victories. There have also been two draws and three Fiorentina triumphs.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Napoli	24	15	4	5	36	23	13	36:23	49
18	Fiorentina	24	3	9	12	27	38	-11	27:38	18

View Full Table

Napoli have 5 wins, 1 loss and 4 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 12.7 attempts. Gli Azzurri have averaged 55.8% possession, 490.2 passes and 6.2 corners per match, conceding 1.0 goals and 3.5 corners from 2.9 shots on goal and 8.9 attempts.

Giacomo Raspadori, Scott McTominay and Romelu Lukaku are the top scorers with 3 goals each, while Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa has 2. Romelu Lukaku has the most assists with 3, while goalie Alex Meret has recorded 3 clean sheets.

Fiorentina have won 4, lost 5 and drawn 1, with an average of 1.1 goals from 10.0 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 45.9% possession, 378.4 passes, 3.0 corners in their favour and 5.1 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.3 goals from 12.3 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal.

Moise Kean is the leading scorer with 4 goals, followed by Lucas Beltran on 2, with Robin Gosens and two others bagging 1. Dodo has been the top assist maker on 3, with David De Gea notching 2 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Napoli confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Alex Meret (GK), Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Amir Rrahmani, Alessandro Buongiorno, Matteo Politano, Billy Gilmour, Stanislav Lobotka, Scott McTominay, Leonardo Spinazzola, Romelu Lukaku, Giacomo Raspadori.

Fiorentina confirmed lineup (3-5-2): David de Gea (GK), Pietro Comuzzo, Pablo Mari, Luca Ranieri, Dodo, Cher Ndour, Danilo Cataldi, Nicolo Fagioli, Fabiano Parisi, Albert Gudmundsson, Moise Kean.

Napoli vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips

We’re siding with Fiorentina on the Asian Handicap +1 and expect them to win or draw this Serie A clash. We think there’s a tremendous amount of value when it comes to odds of -111.

The football experts at Sportsgambler.com always keep close tabs on team news. We also use a form guide for our betting tips along with checking out the stats that are going to help inform our final decision.

Key Napoli vs Fiorentina league stats:

• The +1 line has been covered by Fiorentina in 13 of their last 20 games.
• The +1 line has been covered by Fiorentina in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Napoli in any of their last 5 games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Napoli in 5 of their last 10 games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Napoli in 5 consecutive games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Napoli in 5 of their last 10 games against Fiorentina.

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 52.6% chance of winning. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

If you want to land bigger odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the betting line. There’s extra juice depending on how risky you want your bet to be.

Our Match Prediction

Fiorentina Asian Hcp +1 @ -111 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (14:38, 07 March 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Napoli 1 - 1 Fiorentina

There are odds of +600 available that we see a 1-1 scoreline played out. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.

Corners Prediction

Napoli Over 5.5 Corners -120

The 5.5 corners line has been covered by Napoli in seven consecutive home games, while Fiorentina have conceded 7.00 corners on average in their last 5 away matches. There’s a chance to go over the Napoli Team Corners line and we’re confident this will happen, with odds of -120 on offer.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Napoli

Total

7.10 5.10 2.00

Home

8.50 6.20 2.30

Away

7.70 5.10 2.60

Fiorentina

Total

9.80 4.80 5.00

Home

9.60 5.40 4.20

Away

9.30 3.90 5.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

+107

Under 9.5

-152

Napoli Corners

Over 5.5

-120

Under 5.5

-120

Fiorentina Corners

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-163

Most Corners

1

-278

X

+600

2

+255

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Napoli vs Fiorentina Odds

With the bookies giving them a 65% probability of winning, Napoli might become a popular accumulator pick at their current betting odds. That is reflected in their -189 price of winning this Serie A clash. The market suggests that Fiorentina are least likely to win at +540.

If you think there will be two goals or less during the ninety minutes, then Under 2.5 Goals is a potential option.

You can find hundreds of markets for every Serie A match, with the leading football betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and In-Play selections before placing your bets.

Full-Time Result

1

-189

X

+295

2

+540

Half-Time Result

1

+112

X

+123

2

+500

Double Chance

1X

-909

12

-435

X2

+138

Draw No Bet

1

-556

2

+360

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

-102

2 Hcp +1

-120

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-137

Over 2.5

+107

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+112

No

-149

Napoli vs Fiorentina Lineups & Team News

You’ve found the right place for Napoli vs Fiorentina team news, with all the latest information available including lineups and injuries so you’re fully informed.

We’ve got details of the Serie A squads so that you know every player on the roster.

Napoli Team Page Fiorentina Team Page

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