Newcastle vs Chelsea Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 11 May 2025

St James' Park plays host to a Premier League showdown between Newcastle and Chelsea, with both sides aiming for Champions League qualification.

Newcastle look like the real deal against Chelsea and we’re happy to take the -109 about them on the Asian Handicap -0.25. We get half our money back if the game ends level.

Newcastle United played Brighton on their travels in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw at The American Express Community Stadium. The Tyneside club had the majority of the ball boasting 54% possession and five shots on target, with Alexander Isak scoring the goal.

Chelsea beat Liverpool in their previous Premier League game, making it three consecutive league wins. It was a 3-1 home triumph at Stamford Bridge. Enzo Maresca's side were restricted to just 35% possession and managed seven shots on goal, with Enzo Fernandez, Cole Palmer and a Jarell Quansah own goal on the scoresheet.

On Thursday night, Chelsea won 1-0 (5-1 on aggregate) when hosting Swedish Allsvenskan side Djurgarden in the second leg of the Europa Conference League semi-final tie.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Newcastle overcame Chelsea at home when the teams last played. It was a 2-0 EFL Cup victory at St James' Park. The previous 10 H2H meetings have ended in five Chelsea victories, two draws and three Newcastle wins.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Chelsea	20	8	7	5	33	22	11	33:22	31
9	Newcastle	20	8	5	7	28	24	4	28:24	29

View Full Table

Newcastle have 7 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw, averaging 2.4 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 13.8 attempts. Eddie Howe's team have averaged 52.6% possession, 444.5 passes and 5.3 corners per match, conceding 1.2 goals and 4.6 corners from 3.5 shots on goal and 10.8 attempts.

Top goalscorer Alexander Isak has found the net 6 times, with Jacob Murphy and Harvey Barnes scoring 4 each. Kieran Trippier, Harvey Barnes and Jacob Murphy have recorded the most assists with 3 apiece. Meanwhile, goalkeeper Nick Pope has kept 4 clean sheets.

Chelsea have 6 victories, 2 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 6.7 shots on goal, 16.7 attempts and 1.5 goals. The Blues average 55.4% possession, 493.7 passes, 6.5 corners awarded and 3.6 corners against, while 0.7 goals have been conceded from 8.5 attempts and 2.9 shots on goal.

Enzo Fernandez has top scored with 3, while Pedro Neto and Marc Cucurella are next best on 2. Pedro Neto and Enzo Fernandez have been top assists providers with 3, while Robert Sanchez has kept 4 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Newcastle confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Nick Pope (GK), Fabian Schaer, Sven Botman, Daniel Burn, Jacob Murphy, Bruno Guimaraes, Sandro Tonali, Valentino Livramento, Harvey Barnes, Anthony Gordon, Alexander Isak.

Chelsea confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Robert Sanchez (GK), Moises Caicedo, Trevoh Chalobah, Levi Colwill, Marc Cucurella, Romeo Lavia, Enzo Fernandez, Pedro Neto, Cole Palmer, Noni Madueke, Nicolas Jackson.

Newcastle vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips

There’s some insurance when it comes to wagering Newcastle -0.25 for this Premier League match. At odds of -109, we also get a nice payout if the Magpies win and there’s every chance that this happens.

It's important to understand the players who are unavailable for the upcoming action and the respective form of each team. If you want stats, you have come to the right place and they form the basis of our football predictions.

Key Newcastle vs Chelsea league stats:

• The -0.25 line has been covered by Newcastle in all of their last 5 games at home.
• The -0.25 line has been covered by Newcastle in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -0.25 line has been covered by Newcastle in 5 consecutive games at home.
• The +0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Chelsea in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

According to the odds, there’s a 52.1% likelihood of our pick winning. Based on our tipsters research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

Fancy Newcastle to cover the line but want bigger odds? Get more juice by going down the Bet Builder route where multiple picks can be combined together.

Our Match Prediction

Newcastle Asian Hcp -0.25 @ -109 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Newcastle 2 - 1 Chelsea

Newcastle can be backed at +700 to triumph by a 2-1 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Pedro Neto Over 1.5 Shots -123

Pedro Neto (Chelsea) has finished with over 1.5 shots in five consecutive Premier League matches on the road. We are in favour of betting the -123 that he is able to cover the line, with this Player Shots wager looking like it might yield dividends.

Latest Pedro Neto Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+390

First

+1000

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-185

Shots

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

-

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Alexander Isak to Score +125

Alexander Isak (Newcastle) has scored in seven of his past ten Premier League home games. There are odds of +125 available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for the player to find the net.

Latest Alexander Isak Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+116

First

+340

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

+118

Under 1.5

-200

Shots

Over 3.5

+108

Under 3.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Under 10.5 Corners -138

The 10.5 Total Corners line has not been covered in four consecutive Chelsea away games, with the last ten Newcastle matches averaging 9.90 corners. The number of corners could be lower than the line suggests and that leads us to a bet at odds of -138.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Newcastle

Total

12.40 6.20 6.20

Home

13.20 7.40 5.80

Away

10.50 4.90 5.60

Chelsea

Total

8.60 5.10 3.50

Home

10.00 6.50 3.50

Away

9.30 4.60 4.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-102

Under 10.5

-139

Newcastle Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-138

Chelsea Corners

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-120

Most Corners

1

-116

X

+575

2

+110

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Newcastle vs Chelsea Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The bookies betting odds have Newcastle United as +130 favourites for this Premier League clash, implying that they are 43% likely to win the match. Chelsea are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and they can be backed at +205.

A high-scoring match is a possibility and that is reflected in the Over 2.5 Goals odds.

If you’re betting on Premier League games, we recommend heading to the best football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

+130

X

+245

2

+205

Half-Time Result

1

+175

X

+140

2

+225

Double Chance

1X

-263

12

-313

X2

-161

Draw No Bet

1

-156

2

+115

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-103

2 Hcp +0.25

-120

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+140

Over 2.5

-179

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-222

No

+165

There is +116 available that Alexander Isak finds the net anytime. If you’re interested in the favourite to score the first goal, then you are able to secure +340.

Alexander Isak (Newcastle)

First

+116

Anytime

+340

Callum Wilson (Newcastle)

First

+175

Anytime

+460

Cole Palmer (Chelsea)

First

+175

Anytime

+510

Nicolas Jackson (Chelsea)

First

+200

Anytime

+525

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

First

+235

Anytime

+575

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

First

+245

Anytime

+650

Noni Madueke (Chelsea)

First

+260

Anytime

+650

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

First

+285

Anytime

+700

Christopher Nkunku (Chelsea)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

First

+360

Anytime

+950

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

First

+390

Anytime

+1000

Tyrique George (Chelsea)

First

+420

Anytime

+1050

Joe Willock (Newcastle)

First

+460

Anytime

+1200

Jadon Sancho (Chelsea)

First

+540

Anytime

+1300

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Lewis Miley (Newcastle)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (Chelsea)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Marc Cucurella (Chelsea)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Fabian Schär (Newcastle)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Reece James (Chelsea)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Dan Burn (Newcastle)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Roméo Lavia (Chelsea)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Cole Palmer (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

+148

Callum Wilson (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

+125

Nicolas Jackson (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

+125

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+115

Noni Madueke (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

+110

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

-119

Christopher Nkunku (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-116

Under 0.5

-147

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-161

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-185

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-200

Alexander Isak (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

+118

Under 1.5

-200

Tyrique George (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-250

Jadon Sancho (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-313

Joe Willock (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-333

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-370

Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+255

Under 0.5

-588

Lewis Miley (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-667

Marc Cucurella (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-667

Reece James (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-714

Fabian Schär (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-833

Dan Burn (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-909

Alexander Isak (Newcastle)

Over 3.5

+108

Under 3.5

-

Cole Palmer (Chelsea)

Over 2.5

-167

Under 2.5

-

Nicolas Jackson (Chelsea)

Over 2.5

-133

Under 2.5

-

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

-127

Under 2.5

-

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

+118

Under 2.5

-

Noni Madueke (Chelsea)

Over 2.5

-115

Under 2.5

-

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

+163

Under 1.5

-

Tyrique George (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-102

Under 1.5

-

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

-

Christopher Nkunku (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

-

Joe Willock (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-

Lewis Miley (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-

Fabian Schär (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

-

Dan Burn (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-

Newcastle vs Chelsea Lineups & Team News

It’s great to get the latest lineups for the match, with injuries being flagged up thanks to our up-to-date Newcastle vs Chelsea team news.

We’ve got details of the Premier League squads so that you know every player on the roster.

Newcastle United Team Page Chelsea Team Page

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