Newcastle vs Crystal Palace Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Apr 2025

The Total Goals market is where we’ve found some value, especially as you can back Over 2.5 at odds of -138. Three goals or more look likely in the encounter between Newcastle and Crystal Palace, with the odds standing out.

Newcastle United were winners for the fourth straight time in their last game. Landing a 4-1 home victory against Manchester United at St James' Park. The Tyneside club had six shots on target and 47% possession, while Harvey Barnes bagged two, with Sandro Tonali and Bruno Guimaraes also scoring a goal.

Crystal Palace were beaten in their previous game and this was away from home at Etihad Stadium. Manchester City claimed a 5-2 win. Oliver Glasner's men had just 32% possession and recorded three shots on goal, while Eberechi Eze and Chris Richards were on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

When the teams last met, we saw Palace draw 1-1 at home to Newcastle at Selhurst Park. The past 10 H2H games have included three Newcastle wins, two Palace victories and five draws.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
9	Newcastle	20	8	5	7	28	24	4	28:24	29
14	Crystal Palace	20	7	6	7	22	23	-1	22:23	27

View Full Table

6 wins and 4 losses, averaging 1.9 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 11.9 attempts. Newcastle have had 47.0% possession, 401.4 passes and 4.8 corners per game. On average, the Magpies have conceded 1.8 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 12.2 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 5.5 corners.

Alexander Isak leads the way with 5 goals, Jacob Murphy has 4, with Harvey Barnes and two others on 3. Leading assistor is Jacob Murphy with 3, while goalkeeper Nick Pope has 2 clean sheets.

Palace have 6 victories, 3 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 4.6 shots on goal, 12.2 attempts and 1.8 goals. The South London team average 44.1% possession, 371.5 passes, 3.7 corners awarded and 4.8 corners against, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 11.8 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal.

The leading goalscorers have been Jean-Philippe Mateta on 7, Ismaila Sarr with 3 and Daniel Munoz 2. Eberechi Eze is top assists provider with 4, while Dean Henderson has kept 4 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Newcastle confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Nick Pope (GK), Kieran Trippier, Fabian Schaer, Daniel Burn, Valentino Livramento, Bruno Guimaraes, Sandro Tonali, Joelinton, Jacob Murphy, Alexander Isak, Harvey Barnes.

Crystal Palace confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Dean Henderson (GK), Chris Richards, Maxence Lacroix, Marc Guehi, Daniel Munoz, Will Hughes, Jefferson Lerma, Tyrick Mitchell, Ismaila Sarr, Eberechi Eze, Jean-Philippe Mateta.

Newcastle vs Crystal Palace Prediction & Betting Tips

There’s a strong argument for backing Over 2.5 Goals at attractive odds of -138 based on the information to hand. We’re expecting at least three goals to be scored in this Premier League clash.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and studying the form guide are important duties ahead of making football picks. We also place great emphasis on the stats and a data-led approach can be effective.

Key Newcastle vs Crystal Palace league stats:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in all of the last 5 Newcastle games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 9 of the last 10 Newcastle games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 9 Newcastle games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Palace games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 2 Palace games.

The bookies make it a 57.9% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 60-65%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

There are lots of betting alternatives and that includes the BTTS Yes option on the Both Teams to Score market. It’s a nice simple bet where you can land a return if both teams score at least one goal before the full-time whistle.

Our Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -138 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Newcastle 2 - 2 Crystal Palace

We’re taking a correct score bet which involves a 2-2 scoreline. The odds of +1150 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jean-Philippe Mateta Over 0.5 Shots On Target -164

Jean-Philippe Mateta (Palace) has finished with over 0.5 shots on goal in eight of his past nine Premier League matches. It certainly looks possible that he will cover the Shots on Target line and there are odds of -164 up for grabs.

Latest Jean-Philippe Mateta Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+200

First

+480

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-104

Shots

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

-

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Ismaïla Sarr to Score +390

Ismaïla Sarr (Palace) has scored three goals in his past five Premier League games. When it comes to him finding the net, we believe the +390 available is appealing when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Ismaïla Sarr Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+400

First

+1000

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-182

Shots

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Newcastle Under 5.5 Corners -110

Newcastle have been awarded an average of 3.80 corners in the past 5 games, while the corner count against Crystal Palace has been less than 5.5 in the last four matches. There’s the opportunity to go under the Newcastle Team Corners line and we’re expecting this to happen, with odds of -110 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Newcastle

Total

12.60 6.70 5.90

Home

13.20 7.80 5.40

Away

10.30 5.30 5.00

Crystal Palace

Total

8.40 4.10 4.30

Home

8.00 3.90 4.10

Away

9.90 3.40 6.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-128

Under 10.5

-111

Newcastle Corners

Over 6.5

-111

Under 6.5

-127

Crystal Palace Corners

Over 3.5

-154

Under 3.5

+108

Most Corners

1

-263

X

+650

2

+230

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Newcastle vs Crystal Palace Odds

The Newcastle United betting odds have been priced up by the bookies and they are -152 favourites to land victory in this Premier League encounter which means a 60% chance of winning. The market suggests that Crystal Palace are least likely to win at +400.

Over 2.5 Goals is trading at a shorter price than Under 2.5 Goals right now.

You can back Newcastle United at -370 on the Draw No Bet market, with money back if the game is a draw. Crystal Palace are +265 with the football betting sites to win this Premier League game.

Full-Time Result

1

-152

X

+300

2

+400

Half-Time Result

1

+116

X

+145

2

+360

Double Chance

1X

-556

12

-400

X2

+118

Draw No Bet

1

-370

2

+265

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-120

2 Hcp +0.75

-104

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+118

Over 2.5

-149

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-154

No

+115

Newcastle vs Crystal Palace Lineups & Team News

It’s good to know about any injuries and this is reflected in our Newcastle vs Palace team news, with this leading to predicted and confirmed lineups.

We’re on hand to provide you with full details of the latest Premier League squads.

Newcastle United Team Page Crystal Palace Team Page

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