Valencia vs Real Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 Jan 2025

We’re Expecting the Net to Bulge Several Times

There’s a strong case for goals to be scored when Valencia and Real Madrid lock horns. Therefore, we’re going to back Over 2.5 on the Total Goals market, especially at attractive odds of -138.

2-2 Draw in Previous H2H Meeting

Valencia drew their last game 2-2, with the action taking place at Estadio Mestalla against Deportivo Alavés. Los Che boasted 62% possession and had three shots on target, with Luis Rioja and Daniel Gomez scoring one goal apiece.

Real Madrid won their previous game which was at home. It was a 4-2 victory against Sevilla at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu. Carlo Ancelotti's side had eight shots on goal and recorded 60% possession, with Kylian Mbappe, Federico Valverde, Rodrygo and Brahim Diaz finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Estadio Mestalla played host to the last head-to-head when home team Valencia drew 2-2 with Real. Real have landed victory in six of the past 10 H2H games, with Valencia securing two wins along with two draws.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	8	2	6	8:2	12
15	Valencia	4	1	1	2	4	8	-4	4:8	4

View Full Table

1 win, 5 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 9.9 attempts. Valencia have had 50.6% possession, 411.1 passes and 5.5 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.6 goals from 2.9 shots on goal and 8.4 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 3.7 corners.

The four top scorers are Luis Rioja, Diego Lopez, Hugo Duro and Cesar Tarrega, with these players all scoring 2 goals. Diego Lopez, Enzo Barrenechea and Hugo Duro have the most assists with 1, while goalie Giorgi Mamardashvili has recorded 1 clean sheets.

Real have 7 victories, 2 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 12.7 attempts, 5.6 shots on goal and 2.4 goals. Los Merengues average 60.0% possession, 538.5 passes, 4.8 corners in their favour and 4.3 corners against, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 3.3 shots on goal and 9.7 attempts.

Jude Bellingham has scored 6 goals, followed by Kylian Mbappe and Vinicius Junior on 5. Arda Guler, Luka Modric and Jude Bellingham have clocked up 3 assists, with Thibaut Courtois keeping 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Valencia confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Stole Dimitrievski (GK), Dimitri Foulquier, Cesar Tarrega, Cristhian Mosquera, Yarek Gasiorowski, Diego Lopez, Javier Guerra, Enzo Barrenechea, Luis Rioja, Andre Almeida, Hugo Duro.

Real Madrid confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Thibaut Courtois (GK), Lucas Vazquez, Aurelien Tchouameni, Antonio Ruediger, Ferland Mendy, Daniel Ceballos, Federico Valverde, Rodrygo, Jude Bellingham, Vinicius Junior, Kylian Mbappe.

Valencia vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips

The two La Liga sides can combine to score three goals or more. We are therefore going to play Over 2.5 Goals at -138 in the expectation that we can land a solid return if our prediction is correct.

The football experts at Sportsgambler.com are aware of injuries that could affect the outcome along with the form guide. We also leave no stone unturned when it comes to presenting the latest stats.

Key Valencia vs Real Madrid league stats:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Valencia games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in all of the last 5 Real games on the road.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Real games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 5 Real games on the road.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 2 games between these teams.

Over 2.5 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 57.9% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 60-65%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

If you like the idea of Over 2.5 Goals but are in search of a bigger price, there’s the chance to give the Result & Total Goals market a go. This involves combining the above selection with a team to win.

Our Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -138 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Valencia 1 - 3 Real Madrid

An exciting bet could be a 3-1 victory in favor of Real Madrid at odds of +950. A correct score wager provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.

Corners Prediction

Real Madrid Under 5.5 Corners +110

Real Madrid have had under 5.5 corners in six consecutive away games, with Valencia conceding less than 5.5 corners in their past seven home matches. There’s a chance to go under the Real Madrid Team Corners line and we’re confident this will happen, with odds of +110 on offer.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Valencia

Total

9.20 5.50 3.70

Home

11.10 7.00 4.10

Away

8.40 4.30 4.10

Real Madrid

Total

9.10 4.80 4.30

Home

10.40 6.30 4.10

Away

8.80 4.10 4.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-125

Under 9.5

-112

Valencia Corners

Over 3.5

-110

Under 3.5

-125

Real Madrid Corners

Over 5.5

-125

Under 5.5

-110

Most Corners

1

+220

X

+600

2

-244

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Valencia vs Real Madrid Odds

At betting odds of -270 with the bookies, Real Madrid are regarded as 73% likely to win this La Liga encounter. Valencia are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and they can be backed at +750.

For those expecting a high-scoring game, Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest price.

Should you want to back Valencia to win this La Liga match, then there is +525 available on the Draw No Bet market, with Real Madrid chalked at -909.

Full-Time Result

1

+750

X

+370

2

-270

Half-Time Result

1

+510

X

+150

2

-111

Double Chance

1X

+190

12

-556

X2

-1429

Draw No Bet

1

+525

2

-909

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +1.25

-105

2 Hcp -1.25

-119

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+132

Over 2.5

-172

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-125

No

-111

Valencia vs Real Madrid Lineups & Team News

If you’re looking for Valencia vs Real team news, then we have predicted and confirmed lineups available along with details of any injuries on both sides.

We’ve got details of the La Liga squads so that you know every player on the roster.

Valencia Team Page Real Madrid Team Page