Vitória vs Farense Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 11 May 2025
We’re siding with survival-chasing Farense on the Asian Handicap +1 at -118, with a confident feeling that they can win or draw when going up against Vitória. There’s the bonus of a one-goal defeat meaning our stake is refunded.
Vitória de Guimarães have won two on the spin, triumphing 2-1 in their previous game. This was away from home against Nacional at Estadio da Madeira. Luis Freire's side enjoyed 54% possession and managed four shots on target, with Tiago Silva and Jesus Ramirez scoring one goal each.
Farense claimed a 2-1 home win over Famalicão at Estadio Sao Luis in their previous game. The Lions of Faro were 49% in the possession stakes and recorded six shots on goal, while Filipe Soares and Dario Poveda were on the scoresheet.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Vitória have not lost any of the past five games against Farense, with the last clash seeing a 2-2 draw played out at Estadio Sao Luis. The previous 5 H2H games have featured four draws and one Vitória victory.
| Primeira Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |  Vitória |
22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 25:31 | 31 |
Vitória have 7 wins, 1 loss and 2 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 13.3 attempts. The Guimarães outfit have averaged 56.7% possession, 464.1 passes and 6.4 corners per match, conceding 0.8 goals and 3.1 corners from 3.1 shots on goal and 10.0 attempts.
Top scorer Telmo Arcanjo has found the net 4 times, with Tiago Silva, Joao Mendes, Gustavo Silva and Gustavo Silva getting 2 goals each. Nuno Santos is the top assists maker on 2, with goalie Bruno Varela managing 5 clean sheets.
Farense have 2 victories, 5 defeats and 3 draws, averaging 13.0 attempts, 4.6 shots on goal and 0.9 goals. Toze Marreco's team average 43.9% possession, 300.8 passes, 6.4 corners in their favour and 4.4 corners against, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 3.5 shots on goal and 9.0 attempts.
Rui Costa is top of the team’s scoring charts with 2, while Filipe Soares, Dario Poveda, Rony Lopes and Tomas Ribeiro have 1. Claudio Falcao and Derick Poloni have had 2 assists in the previous 10 games, while Ricardo Velho has one clean sheet to his name.
Confirmed Lineups
Vitória confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Bruno Varela (GK), Maga, Toni Borevkovic, Filipe Relvas, Joao Mendes, Beni, Tomas Handel, Nuno Santos, Joao Mendes, Gustavo Silva, Jesus Ramirez.
Farense confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Kaique Pereira (GK), Paulo Victor, Marco Moreno, Lucas Africo, Pastor, Angelo Neto, Claudio Falcao, Samuel Justo, Rony Lopes, Rui Costa, Marco Matias.
Vitória vs Farense Prediction & Betting Tips
Farense look a great betting option on the Asian Handicap with a +1 goal advantage at -118. We think that the scoreline will be competitive in this Primeira Liga match, with the underdogs set for a draw or win.
Team news plays a valuable role and we’re always monitoring the players who have an injury concern. We’ve also got a handle on the form guide, with plenty of data provided which puts you in the picture in terms of stats.
Key Vitória vs Farense league stats:
When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 54.1% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this bet.
Bettors can choose between buying or selling goals depending on their attitude to risk. When you move the line in either direction, the odds change accordingly.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
1
Farense
There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing the two teams to draw 1-1. We can’t pass up the odds of +575 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.
Player Prop Picks
Rui Costa (Farense) has registered two goals in his past five Primeira Liga games away from home. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager at +310 which means we need to him to be on the scoresheet.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Vitória have had over 6.5 corners in eight straight home matches. The number of Vitória corners might be larger than the line implies and that means a bet at odds of -120.
Vitória
Farense
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve lined up a same-game multi including these picks: Farense on the Asian Handicap at +1, less than three goals as well as Rui Costa (Farense) to score at any time.
A football bet builder is a fantastic way of cheering on different selections within the same game. You can go through the available markets and cherry-pick the outcomes that you think will happen. The odds for each selection are then combined together.
Vitória vs Farense Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With a 65% chance of winning, Vitória de Guimarães are favourites to win this Primeira Liga match and they’re available at betting odds of -185 with the bookies. Farense are the +475 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.
The latest betting suggests it’s a close call between Over 2.5 Goals and Under 2.5 Goals.
The leading football betting sites allow customers to place a Bet Builder when it comes to Primeira Liga matches. Simply pick out the selections that you fancy and then combine them together on your bet slip.
Úmaro Embaló is the market leader at +410 to be the First Goalscorer. Should you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.
Vitória League Stats
Farense League Stats
- 7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 3 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 6.40 corners awarded and 3.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.50 corners awarded and 2.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 10 and least corners in 0 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.40 corners awarded and 4.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 6.40 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 56.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 58.10% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 10 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 43.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 36.40% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 0 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Vitória this season are Gustavo Silva (6), Telmo Arcanjo (5), Tiago Silva (5)
- Top Assistors for Vitória this season are Nelson Oliveira (4), Nuno Santos (4), Tiago Silva (4)
Vitória vs Farense Lineups & Team News
Our Vitória vs Farense team news will highlight the injuries for both squads, with the lineups giving you a helping hand with your bets.
We’ve got details of the Primeira Liga squads so that you know every player on the roster.
Vitória Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Farense Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Vitória Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Farense Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Vitória Substitutes
- 3Mikel Villanueva
- 5Marco Cruz
- 7Nelson Oliveira
- 21Vando Felix
- 22Hevertton Santos
- 27Charles
- 76Bruno Gaspar
- 86Dieu-Merci Michel
- 92Diogo Sousa
Farense Substitutes
- 4Artur Jorge
- 10Yusupha Njie
- 11Alex Bermejo
- 14Dario Poveda
- 22Miguel Carvalho
- 31Derick Poloni
- 34Raul Silva
- 70Rivaldo
- 88Rafael Teixeira
Previous Vitória Lineups
Previous Farense Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Vitória Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Luis Freire
Farense Player Stats & Squad
Primeira Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 21 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 42:7 | 56 |
| 2 | Sporting | 21 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 55:12 | 52 |
| 3 | Benfica | 22 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 46:13 | 52 |
| 4 | Braga | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 44:18 | 39 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 31:17 | 37 |
| 6 | Famalicão | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 27:20 | 32 |
| 7 | Vitória | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 25:31 | 31 |
| 8 | Estoril | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 43:35 | 30 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 27:29 | 30 |
| 10 | Alverca | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 22:37 | 25 |
| 11 | Estrela | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 26:39 | 23 |
| 12 | Arouca | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 28:49 | 23 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 25:41 | 22 |
| 14 | Nacional | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 27:30 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 22:41 | 20 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 17:28 | 17 |
| 17 | Tondela | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 15:36 | 15 |
| 18 | AVS | 21 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 15:54 | 5 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 20:3 | 26 |
| 2 | Sporting | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 32:4 | 25 |
| 3 | Benfica | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 25:8 | 25 |
| 4 | Vitória | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17:15 | 21 |
| 5 | Braga | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 22:7 | 20 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:7 | 20 |
| 7 | Estoril | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 23:16 | 19 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:13 | 19 |
| 9 | Famalicão | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:9 | 17 |
| 10 | Alverca | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 10:15 | 17 |
| 11 | Estrela | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | 13 |
| 12 | Arouca | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14:23 | 12 |
| 13 | Nacional | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:17 | 11 |
| 14 | Santa Clara | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:14 | 11 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 15:21 | 11 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 9 |
| 17 | Tondela | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7:14 | 7 |
| 18 | AVS | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7:23 | 3 |
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