Genoa vs AC Milan Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 17 May 2026

Serie A Betting Preview: Genoa vs AC Milan

Genoa go head-to-head with fourth-placed AC Milan at Stadio Luigi Ferraris, with kick-off set for 06:30 on Sunday 17 May.

Genoa +0.75 at -114 look like the best bet against Milan. We feel confident with this Asian Handicap prediction which means a split stake between +0.5 and +1.0, with a return expected.

Genoa faced Fiorentina away when last in action. It was a 0-0 draw at Stadio Artemio Franchi. Daniele De Rossi's team had 43% of possession and three shots on target.

With two matchdays remaining, the race for next season’s Champions League is wide open. Behind already-crowned champions Inter, three places remain available, with AC Milan, Napoli, Juventus Roma and Como all still in contention.

Milan have now suffered back-to-back league defeats, including a 3-2 home loss to Atalanta at San Siro in their most recent outing. I Rossoneri enjoyed 57% possession and recorded nine shots on goal, while Strahinja Pavlovic and Christopher Nkunku were on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Milan haven’t lost to Genoa in their past ten matches, with the last encounter ending 1-1 at San Siro. The 10 most recent H2H games have included six Milan victories along with four draws.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	AC Milan	37	20	10	7	52	33	19	52:33	70
14	Genoa	37	10	11	16	41	50	-9	41:50	41

View Full Table

Genoa have 4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.8 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 10.7 attempts. Il Grifone have averaged 47.9% possession, 386.3 passes and 3.6 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.1 goals from 3.6 shots on goal, 12.0 attempts and 4.7 corners.

Top goalscorer Vitinha has found the net 2 times, with Lorenzo Colombo, Jeff Ekhator, Caleb Ekuban and Ruslan Malinovsky scoring 1 each. Tommaso Baldanzi is the leading assists maker with 2, while goalie Justin Bijlow has 3 clean sheets.

Milan have 4 victories, 5 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 3.2 shots on goal, 12.0 attempts and 0.9 goals. Massimiliano Allegri's men average 52.4% possession, 483.2 passes, 3.5 corners taken and 3.9 corners against them, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 11.7 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal.

Strahinja Pavlovic got 3 goals, Adrien Rabiot notched 2, while Christopher Nkunku and two other players scored 1. Samuele Ricci, Rafael Leao and Christian Pulisic have all made 1 assists in the last 10 games, while Mike Maignan has 4 clean sheets.

Confirmed Lineups

Genoa confirmed lineup (4-3-2-1): Justin Bijlow (GK), Mikael Egill Ellertsson, Alessandro Marcandalli, Sebastian Otoa, Johan Vasquez, Morten Frendrup, Amorim, Ruslan Malinovsky, Tommaso Baldanzi, Vitinha, Lorenzo Colombo.

AC Milan confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Mike Maignan (GK), Fikayo Tomori, Matteo Gabbia, Strahinja Pavlovic, Zachary Athekame, Youssouf Fofana, Ardon Jashari, Adrien Rabiot, Davide Bartesaghi, Santiago Gimenez, Christopher Nkunku.

Genoa vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Genoa vs AC Milan preview includes expert betting advice on all fronts — from a match prediction and correct score guidance to corners advice, player prop selections and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

Genoa should prove to be competitive in this Serie A game. With this in mind, we’ll back the home team at odds of -114 on the Asian Handicap +0.75 feeling confident that they’ll land a return.

The football betting tips stem from knowing the team news and the latest form for each side. We work hard to unearth the most pertinent Serie A stats which can also act as a guide.

Key Genoa vs AC Milan league stats:

• The +0.75 line has been covered by Genoa in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +0.75 line has been covered by Genoa in 13 of their last 20 games.
• The +0.75 line has been covered by Genoa in 2 consecutive games.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Milan in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Milan in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Milan in 3 consecutive games.

According to the odds, there’s a 53.2% likelihood of our pick winning. After careful examination, our experts have this probability close to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

The Winning Margin market allows you to bet on Genoa to record victory by a certain number of goals. It’s a different wager and a viable alternative to Asian Handicap.

Thinking about placing a wager? Explore our updated guide filled with top betting offers, free bets, and promotions.

Our Match Prediction

Genoa Asian Hcp +0.75 @ -114 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 15, 12:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Genoa 1 - 1 Milan

Our prediction for the correct score is for the teams to play out a 1-1 draw and this is available at +575. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Vitinha Over 1.5 Shots -159

Vitinha (Genoa) has recorded over 1.5 shots in his past two Serie A matches. We think this could be a decisive stat and we’ll bet on him to cover the Player Shots line which is on offer at odds of -159.

Latest Vitinha Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+430

First

+1050

Shots

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

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Adrien Rabiot to Score +380

Adrien Rabiot (Milan) has racked up four goals in his past nine Serie A away games. He looks like a value bet to find the net and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of +380.

Latest Adrien Rabiot Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+400

First

+1000

Shots

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -152

Each of the previous nine Genoa matches have featured under 9.5 corners. If you agree with our verdict that the Total Corners line is too high, go for odds of -152 that the teams go under.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Genoa

Total

8.30 3.60 4.70

Home

7.80 3.70 4.10

Away

10.10 3.70 6.40

Milan

Total

7.40 3.50 3.90

Home

8.20 5.00 3.20

Away

8.40 3.60 4.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-135

Under 8.5

-104

Genoa Corners

Over 3.5

-133

Under 3.5

-106

Milan Corners

Over 4.5

-132

Under 4.5

-108

Most Corners

1

+155

X

+600

2

-147

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Genoa vs AC Milan Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The AC Milan betting odds are -139 which means that they’re favourites to land victory in this Serie A encounter. It’s also suggested by the bookies that this team have a 58% chance of winning. At +370, Genoa are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

Milan can be backed at +135 on the Half-Time Result and you’ll need them to have their noses in front by the break. Genoa can be chanced at +375 and the draw is +123.

The current odds reflect that there’s not much between Under 2.5 Goals and Over 2.5 Goals. On the Both Teams to Score market, there isn’t much between the BTTS Yes and No options in terms of price.

If you visit one of the recommended sports betting sites, it’s fantastic to access hundreds of markets for whichever Serie A match appeals. Scan through the choices and pick your football wager.

Full-Time Result

1

+370

X

+265

2

-139

Half-Time Result

1

+375

X

+123

2

+135

Double Chance

1X

+108

12

-370

X2

-556

Draw No Bet

1

+230

2

-370

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.75

-115

2 Hcp -0.75

-106

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-118

Over 2.5

-110

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-122

No

-109

There is +170 available that Rafael Leão finds the net at any stage. He is available at +440 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.

Rafael Leão (Milan)

First

+170

Anytime

+440

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

First

+190

Anytime

+480

Santiago Giménez (Milan)

First

+190

Anytime

+500

Christopher Nkunku (Milan)

First

+190

Anytime

+500

Niclas Füllkrug (Milan)

First

+200

Anytime

+525

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

First

+290

Anytime

+750

Lorenzo Colombo (Genoa)

First

+360

Anytime

+900

Jeff Ekhator (Genoa)

First

+370

Anytime

+950

Adrien Rabiot (Milan)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Vitinha (Genoa)

First

+430

Anytime

+1050

Youssouf Fofana (Milan)

First

+450

Anytime

+1150

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

First

+450

Anytime

+1150

Ruslan Malinovskyi (Genoa)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Caleb Ekuban (Genoa)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Luka Modric (Milan)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Junior Messias (Genoa)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Ardon Jashari (Milan)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Maxwel Cornet (Genoa)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Davide Bartesaghi (Milan)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Samuele Ricci (Milan)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Tommaso Baldanzi (Genoa)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Pervis Estupiñán (Milan)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Strahinja Pavlovic (Milan)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Zachary Athekame (Milan)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Koni De Winter (Milan)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-

Santiago Giménez (Milan)

Over 2.5

-116

Under 2.5

-

Christopher Nkunku (Milan)

Over 2.5

-127

Under 2.5

-

Niclas Füllkrug (Milan)

Over 2.5

+112

Under 2.5

-

Lorenzo Colombo (Genoa)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

Jeff Ekhator (Genoa)

Over 2.5

+133

Under 2.5

-

Maxwel Cornet (Genoa)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Caleb Ekuban (Genoa)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Ruslan Malinovskyi (Genoa)

Over 1.5

-109

Under 1.5

-

Youssouf Fofana (Milan)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Vitinha (Genoa)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

Adrien Rabiot (Milan)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

-

Luka Modric (Milan)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Ardon Jashari (Milan)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Davide Bartesaghi (Milan)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-

Samuele Ricci (Milan)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-

Tommaso Baldanzi (Genoa)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Stats: Serie A matches only
Genoa have managed five victories, four losses and one draw in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.60 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

Milan have racked up five wins, three defeats and two draws in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 0.80.

When the sides last met at Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Milan beat Genoa 2-1. The past 6 H2H games at Stadio Luigi Ferraris have included five Milan wins along with a single draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Genoa Home Stats		5-1-4	2.90	1.60	1.30	6	4	5	5
AC Milan Away Stats		5-2-3	2.10	1.30	0.80	3	7	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Genoa vs AC Milan Lineups & Team News

Make sure to look over the Genoa vs Milan team news before betting. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Serie A lineups along with the latest injury developments.

Genoa Team Page AC Milan Team Page

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