Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Picks & Odds | 24 Apr 2025

Florida Panthers (47-31-4, 20-19-2 Away) play Tampa Bay Lightning (47-27-8, 29-8-4 at Home) in this Stanley Cup Playoffs first round matchup at Amalie Arena. The Panthers lead the series 1-0.

We are going to bet against the Panthers with our prediction. The best way of doing this is by siding with the home team and we really like the -125 about the Lightning winning on the Moneyline.

Florida Panthers and Tampa Bay Lightning faced off at Amalie Arena two nights ago, with the Panthers triumphing 6-2.

The Panthers had 16 shots on goal. Matthew Tkachuk landed 3 points which includes 2 goals and 1 assist. The Lightning managed 22 shots on goal, with Brayden Point and Jake Guentzel scoring one goal each.

Head-to-Head Statistics

In the past 10 games between the teams, the Panthers have won seven.

Starting Goalies

Sergei Bobrovsky (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	19-14-1	3.1	.875	3
23/24	36-17-3	2.37	.915	6

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	22-7-3	2.1	.916	1
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

4 wins, 5 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 2.4 goals from 30.2 shots on goal, with a 21.2% powerplay efficiency. The Panthers have given up 2.7 goals from 24.0 shots, averaging 4.3 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 86.1%.

Sam Reinhart is the top points scorer with 7 points, 4 goals and 3 assists, with Carter Verhaeghe racking up 7 points, 3 goals and 4 assists, in the last 10 games. Goalie Sergei Bobrovsky have a 2.36 goal against average with a .896 save percentage.

The Lightning have 4 wins, 3 losses and 3 overtime losses, averaging 3.2 goals from 26.3 shots on goal, with a 21.1% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 2.9 goals from 26.9 shots, averaging 3.2 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 75.0%.

The top points scorer is Nikita Kucherov with 13 points, 4 goals and 9 assists, while Brayden Point is next best after registering 10 points, 5 goals and 5 assists. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 2.69 GAA with a .897 SV%.

Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction & Picks

Game Prediction

Take Tampa Bay Lightning at -125 on the Moneyline to get the better of their opponents. We believe that they have a strong chance of claiming a victory in this NHL clash.

The latest team news and current form are always useful information when it comes to providing hockey picks. It’s also important to pay attention to the available stats so that we can make the best NHL predictions.

Key Panthers vs Lightning stats:

• Lightning have won 18 of their last 25 games at home this season.
• Lightning have won 14 of their last 20 games at home.
• Panthers have lost 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Panthers have lost 4 of their last 5 games on the road.

Lightning Moneyline Probability

The sportsbooks make it a 55.6% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 60-65%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

If you want more juice from a wager on Tampa Bay, there are several alternatives including 3-Way Moneyline. Puck Line and Winning Margin provide even greater flexibility for bettors.

Our Game Prediction

Lightning Moneyline @ -125 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (20:43, 23 April 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jake Guentzel To Score +180

Jake Guentzel (Lightning) has scored in 3 straight games at home. We think this is the pick of the player props, with a generous +180 available when it comes to backing him to score at anytime.

Latest Jake Guentzel Player Prop Odds

Goals

Anytime

+175

First

+1000

Shots on Goal

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-143

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Panthers 3 - 5 Lightning

Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Tampa Bay Lightning are regarded as having a 55% chance of winning this game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -122. Florida Panthers are the underdogs at +102 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The puck line stands at 1.5 and the total goals line is 5.5. A Totals wager is always available and can often provide value selections. If you fancy Over 5.5, this outcome can be backed at -123.

There are a wide range of team props and game lines when it comes to wagering on the National Hockey League and we recommend visiting the leading betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the clash.

Moneyline

Panthers

+102

Lightning

-122

3-Way Moneyline

Panthers

+170

Tie

+310

Lightning

+128

Puck Line

Panthers +1.5

-250

Lightning -1.5

+198

Total Goals

Under 5.5

+102

Over 5.5

-123

Nikita Kucherov is the favorite to be First Goalscorer at +850. If you’re interested in backing him to find the net at anytime, then the price is +140.

Player Goals

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

First

+140

Anytime

+850

Brayden Point (Lightning)

First

+140

Anytime

+850

Sam Reinhart (Panthers)

First

+155

Anytime

+900

Matthew Tkachuk (Panthers)

First

+165

Anytime

+950

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

First

+175

Anytime

+1000

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

First

+190

Anytime

+1050

Aleksander Barkov (Panthers)

First

+235

Anytime

+1300

Sam Bennett (Panthers)

First

+275

Anytime

+1400

Carter Verhaeghe (Panthers)

First

+275

Anytime

+1400

Brad Marchand (Panthers)

First

+295

Anytime

+1500

Mackie Samoskevich (Panthers)

First

+295

Anytime

+1500

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

First

+310

Anytime

+1600

Yanni Gourde (Lightning)

First

+330

Anytime

+1700

Nick Paul (Lightning)

First

+360

Anytime

+1800

Anton Lundell (Panthers)

First

+390

Anytime

+1900

Eetu Luostarinen (Panthers)

First

+460

Anytime

+2200

Evan Rodrigues (Panthers)

First

+460

Anytime

+2200

Jesper Boqvist (Panthers)

First

+500

Anytime

+2200

Player Shots

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

Over 2.5

-175

Under 2.5

+135

Brayden Point (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+150

Under 2.5

-200

Sam Reinhart (Panthers)

Over 2.5

+105

Under 2.5

-139

Matthew Tkachuk (Panthers)

Over 2.5

-135

Under 2.5

+104

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-143

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-175

Sam Bennett (Panthers)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-169

Carter Verhaeghe (Panthers)

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-152

Aleksander Barkov (Panthers)

Over 1.5

-192

Under 1.5

+145

Brad Marchand (Panthers)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

+140

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-122

Nick Paul (Lightning)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-130

Anton Lundell (Panthers)

Over 1.5

-110

Under 1.5

-118

Micro betting is an exciting way to wager on the NHL. There are a huge range of live lines and it’s a simple case of predicting what is going to happen next. Next Goal, Next Goalscorer and several 10 Minute lines are among the options.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Florida Panthers Stats

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.00 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.60 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 5.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.60 goals and allowed 3.40 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.40 pts and allowed 3.20 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.80 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 5.30 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 5.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.50 goals and allowed 2.30 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 2.80 goals and allowed 2.50 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.3
• Shots: 30.5
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 7.1
• Blocks: 16.6
• Faceoff Wins : 26.4
• Hits: 24.7
• Giveaways: 14.2
• Takeaways: 5.4

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 26.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4.9
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 11
• Blocks: 13.7
• Faceoff Wins : 27.9
• Hits: 23.9
• Giveaways: 15
• Takeaways: 4.6

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 31.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.9
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 10.3
• Blocks: 16.8
• Faceoff Wins : 25.7
• Hits: 17.7
• Giveaways: 13.2
• Takeaways: 4.5

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 29.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 11.3
• Blocks: 13.5
• Faceoff Wins : 24.9
• Hits: 19.4
• Giveaways: 14.7
• Takeaways: 4.7

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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