Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Jan 2025

The Penguins should have the edge over the Senators and our prediction is to side with them on the Moneyline. There is a tempting -110 should you wish to follow suit.

Ottawa Senators have lost in their previous four outings. In a recent home game at Canadian Tire Centre, they were turned over 4-0 by Buffalo Sabres. Sens won the shots on goal battle, 35-21.

Pittsburgh Penguins were winners last time out. It was a 5-3 home victory against Edmonton Oilers at PPG PAINTS Arena. There were five different goalscorers including Bryan Rust. Goalie Alex Nedeljkovic made 40 saves (.930).

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two teams last met at Canadian Tire Centre, with the Sens claiming the win. Beating the Penguins by a 3-2 scoreline. The Sens have enjoyed five consecutive victories against the Penguins. They’ve landed 7 wins from the past 10 head-to-head meetings.

Starting Goalies

Leevi Merilainen (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	3-3-0	3.4	.874	0

Alex Nedeljkovic (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	3-5-2	3.2	.893	0
23/24	18-7-7	2.97	.902	1

4 wins, 5 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 2.1 goals from 27.2 shots on goal, with a 11.8% powerplay efficiency. The Sens have given up 2.9 goals from 26.6 shots, averaging 3.9 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 84.6%.

Brady Tkachuk is the top points scorer with 6 points, 3 goals and 3 assists, with Jake Sanderson racking up 6 points, 1 goal and 5 assists, in the past 10 games. Goalie Leevi Merilaeinen have a 3.10 goal against average with a .884 save percentage.

The Penguins have 4 wins, 3 losses and 3 overtime losses, averaging 3.3 goals from 24.4 shots on goal, with a 37.5% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 3.4 goals from 30.6 shots, averaging 2.8 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 75.0%.

The top points scorer is Sidney Crosby with 16 points, 4 goals and 12 assists, while Rickard Rakell is next best after having 12 points, 7 goals and 5 assists. Goalie Tristan Jarry have a 2.95 GAA with a .897 SV%.

Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction & Picks

Game Prediction

There are lots of reasons to support the pick that Pittsburgh Penguins will win this NHL encounter. Therefore, we’re heading to the Moneyline where you can get -110.

The team of expert hockey handicappers at Sportsgambler.com are right across the latest injuries and the form guide also informs our NHL picks. This data is combined with the latest team, player and goalie stats.

Key Senators vs Penguins stats:

• Penguins have won 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• Penguins have won 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• Senators have lost 4 of their last 5 games.
• Senators have lost 6 of their last 10 games.
• Senators have lost their last 4 games.

Penguins Moneyline Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of landing a return. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this hockey wager.

We’d recommend checking out the Puck Line, 3-Way Moneyline and Match Winner & Total Goals lines if you’re interested in siding with Pittsburgh but want bigger odds.

Our Game Prediction

Penguins Moneyline @ -110 Bet Now

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Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Rickard Rakell To Score +185

Rickard Rakell (Penguins) has scored at least one goal in 4 of the past 5 games at home. There are odds of +185 available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for the player to find the net.

Latest Rickard Rakell Player Prop Odds

Goals

Anytime

+190

First

+1050

Shots on Goal

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-149

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Senators 1 - 3 Penguins

There are betting odds of +1900 that the Penguins land a 3-1 victory. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Senators

Penguins

1-0

Senators

+5000

Penguins

+5000

2-0

Senators

+5000

Penguins

+5000

2-1

Senators

+1400

Penguins

+1400

3-0

Senators

+3300

Penguins

+3000

3-1

Senators

+2000

Penguins

+1900

3-2

Senators

+850

Penguins

+850

4-0

Senators

+4000

Penguins

+4000

4-1

Senators

+1600

Penguins

+1500

4-2

Senators

+1600

Penguins

+1600

4-3

Senators

+1000

Penguins

+1000

5-0

Senators

+7500

Penguins

+7500

5-1

Senators

+2500

Penguins

+2500

5-2

Senators

+1700

Penguins

+1700

5-3

Senators

+2400

Penguins

+2400

5-4

Senators

+2000

Penguins

+2000

6-0

Senators

+11000

Penguins

+11000

6-1

Senators

+6000

Penguins

+6000

6-2

Senators

+3300

Penguins

+3300

6-3

Senators

+2900

Penguins

+3000

6-4

Senators

+5000

Penguins

+5000

6-5

Senators

+5000

Penguins

+5000

7-1

Senators

+10000

Penguins

+11000

7-2

Senators

+8000

Penguins

+9000

7-3

Senators

+6000

Penguins

+6000

7-4

Senators

+6600

Penguins

+6600

7-5

Senators

+11000

Penguins

+11000

7-6

Senators

+12000

Penguins

+12000

8-2

Senators

+14000

Penguins

+14000

8-3

Senators

+14000

Penguins

+14000

8-4

Senators

+12000

Penguins

+12000

8-5

Senators

+14000

Penguins

+14000

View More

Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

This could be a close-run game according to the sportsbooks. Pittsburgh Penguins are trading at -110 and the same Moneyline odds are available for Ottawa Senators. It’s down to the bettors to decide which is a more attractive proposition.

The puck line is 1.5 and the total goals line is 5.5. A wager on Totals allows bettors to use the latest NHL data to good effect. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 5.5 at -137.

The Penguins have been made favorites to light the lamp first, with odds of -120 available. There’s the alternative of backing the Sens to open the scoring at -120.

National Hockey League bettors are spoilt for choice thanks to the hundreds of game lines and team props which are available for every clash on the coupon. Head to the betting sites and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

Senators

-110

Penguins

-110

3-Way Moneyline

Senators

+148

Tie

+310

Penguins

+148

Puck Line

Senators -1.5

+225

Penguins +1.5

-286

Total Goals

Under 5.5

+114

Over 5.5

-137

Favorite Brady Tkachuk is now available at +850 to be the First Goalscorer. You will find similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.

Player Goals

Brady Tkachuk (Senators)

First

+140

Anytime

+850

Sidney Crosby (Penguins)

First

+160

Anytime

+950

Tim Stützle (Senators)

First

+180

Anytime

+1000

Rickard Rakell (Penguins)

First

+190

Anytime

+1050

Drake Batherson (Senators)

First

+200

Anytime

+1100

Bryan Rust (Penguins)

First

+200

Anytime

+1100

Michael Bunting (Penguins)

First

+250

Anytime

+1300

Evgeni Malkin (Penguins)

First

+250

Anytime

+1300

Josh Norris (Senators)

First

+250

Anytime

+1300

Ridly Greig (Senators)

First

+280

Anytime

+1400

Claude Giroux (Senators)

First

+280

Anytime

+1400

Shane Pinto (Senators)

First

+340

Anytime

+1700

Michael Amadio (Senators)

First

+370

Anytime

+1800

Anthony Beauvillier (Penguins)

First

+370

Anytime

+1800

Adam Gaudette (Senators)

First

+400

Anytime

+1900

Drew O'Connor (Penguins)

First

+400

Anytime

+1900

Nick Cousins (Senators)

First

+400

Anytime

+1900

Blake Lizotte (Penguins)

First

+440

Anytime

+2000

Kevin Hayes (Penguins)

First

+440

Anytime

+2000

Sam Poulin (Penguins)

First

+440

Anytime

+2000

Noah Gregor (Senators)

First

+480

Anytime

+2200

Thomas Chabot (Senators)

First

+480

Anytime

+2200

Jake Sanderson (Senators)

First

+480

Anytime

+2200

Player Shots

Brady Tkachuk (Senators)

Over 3.5

-130

Under 3.5

-100

Sidney Crosby (Penguins)

Over 2.5

-149

Under 2.5

+115

Tim Stützle (Senators)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-192

Rickard Rakell (Penguins)

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-149

Drake Batherson (Senators)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-192

Bryan Rust (Penguins)

Over 2.5

-125

Under 2.5

-103

Jake Sanderson (Senators)

Over 2.5

+150

Under 2.5

-200

Claude Giroux (Senators)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

+110

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some bettors prefer to look at the NHL micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term wagers and this might include the Next Goalscorer or Next Goal.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Ottawa Senators Stats

Pittsburgh Penguins Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.20 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.70 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.30 goals and allowed 2.90 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.10 pts and allowed 3.60 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.00 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 8.20 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.30 goals and allowed 3.70 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 4.10 goals and allowed 4.10 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 25.5
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 6.8
• Blocks: 14.4
• Faceoff Wins : 31.7
• Hits: 26.4
• Giveaways: 12.2
• Takeaways: 4.9

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 27.5
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 7.5
• Blocks: 13.9
• Faceoff Wins : 31
• Hits: 22.3
• Giveaways: 13.6
• Takeaways: 5

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 22.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 8.4
• Blocks: 12.8
• Faceoff Wins : 31.7
• Hits: 23.8
• Giveaways: 16.2
• Takeaways: 4.9

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 28.2
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 2.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 5.3
• Blocks: 15.2
• Faceoff Wins : 31.1
• Hits: 21.1
• Giveaways: 18.4
• Takeaways: 4.9

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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