Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings Prediction, Picks & Odds | 25 Jan 2025

We’re Backing Red Wings To Win

The prediction is that the Red Wings will outscore the Lightning, with +107 currently available on the Moneyline. That looks a price worth taking on this value selection.

Lightning Beat Red Wings in Pair’s Previous Clash

Tampa Bay Lightning triumphed in their previous game. It was on the road where Chicago Blackhawks were beaten 4-3 (OT) at United Center. Nikita Kucherov was on target along with three of his teammates.

Detroit Red Wings were winners last time out. It was a 4-2 home victory against Montreal Canadiens at Little Caesars Arena. There were four different goalscorers including Dylan Larkin. Goalie Cam Talbot made a total of 27 saves (.931).

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Lightning won the last encounter between the pair. Enjoying a 5-1 triumph when facing the Red Wings at Amalie Arena. The past 10 H2H games have seen the Red Wings land six wins.

Starting Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	3-3-2	2.6	.899	0
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

Cam Talbot (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	4-1-0	3	.897	0
23/24	27-20-4	2.5	.913	3

6 wins, 3 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.3 goals from 31.5 shots on goal, with a 24.4% powerplay efficiency. The Lightning have been giving up 2.9 goals from 28.2 shots, averaging 3.5 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 85.7%.

Nikita Kucherov is the top points scorer with 18 points, 6 goals and 12 assists, with Victor Hedman racking up 11 points, 2 goals and 9 assists, over the past 10 games. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 2.40 goal against average with a .917 save percentage.

The Red Wings have 6 wins, 3 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.3 goals from 30.7 shots on goal, with a 35.1% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 3.0 goals from 27.3 shots, averaging 2.1 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 71.4%.

The top points scorer is Dylan Larkin with 14 points, 7 goals and 7 assists, while Lucas Raymond is next best after having 14 points, 4 goals and 10 assists. Goalie Cam Talbot have a 2.98 GAA with a .899 SV%.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings Prediction & Picks

Game Prediction

For this NHL encounter, our best pick is the home team to win against inferior opposition and we think that the +107 represents an attractive bet on the Moneyline.

We use the latest injury information to come up with the best possible NHL picks. You will also see that we take a stats-led approach by considering the key team, player and goalie numbers.

Key Lightning vs Red Wings stats:

• Red Wings have won 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• Red Wings have won 6 of their last 10 games.
• Lightning have lost 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Lightning have lost 12 of their last 20 games on the road.
• Red Wings have won 6 of their last 10 games against Lightning.

Red Wings Moneyline Probability

The sportsbooks make it a 48.3% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

There are many options to simply backing Detroit to win and perhaps Winning Margin could be the way to go. We also recommend the 3-Way Moneyline and Puck Line.

Best Bet

Red Wings Moneyline @ +107 Bet Now

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Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Lucas Raymond Over 1.5 Shots -192

Lucas Raymond (Red Wings) has fired Over 1.5 shots on goal in 6 straight games. We’re anticipating that he is able to perform well and cover the line, with odds of -192 currently available.

Latest Lucas Raymond Player Prop Odds

Goals

Anytime

+210

First

+1150

Shots on Goal

Over 1.5

-192

Under 1.5

+145

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Lightning 1 - 4 Red Wings

The Red Wings are available at +1700 when it comes to them winning 4-1. We like a correct score play and the chance to bag a nice return if our prediction is right.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Lightning

Red Wings

1-0

Lightning

+5500

Red Wings

+5500

2-0

Lightning

+5000

Red Wings

+5500

2-1

Lightning

+1400

Red Wings

+1500

3-0

Lightning

+3000

Red Wings

+3500

3-1

Lightning

+1900

Red Wings

+2200

3-2

Lightning

+850

Red Wings

+900

4-0

Lightning

+3500

Red Wings

+4500

4-1

Lightning

+1400

Red Wings

+1700

4-2

Lightning

+1500

Red Wings

+1800

4-3

Lightning

+1000

Red Wings

+1100

5-0

Lightning

+6000

Red Wings

+8000

5-1

Lightning

+2200

Red Wings

+2900

5-2

Lightning

+1500

Red Wings

+1800

5-3

Lightning

+2200

Red Wings

+2500

5-4

Lightning

+1900

Red Wings

+2000

6-0

Lightning

+9000

Red Wings

+12500

6-1

Lightning

+5000

Red Wings

+7000

6-2

Lightning

+2800

Red Wings

+3500

6-3

Lightning

+2500

Red Wings

+3300

6-4

Lightning

+4500

Red Wings

+5000

6-5

Lightning

+4500

Red Wings

+5000

7-1

Lightning

+8000

Red Wings

+12000

7-2

Lightning

+7000

Red Wings

+10000

7-3

Lightning

+5000

Red Wings

+6600

7-4

Lightning

+6000

Red Wings

+7000

7-5

Lightning

+10000

Red Wings

+11000

7-6

Lightning

+11000

Red Wings

+12000

8-2

Lightning

+12000

Red Wings

+14000

8-3

Lightning

+12000

Red Wings

+14000

8-4

Lightning

+10000

Red Wings

+12500

8-5

Lightning

+13000

Red Wings

+15000

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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Close Encounter in the Eyes of the Books

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Tampa Bay Lightning as -141 favorites for this game, implying that they are 58% likely to win. The market suggests that Detroit Red Wings are least likely to win at +116.

The puck line is 1.5, with the total goals line at 6.5. The Totals offers NHL bettors an alternative way of getting involved. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 6.5 at +106.

Wagering on Race to 3 Goals allows bettors to back favorites Lightning at -100. If you’re not sure that either team can make that total, there’s the chance to secure odds of +425.

Consider every angle when placing your National Hockey League bets. The betting sites have hundreds of team props and game lines and it’s all about finding a selection which matches your prediction of the game.

Moneyline

Lightning

-141

Red Wings

+116

3-Way Moneyline

Lightning

+118

Tie

+330

Red Wings

+175

Puck Line

Lightning -1.5

+172

Red Wings +1.5

-213

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-130

Over 6.5

+106

Nikita Kucherov Favorite to Light the Lamp First

You will find Nikita Kucherov at +700 to be First Goalscorer which makes him the favorite. There’s the chance to get +114 that he finds the net at anytime.

Player Goals

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

First

+114

Anytime

+700

Brayden Point (Lightning)

First

+133

Anytime

+800

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

First

+155

Anytime

+900

Dylan Larkin (Red Wings)

First

+160

Anytime

+950

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

First

+185

Anytime

+1050

Alex DeBrincat (Red Wings)

First

+190

Anytime

+1100

Lucas Raymond (Red Wings)

First

+210

Anytime

+1150

Patrick Kane (Red Wings)

First

+230

Anytime

+1300

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

First

+230

Anytime

+1300

Vladimir Tarasenko (Red Wings)

First

+310

Anytime

+1600

Nick Paul (Lightning)

First

+320

Anytime

+1600

Conor Geekie (Lightning)

First

+320

Anytime

+1600

Jonatan Berggren (Red Wings)

First

+360

Anytime

+1800

Marco Kasper (Red Wings)

First

+360

Anytime

+1800

Joe Veleno (Red Wings)

First

+390

Anytime

+1900

Michael Rasmussen (Red Wings)

First

+390

Anytime

+1900

JT Compher (Red Wings)

First

+390

Anytime

+1900

Michael Eyssimont (Lightning)

First

+410

Anytime

+2000

Cam Atkinson (Lightning)

First

+410

Anytime

+2000

Gage Goncalves (Lightning)

First

+410

Anytime

+2000

Andrew Copp (Red Wings)

First

+460

Anytime

+2200

Player Shots

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-156

Brayden Point (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-169

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-143

Dylan Larkin (Red Wings)

Over 2.5

-167

Under 2.5

+128

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-143

Alex DeBrincat (Red Wings)

Over 2.5

-110

Under 2.5

-118

Lucas Raymond (Red Wings)

Over 1.5

-192

Under 1.5

+145

Vladimir Tarasenko (Red Wings)

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

+120

Micro Betting

There are always opportunities to enjoy NHL micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find team and player props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as the Next Goal or Next Goalscorer.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Detroit Red Wings Stats

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 1 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.40 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.30 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.50 goals and allowed 3.90 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.70 pts and allowed 2.60 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.60 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.40 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.40 goals and allowed 3.20 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.90 goals and allowed 2.50 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 22.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 11.1
• Blocks: 13.5
• Faceoff Wins : 26.2
• Hits: 25
• Giveaways: 15.5
• Takeaways: 4.5

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 25.1
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.2
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 9.8
• Blocks: 13.9
• Faceoff Wins : 26.2
• Hits: 17
• Giveaways: 14.1
• Takeaways: 4.4

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 28.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 2.3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.6
• Penalty Minutes: 4.6
• Blocks: 14.7
• Faceoff Wins : 26.3
• Hits: 20
• Giveaways: 15
• Takeaways: 5

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 1
• Shots: 28.5
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.6
• Penalty Minutes: 13
• Blocks: 13
• Faceoff Wins : 25.6
• Hits: 22
• Giveaways: 15.8
• Takeaways: 5.1

Team News

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
59	Jake Guentzel	4	21.45	1	4	5	-1
21	Brayden Point	4	19.53	2	3	5	-5
71	Anthony Cirelli	4	18.75	2	1	3	-1

43	Darren Raddysh	2	17.6	1	2	3	-3
24	Maxwell Crozier	4	13.13	0	3	3	2
93	Gage Goncalves	4	12.73	0	3	3	1
77	Victor Hedman	4	24.83	0	3	3	-1
86	Nikita Kucherov	4	20.48	2	1	3	-8
22	Oliver Bjorkstrand	4	14	1	2	3	1
37	Yanni Gourde	4	16.23	2	0	2	0
27	Ryan McDonagh	4	21.7	1	1	2	0
29	Pontus Holmberg	4	12.1	1	1	2	2
38	Brandon Hagel	4	18.53	0	1	1	-2
90	Janis Jerome Moser	2	24.9	0	1	1	-1
78	Emil Lilleberg	4	16.03	0	0	0	-2
81	Erik Cernak	4	19.53	0	0	0	-1
14	Conor Geekie	4	8.43	0	0	0	0
41	Mitchell Chaffee	4	9.33	0	0	0	0
	Curtis Douglas	3	5.63	0	0	0	0
62	Jack Finley	1	9.1	0	0	0	0

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
31	Jonas Johansson	1	3.02	0.909
88	Andrei Vasilevskiy	3	4.08	0.867

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Detroit Red Wings Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
93	Alex DeBrincat	4	18.43	0	6	6	0
88	Patrick Kane	4	17.13	2	3	5	-2
71	Dylan Larkin	4	19.73	2	3	5	4

23	Lucas Raymond	3	15.5	2	1	3	3
22	Mason Appleton	4	13.95	3	0	3	1
18	Andrew Copp	4	15.43	1	1	2	-1
58	Emmitt Finnie	4	14.03	0	2	2	4
27	Michael Rasmussen	4	10.95	1	1	2	0
53	Moritz Seider	4	25.7	0	2	2	1
92	Marco Kasper	4	15.15	1	0	1	-2
21	James van Riemsdyk	2	11.7	1	0	1	1
20	Albert Johansson	4	13.6	0	1	1	2
77	Simon Edvinsson	4	21.45	1	0	1	-1
8	Ben Chiarot	4	21.68	0	1	1	0
28	Michael Brandsegg-Nygaard	4	13.63	0	0	0	-3
	Axel Sandin Pellikka	4	20.73	0	0	0	-3
37	J.T. Compher	4	17.15	0	0	0	-1
24	Jacob Bernard-Docker	3	11.13	0	0	0	4
85	Elmer Soederblom	2	10	0	0	0	-2
23	Travis Hamonic	1	13.6	0	0	0	-3
48	Jonatan Berggren	1	8.8	0	0	0	-1

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
39	Cam Talbot	4	1.78	0.932
36	John Gibson	1	8.06	0.615

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups