Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction, Picks & Odds | 13 Mar 2025

Back Lightning to Beat Flyers

There’s a strong case that the Lightning triumph in regulation time and that means betting them on the 3-Way Moneyline. You can get a value -105 that the road team prove too strong for the Flyers.

Lightning Are 7 From 10 on the Head-to-Head

Tampa Bay Lightning have now lost back-to-back games. On the road in their previous appearance, Carolina Hurricanes won 4-1 at Lenovo Center. Gage Goncalves was the solitary scorer after Lightning registered 24 shots.

Philadelphia Flyers have lost their last five games, most recently suffering a 5-2 home defeat to Ottawa Senators at Wells Fargo Center. Jamie Drysdale and Rodrigo Abols each scored one goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Flyers beat the Lightning in their last head-to-head encounter. It was a 2-1 scoreline at Amalie Arena. We’ve seen seven the Lightning wins in the past 10 meetings between the teams.

Starting Goalies

Jonas Johansson (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	3-1-0	2.8	.916	0
23/24	12-7-5	3.37	.890	2

Samuel Ersson (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	2-1-1	3.1	.876	0
23/24	23-19-7	2.82	.890	4

7 wins and 3 losses, averaging 3.3 goals from 26.6 shots on goal, with a 18.2% powerplay efficiency. The Lightning have been giving up 2.3 goals from 29.6 shots, averaging 3.3 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 87.9%.

Jake Guentzel is the top points scorer with 11 points, 5 goals and 6 assists, with Brandon Hagel racking up 11 points, 4 goals and 7 assists, in the last 10 games. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 2.23 goal against average with a .923 save percentage, including one shutout.

The Flyers have 4 wins, 5 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 2.8 goals from 28.0 shots on goal, with a 8.7% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 3.4 goals from 27.0 shots, averaging 1.9 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 79.0%.

The top points scorer is Matvei Michkov with 11 points, 4 goals and 7 assists, while Noah Cates is next best after registering 6 points, 4 goals and 2 assists. Goalie Samuel Ersson have a 3.57 GAA with a .866 SV%.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction & Picks

Game Prediction

There is merit in simply backing Tampa Bay Lightning to beat their opponents in regulation time when it comes to this NHL clash. Especially as odds of -105 are available for this value pick.

The form is always taken into consideration and it’s great to combine this with team news as it becomes available. In order to provide an expert NHL verdict, the latest player and goalie stats are analysed so that we have the best information.

Key Lightning vs Flyers stats:

• Lightning have won 7 of their last 10 games.
• Lightning have won 30 of their last 50 games this season.
• Flyers have lost 5 of their last 5 games.
• Flyers have lost 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• Flyers have lost their last 5 games.
• Flyers have lost 7 of their last 10 games against Lightning.

Lightning 3-Way Moneyline Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 51.3% chance of winning. However, our analysts think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this hockey wager.

Tampa Bay are available at a range of odds on the Puck Line. If you are looking for more juice, then consider this betting option and choose the right wager for you.

Best Bet

Lightning 3-Way Moneyline @ -105 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Matvei Michkov Over 1.5 Shots -179

Matvei Michkov (Flyers) has covered the 1.5 shots on goal total in 9 of the past 10 games. The stats suggest that he can oblige with our Overs wager and we’re more than happy to take the -179 available.

Latest Matvei Michkov Player Prop Odds

Goals

Anytime

+240

First

+1300

Shots on Goal

Over 1.5

-200

Under 1.5

+155

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Lightning 5 - 2 Flyers

We’ve picked out a correct score of 5-2 being landed by the Lightning. You can secure odds of +1400 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Lightning

Flyers

1-0

Lightning

+5000

Flyers

+5500

2-0

Lightning

+4000

Flyers

+5000

2-1

Lightning

+1300

Flyers

+1500

3-0

Lightning

+2500

Flyers

+4000

3-1

Lightning

+1600

Flyers

+2000

3-2

Lightning

+800

Flyers

+950

4-0

Lightning

+3000

Flyers

+5000

4-1

Lightning

+1300

Flyers

+2000

4-2

Lightning

+1300

Flyers

+1800

4-3

Lightning

+1000

Flyers

+1150

5-0

Lightning

+5000

Flyers

+10000

5-1

Lightning

+1900

Flyers

+3500

5-2

Lightning

+1400

Flyers

+2200

5-3

Lightning

+2000

Flyers

+2800

5-4

Lightning

+2000

Flyers

+2200

6-0

Lightning

+8000

Flyers

+14000

6-1

Lightning

+4000

Flyers

+8000

6-2

Lightning

+2500

Flyers

+4500

6-3

Lightning

+2500

Flyers

+4000

6-4

Lightning

+4500

Flyers

+5500

6-5

Lightning

+5000

Flyers

+5500

7-1

Lightning

+7000

Flyers

+14000

7-2

Lightning

+6000

Flyers

+11000

7-3

Lightning

+5000

Flyers

+8000

7-4

Lightning

+6000

Flyers

+8000

7-5

Lightning

+10000

Flyers

+12500

7-6

Lightning

+12000

Flyers

+13000

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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Anticipating a Close Contest

Tampa Bay Lightning are -164 favorites and that means a 62% chance of winning this game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. For those wanting to back Philadelphia Flyers, you will find +135 about the underdogs.

The puck line stands at 1.5 and the total goals line is 6. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on Totals. If you fancy Over 6, this outcome can be backed at -105.

There are odds of -135 for the Lightning to open the scoring and that makes them favorites. Opponents Flyers are -105 to light the lamp first instead.

There are a wide range of team props and game lines when it comes to wagering on the National Hockey League and we recommend visiting the leading betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the clash.

Moneyline

Lightning

-164

Flyers

+135

3-Way Moneyline

Lightning

-103

Tie

+340

Flyers

+215

Puck Line

Lightning -1.5

+150

Flyers +1.5

-185

Total Goals

Under 6

-115

Over 6

-105

Brayden Point Favorite to Light the Lamp First

Favorite Brayden Point is now available at +800 to be the First Goalscorer. You will find similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.

Player Goals

Brayden Point (Lightning)

First

+130

Anytime

+800

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

First

+130

Anytime

+800

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

First

+163

Anytime

+950

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

First

+180

Anytime

+1000

Travis Konecny (Flyers)

First

+200

Anytime

+1100

Owen Tippett (Flyers)

First

+230

Anytime

+1200

Matvei Michkov (Flyers)

First

+240

Anytime

+1300

Tyson Foerster (Flyers)

First

+285

Anytime

+1500

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

First

+290

Anytime

+1500

Nick Paul (Lightning)

First

+310

Anytime

+1600

Oliver Björkstrand (Lightning)

First

+335

Anytime

+1700

Noah Cates (Flyers)

First

+340

Anytime

+1700

Sean Couturier (Flyers)

First

+340

Anytime

+1700

Bobby Brink (Flyers)

First

+360

Anytime

+1800

Jakob Pelletier (Flyers)

First

+420

Anytime

+2000

Mitchell Chaffee (Lightning)

First

+440

Anytime

+2000

Yanni Gourde (Lightning)

First

+440

Anytime

+2000

Ryan Poehling (Flyers)

First

+450

Anytime

+2200

Gage Goncalves (Lightning)

First

+480

Anytime

+2200

Conor Sheary (Lightning)

First

+480

Anytime

+2200

Player Shots

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-156

Brayden Point (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-185

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-185

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-169

Travis Konecny (Flyers)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-143

Owen Tippett (Flyers)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-143

Matvei Michkov (Flyers)

Over 1.5

-200

Under 1.5

+155

Sean Couturier (Flyers)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

+115

Micro Betting

For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, then NHL micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to bet on the Next Goal, Next Goalscorer and what will happen within the next 10 minutes.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Philadelphia Flyers Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.60 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.90 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 5.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.30 goals and allowed 2.30 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.70 pts and allowed 3.20 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.30 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.10 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 5.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.90 goals and allowed 3.40 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 2.60 goals and allowed 3.50 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 26.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.5
• Penalty Minutes: 7.7
• Blocks: 14.4
• Faceoff Wins : 29.6
• Hits: 19.2
• Giveaways: 14
• Takeaways: 3.9

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 28.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 7.4
• Blocks: 12.6
• Faceoff Wins : 29.2
• Hits: 19.8
• Giveaways: 13.7
• Takeaways: 3.9

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.2
• Shots: 28
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 1.9
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 4.1
• Blocks: 14.6
• Faceoff Wins : 24.9
• Hits: 21.1
• Giveaways: 17.9
• Takeaways: 5.3

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.2
• Shots: 25.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 2.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 4.5
• Blocks: 15.4
• Faceoff Wins : 26.1
• Hits: 20.8
• Giveaways: 18
• Takeaways: 4.9

Team News

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
86	Nikita Kucherov	61	21.46	28	64	92	13
38	Brandon Hagel	64	21.03	30	41	71	26
21	Brayden Point	59	19.58	32	33	65	7

59	Jake Guentzel	63	19.96	32	31	63	11
77	Victor Hedman	61	23.1	11	39	50	12
71	Anthony Cirelli	62	18.83	20	25	45	21
22	Oliver Bjorkstrand	64	15.43	17	21	38	-3
20	Nick Paul	58	16.4	19	16	35	7
43	Darren Raddysh	56	18.26	4	25	29	5
27	Ryan McDonagh	64	20.63	2	18	20	33
37	Yanni Gourde	39	15.55	6	12	18	-6
41	Mitchell Chaffee	59	12.31	12	5	17	-1
81	Erik Cernak	58	18.57	3	14	17	25
78	Emil Lilleberg	59	15.59	0	14	14	-7
48	Nicklaus Perbix	56	14.95	4	10	14	5
14	Conor Geekie	49	12.14	6	6	12	-3
90	Janis Jerome Moser	36	19.66	2	8	10	12
93	Gage Goncalves	42	12.27	3	7	10	2
13	Cam Atkinson	37	8.84	3	5	8	-3
11	Luke Glendening	64	10.91	4	3	7	-7
28	Zemgus Girgensons	64	11.57	1	4	5	-5
67	Declan Carlile	3	13	1	0	1	2
53	Dylan Duke	2	7.85	1	0	1	0
73	Conor Sheary	5	11.34	0	0	0	-2
65	Maxwell Crozier	5	16.7	0	0	0	0
33	Brandon Halverson	0	0	0	0	0	0
64	Steven Santini	1	11.6	0	0	0	0
62	Jack Finley	1	8.4	0	0	0	1

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
88	Andrei Vasilevskiy	51	2.27	0.92
31	Jonas Johansson	14	3.07	0.898
70	Matt Tomkins	-	-	-
30	Kyle Konin	-	-	-

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Philadelphia Flyers Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
11	Travis Konecny	66	20.72	22	43	65	-10
39	Matvei Michkov	64	16.18	20	27	47	-15
74	Owen Tippett	61	16.44	19	17	36	-10

14	Sean Couturier	63	16.69	10	21	31	-1
71	Tyson Foerster	65	16.4	16	14	30	-8
10	Bobby Brink	63	14.42	8	21	29	-12
27	Noah Cates	62	15.46	14	14	28	4
6	Travis Sanheim	66	24.37	6	21	27	-11
55	Rasmus Ristolainen	63	20.52	4	15	19	3
19	Garnet Hathaway	60	11.88	8	10	18	4
9	Jamie Drysdale	54	19.68	5	11	16	-20
24	Nick Seeler	61	16.56	3	12	15	5
25	Ryan Poehling	52	13.29	4	11	15	-3
5	Yegor Zamula	47	16.68	3	11	14	-11
8	Cameron York	51	21.21	4	10	14	-6
22	Jakob Pelletier	33	11.71	4	9	13	9
36	Emil Andrae	26	18.79	1	5	6	2
90	Anthony Richard	15	12.37	2	4	6	-3
18	Rodrigo Abols	12	9.48	2	1	3	-3
44	Nicolas Deslauriers	16	6.8	0	1	1	0
15	Olle Lycksell	9	11.47	0	1	1	-1
3	Helge Grans	6	14.47	0	1	1	0
78	Jacob Gaucher	4	7.35	0	0	0	0
17	Jett Luchanko	4	14.05	0	0	0	-3
13	Adam Ginning	1	12.8	0	0	0	-1

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
33	Samuel Ersson	37	2.97	0.889
82	Ivan Fedotov	21	3.08	0.884
35	Alexei Kolosov	15	3.45	0.87

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups