Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers Prediction, Picks & Odds | 09 May 2025

Toronto Maple Leafs (52-26-4, 25-13-3 Away) play Florida Panthers (47-31-4, 27-12-2 at Home) in game 3 of this Stanley Cup Playoffs Eastern Conference second round matchup at Amerant Bank Arena. The Leafs lead the series 2-0.

We’re keeping our prediction nice and simple by heading to the 3-Way Moneyline. Take the -132 that the Panthers are able to secure a regulation time win when clashing with the Maple Leafs.

Toronto Maple Leafs and Florida Panthers went head-to-head at Scotiabank Arena two nights ago, with the Leafs recording a 4-3 victory.

The Leafs had 25 shots on goal and there were four different goalscorers including Mitchell Marner. The Panthers racked up 28 shots on goal, with Aleksander Barkov, Brad Marchand and Anton Lundell scoring one goal each.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The H2H over the past 10 games have seen five wins for both teams.

Starting Goalies

Joseph Woll (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	7-4-1	2.7	.913	0
23/24	12-11-1	2.93	.907	0

Sergei Bobrovsky (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	17-9-1	2.8	.888	3
23/24	36-17-3	2.37	.915	6

8 wins, 1 loss and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.6 goals from 25.3 shots on goal, with a 15.9% powerplay efficiency. The Leafs have been giving up 2.6 goals from 27.0 shots, averaging 3.8 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 84.2%.

William Nylander is the top points scorer with 13 points, 6 goals and 7 assists, with Mitchell Marner recording 13 points, 3 goals and 10 assists, in the last 10 games. Goalie Anthony Stolarz have a 1.91 goal against average with a .919 save percentage, including one shutout.

The Panthers have 5 wins and 5 losses, averaging 3.2 goals from 27.3 shots on goal, with a 15.6% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 3.3 goals from 24.6 shots, averaging 5.1 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 88.2%.

The top points scorer is Carter Verhaeghe with 9 points, 4 goals and 5 assists, while Brad Marchand is next in line after having 8 points, 2 goals and 6 assists. Goalie Sergei Bobrovsky have a 3.16 GAA with a .866 SV%, including one shutout.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers Prediction & Picks

Game Prediction

We’re heading to the 60-minute line and our pick is for Florida Panthers to win this NHL clash in regulation time. They have a strong chance of landing a victory and the -132 makes plenty of appeal.

The NHL predictions are only made once we have established the latest team news. It’s also important to study the form and investigate the most relevant player and goalie stats to get the full picture.

Key Maple Leafs vs Panthers stats:

• Panthers have won 16 of their last 20 games at home.
• Panthers have won 17 of their last 23 games at home this season.

Panthers 3-Way Moneyline Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 56.8% chance of winning. However, our cappers think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

Sometimes it’s worth going in search of bigger odds and a Bet Builder allows you to make a 3-Way Moneyline pick along with a number of other selections.

Our Game Prediction

Panthers 3-Way Moneyline @ -132 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Matthew Knies Over 1.5 Shots -175

Matthew Knies (Maple Leafs) has recorded Over 1.5 shots on goal in 5 straight games. We’re expecting history to repeat itself and for him to cover the Shots on Goal line at odds of -175.

Latest Matthew Knies Player Prop Odds

Goals

Anytime

+250

First

+1300

Shots on Goal

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

+135

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Maple Leafs 1 - 3 Panthers

The Panthers are available at +1500 when it comes to them winning 3-1. We like a correct score play and the chance to bag a nice return if our prediction is right.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Maple Leafs

Panthers

1-0

Maple Leafs

+5500

Panthers

+5000

2-0

Maple Leafs

+5500

Panthers

+4000

2-1

Maple Leafs

+1600

Panthers

+1300

3-0

Maple Leafs

+4500

Panthers

+2200

3-1

Maple Leafs

+2500

Panthers

+1500

3-2

Maple Leafs

+1050

Panthers

+800

4-0

Maple Leafs

+6600

Panthers

+2500

4-1

Maple Leafs

+2500

Panthers

+1050

4-2

Maple Leafs

+2200

Panthers

+1300

4-3

Maple Leafs

+1300

Panthers

+1000

5-0

Maple Leafs

+12000

Panthers

+4000

5-1

Maple Leafs

+4500

Panthers

+1600

5-2

Maple Leafs

+2800

Panthers

+1150

5-3

Maple Leafs

+3400

Panthers

+2000

5-4

Maple Leafs

+2800

Panthers

+2000

6-0

Maple Leafs

+2800

Panthers

+6000

6-1

Maple Leafs

+11000

Panthers

+3400

6-2

Maple Leafs

+5500

Panthers

+2200

6-3

Maple Leafs

+5000

Panthers

+2200

6-4

Maple Leafs

+6600

Panthers

+4500

6-5

Maple Leafs

+6600

Panthers

+5000

7-0

Maple Leafs

+6600

Panthers

+10000

7-1

Maple Leafs

+6600

Panthers

+6000

7-2

Maple Leafs

+14000

Panthers

+5000

7-3

Maple Leafs

+10000

Panthers

+4500

7-4

Maple Leafs

+10000

Panthers

+5500

7-5

Maple Leafs

+14000

Panthers

+10000

7-6

Maple Leafs

+14000

Panthers

+12000

8-0

Maple Leafs

+14000

Panthers

+15000

8-1

Maple Leafs

+14000

Panthers

+10000

8-2

Maple Leafs

+14000

Panthers

+9000

8-3

Maple Leafs

+14000

Panthers

+10000

8-4

Maple Leafs

+14000

Panthers

+10000

8-5

Maple Leafs

+14000

Panthers

+13000

9-2

Maple Leafs

+14000

Panthers

+15000

View More

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

According to the Moneyline betting odds, Florida Panthers are red-hot -227 favorites with the sportsbooks and that means a 69% chance of winning this game. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Toronto Maple Leafs are trading at +184.

There is a puck line of 1.5 and total goals has a line of 5.5. There are many ways to wager on the NHL including Totals. If you’re wanting to back Over 5.5, the odds are -143.

National Hockey League fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the wide range of game lines and team props which are available for every clash on the coupon. Head to the betting sites and find the best value wagers.

Moneyline

Maple Leafs

+184

Panthers

-227

3-Way Moneyline

Maple Leafs

+295

Tie

+350

Panthers

-135

Puck Line

Maple Leafs +1.5

-143

Panthers -1.5

+116

Total Goals

Under 5.5

+116

Over 5.5

-143

Sam Reinhart is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +850. Alternatively, there’s the chance to back him to find the net at any stage at +138.

Player Goals

Sam Reinhart (Panthers)

First

+138

Anytime

+850

Matthew Tkachuk (Panthers)

First

+155

Anytime

+900

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)

First

+160

Anytime

+950

William Nylander (Maple Leafs)

First

+175

Anytime

+1000

Aleksander Barkov (Panthers)

First

+190

Anytime

+1050

Sam Bennett (Panthers)

First

+200

Anytime

+1150

Carter Verhaeghe (Panthers)

First

+215

Anytime

+1200

John Tavares (Maple Leafs)

First

+225

Anytime

+1200

Matthew Knies (Maple Leafs)

First

+250

Anytime

+1300

Brad Marchand (Panthers)

First

+280

Anytime

+1500

Mitchell Marner (Maple Leafs)

First

+290

Anytime

+1500

Anton Lundell (Panthers)

First

+360

Anytime

+1800

Mackie Samoskevich (Panthers)

First

+360

Anytime

+1800

Evan Rodrigues (Panthers)

First

+440

Anytime

+2200

Eetu Luostarinen (Panthers)

First

+440

Anytime

+2200

Max Domi (Maple Leafs)

First

+500

Anytime

+2200

Max Pacioretty (Maple Leafs)

First

+500

Anytime

+2200

Player Shots

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)

Over 3.5

-111

Under 3.5

-116

Sam Reinhart (Panthers)

Over 2.5

-149

Under 2.5

+115

Matthew Tkachuk (Panthers)

Over 2.5

-149

Under 2.5

+115

William Nylander (Maple Leafs)

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

+110

Aleksander Barkov (Panthers)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-192

Sam Bennett (Panthers)

Over 2.5

-149

Under 2.5

+115

Carter Verhaeghe (Panthers)

Over 2.5

-135

Under 2.5

+104

John Tavares (Maple Leafs)

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-123

Matthew Knies (Maple Leafs)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

+135

Brad Marchand (Panthers)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

+125

Mitchell Marner (Maple Leafs)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

+125

Anton Lundell (Panthers)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

+104

An increasing number of bettors are now enjoying micro betting on the NHL and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Toronto Maple Leafs Stats

Florida Panthers Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.40 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 7.10 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.00 goals and allowed 3.40 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.20 pts and allowed 3.90 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.00 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.50 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.60 goals and allowed 3.40 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.30 goals and allowed 3.20 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 25.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0
• Penalty Minutes: 10.1
• Blocks: 13.4
• Faceoff Wins : 34.5
• Hits: 24.1
• Giveaways: 15.8
• Takeaways: 3.9

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 28.1
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 10.7
• Blocks: 14.5
• Faceoff Wins : 31.7
• Hits: 24.2
• Giveaways: 16.5
• Takeaways: 4.5

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 30.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 9.1
• Blocks: 14.7
• Faceoff Wins : 28.5
• Hits: 24.8
• Giveaways: 13.7
• Takeaways: 4.7

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 30.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 4.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 9.3
• Blocks: 17.1
• Faceoff Wins : 26.7
• Hits: 26.6
• Giveaways: 14
• Takeaways: 4

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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