Mainz vs Union Berlin Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 10 May 2026

Bundesliga Betting Preview: Mainz vs Union Berlin

Mainz clash with Union Berlin at MEWA Arena, with kick-off set for 13:30 on Sunday 10 May.

If you agree with our verdict that Mainz can defeat Union Berlin, then there’s the chance to get betting odds of -133 that this happens. We think that this price sticks out on the Full-Time Result market.

Mainz 05 have suffered two consecutive Bundesliga home losses. Their last league game was a 2-1 road triumph at Millerntor-Stadion when meeting St. Pauli. The 05ers had 49% of possession and six shots on target, with Phillip Tietz and Phillipp Mwene scoring one goal each.

Union Berlin drew 2-2 against FC Koln in their previous game. This was on home soil at Alten Foersterei. Marie-Louise Eta's team had three shots on goal and boasted 58% possession, while Tom Rothe and Livan Burcu were on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Union have not lost to Mainz in the past nine games, with the last clash seeing a 2-2 draw played out at Alten Foersterei. The previous 10 H2H games have featured five Union wins, four draws and one Mainz victory.

Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
10	Mainz 05	32	9	10	13	41	50	-9	41:50	37
13	Union Berlin	32	8	9	15	37	57	-20	37:57	33

View Full Table

Mainz have 4 wins, 2 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 5.2 shots on goal and 13.7 attempts. The Rhineland-Palatinate side have averaged 41.0% possession, 349.3 passes and 4.9 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.3 goals from 4.2 shots on goal, 11.7 attempts and 4.8 corners.

Paul Nebel leads the way with 4 goals, Phillip Tietz has 3, with Sheraldo Becker and two others on 2. Sheraldo Becker is the leading assists maker on 3, with goalkeeper Daniel Batz keeping one clean sheet.

Union have 2 victories, 6 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 0.9 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 10.2 attempts. The Eisernen have averaged 40.9% possession, 338.0 passes, 3.9 corners awarded and 5.6 corners against, while they’ve conceded 2.0 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 14.3 attempts.

Tom Rothe is the leading scorer along with five others, with 1 goals on the board each. Christopher Trimmel, Josip Juranovic and Andrej Ilic have all made 1 assists in the last 10 games, while Frederik Roennow has one clean sheet.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Mainz predicted lineup (3-5-2): Daniel Batz (GK), Danny da Costa, Stefan Posch, Kacper Potulski, Silvan Widmer, Paul Nebel, Kaishu Sano, Nadiem Amiri, Phillipp Mwene, Sheraldo Becker, Phillip Tietz.

Union Berlin predicted lineup (3-3-2-2): Carl Klaus (GK), Danilho Doekhi, Diogo Leite, Stanley N'Soki, Josip Juranovic, Rani Khedira, Tom Rothe, Andras Schafer, Aljoscha Kemlein, Oliver Burke, Ilyas Ansah.

Mainz vs Union Berlin Prediction & Betting Tips

Prepare for Mainz vs Union Berlin with our expert betting guide featuring a trusted match prediction, likely scoreline, top corners advice, key player props and a well-crafted bet builder.

Match Prediction

Mainz could land the money in this Bundesliga game and we’ll take this pick with confidence. There are appealing odds of -133 and we can’t pass up the chance to back the favourites.

The latest Bundesliga injury and suspension news can have a big bearing and we use this data as well as the latest form guide. We’re also keen to study the football stats so that we can get the fullest picture of how the action might happen.

Key Mainz vs Union Berlin league stats:

• Union have lost 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• Union have lost 6 of their last 10 games.
• Union have lost their last 3 games on the road.

Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 57.1% chance of winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 60-65%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

One way of backing Mainz to win at bigger odds is by going for the Match Result & Total market where you can also bet over or under a specific number of goals being scored.

Make your bet count—our comprehensive bonus guide highlights the latest free bets and betting promo codes worth grabbing.

Our Match Prediction

Mainz To Win @ -133 Watch Live Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 8, 19:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Mainz 3 - 1 Union Berlin

A 3-1 win in favor of Mainz can be backed at odds of +950. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Phillip Tietz Over 2.5 Shots -135

Phillip Tietz (Mainz) has recorded over 2.5 shots in six of his past ten Bundesliga games. We think this could be a decisive stat and we’ll bet on him to cover the Player Shots line which is on offer at odds of -135.

Latest Phillip Tietz Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+185

First

+510

Shots

Over 2.5

-139

Under 2.5

-

---

Nadiem Amiri to Score +230

Nadiem Amiri (Mainz) has netted five goals in his past eight Bundesliga home matches. Based on the stats, we think that odds of +230 are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Nadiem Amiri Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+230

First

+650

Shots

Over 1.5

-263

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Union Berlin Over 3.5 Corners -149

It’s been an average of 5.80 Union Berlin corners in the past 5 matches, while 4 of the last 5 Mainz games have involved them conceding over 3.5 corners. The latest stats suggest that it’s worth backing Union to cover the Team Corners line, with -149 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Mainz

Total

9.70 4.90 4.80

Home

10.50 6.90 3.60

Away

9.30 3.40 5.90

Union Berlin

Total

9.50 3.90 5.60

Home

8.30 4.80 3.50

Away

9.90 4.40 5.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-139

Under 9.5

-102

Mainz Corners

Over 5.5

-130

Under 5.5

-110

Union Berlin Corners

Over 3.5

-143

Under 3.5

-100

Most Corners

1

-208

X

+700

2

+205

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Mainz vs Union Berlin Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookies have Mainz 05 at -141 when it comes to Full-Time Result. This implies that the favourites are 58% likely to win this Bundesliga encounter according to the latest betting odds. If you want to back the outsider, Union Berlin are available at +370.

Mainz -0.75 on the Asian Handicap is available at -108 and means a full payout if they win by two or more against Union. A victory by one goal means half the stake wins and the other half is refunded.

Over 2.5 Goals is trading at a shorter price than Under 2.5 Goals right now. BTTS betting is always a warm order and you can bet Yes at -147 on the Both Teams to Score market.

If you’re betting on Bundesliga games, we recommend heading to the best football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

-141

X

+275

2

+370

Half-Time Result

1

+125

X

+135

2

+360

Double Chance

1X

-526

12

-385

X2

+105

Draw No Bet

1

-345

2

+220

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-108

2 Hcp +0.75

-115

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+104

Over 2.5

-135

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-147

No

+108

You will find favourite Benedict Hollerbach at +500 to be First Goalscorer and there’s also the chance to get +180 that he finds the net any time.

Benedict Hollerbach (Mainz)

First

+180

Anytime

+500

Phillip Tietz (Mainz)

First

+185

Anytime

+510

Nelson Weiper (Mainz)

First

+190

Anytime

+525

Nadiem Amiri (Mainz)

First

+230

Anytime

+650

Paul Nebel (Mainz)

First

+240

Anytime

+650

Armindo Sieb (Mainz)

First

+250

Anytime

+700

Sheraldo Becker (Mainz)

First

+270

Anytime

+700

Silas Katompa Mvumpa (Mainz)

First

+270

Anytime

+750

Jae-sung Lee (Mainz)

First

+270

Anytime

+750

William Bøving (Mainz)

First

+280

Anytime

+750

Andrej Ilic (Union)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Ilyas Ansah (Union)

First

+320

Anytime

+850

Dmytro Bogdanov (Union)

First

+380

Anytime

+1000

Livan Burcu (Union)

First

+400

Anytime

+1100

Oliver Burke (Union)

First

+410

Anytime

+1100

Tim Skarke (Union)

First

+430

Anytime

+1100

Silvan Widmer (Mainz)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Woo-yeong Jeong (Union)

First

+500

Anytime

+1400

Dominik Kohr (Mainz)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Anthony Caci (Mainz)

First

+540

Anytime

+1500

Leopold Querfeld (Union)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Danny Da Costa (Mainz)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Andreas Hanche-Olsen (Mainz)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Tom Rothe (Union)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Maxim Leitsch (Mainz)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Benedict Hollerbach (Mainz)

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

-

Phillip Tietz (Mainz)

Over 2.5

-139

Under 2.5

-

Nelson Weiper (Mainz)

Over 2.5

-123

Under 2.5

-

Paul Nebel (Mainz)

Over 2.5

+123

Under 2.5

-

Armindo Sieb (Mainz)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Sheraldo Becker (Mainz)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-

Andrej Ilic (Union)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-

Woo-yeong Jeong (Union)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Tim Skarke (Union)

Over 1.5

+107

Under 1.5

-

Oliver Burke (Union)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Livan Burcu (Union)

Over 1.5

-102

Under 1.5

-

Dmytro Bogdanov (Union)

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

-

Ilyas Ansah (Union)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

-

William Bøving (Mainz)

Over 1.5

-152

Under 1.5

-

Jae-sung Lee (Mainz)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

-

Silas Katompa Mvumpa (Mainz)

Over 1.5

-139

Under 1.5

-

Nadiem Amiri (Mainz)

Over 1.5

-263

Under 1.5

-

Silvan Widmer (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Dominik Kohr (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Anthony Caci (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

-

Leopold Querfeld (Union)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-

Danny Da Costa (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-

Andreas Hanche-Olsen (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

-

Tom Rothe (Union)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Maxim Leitsch (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-

Mainz have six victories, two draws and two defeats in the last 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.90 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

The past three Union Berlin games on the road have ended in defeat. Marie-Louise Eta's team have six defeats, two victories and two draws in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.90.

Mainz drew 1-1 with Union in their last MEWA Arena meeting. In the 6 previous H2H games at MEWA Arena, there have been three draws, two Union triumphs and a win for Mainz.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Mainz Home Stats		6-2-2	3.00	1.90	1.10	5	5	6	4
Union Berlin Away Stats		2-2-6	2.80	0.90	1.90	5	5	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Watch Bundesliga live streaming through your Android or Apple device simply by having a funded sportsbook account or placing a bet within the past 24 hours.

It’s great to enjoy thousands of sporting events on an annual basis. Watch the action and get audio commentary too.

Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin Live Streaming Watch Live Geo-restrictions apply. To use the services you need to be logged in, a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours.

Mainz vs Union Berlin Lineups & Team News

Know who’s in and who’s out for Mainz vs Union before making your bets. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for the Bundesliga and the newest injury information.

Mainz 05 Team Page Union Berlin Team Page

Top Football Pages