Chargers vs Texans Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Jan 2025

We’re confident of backing the Chargers to cover the -2.5 spread when they clash with the Texans. This is a more than generous line and they look a value pick at -120.

Los Angeles Chargers have won three on the spin, triumphing 34-20 in their previous game. This was on the road against Las Vegas Raiders at Allegiant Stadium. The Chargers enjoyed a gain of 336 passing and 137 rushing yards. This amounts to a total of 473 yards. They picked up 26 first downs and scored 3 touchdowns.

Houston Texans got the win in their last game. A 23-14 triumph occurred on the road at Nissan Stadium when meeting Tennessee Titans. The Texans gained 167 passing and 207 rushing yards, making 374 yards in total. They scored 3 touchdowns and picked up 18 first downs.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Chargers triumphed 34-24 when they last played the Texans. This head-to-head was played at NRG Stadium. The Texans have triumphed in two of the previous 3 clashes between these teams.

Quarterbacks

Justin Herbert

231.5 Passing Yards

Over -110

Under -110

C.J. Stroud

231.5 Passing Yards

Over -110

Under -110

Chargers vs Texans Prediction & Picks

The Chargers should enjoy a comfortable victory and a wager against the spread could be the best way forward in this NFL showdown. Back our pick off -2.5 to cover the line at -120.

Injuries and suspensions are taken into account by the expert football handicappers at Sportsgambler.com. Our NFL predictions are also shaped by the latest form, with the stats playing a big part before picks are made.

Key Chargers vs Texans stats:

• The -2.5 line has been covered by Chargers in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The -2.5 line has been covered by Chargers in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -2.5 line has been covered by Chargers in 3 consecutive games.
• The +2.5 line hasn’t been covered by Texans in 3 of their last 5 games at home.

Chargers -2.5 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 54.6% chance of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

There’s the option to move the line for your spread pick and this enables bettors to get bigger odds. If you’re prepared for additional risk, you can get more bang for your buck.

Our Game Prediction

Chargers -2.5 @ -120 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Chargers 28 - 20 Texans

There’s a big payout on the cards should you correctly predict the correct score. We’re siding with the Chargers to claim a 28-20 victory which will hopefully go close.

Chargers vs Texans Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Sportsbooks’ favorites Los Angeles Chargers are regarded as likeliest victors for this game and the -161 about them triumphing means a 62% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. The market suggests that Houston Texans are least likely to win at +136.

2.5 is the spread and 41.5 is the total points line. A bet on the Totals allows fans to use the latest NFL data to good effect. If you want to bet Under 41.5, there are odds of -105.

If you’re planning to place a National Football League wager, visit the betting sites and check out the huge selection of available game lines and team props. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Chargers

-161

Texans

+136

Point Spread

Chargers -2.5

-120

Texans +2.5

-102

Total Points

Under 41.5

-105

Over 41.5

-115

Favorite Joe Mixon is priced at +430 to be the first player to score a touchdown. There’s also the opportunity to back him to score a TD at anytime at odds of -130.

Touchdown

Joe Mixon (Texans)

First TD

+430

Anytime TD

-130

J.K. Dobbins (Chargers)

First TD

+650

Anytime TD

+130

Ladd McConkey (Chargers)

First TD

+700

Anytime TD

+145

Nico Collins (Texans)

First TD

+700

Anytime TD

+140

Quentin Johnston (Chargers)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+220

Dalton Schultz (Texans)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+310

Will Dissly (Chargers)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+420

Gus Edwards (Chargers)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+380

Joshua Palmer (Chargers)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+330

DJ Chark Jr. (Chargers)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+460

Justin Herbert (Chargers)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+500

John Metchie III (Texans)

First TD

+2300

Anytime TD

+500

Xavier Hutchinson (Texans)

First TD

+3300

Anytime TD

+850

Houston Texans Defense (Texans)

First TD

+3400

Anytime TD

+850

C.J. Stroud (Texans)

First TD

+3400

Anytime TD

+950

Los Angeles Chargers Defense (Chargers)

First TD

+3900

Anytime TD

+800

Robert Woods (Texans)

First TD

+3900

Anytime TD

+1000

Stone Smartt (Chargers)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+1100

Derius Davis (Chargers)

First TD

+4600

Anytime TD

+950

Diontae Johnson (Texans)

First TD

+4600

Anytime TD

+1100

Jaret Patterson (Chargers)

First TD

+4900

Anytime TD

+1200

Tucker Fisk (Chargers)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1900

Hayden Hurst (Chargers)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1900

Hassan Haskins (Chargers)

First TD

+6500

Anytime TD

+1500

Kimani Vidal (Chargers)

First TD

+6500

Anytime TD

+1500

Dameon Pierce (Texans)

First TD

+6500

Anytime TD

+1500

Simi Fehoko (Chargers)

First TD

+7000

Anytime TD

+1600

Cade Stover (Texans)

First TD

+9000

Anytime TD

+1600

Dare Ogunbowale (Texans)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2100

Irv Smith Jr. (Texans)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

Scott Matlock (Chargers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2800

Receiving Yards

Nico Collins (Texans)

Over 87.5

-110

Under 87.5

-110

Ladd McConkey (Chargers)

Over 75.5

-110

Under 75.5

-110

Quentin Johnston (Chargers)

Over 45.5

-110

Under 45.5

-110

Dalton Schultz (Texans)

Over 32.5

-110

Under 32.5

-110

Will Dissly (Chargers)

Over 31.5

-110

Under 31.5

-110

John Metchie III (Texans)

Over 23.5

-110

Under 23.5

-110

Joe Mixon (Texans)

Over 20.5

-110

Under 20.5

-110

Diontae Johnson (Texans)

Over 16.5

-110

Under 16.5

-110

J.K. Dobbins (Chargers)

Over 11.5

-110

Under 11.5

-110

Robert Woods (Texans)

Over 11.5

-110

Under 11.5

-110

DJ Chark Jr. (Chargers)

Over 9.5

-110

Under 9.5

-110

Xavier Hutchinson (Texans)

Over 6.5

-110

Under 6.5

-110

Rushing Yards

Joe Mixon (Texans)

Over 71.5

-110

Under 71.5

-110

J.K. Dobbins (Chargers)

Over 57.5

-110

Under 57.5

-110

Gus Edwards (Chargers)

Over 24.5

-110

Under 24.5

-110

Justin Herbert (Chargers)

Over 20.5

-110

Under 20.5

-110

C.J. Stroud (Texans)

Over 12.5

-110

Under 12.5

-110

Passing Yards

C.J. Stroud (Texans)

Over 231.5

-110

Under 231.5

-110

Justin Herbert (Chargers)

Over 231.5

-110

Under 231.5

-110

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Los Angeles Chargers Stats

Houston Texans Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 48.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 35.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 42.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 42.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 27.00 pts and allowed 21.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 21.80 pts and allowed 14.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 42.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 42.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 42.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 42.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 20.70 pts and allowed 21.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 23.20 pts and allowed 19.10 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 333.30 Yds. Allowed 337.60 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 106.20 Yds. Allowed 121.30 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 227.10 Yds. Allowed 216.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.90 TD. Allowed 2.20 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 0.40 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.10. Allowed 20.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.50. Committed by opponents 1.10
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.80. Committed by opponents 6.50
• Penalty Yards: Lost 42.20 Yds. Gained 59.10 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 298.70 Yds. Allowed 341.60 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 105.40 Yds. Allowed 117.30 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 193.30 Yds. Allowed 224.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.10 TD. Allowed 2.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.10. Allowed 19.70
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 1.90
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.30. Committed by opponents 6.10
• Penalty Yards: Lost 49.70 Yds. Gained 51.40 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 328.10 Yds. Allowed 284.50 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 108.30 Yds. Allowed 102.20 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 219.80 Yds. Allowed 182.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.10 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 0.30 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.80. Allowed 17.40
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.60. Committed by opponents 1.40
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.30. Committed by opponents 5.30
• Penalty Yards: Lost 42.10 Yds. Gained 42.70 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 310.10 Yds. Allowed 297.80 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 78.40 Yds. Allowed 119.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 231.70 Yds. Allowed 178.70 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.30 TD. Allowed 2.00 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 16.40. Allowed 17.50
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 1.90
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.70. Committed by opponents 5.60
• Penalty Yards: Lost 55.90 Yds. Gained 42.40 Yds

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