RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Feb 2026

Bundesliga Betting Preview: RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund

RB Leipzig square off against Borussia Dortmund at Red Bull Arena, with kick-off set for 12:30 on Saturday 21 February.

If you agree with our view that Dortmund can perform well against Leipzig, then you can bet them with a +0.25 goal start at -120. This means our Asian Handicap stake is divided equally between 0 and +0.5.

RB Leipzig faced Wolfsburg at home when last in action. It was a 2-2 draw at Red Bull Arena. Ole Werner's men managed ten shots on target and enjoyed 68% possession, with Yan Diomande and Brajan Gruda each scoring one goal.

Borussia Dortmund claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 4-0 triumph against Mainz 05 at Signal Iduna Park made it six straight wins. BVB boasted 55% possession and recorded eight shots on goal, with Serhou Guirassy netting two, while Maximilian Beier and Ramy Bensebaini were also on the scoresheet.

Four days ago, Dortmund won 2-0 at home to Atalanta in the Champions League.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Dortmund were at home when the teams last met and it was a 1-1 draw versus Leipzig at Signal Iduna Park. The 10 H2H meetings most recently played have included seven Leipzig victories, one draw and two triumphs for Dortmund.

Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Dortmund	24	15	7	2	51	25	26	51:25	52
5	RB Leipzig	24	13	5	6	46	33	13	46:33	44

View Full Table

Leipzig have 4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 2.0 goals from 15.2 attempts and 5.8 shots on goal. The Saxony team have averaged 58.6% possession, 561.6 passes and 4.1 corners per game, conceding 1.7 goals and 4.1 corners from 10.3 attempts and 4.2 shots on goal.

Yan Diomande is the top goalscorer with 5, Christoph Baumgartner has 3, with Conrad Harder and two other players on 2. Leading assistors have been Christoph Baumgartner and David Raum with 3, while goalkeeper Peter Gulacsi has 3 clean sheets.

Dortmund have won 8 and drawn 2, with an average of 2.6 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 13.8 attempts. Niko Kovac's side have averaged 53.8% possession, 490.6 passes, 5.5 corners taken and 4.1 corners against, while conceding 0.9 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 10.5 attempts.

Serhou Guirassy is top of the team’s scoring charts with 6, while Maximilian Beier and Julian Brandt both have 4. Julian Ryerson has had 8 assists in the previous 10 games, while Gregor Kobel has 5 clean sheets to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

RB Leipzig confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Maarten Vandevoordt (GK), Ridle Baku, Willi Orban, Castello Lukeba, David Raum, Xaver Schlager, Nicolas Seiwald, Christoph Baumgartner, Brajan Gruda, Romulo Cruz, Yan Diomande.

Borussia Dortmund confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Gregor Kobel (GK), Luca Reggiani, Waldemar Anton, Ramy Bensebaini, Julian Ryerson, Marcel Sabitzer, Jobe Bellingham, Felix Nmecha, Daniel Svensson, Serhou Guirassy, Maximilian Beier.

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Betting Tips

Our RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund betting tips provide expert coverage of all major angles, including our main match prediction, top player prop picks, correct score recommendation, corners betting angle and best bet builder insights.

Match Prediction

Dortmund +0.25 on the Asian Handicap looks like a sensible play at a price of -120. They should be able to swerve a loss in this Bundesliga game and we’re confident that the away team can land a victory.

The first port of call is to check out the Bundesliga injury and suspension news for each side and then scroll through the form guide. We take this information and apply it to the latest available stats to come up with a verdict.

Key RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by BVB in 15 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by BVB in 19 of their last 20 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by BVB in 16 of their last 19 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Leipzig in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Leipzig in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Leipzig in 3 consecutive games at home.

The best betting sites make it a 54.6% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, we think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

If you want a different wager to the Asian Handicap, then Winning Margin provides an exciting alternative. That’s especially if you have a view on the performance of BVB.

Check out our latest betting offers guide — packed with top free bet deals and exclusive welcome bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Dortmund Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -120 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 19, 18:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Leipzig 1 - 2 Dortmund

There are odds of +850 available that Dortmund land a 2-1 win. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Felix Nmecha Over 1.5 Shots +160

Felix Nmecha (Dortmund) has covered the 1.5 shots total in four straight Bundesliga games. We think that the value can be found by wagering on Player Shots and you can get +160 that he goes over the line.

Latest Felix Nmecha Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+525

First

+1600

Shots

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

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Julian Brandt to Score +280

Julian Brandt (Dortmund) has managed four goals in his past seven Bundesliga matches. We’re happy to take the +280 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.

Latest Julian Brandt Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+270

First

+850

Shots

Over 1.5

-109

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Dortmund To Have Most Corners +110

Dortmund have had a corner average of 6.80 in the past 5 matches, with Leipzig averaging 3.40 corners in their previous 5 games. Dortmund can be backed at a value +110 to win the Corner Match bet.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Leipzig

Total

8.20 4.10 4.10

Home

10.60 5.90 4.70

Away

9.30 4.90 4.40

Dortmund

Total

9.60 5.50 4.10

Home

11.30 7.50 3.80

Away

9.00 3.90 5.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-141

Under 9.5

-100

Leipzig Corners

Over 4.5

-147

Under 4.5

+102

Dortmund Corners

Over 4.5

-128

Under 4.5

-114

Most Corners

1

-109

X

+650

2

+110

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The latest RB Leipzig odds are +104 which leads to them being favourites in this Bundesliga clash. It’s also implied by the bookmakers that they have a 49% prospect of securing a victory. The market implies that Borussia Dortmund are the most unlikely to win at +210.

It sometimes pays to take the Draw No Bet option meaning there’s a safety net if the game ends all square. Leipzig can be backed at -185 or alternatively Dortmund are on offer at +128.

The Total Goals market reveals that Over 2.5 Goals is the current betting favourite. If you think that both sides will end up scoring, then the Both Teams to Score Yes option can be backed at -263.

No matter what Bundesliga game is taking place, you will find hundreds of markets being offered. Peruse the various choices that are presented at the best football betting sites.

Full-Time Result

1

+104

X

+290

2

+210

Half-Time Result

1

+148

X

+155

2

+240

Double Chance

1X

-286

12

-417

X2

-137

Draw No Bet

1

-185

2

+128

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-123

2 Hcp +0.25

-102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+180

Over 2.5

-238

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-263

No

+188

There’s the chance to back Sehrou Guirassy at +450 to be the First Goalscorer, with the favourite on this market available at similar odds to find the net last.

Sehrou Guirassy (Dortmund)

First

+135

Anytime

+450

Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz (Leipzig)

First

+180

Anytime

+550

Tidiam Gomis (Leipzig)

First

+185

Anytime

+550

Antonio Nusa (Leipzig)

First

+195

Anytime

+600

Conrad Harder (Leipzig)

First

+220

Anytime

+700

Yan Diomande (Leipzig)

First

+230

Anytime

+600

Fabio Silva (Dortmund)

First

+250

Anytime

+750

Christoph Baumgartner (Leipzig)

First

+260

Anytime

+850

Maximilian Beier (Dortmund)

First

+260

Anytime

+850

Julian Brandt (Dortmund)

First

+270

Anytime

+850

Karim Adeyemi (Dortmund)

First

+290

Anytime

+850

Johan Bakayoko (Leipzig)

First

+300

Anytime

+950

Brajan Gruda (Leipzig)

First

+350

Anytime

+950

Ezechiel Banzuzi (Leipzig)

First

+450

Anytime

+1300

Xaver Schlager (Leipzig)

First

+480

Anytime

+1500

Emre Can (Dortmund)

First

+500

Anytime

+1500

Ridle Baku (Leipzig)

First

+500

Anytime

+1500

Jobe Bellingham (Dortmund)

First

+525

Anytime

+1500

Willi Orbán (Leipzig)

First

+525

Anytime

+1600

Felix Nmecha (Dortmund)

First

+525

Anytime

+1600

David Raum (Leipzig)

First

+525

Anytime

+1700

Carney Chukwuemeka (Dortmund)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Nico Schlotterbeck (Dortmund)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Ramy Bensebaïni (Dortmund)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Nicolas Seiwald (Leipzig)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Sehrou Guirassy (Dortmund)

Over 3.5

+104

Under 3.5

-

Tidiam Gomis (Leipzig)

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-

Antonio Nusa (Leipzig)

Over 2.5

-103

Under 2.5

-

Conrad Harder (Leipzig)

Over 2.5

+133

Under 2.5

-

Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz (Leipzig)

Over 2.5

-102

Under 2.5

-

Karim Adeyemi (Dortmund)

Over 1.5

-115

Under 1.5

-

Felix Nmecha (Dortmund)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Johan Bakayoko (Leipzig)

Over 1.5

-108

Under 1.5

-

Brajan Gruda (Leipzig)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Julian Brandt (Dortmund)

Over 1.5

-109

Under 1.5

-

Maximilian Beier (Dortmund)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

-

Christoph Baumgartner (Leipzig)

Over 1.5

-192

Under 1.5

-

Fabio Silva (Dortmund)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Yan Diomande (Leipzig)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

-

Ezechiel Banzuzi (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

-

Xaver Schlager (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

-

Emre Can (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Ridle Baku (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Jobe Bellingham (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Willi Orbán (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

David Raum (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Carney Chukwuemeka (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-

Nico Schlotterbeck (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Ramy Bensebaïni (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-

Nicolas Seiwald (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-

Leipzig have gone without a win at Red Bull Arena in the last three games. Ole Werner's men have finished with six wins, three losses and one draw in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 2.30 goals per game and conceding 1.50.

Dortmund are unbeaten over their previous seven games on the road. BVB have six victories, three draws and one defeat in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.80 goals per game and conceding 0.90.

The most recent Red Bull Arena meeting saw Leipzig claim a 2-0 win over Dortmund. We’ve seen five Leipzig wins and three Dortmund victories in the past 8 H2H meetings at Red Bull Arena.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
RB Leipzig Home Stats		6-1-3	3.80	2.30	1.50	8	2	7	3
Borussia Dortmund Away Stats		6-3-1	2.70	1.80	0.90	5	5	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Lineups & Team News

Don’t bet on Leipzig vs Dortmund without reviewing the latest team news. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Bundesliga lineups alongside the newest injury information.

RB Leipzig Team Page Borussia Dortmund Team Page

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