Santos vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 09 Sep 2026

Santos vs Atlético Mineiro Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Atlético MG Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -119

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We will split our stake on the Asian Handicap between 0 and +0.5 when wagering Atlético Mineiro +0.25 at -119 against Santos. We need a victory for a full payout although the draw means a return is on the cards.

Take a closer look at our complete Santos vs Atlético Mineiro betting analysis, which presents a full breakdown of our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction and bet builder tips.

Santos vs Atlético Mineiro Preview

Brazilian Série A clubs Santos and Atlético Mineiro battle it out in the first leg of this Copa Sudamericana quarter-final tie at Estádio Urbano Caldeira, with kick-off set for 18:00 on Wednesday 9 September.

Santos won their last game 3-2. This was a Série A road victory against Internacional. Cuca's team had three shots on target and boasted 60% possession, while Gabriel Barbosa registered two goals and Christian Oliva scored the other.

Atlético Mineiro suffered a defeat in their previous game. A 2-0 Série A scoreline occurred on the road against São Paulo. Galo recorded 48% possession but failed to have a shot on goal.

In the last round of the Copa Sudamericana, Santos visited CSD Macara and drew 0-0, while Atlético hosted Red Bull Bragantino and played out a 2-2 draw.

H2H: Teams’ Last Clash Saw 1-0 Santos Win

Santos boast an unbeaten record in the past three games with Atlético. In their last encounter, Santos claimed a 1-0 Série A victory at home. The past 10 H2H meetings have featured four Atlético victories, three draws and three Santos wins.

Copa Sudamericana		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Atlético MG	6	3	1	2	8	6	2	8:6	10
2	Santos	6	1	4	1	8	6	2	8:6	7

View Full Table

2 wins and 1 draw, averaging 1.7 goals from 11.3 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal. Santos have had 54.0% possession and 4.3 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.0 goals from 12.3 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal, while earning 5.7 corners.

Top goalscorers are Gabriel Barbosa and Christian Oliva on 2 goals, while Alvaro Barreal has bagged 1. Benjamin Rollheiser and Neymar are the top assists makers with 1.

Atlético have 1 victory, 1 defeat and 1 draw, with an average of 4.3 shots on goal, 10.7 attempts and 0.7 goals. The Belo Horizonte outfit average 52.3% possession, 3.7 corners awarded and 9.0 corners against, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 18.3 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal.

Thiago Borbas and Reinier have found the net 1 times. Reinier has been top assists provider with 1 in the previous 3 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Santos confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Gabriel Brazao (GK), Rodinei, Willian Arao, Luan Peres, Gonzalo Escobar, Gustavo Henrique, Christian Oliva, Gabriel Bontempo, Benjamin Rollheiser, Thaciano, Gabriel Barbosa.

Atlético Mineiro confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Gabriel Delfim (GK), Angelo Preciado, Lyanco, Vitor Hugo, Renan Lodi, Alan Franco, Kevin Castano, Maycon Barberan, Fred, Mateo Cassierra, Bernard.

Main Match Prediction

Atlético Mineiro +0.25 at -119 have the look of a value bet on the Asian Handicap. We give them a good chance of landing a victory in this Copa Sudamericana clash and it’s therefore a pick we’ll back with confidence.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (domestic league and Copa Sudamericana matches):

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Atlético MG in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Atlético MG in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Santos in 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Santos in 11 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Santos in 7 of their last 10 games against Atlético MG.

Injuries and suspensions are studied by the team at Sportsgambler.com. Our football predictions also come from studying the latest Copa Sudamericana form, with the numbers playing a huge part before the tips are decided.

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 54.3% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

It’s possible to move the line for your selection and this allows bettors to get increasingly bigger odds. If you’re looking for more juice, then this option could tick the boxes.

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Atlético MG Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -119 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Sep 8, 00:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Santos 1 - 0 Atlético

We’re going for Santos at +520 to secure a 1-0 win. It’s exciting to bet on the correct score and this wager will hopefully be able to land a nice return.

Santos vs Atlético Mineiro Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Santos are the skinniest price to succeed in this Copa Sudamericana clash, with the favourites afforded a 46% probability based on their +116 betting odds with the bookies. Atlético Mineiro are seen as the most unlikely winner at +290.

If you fancy Santos but want money back if the game ends in a draw, then you can secure odds of -208. Alternatively, there’s the chance to wager on Atlético at +160 on the Draw No Bet market.

If you’re anticipating that two goals or less will be netted throughout the contest, then Under 2.5 Goals is a definite runner. Both Teams to Score betting is highly popular and the No pick on the BTTS market is chalked up at -143.

For those wagering on Copa Sudamericana games, it’s all about heading to the top football betting sites where hundreds of markets await you. Pre-match and In-Play options are plentiful.

Full-Time Result

1

+116

X

+210

2

+290

Half-Time Result

1

+185

X

+101

2

+370

Double Chance

1X

-357

12

-263

X2

-141

Draw No Bet

1

-208

2

+160

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-127

2 Hcp +0.25

-101

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-189

Over 2.5

+146

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+111

No

-143

Latest Copa Sudamericana and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Santos Stats

Atlético Mineiro Stats

Full-Time Result

• 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.40 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 6.17 corners awarded and 4.00 corners conceded in the last 6 matches
• An average of 7.17 corners awarded and 2.67 corners against in the last 6 home matches
• An average of 10.17 corners awarded in the last 6 matches
• An average of 9.83 corners awarded in the last 6 home matches
• Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 3 of the last 6 matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 1 of the last 6 home matches

Corners

• An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 6.88 corners conceded in the last 8 matches
• An average of 2.71 corners awarded and 6.86 corners against in the last 7 away matches
• An average of 11.38 corners awarded in the last 8 matches
• An average of 9.57 corners awarded in the last 7 away matches
• Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 8 matches
• Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 6 of the last 7 away matches

Possession

• An average of 55.17% possession in the last 6 matches
• An average of 58.50% possession in the last 6 home matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 6 matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 6 home matches

Possession

• An average of 48.38% possession in the last 8 matches
• An average of 42.57% possession in the last 7 away matches
• Most possession in 3 of the last 8 matches
• Most possession in 1 of the last 7 away matches

Santos vs Atlético Mineiro Lineups & Team News

Stay ahead of the game by checking the Santos vs Atlético team news before betting. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Copa Sudamericana lineups along with the latest injury developments.

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