Santos vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 11 Apr 2026

Série A Betting Preview: Santos vs Atlético Mineiro

Santos meet Atlético Mineiro at Estádio Urbano Caldeira, with kick-off set for 19:00 on Saturday 11 April.

We are expecting a low number of goals when Santos meet Atlético Mineiro. The odds of -128 for Under 2.5 look really attractive and we can play the Total Goals market with confidence.

Santos were beaten in their last Série A game and this was on the road. Flamengo claimed a 3-1 victory. The Fish enjoyed just 37% possession and had two shots on target, while Lautaro Diaz bagged the goal.

On Wednesday night, Santos visited Deportivo Cuenca in the Copa Sudamericana and were defeated 1-0.

Atlético Mineiro claimed a home victory in their previous league game. A 2-1 triumph against Athletico Paranaense made it two Série A wins on the spin. Eduardo Dominguez's team had 49% possession and managed five shots on goal, with Victor Hugo and Gustavo Scarpa finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 1-1 draw between home side Atlético and Santos when the teams last met. There have been four Atlético victories, three draws and three Santos wins in the previous 10 H2H games.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
12	Atlético MG	17	6	3	8	21	23	-2	21:23	21
17	Santos	17	4	6	7	23	28	-5	23:28	18

View Full Table

2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 3.0 shots on goal and 7.5 attempts. Santos have had 48.8% possession and 5.6 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.6 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 8.4 attempts, while being awarded 4.6 corners.

Neymar and Gabriel Barbosa are the leading goalscorers with 3, while Thaciano has 2. Leading assistor is Neymar with 2.

Atlético have 4 victories, 4 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.4 goals from 8.5 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal. The Belo Horizonte outfit average 47.6% possession, 4.9 corners awarded and 6.1 corners against them, while conceding 1.2 goals from 10.2 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal.

The leading scorer has been Victor Hugo with 3, while Tomas Cuello and Dudu have 2. Look no further than Hulk for the top assist maker (3) in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Santos confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Gabriel Brazao (GK), Igor Vinicius, Lucas Verissimo, Luan Peres, Gonzalo Escobar, Willian Arao, Gustavo Henrique, Gabriel Bontempo, Neymar, Rony, Gabriel Barbosa.

Atlético Mineiro confirmed lineup (4-3-2-1): Everson (GK), Natanael, Ruan, Lyanco, Renan Lodi, Victor Hugo, Tomas Perez, Alan Franco, Hulk, Reinier, Tomas Cuello.

Santos vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Santos vs Atlético Mineiro betting tips provide expert coverage of all major angles, including our main match prediction, top player prop picks, correct score recommendation, corners betting angle and best bet builder insights.

Match Prediction

We’re not expecting too many goals to be scored when it comes to this Série A encounter. On this basis, we’re wagering Under 2.5 Goals and this selection is on offer at -128.

The team at Sportsgambler.com are right across the latest Série A injury news and the form guide also informs our football predictions. This data is combined with the latest stats.

Key Santos vs Atlético Mineiro league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Santos games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Santos games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Atlético MG games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 Atlético MG games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 games between these teams.

According to the best betting sites, our pick has a 56.2% chance of landing a return. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 60-65%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you want to land a larger price, then there’s a chance to choose Under 2.5 Goals accompanied by a winning team. This is on offer thanks to the Result & Total Goals market.

Searching for betting perks? Explore our bonus guide for the freshest sportsbook promo codes, free bets, and offers today.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -128 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 10, 01:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Santos 1 - 1 Atlético

An exciting wager could be the game to end in a 1-1 draw at odds of +430. A correct score bet provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Tomás Cuello to Score +510

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG) has racked up two goals in his past ten Série A matches. We think this is the pick of the player props, with a generous +510 available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.

Latest Tomás Cuello Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+525

First

+1200

Shots

Over 1.5

+108

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Atlético Under 4.5 Corners -156

In their past four matches, Atlético Mineiro have not covered the 4.5 corners line, while the last two Santos games have involved them conceding under 4.5 corners. On this evidence, we can take odds of -156 that this Atlético Team Corners wager falls short of the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Santos

Total

10.20 5.60 4.60

Home

10.70 6.30 4.40

Away

11.00 4.70 6.30

Atlético

Total

11.00 4.90 6.10

Home

11.50 6.00 5.50

Away

10.10 4.70 5.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-133

Under 9.5

-105

Santos Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-149

Atlético Corners

Over 4.5

+102

Under 4.5

-154

Most Corners

1

-143

X

+650

2

+145

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Santos vs Atlético Mineiro Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Santos are available at +123 to come away with a triumph in this Série A clash, meaning a 45% likelihood of winning according to the published betting odds. Atlético Mineiro are the underdogs at +225 which implies a lesser percentage prospect of winning.

Santos are available at odds of -109 on the Asian Handicap -0.25. With this bet, you need them to simply beat Atlético to win, although a draw would see half your stake returned.

If you’re anticipating that two goals or less will be netted throughout the contest, then Under 2.5 Goals is a definite runner. If you think both teams will score, then you can back BTTS Yes at -130.

There’s lots to like about the top football betting sites and that includes the hundreds of markets available for each Série A match. You are spoilt for choice when it comes to available options.

Full-Time Result

1

+123

X

+220

2

+225

Half-Time Result

1

+180

X

+112

2

+280

Double Chance

1X

-313

12

-303

X2

-164

Draw No Bet

1

-179

2

+123

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-109

2 Hcp +0.25

-114

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-137

Over 2.5

+107

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-130

No

-106

Those interested in Neymar to find the net anytime can get +190, with the favourite on offer to score the first goal at odds of +460.

Neymar (Santos)

First

+190

Anytime

+460

Gabigol (Santos)

First

+210

Anytime

+525

Givanildo Hulk (Atlético MG)

First

+210

Anytime

+550

Ronielson Rony (Santos)

First

+290

Anytime

+650

Lautaro Díaz (Santos)

First

+330

Anytime

+800

Álvaro Barreal (Santos)

First

+350

Anytime

+850

Victor Hugo Gomes Silva (Atlético MG)

First

+430

Anytime

+1050

Miguel Terceros (Santos)

First

+440

Anytime

+1050

Christian Oliva (Santos)

First

+450

Anytime

+1100

Thaciano Mickael Silva (Santos)

First

+450

Anytime

+1150

Eduardo Dudu (Atlético MG)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Benjamín Rollheiser (Santos)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Bernard (Atlético MG)

First

+540

Anytime

+1300

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Reinier (Atlético MG)

First

+575

Anytime

+1400

Gabriel Menino (Santos)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Gabriel Bontempo (Santos)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Vitor Hugo Franchescoli (Atlético MG)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Alexsander Gomes da Costa (Atlético MG)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Zé Rafael (Santos)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

João Felipe Schmidt Urbano (Santos)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Willian Arão (Santos)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Neymar (Santos)

Over 3.5

-100

Under 3.5

-

Givanildo Hulk (Atlético MG)

Over 3.5

+102

Under 3.5

-

Gabigol (Santos)

Over 2.5

-149

Under 2.5

-

Ronielson Rony (Santos)

Over 2.5

-102

Under 2.5

-

Reinier (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Bernard (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+108

Under 1.5

-

Benjamín Rollheiser (Santos)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-

Eduardo Dudu (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-

Thaciano Mickael Silva (Santos)

Over 1.5

+106

Under 1.5

-

Christian Oliva (Santos)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Miguel Terceros (Santos)

Over 1.5

-109

Under 1.5

-

Victor Hugo Gomes Silva (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-109

Under 1.5

-

Lautaro Díaz (Santos)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

-

Gabriel Bontempo (Santos)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

-

Vitor Hugo Franchescoli (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-

Alexsander Gomes da Costa (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-

Zé Rafael (Santos)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

Willian Arão (Santos)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Santos vs Atlético Mineiro Lineups & Team News

Be prepared — check the Santos vs Atlético team news before wagering. Stay informed with our predicted and confirmed Série A lineups and the latest injury reports.

Santos Team Page Atlético Mineiro Team Page

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