São Paulo vs Botafogo Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 May 2026
Série A Betting Preview: São Paulo vs Botafogo
São Paulo clash with Botafogo at Estádio do Morumbi, with kick-off set for 16:00 on Saturday 23 May.
Goals could be scored by both São Paulo and Botafogo and that means heading to the Both Teams to Score market. We really like the -130 when it comes to the BTTS Yes selection.
São Paulo have lost back-to-back Série A games. On their travels, Fluminense recently beat them 2-1. Tricolor Paulista had 50% possession and managed seven shots on target, while Matheus Doria registered the goal.
On Tuesday night, São Paulo had a 1-1 draw at home to Millonarios in the Copa Sudamericana.
Botafogo won their previous game which was at home. It was a 3-1 victory against Corinthians. Franclim Carvalho's team had just 35% possession and recorded five shots on goal, while Arthur Cabral scored a hat-trick.
Head-to-Head Statistics
São Paulo succeeded 1-0 at home when they last faced Botafogo. In the 10 previous H2H meetings, there have been five draws, four Botafogo triumphs and a win for São Paulo.
| Série A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | São Paulo |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 23:19 | 25 |
| 10 | Botafogo |
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 30:29 | 22 |
São Paulo have 2 wins, 6 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 9.0 attempts. Dorival Junior's side have averaged 51.7% possession and 7.7 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.5 goals from 4.6 shots on goal, 10.4 attempts and 4.2 corners.
Top goalscorer is Ferreira on 4 goals, while Luciano Neves has bagged 3 and Jonathan Calleri 2. Leading assistor is Wendell with 3.
Botafogo have 5 victories, 2 defeats and 3 draws, averaging 12.2 attempts, 5.5 shots on goal and 2.1 goals. Fogo average 48.6% possession, 4.8 corners in their favour and 4.9 corners against, while 1.7 goals have been conceded from 5.0 shots on goal and 11.3 attempts.
Arthur Cabral is top scorer on 6, with Edenilson and Matheus Martins next on 3. Alex Telles, Danilo and Vitinho have been the top assists providers with 2 in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
São Paulo confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Rafael (GK), Lucas Ramon, Alan Franco, Sabino, Wendell, Pablo Maia, Danielzinho, Artur Guimaraes, Luciano Neves, Ferreira, Jonathan Calleri.
Botafogo confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Neto (GK), Vitinho, Nahuel Ferraresi, Gabriel Justino, Fernando Marcal, Lucas Villalba, Huguinho, Santiago Rodriguez, Alvaro Montoro, Arthur Cabral, Kauan Toledo.
São Paulo vs Botafogo Prediction & Betting Tips
Tackle São Paulo vs Botafogo with all the betting insight you need, including our match prediction, scoreline forecast, corners market advice, key player prop selections and a hand-picked bet builder.
Match Prediction
Both sides look capable of scoring when it comes to this Série A encounter, with readers recommended to visit the Both Teams to Score market and wager BTTS Yes at an appealing -130.
Team news is very useful and our football tipsters are keen to identify the players who are doubtful with injury. You’ll also find us studying the form guide, with lots of Série A data available which provides a clear picture from the stats.
Key São Paulo vs Botafogo league stats:
The best football betting sites make it a 56.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Based on our tipsters research, we calculate the actual probability to be 60-65%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.
If you’re keen to back BTTS Yes but want more juice, you can head to the Result & Both Teams to Score market. Predict the outcome of the game with your original pick for a bigger price.
Before you bet, take a look at our complete guide to the best free bets and new customer bonuses on offer now.
Correct Score Prediction
We think there’s a chance of a 1-1 draw and this can be backed at odds of +500. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.
Player Prop Picks
Edenilson (Botafogo) has managed three goals in his past five Série A games on the road. When it comes to him finding the net, we believe the +350 available is appealing when backing him on the Anytime Goalscorer market.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
We’ve seen the past five São Paulo home games feature an average 15.60 corners, while the last five Botafogo away matches have averaged 9.80. We’re expecting history to repeat itself and for the Total Corners line to get covered at -133.
São Paulo
Botafogo
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
A same-game multi always adds excitement and the picks are both teams scoring, Botafogo to cover the +0.5 Asian Handicap as well as over 9.5 corners to be awarded.
It’s now possible to place a bet builder on each individual football game. The bookies have created this personalised betting tool where you can hand-pick different selections and combine the odds together.
São Paulo vs Botafogo Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With a 58% prospect of triumphing according to the 1x2 odds, São Paulo are favourites to come out on top in this Série A clash and they’re available at -137 with the bookmakers. Botafogo are regarded as the least likely winner at +370.
São Paulo are -105 if you take them on the Asian Handicap at -0.75. Stakes are split between -0.5 and -1 which means you need a 2+ goal win for a full payout. A one-goal victory means a return with half your stake and the other half refunded.
You can back Over 2.5 Goals or Under 2.5 Goals at similar odds right now. BTTS wagering is popular and you can back Yes at -132 on the Both Teams to Score market.
There are hundreds of markets which means lots of options to find a football wager for the latest Série A game. The leading betting apps leave no stone unturned to provide a first-class service.
Jonathan Calleri can be backed to find the net anytime at +150, with +380 available that the market leader scores the first goal.
- Série A: 14/09 2025 São Paulo 1 Botafogo 0
- Série A: 16/04 2025 Botafogo 2 São Paulo 2
- Série A: 08/12 2024 Botafogo 2 São Paulo 1
- Copa Libertadores: 26/09 2024 São Paulo 5 Botafogo 6
- Copa Libertadores: 19/09 2024 Botafogo 0 São Paulo 0
- Série A: 25/07 2024 São Paulo 2 Botafogo 2
- Série A: 19/08 2023 São Paulo 0 Botafogo 0
- Série A: 15/04 2023 Botafogo 2 São Paulo 1
- Série A: 09/10 2022 São Paulo 0 Botafogo 1
- Série A: 16/06 2022 Botafogo 1 São Paulo 0
São Paulo League Stats
Botafogo League Stats
- 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.10 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.80 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 10 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 9 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 7.70 corners awarded and 4.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.00 corners awarded and 4.60 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 11.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.60 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 4.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 4.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 51.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 48.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 48.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 48.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for São Paulo this season are Jonathan Calleri (6), Luciano Neves (5), Ferreira (4)
- Top Assistors for São Paulo this season are Wendell (3), Damian Bobadilla (2), Marcos Antonio (2)
São Paulo vs Botafogo Lineups & Team News
Know who’s in and who’s out for São Paulo vs Botafogo before making your bets. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for Série A along with up-to-date injury news.
São Paulo Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Botafogo Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
São Paulo Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Botafogo Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
São Paulo Substitutes
- 14Gonzalo Tapia
- 15Joao Moreira
- 21Cedric Soares
- 30Felipe Negrucci
- 31Carlos Coronel
- 33Luan Santos
- 38Hugo Leonardo
- 43Gustavo Santana
- 45Lucca Marques
- 46Pedro Ferreira
- 48Djhordney
- 54Luis Osorio
Botafogo Substitutes
- 1Raul
- 3Ythallo
- 9Christopher Ramos
- 14Jordan Barrera
- 25Newton
- 27Caio Roque
- 30Joaquin Correa
- 37Kadir Barria
- 42Kadu Santos
- 45Caio Valle
- 55Wallace Davi
- 88Edenilson
Previous São Paulo Lineups
Previous Botafogo Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
São Paulo Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Dorival Junior
Botafogo Player Stats & Squad
Série A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 29:13 | 38 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 28:16 | 31 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27:22 | 30 |
| 4 | Athletico PR | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 23:18 | 27 |
| 5 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 22:18 | 26 |
| 6 | São Paulo | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 23:19 | 25 |
| 7 | Bahia | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 21:19 | 23 |
| 8 | Coritiba | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21:19 | 23 |
| 9 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23:27 | 23 |
| 10 | Botafogo | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 30:29 | 22 |
| 11 | Vitória | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20:22 | 22 |
| 12 | Atlético MG | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 21:23 | 21 |
| 13 | Internacional | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:19 | 21 |
| 14 | Grêmio | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19:20 | 21 |
| 15 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 15:18 | 21 |
| 16 | Vasco da Gama | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:28 | 20 |
| 17 | Santos | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 23:28 | 18 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18:23 | 16 |
| 19 | Remo | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20:29 | 15 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 16 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 17:32 | 9 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fluminense | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:10 | 22 |
| 2 | Athletico PR | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 16:6 | 20 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15:6 | 20 |
| 4 | Vitória | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14:3 | 19 |
| 5 | São Paulo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:6 | 17 |
| 6 | Grêmio | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Vasco da Gama | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 16 |
| 8 | Cruzeiro | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15:11 | 15 |
| 9 | Atlético MG | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:12 | 15 |
| 10 | Flamengo | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 14 |
| 11 | Santos | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:8 | 14 |
| 13 | Bragantino | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:8 | 13 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 15 | Botafogo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:12 | 11 |
| 16 | Internacional | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:9 | 11 |
| 17 | Bahia | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 10 |
| 18 | Coritiba | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:6 | 9 |
| 19 | Remo | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | 7 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13:20 | 7 |
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