São Paulo vs Flamengo Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 05 Nov 2025
Série A Betting Preview: São Paulo vs Flamengo
São Paulo square off against second-placed Flamengo, with kick-off set for 19:30 on Wednesday 5 November. Our betting preview features expert Brazilian Série A predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
Flamengo could secure the spoils against São Paulo and we’ll take this selection on the Full-Time Result market. There are attractive odds of -103 and we can’t resist the opportunity to back the visitors.
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São Paulo won their previous league game 2-0. This away victory against Vasco da Gama made it two Série A wins on the spin. Hernan Crespo's side managed six shots on target and recorded 41% possession, while Lucas Moura and Luiz Gustavo scored one goal each.
Flamengo secured a home victory in their previous game. A 3-0 win occurred against Sport Recife. The Scarlet-Black had eleven shots on goal and boasted 67% possession, while Bruno Henrique found the net twice and Giorgian De Arrascaeta bagged one.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Flamengo succeeded 2-0 at home when they last faced São Paulo. The previous 10 H2H games have featured five Flamengo wins, two draws and three São Paulo victories.
| Série A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo |
35 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 73:23 | 74 |
| 8 | São Paulo |
35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 40:40 | 48 |
4 wins and 6 losses, averaging 0.9 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 8.9 attempts. São Paulo have had 53.2% possession and 5.3 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.1 goals from 6.1 shots on goal and 11.2 attempts, while being awarded 5.0 corners.
Top goalscorer Luciano Neves has found the net 3 times, Gonzalo Tapia 2, with Lucas Moura and two other players on 1. Enzo Hernan Diaz is the leading assists maker with 3.
Flamengo have 5 victories, 2 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 12.1 attempts, 4.0 shots on goal and 1.5 goals. The Rio de Janeiro team average 62.3% possession, 5.3 corners in their favour and 4.6 corners against, while 0.7 goals have been conceded from 3.3 shots on goal and 8.7 attempts.
Giorgian De Arrascaeta has scored 5, followed by Bruno Henrique, Pedro and Luiz Araujo with 2 goals apiece. Jorge Carrascal has been the top assist maker with 4 in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
São Paulo confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Rafael (GK), Nahuel Ferraresi, Robert Arboleda, Sabino, Cedric Soares, Damian Bobadilla, Luiz Gustavo, Pablo Maia, Ferreira, Luciano Neves, Gonzalo Tapia.
Flamengo confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Agustin Rossi (GK), Emerson Royal, Danilo, Leo Pereira, Alex Sandro, Erick Pulgar, Saul Niguez, Jorge Carrascal, Giorgian De Arrascaeta, Samuel Dias Lino, Gonzalo Plata.
São Paulo vs Flamengo Prediction & Betting Tips
We cover the essential São Paulo vs Flamengo betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, a corners value pick, correct score guidance, top player prop plays and a carefully crafted bet builder.
Match Prediction
We think Flamengo stand a strong chance of victory when they compete in this Série A game, with our pick providing lots of value. Secure the odds of -103 that the visitors are able to get the job done.
The Série A experts at Sportsgambler.com have a strong handle when it comes to injuries and suspensions. The recent form also helps to shape our football predictions, with this being cross-referenced with the latest numbers.
Key São Paulo vs Flamengo league stats:
According to the top bookmakers, our pick has a 50.8% chance of landing a return. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.
If you’re bullish that Flamengo will triumph, why not look at a Match Result & Total wager? It offers a larger price alternative and you’re required to forecast the goal tally along with our team to win.
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Correct Score Prediction
Flamengo can be backed at +700 to triumph by a 2-0 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.
Player Prop Picks
Samuel Lino (Flamengo) can be wagered to not have a shot on goal at -156. He looks like a value bet on the Shots on Target market and we recommend backing this player prop pick.
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Giorgian de Arrascaeta (Flamengo) has netted five goals in his past ten Série A matches. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive considering the numbers and we’ll plump for him to find the net at odds of +255.
T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Corners Prediction
All of the past three São Paulo games has seen the 8.5 Total Corners line covered, with three straight Flamengo matches having the same outcome. We think this presents a convincing argument and we’ll wager the Total Corners line to be covered which is available at odds of -143.
São Paulo
Flamengo
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Bet Builder Tips
Our same-game multi is compiled of the following: Flamengo to claim a victory, two or less goals to be registered along with Samuel Lino (Flamengo) to not have a shot on target.
We recommend a bet builder as it’s an exciting way of wagering on a football match. If a bettor has all predictions correct, it’s possible to land a nice pay out from a relatively small amount of money.
São Paulo vs Flamengo Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Flamengo are the shortest price to win this Série A clash according to the bookies, with the favourites given a 49% probability due to their +106 betting odds. If you want to back the outsider, São Paulo are available at +295.
If Flamengo and São Paulo play out a draw, then an Asian Handicap -0.25 on the former means a half stake refund. However, a victory for the favourites would mean a full payout at -132.
For those anticipating a low-scoring contest, Under 2.5 is the market leader for the Total Goals market. If you’re looking to wager Both Teams to Score No, this is currently available at -154.
It’s great that you can tap into hundreds of markets for every Série A game. Each of the leading football betting sites provide exciting pre-match and In-Play betting options.
Giorgian de Arrascaeta can be backed to find the net anytime at +255. There is the chance to back the market leader to score the first goal at +500.
- Série A: 12/07 2025 Flamengo 2 São Paulo 0
- Série A: 04/08 2024 São Paulo 1 Flamengo 0
- Série A: 18/04 2024 Flamengo 2 São Paulo 1
- Série A: 07/12 2023 São Paulo 1 Flamengo 0
- Copa do Brasil: 24/09 2023 São Paulo 1 Flamengo 1
- Copa do Brasil: 17/09 2023 Flamengo 0 São Paulo 1
- Série A: 13/08 2023 Flamengo 1 São Paulo 1
- Copa do Brasil: 15/09 2022 Flamengo 1 São Paulo 0
- Copa do Brasil: 25/08 2022 São Paulo 1 Flamengo 3
- Série A: 07/08 2022 São Paulo 0 Flamengo 2
São Paulo League Stats
Flamengo League Stats
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 1 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 5.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 3.60 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 4.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 4.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 53.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 52.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 62.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 63.10% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for São Paulo this season are Luciano Neves (7), Andre (5), Ferreira (4)
- Top Assistors for São Paulo this season are Enzo Hernan Diaz (5), Luciano Neves (4), Ferreira (3)
São Paulo vs Flamengo Lineups & Team News
The São Paulo vs Flamengo team news could change everything — review it before betting. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Série A lineups and injury news right here.
São Paulo Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2
Flamengo Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
São Paulo Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2
Flamengo Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
São Paulo Substitutes
- 2Rafael Toloi
- 7Lucas Moura
- 20Marcos Antonio
- 22Mailton
- 25Alisson
- 36Patryck
- 42Maik Gomes
- 43Felipe Negrucci
- 50Young
- 52Felipe Preis
- 77E. Ariel Rigoni
Flamengo Substitutes
- 2Guillermo Varela
- 6Ayrton Lucas
- 7Luiz Araujo
- 11Everton
- 17Matias Vina
- 18Nicolas de la Cruz
- 23Juninho
- 25Matheus Cunha
- 30Michael
- 33Cleiton Santos
- 61Joao Victor
- 64Wallace Yan
Previous São Paulo Lineups
Previous Flamengo Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Série A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 35 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 73:23 | 74 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 35 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 58:29 | 70 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 35 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 52:25 | 68 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 35 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 58:34 | 63 |
| 5 | Botafogo | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 50:32 | 58 |
| 6 | Bahia | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 47:43 | 56 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 40:38 | 55 |
| 8 | São Paulo | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 40:40 | 48 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 40:53 | 45 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 38:42 | 45 |
| 11 | Atlético MG | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:39 | 44 |
| 12 | Grêmio | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 39:46 | 43 |
| 13 | Vasco da Gama | 35 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 50:52 | 42 |
| 14 | Ceará | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 32:35 | 42 |
| 15 | Internacional | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 40:48 | 41 |
| 16 | Vitória | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 32:48 | 39 |
| 17 | Santos | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 36:50 | 38 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 37:53 | 34 |
| 19 | Juventude | 35 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 33:64 | 33 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 28:66 | 17 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 18 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 45:8 | 44 |
| 2 | Mirassol | 18 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 39:14 | 42 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 33:12 | 42 |
| 4 | Bahia | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 31:14 | 42 |
| 5 | Palmeiras | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 35:11 | 41 |
| 6 | Fluminense | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 23:11 | 40 |
| 7 | Botafogo | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 35:22 | 35 |
| 8 | Atlético MG | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 24:14 | 31 |
| 9 | São Paulo | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 24:17 | 31 |
| 10 | Grêmio | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20:13 | 29 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 24:15 | 28 |
| 12 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 23:23 | 28 |
| 13 | Internacional | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24:19 | 27 |
| 14 | Vitória | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 27 |
| 15 | Ceará | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18:14 | 25 |
| 16 | Vasco da Gama | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 26:23 | 25 |
| 17 | Santos | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 18:19 | 24 |
| 18 | Juventude | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20:22 | 22 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20:22 | 21 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 17:35 | 10 |
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