Utah State vs Boise State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 03 Oct 2026
Utah State vs Boise State Predictions
We have decided to go for Boise against the spread in order to get the best value. The Broncos should be able to cover the -18.5 line at odds of -110 when they take on Utah State.
We’ve locked in our top Utah State vs Boise picks, including our Best Bet, Player Props, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Find the complete breakdown of the card further down the page.
Utah State vs Boise State Preview
Utah State faces No. 22 Boise in this Week 5 matchup at Albertsons Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 19:30 on Saturday, October 3.
Boise and Utah State open Pac-12 play with a matchup carrying some history beyond the standings. This is the first conference game for both programs in the rebuilt Pac-12, giving the meeting extra significance as the Broncos and Aggies begin a new chapter as league rivals.
The Utah State Aggies are 1-3 after getting their first win of the season with a 21-10 home victory over the Troy Trojans. Quarterback Grady Brosterhous threw for 242 yards and two touchdowns while adding 89 rushing yards. Utah State finished with 413 total yards, while its defense intercepted three passes and shut out Troy in the second half.
The Boise State Broncos are 3-1 after making it three straight wins with a convincing 32-7 road victory over the Western Michigan Broncos. Quarterback Maddux Madsen threw for 204 yards and three touchdowns, while Dylan Riley rushed for 138 yards and a score. Boise held Western Michigan scoreless until the final minutes of the game.
H2H: Boise Have Been Unstoppable When Playing Utah State
Boise came out on top in the most recent meeting, edging Utah State 25-24 at Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium. The Broncos have dominated the series in recent years, winning each of the past 10 matchups between the programs.
Best Bet
There’s everything to like about the -18.5 line that the favorites have to cover in this college football battle. Take the -110 and feel confident that Boise get the job done.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
Injuries are always factored in by the CFB handicappers at Sportsgambler.com. Our predictions are also shaped by recent form, with up-to-date stats playing a key role before any selections are locked in.
Boise -18.5 Probability
If you go by the best sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% prospect of winning. However, our cappers research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this college bet.
If the initial odds don’t grab your fancy, there’s the option to shoot for more juice by moving the line when it comes to your spread pick. It all comes down to how confident you feel.
Ready to boost your bet? Explore a huge selection of welcome bonuses in our regularly updated betting offers guide.
Player Prop Picks
You can place a bet on Maddux Madsen (Boise) at -114 to go beyond 234.5 passing yards. We’re confident in taking him to cover the QB Passing Yards line and bettors can back this pick with conviction.
You can back Dylan Riley (Boise) at -112 surpass 122.5 rushing yards. The line for him on the Overs is highly appealing, with Player Rushing Yards bettors able to get plenty of juice.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Pick
Take a same game parlay that incorporates Boise State to cover the -18.5 spread along with Under 51.5 points. We’ve also gone for Maddux Madsen (Boise) to have Over 234.5 passing yards.
The same game parlay option is fantastic for football bettors wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same game. It’s especially good if you have a strong opinion on the likely outcomes and the odds for each selection are combined.
Correct Score Prediction
14
-
35
Boise State
There are a range of correct score lines to choose from and we’re taking a chance on Boise State to claim a 35-14 win. There’s a huge return if we get this right.
Utah State vs Boise State Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Boise State are strong -1667 favorites to win this college game according to the Moneyline betting odds. The sportsbooks give them a 94% chance of claiming victory. Utah State are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +890.
The spread is 19.5 and the total points line is currently 51.5. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular football wagers. If you want to bet Under 51.5, there are odds of -110.
If you’re getting ready to place a college football bet, head over to one of the top betting apps and explore the wide variety of game lines and team props. Take your time to spot the most appealing opportunities.
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Boise Keep Cashing In at Home
Boise State is riding four straight wins at Albertsons Stadium. The Broncos have nine wins and one loss in the last 10 home games, scoring 38.60 points per contest and conceding 20.70.
Utah State is 1-9 in their last 10 games away from home, scoring 23.00 points per contest and conceding 36.20.
When the teams last met at Albertsons Stadium, Boise beat Utah State 62-30. In the past 3 head-to-head meetings at Albertsons Stadium, Boise have won every game.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O51.5 | U51.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Boise State Home Stats |
9-1 | 59.30 | 38.60 | 20.70 | 8 | 2 | |
 Utah State Away Stats |
1-9 | 59.20 | 23.00 | 36.20 | 6 | 4 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O51.5 = Games Over 51.5 Points
- U51.5 = Games Under 51.5 Points
- NCAAF: 28/11 2025 Boise State 25 Utah State 24
- NCAAF: 06/10 2024 Utah State 30 Boise State 62
- NCAAF: 19/11 2023 Boise State 45 Utah State 10
- NCAAF: 25/11 2022 Utah State 23 Boise State 42
- NCAAF: 25/09 2021 Boise State 27 Utah State 3
- NCAAF: 25/10 2020 Utah State 13 Boise State 42
- NCAAF: 24/11 2019 Boise State 56 Utah State 21
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Utah State Aggies Stats
Boise State Broncos Stats
- 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
- 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +18.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
- +18.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road
- -18.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
- -18.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 45.60 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 59.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 51.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
- Over 51.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 21.60 pts and allowed 24.00 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 23.00 pts and allowed 36.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 50.70 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 61.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 51.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 51.5 at Home: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 27.10 pts and allowed 23.60 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 37.90 pts and allowed 23.10 pts in the last 10 home games
| Pacific-12 | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Boise State
|
4 | 1 | 172 | 103 | 69 | 3-0 | 1-1 | 4W |
Fresno State
|
4 | 1 | 139 | 82 | 57 | 2-0 | 2-1 | 4W |
Oregon State
|
3 | 2 | 185 | 118 | 67 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 3W |
San Diego State
|
2 | 3 | 123 | 144 | -21 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 1W |
Colorado State
|
2 | 3 | 187 | 193 | -6 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 3L |
|
Utah State
|
1 | 4 | 70 | 125 | -55 | 1-1 | 0-3 | 1L |
Washington State
|
1 | 4 | 95 | 125 | -30 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2L |
Texas State
|
2 | 3 | 174 | 166 | 8 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 1L |
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