Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 May 2026
La Liga Betting Preview: Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano
Valencia host Rayo Vallecano at Estadio Mestalla, with kick-off set for 13:00 on Thursday 14 May.
Rayo look a nice wager to topple Valencia and we can take them at -110 with a +0.25 goal headstart on the Asian Handicap. This means dividing our stake equally between 0 and +0.5 in the hope of a payout.
Valencia triumphed in their last game which was away from home. Athletic Club were beaten 1-0 at San Mamés. Carlos Corberan's team had 45% of possession and three shots on target, with Umar Sadiq netting the winner in the 72nd minute.
Rayo Vallecano drew 1-1 in their previous game. This was at home against Girona at Estadio de Vallecas. Los Franjirrojos had the lion’s share of the ball boasting 59% possession and five shots on goal, with Alexandre Zurawski finding the net.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Rayo boast an unbeaten record in the past four games against Valencia, with the last clash ending 1-1 at Estadio de Vallecas. The previous 10 H2H meetings have featured six draws, three wins for Rayo and just one for Valencia.
| La Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano |
35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 36:42 | 43 |
| 12 | Valencia |
35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38:50 | 42 |
5 wins, 4 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.2 goals from 12.8 attempts and 3.6 shots on goal. Valencia have had 46.9% possession, 387.0 passes and 5.4 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.1 goals from 12.3 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 4.7 corners.
Umar Sadiq and Largie Ramazani are the leading goalscorers with 3, while Guido Rodriguez has 2. Luis Rioja, Javier Guerra and Umar Sadiq are top assists makers with 2, while goalkeeper Stole Dimitrievski has kept 3 clean sheets.
Rayo have won 4, lost 2 and drawn 4, with an average of 5.0 shots on goal, 15.4 attempts and 1.3 goals. Inigo Perez's men average 53.5% possession, 380.7 passes, 6.6 corners taken and 4.8 corners against them, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 11.6 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal.
Sergio Camello has top scored with 3, while Alexandre Zurawski, Randy Nteka and Jorge de Frutos are next on 2. Unai Lopez, Gerard Gumbau and Pedro Diaz are top assists providers with 1, while Augusto Batalla has recorded 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Valencia predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Stole Dimitrievski (GK), Renzo Saravia, Cesar Tarrega, Eray Coemert, Jose Gaya, Guido Rodriguez, Pepelu, Luis Rioja, Javier Guerra, Largie Ramazani, Hugo Duro.
Rayo Vallecano predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Augusto Batalla (GK), Ivan Balliu, Florian Lejeune, Pathe Ciss, Pep Chavarria, Oscar Valentin, Gerard Gumbau, Jorge de Frutos, Sergio Camello, Carlos Martin, Alexandre Zurawski.
Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Betting Tips
From our key match prediction to corners advice, correct score pick, top player prop insights and a builder tailored for value — our Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano betting tips covers it all.
Match Prediction
Rayo +0.25 on the Asian Handicap looks like a sensible play at a price of -110. They should be able to swerve a loss in this La Liga game and we’re confident that the away team can land a victory.
Knowing the players that are injured give us a helping hand when putting together football betting tips. Once we’ve also looked at the La Liga form guide, we use the available stats and make predictions.
Key Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano league stats:
If you go by the top bookies, there’s a 52.4% likelihood of our pick winning. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.
There are bigger odds available to bettors who are willing to move the line. If you’re prepared for additional risk, more juice can be landed from your betting selections.
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Correct Score Prediction
Our correct score prediction is a 1-0 win for Rayo which is available at odds of +850. We think they’ll achieve victory and this is a way of getting bigger odds and more excitement.
Player Prop Picks
Alfonso Espino (Rayo) has managed an average of 1.2 shots in his past five La Liga matches on the road. If you side with our view that he can cover the Player Shots line, then you are able to secure odds of -147 for this outcome.
Sergio Camello (Rayo) has managed three goals in his past five La Liga games. He looks like an attractive wager to be on the scoresheet and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer selection at odds of +240.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The past ten Rayo Vallecano games have seen them awarded an average of 6.60 corners, while Valencia have conceded an average 7.20 corners in their last five matches. We endorse betting on the -111 that Rayo successfully cover the line, with this Team Corners wager hopefully providing a return.
Valencia
Rayo
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
If you want to try a same-game multi, have a play on Rayo Vallecano with the +0.25 Asian Handicap, two or less goals to be scored merged with Rayo Vallecano Over 4.5 corners.
A bet builder is a great alternative for football punters who want to focus their wagering on a single game. You’re able to scan through each market and pick out the selections that make the most appeal. The odds for each pick are multiplied together.
Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
For this La Liga clash, Valencia are the +128 favourites to triumph according to the latest Full-Time Result betting odds. This reflects that they have a 44% chance of winning. The +240 means that Rayo Vallecano are seen as having the lowest probability of succeeding.
Valencia can be backed at -182 on the Draw No Bet and you’ll get stakes refunded if the game ends level. Alternatively, Rayo can be chanced at +128 on the same market.
For the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this interesting contest. BTTS Yes is available at -128 for anyone expecting Both Teams to Score.
Hundreds of markets for every La Liga game await you, with the leading football betting sites providing a huge range of choice. A first-class service awaits whether you’re betting pre-match or In-Play.
There is +200 available that Hugo Duro finds the net anytime. If you’re interested in the favourite to score the first goal, then you are able to secure +500.
Valencia have collected four victories, four losses and two draws in the last 10 home games, recording an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 1.60.
Rayo have six defeats, three draws and one win in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 0.50 goals per match and conceding 1.60.
Rayo beat Valencia 1-0 when they last met at Estadio Mestalla. The previous 4 H2H meetings at Estadio Mestalla have featured three draws and one Rayo victory.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Valencia Home Stats |
4-2-4 | 3.00 | 1.40 | 1.60 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 3 | |
Rayo Vallecano Away Stats |
1-3-6 | 2.10 | 0.50 | 1.60 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 7 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- La Liga: 01/12 2025 Rayo Vallecano 1 Valencia 1
- La Liga: 19/04 2025 Rayo Vallecano 1 Valencia 1
- La Liga: 07/12 2024 Valencia 0 Rayo Vallecano 1
- La Liga: 12/05 2024 Valencia 0 Rayo Vallecano 0
- La Liga: 19/12 2023 Rayo Vallecano 0 Valencia 1
- La Liga: 03/04 2023 Valencia 1 Rayo Vallecano 1
- La Liga: 10/09 2022 Rayo Vallecano 2 Valencia 1
- La Liga: 11/04 2022 Rayo Vallecano 1 Valencia 1
- La Liga: 27/11 2021 Valencia 1 Rayo Vallecano 1
- La Liga: 06/04 2019 Rayo Vallecano 2 Valencia 0
Valencia League Stats
Rayo Vallecano League Stats
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 4.30 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.60 corners awarded and 4.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 5.40 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 46.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 48.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 53.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 52.00% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Valencia this season are Hugo Duro (9), Largie Ramazani (6), Umar Sadiq (4)
- Top Assistors for Valencia this season are Luis Rioja (6), Javier Guerra (5), Filip Ugrinic (3)
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Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano Lineups & Team News
Be smart with your bets — check the Valencia vs Rayo team news beforehand. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed La Liga lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.
Valencia Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Rayo Vallecano Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Valencia Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Rayo Vallecano Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Valencia Lineups
Previous Rayo Vallecano Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Valencia Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Carlos Corberan
Rayo Vallecano Player Stats & Squad
La Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 35 | 30 | 1 | 4 | 91:31 | 91 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 35 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 70:33 | 77 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 35 | 21 | 6 | 8 | 65:40 | 69 |
| 4 | Atlético Madrid | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 60:39 | 66 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 36 | 14 | 15 | 7 | 56:44 | 57 |
| 6 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 51:47 | 50 |
| 7 | Getafe | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 28:36 | 45 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 54:55 | 44 |
| 9 | Athletic Club | 35 | 13 | 5 | 17 | 40:51 | 44 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 36:42 | 43 |
| 11 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 43:47 | 42 |
| 12 | Valencia | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 38:50 | 42 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 43:56 | 40 |
| 14 | Elche | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 47:56 | 39 |
| 15 | Mallorca | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 43:52 | 39 |
| 16 | Levante | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 44:59 | 39 |
| 17 | Espanyol | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 38:53 | 39 |
| 18 | Girona | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 37:52 | 39 |
| 19 | Alavés | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 41:54 | 37 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 35 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 26:54 | 29 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 18 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 54:9 | 54 |
| 2 | Villarreal | 17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 41:15 | 43 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 39:14 | 43 |
| 4 | Atlético Madrid | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 38:17 | 43 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 32:18 | 33 |
| 6 | Elche | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 29:19 | 32 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 30:22 | 32 |
| 8 | Mallorca | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 28:21 | 30 |
| 9 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 34:27 | 29 |
| 10 | Athletic Club | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 21:20 | 29 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 22:15 | 28 |
| 12 | Valencia | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23:21 | 26 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 24:24 | 25 |
| 14 | Alavés | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 23:23 | 24 |
| 15 | Levante | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24:28 | 23 |
| 16 | Espanyol | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18:23 | 22 |
| 17 | Girona | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 19:25 | 22 |
| 18 | Getafe | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 14:15 | 21 |
| 19 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 28:28 | 20 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 9:17 | 19 |
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