Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 May 2026

La Liga Betting Preview: Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano

Valencia host Rayo Vallecano at Estadio Mestalla, with kick-off set for 13:00 on Thursday 14 May.

Rayo look a nice wager to topple Valencia and we can take them at -110 with a +0.25 goal headstart on the Asian Handicap. This means dividing our stake equally between 0 and +0.5 in the hope of a payout.

Valencia triumphed in their last game which was away from home. Athletic Club were beaten 1-0 at San Mamés. Carlos Corberan's team had 45% of possession and three shots on target, with Umar Sadiq netting the winner in the 72nd minute.

Rayo Vallecano drew 1-1 in their previous game. This was at home against Girona at Estadio de Vallecas. Los Franjirrojos had the lion’s share of the ball boasting 59% possession and five shots on goal, with Alexandre Zurawski finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Rayo boast an unbeaten record in the past four games against Valencia, with the last clash ending 1-1 at Estadio de Vallecas. The previous 10 H2H meetings have featured six draws, three wins for Rayo and just one for Valencia.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
10	Rayo Vallecano	35	10	13	12	36	42	-6	36:42	43
12	Valencia	35	11	9	15	38	50	-12	38:50	42

View Full Table

5 wins, 4 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.2 goals from 12.8 attempts and 3.6 shots on goal. Valencia have had 46.9% possession, 387.0 passes and 5.4 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.1 goals from 12.3 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 4.7 corners.

Umar Sadiq and Largie Ramazani are the leading goalscorers with 3, while Guido Rodriguez has 2. Luis Rioja, Javier Guerra and Umar Sadiq are top assists makers with 2, while goalkeeper Stole Dimitrievski has kept 3 clean sheets.

Rayo have won 4, lost 2 and drawn 4, with an average of 5.0 shots on goal, 15.4 attempts and 1.3 goals. Inigo Perez's men average 53.5% possession, 380.7 passes, 6.6 corners taken and 4.8 corners against them, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 11.6 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal.

Sergio Camello has top scored with 3, while Alexandre Zurawski, Randy Nteka and Jorge de Frutos are next on 2. Unai Lopez, Gerard Gumbau and Pedro Diaz are top assists providers with 1, while Augusto Batalla has recorded 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Valencia predicted lineup (4-4-2): Stole Dimitrievski (GK), Renzo Saravia, Cesar Tarrega, Eray Coemert, Jose Gaya, Diego Lopez, Guido Rodriguez, Pepelu, Luis Rioja, Javier Guerra, Hugo Duro.

Rayo Vallecano predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Augusto Batalla (GK), Ivan Balliu, Florian Lejeune, Nobel Mendy, Jozhua Vertrouwd, Pathe Ciss, Gerard Gumbau, Jorge de Frutos, Sergio Camello, Alfonso Espino, Alexandre Zurawski.

Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Betting Tips

From our key match prediction to corners advice, correct score pick, top player prop insights and a builder tailored for value — our Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano betting tips covers it all.

Match Prediction

Rayo +0.25 on the Asian Handicap looks like a sensible play at a price of -110. They should be able to swerve a loss in this La Liga game and we’re confident that the away team can land a victory.

Knowing the players that are injured give us a helping hand when putting together football betting tips. Once we’ve also looked at the La Liga form guide, we use the available stats and make predictions.

Key Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Rayo in 4 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Rayo in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Rayo in 14 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Valencia in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Valencia in 12 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Valencia in 4 consecutive games against Rayo.

If you go by the top bookies, there’s a 52.4% likelihood of our pick winning. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

There are bigger odds available to bettors who are willing to move the line. If you’re prepared for additional risk, more juice can be landed from your betting selections.

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Our Match Prediction

Rayo Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -110 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 12, 19:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Valencia 0 - 1 Rayo

Our correct score prediction is a 1-0 win for Rayo which is available at odds of +900. We think they’ll achieve victory and this is a way of getting bigger odds and more excitement.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Sergio Camello to Score +240

Sergio Camello (Rayo) has racked up three goals in his past five La Liga games. He looks like a value bet to find the net and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of +240.

Latest Sergio Camello Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+240

First

+650

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Rayo Over 4.5 Corners -111

The past ten Rayo Vallecano games have seen them awarded an average of 6.60 corners, while Valencia have conceded an average 7.20 corners in their last five matches. We endorse betting on the -111 that Rayo successfully cover the line, with this Team Corners wager hopefully providing a return.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Valencia

Total

10.10 5.40 4.70

Home

9.80 5.50 4.30

Away

9.80 4.60 5.20

Rayo

Total

11.40 6.60 4.80

Home

11.20 6.60 4.60

Away

10.20 4.80 5.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-120

Under 9.5

-118

Valencia Corners

Over 4.5

-135

Under 4.5

-105

Rayo Corners

Over 4.5

-110

Under 4.5

-130

Most Corners

1

-111

X

+650

2

+115

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

For this La Liga clash, Valencia are the +123 favourites to triumph according to the latest Full-Time Result betting odds. This reflects that they have a 45% chance of winning. The +240 means that Rayo Vallecano are seen as having the lowest probability of succeeding.

Valencia can be backed at -185 on the Draw No Bet and you’ll get stakes refunded if the game ends level. Alternatively, Rayo can be chanced at +128 on the same market.

If you’re wagering on Total Goals, the market is finding it hard to split Overs and Unders. BTTS Yes is available at -149 for anyone expecting Both Teams to Score.

Hundreds of markets for every La Liga game await you, with the leading football betting sites providing a huge range of choice. A first-class service awaits whether you’re betting pre-match or In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

+123

X

+225

2

+240

Half-Time Result

1

+175

X

+118

2

+280

Double Chance

1X

-333

12

-294

X2

-156

Draw No Bet

1

-185

2

+128

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-112

2 Hcp +0.25

-110

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-120

Over 2.5

-108

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-149

No

+108

There is +190 available that Hugo Duro finds the net anytime. If you’re interested in the favourite to score the first goal, then you are able to secure +460.

Hugo Duro (Valencia)

First

+190

Anytime

+460

Umar Sadiq (Valencia)

First

+200

Anytime

+510

Largie Ramazani (Valencia)

First

+210

Anytime

+525

Sergio Camello (Rayo)

First

+240

Anytime

+650

Alemão (Rayo)

First

+270

Anytime

+700

Jorge de Frutos (Rayo)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Lucas Beltrán (Valencia)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Arnaut Danjuma (Valencia)

First

+330

Anytime

+850

Daniel Raba (Valencia)

First

+350

Anytime

+850

Álvaro García (Rayo)

First

+350

Anytime

+950

Diego Lopez (Valencia)

First

+380

Anytime

+1000

Javi Guerra (Valencia)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Ilias Akhomach (Rayo)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Luis Rioja (Valencia)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Fran Pérez (Rayo)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Carlos Martín (Rayo)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Randy Nteka (Rayo)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Pepelu (Valencia)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Filip Ugrinic (Valencia)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Óscar Trejo (Rayo)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Florian Lejeune (Rayo)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Pedro Diaz (Rayo)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

André Ribeiro Almeida (Valencia)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Baptiste Santamaria (Valencia)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Alfonso Espino (Rayo)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Valencia have collected four victories, four losses and two draws in the last 10 home games, recording an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 1.60.

Rayo have six defeats, three draws and one win in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 0.50 goals per match and conceding 1.60.

Rayo beat Valencia 1-0 when they last met at Estadio Mestalla. The previous 4 H2H meetings at Estadio Mestalla have featured three draws and one Rayo victory.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Valencia Home Stats		4-2-4	3.00	1.40	1.60	5	5	7	3
Rayo Vallecano Away Stats		1-3-6	2.10	0.50	1.60	4	6	3	7

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano Lineups & Team News

Be smart with your bets — check the Valencia vs Rayo team news beforehand. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed La Liga lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.

Valencia Team Page Rayo Vallecano Team Page

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