AC Milan vs Atalanta Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 10 May 2026

Serie A Betting Preview: AC Milan vs Atalanta

Fourth-placed AC Milan host seventh-placed Atalanta at San Siro, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Sunday 10 May.

Atalanta look like a great wager on the Asian Handicap against Milan. You can back the visitors at +0.5 at -128 which means a payout if they draw or win, with one of these outcomes on the cards.

AC Milan were beaten in their last game. On their travels, they suffered a 2-0 loss against Sassuolo at Stadio Mapei. Massimiliano Allegri's side recorded 43% possession and didn’t have any shots on target.

Atalanta drew their previous game which was at home. The action at New Balance Arena ended 0-0 against Genoa. La Dea recorded 60% possession and had seven shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Atalanta are unbeaten in the past six games against Milan, with the last clash ending in a 1-1 draw at New Balance Arena. The previous 10 H2H matches have ended up with four Atalanta wins, three Milan victories and three draws.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	AC Milan	37	20	10	7	52	33	19	52:33	70
7	Atalanta	37	15	13	9	50	35	15	50:35	58

View Full Table

4 wins, 5 losses and 1 draw, averaging 0.7 goals from 12.5 attempts and 2.9 shots on goal. Milan have had 53.3% possession, 491.8 passes and 3.8 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.0 goals from 11.7 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 3.9 corners.

Top goalscorers are Adrien Rabiot and Strahinja Pavlovic on 2 goals, while Youssouf Fofana has bagged 1. Rafael Leao, Christian Pulisic and Zachary Athekame are tied for the most assists on 1, with goalie Mike Maignan managing 4 clean sheets.

Atalanta have 3 victories, 3 defeats and 4 draws, averaging 15.6 attempts, 4.8 shots on goal and 1.3 goals. The Bergamo team average 59.7% possession, 543.4 passes, 6.7 corners awarded and 3.0 corners against them, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 3.4 shots on goal and 10.4 attempts.

Gianluca Scamacca is the leading scorer with 4 goals, followed by Nikola Krstovic on 3, with Giacomo Raspadori and two others bagging 1. Charles De Ketelaere and Nicola Zalewski are the top assist makers with 2 apiece, while Marco Carnesecchi has notched 3 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

AC Milan confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Mike Maignan (GK), Koni De Winter, Matteo Gabbia, Strahinja Pavlovic, Alexis Saelemaekers, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Samuele Ricci, Adrien Rabiot, Davide Bartesaghi, Santiago Gimenez, Rafael Leao.

Atalanta confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Marco Carnesecchi (GK), Giorgio Scalvini, Isak Hien, Sead Kolasinac, Davide Zappacosta, Marten de Roon, Ederson, Nicola Zalewski, Charles De Ketelaere, Giacomo Raspadori, Nikola Krstovic.

AC Milan vs Atalanta Prediction & Betting Tips

Get set for AC Milan vs Atalanta with our full betting breakdown, complete with an expert match prediction, a likely final score, top corners play, player prop picks and a value-driven bet builder.

Match Prediction

Atalanta look like a great betting option with a +0.5 goal start. They should be able to triumph or potentially draw this Serie A match, with this Asian Handicap pick at -128 looking like value.

It's important to understand the players who are unavailable for the upcoming Serie A action and the respective form of each team. If you want stats, you have come to the right place and they form the basis of our football predictions.

Key AC Milan vs Atalanta league stats:

• The +0.5 line has been covered by Atalanta in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Atalanta in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Milan in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Milan in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Milan in 2 consecutive games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Milan in 6 consecutive games against Atalanta.

The betting apps are estimating that there is a 56.2% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 60-65%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

There’s an opportunity to land bigger odds thanks to selling goals on your Asian Handicap wager. If you want a safer wager, buying goals could be the way forward.

Before you place your bets, explore our updated guide packed with the latest free bets and betting bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Atalanta Asian Hcp +0.5 @ -128 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 8, 20:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Milan 1 - 1 Atalanta

An exciting wager could be the game to end in a 1-1 draw at odds of +500. A correct score bet provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nikola Krstovic Over 2.5 Shots -100

Nikola Krstovic (Atalanta) has recorded over 2.5 shots in seven of his past ten Serie A games. He should be capable of covering the line when it comes to this player prop and odds of -100 are now available.

Latest Nikola Krstovic Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+230

First

+650

Shots

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-

---

Gianluca Scamacca to Score +230

Gianluca Scamacca (Atalanta) has scored four goals in his past seven Serie A games. We’ll take a chance at +230 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look really appealing.

Latest Gianluca Scamacca Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+230

First

+600

Shots

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Milan Under 4.5 Corners +107

Milan have not covered the 4.5 corners line in six straight games, while the corner count against Atalanta has been less than 4.5 in 9 of the past 10 matches. The number of Milan corners could be lower than the line suggests and that leads us to a bet at odds of +107.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Milan

Total

7.70 3.80 3.90

Home

8.80 5.50 3.30

Away

8.40 3.60 4.80

Atalanta

Total

9.70 6.70 3.00

Home

11.20 7.30 3.90

Away

10.30 5.10 5.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-115

Under 9.5

-123

Milan Corners

Over 4.5

-149

Under 4.5

+104

Atalanta Corners

Over 4.5

+108

Under 4.5

-154

Most Corners

1

-133

X

+650

2

+138

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

AC Milan vs Atalanta Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

AC Milan are the +112 favourites on the Full-Time Result. That means a 47% chance of winning this Serie A encounter according to the latest betting odds. Atalanta are regarded as the least likely winner at +245.

Milan and Atalanta can be backed at -200 and +135 respectively on the Draw No Bet market. This is an ideal route for bettors who want to ensure they have money back if the scoreline ends level.

Over 2.5 Goals is trading at a shorter price than Under 2.5 Goals right now. For those expecting both sides to find the net, Both Teams to Score Yes is available at -161.

No matter what Serie A game is taking place, you will find hundreds of markets being offered. Peruse the various choices that are presented at the best football betting sites.

Full-Time Result

1

+112

X

+230

2

+245

Half-Time Result

1

+165

X

+128

2

+270

Double Chance

1X

-333

12

-313

X2

-147

Draw No Bet

1

-200

2

+135

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-119

2 Hcp +0.25

-103

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-102

Over 2.5

-127

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-161

No

+120

Rafael Leão is the market leader at +475 to be First Goalscorer but if you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Rafael Leão (Milan)

First

+180

Anytime

+475

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

First

+190

Anytime

+500

Christopher Nkunku (Milan)

First

+200

Anytime

+525

Santiago Giménez (Milan)

First

+210

Anytime

+600

Niclas Füllkrug (Milan)

First

+230

Anytime

+600

Gianluca Scamacca (Atalanta)

First

+230

Anytime

+600

Nikola Krstovic (Atalanta)

First

+230

Anytime

+650

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Charles De Ketelaere (Atalanta)

First

+340

Anytime

+900

Giacomo Raspadori (Atalanta)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Lazar Samardzic (Atalanta)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Adrien Rabiot (Milan)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Nicola Zalewski (Atalanta)

First

+475

Anytime

+1200

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Youssouf Fofana (Milan)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Kamal-Deen Sulemana (Atalanta)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Mario Pasalic (Atalanta)

First

+575

Anytime

+1600

Ardon Jashari (Milan)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Davide Zappacosta (Atalanta)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Éderson José dos Santos Lourenco da Silva (Atalanta)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Samuele Ricci (Milan)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Davide Bartesaghi (Milan)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Pervis Estupiñán (Milan)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Mitchel Bakker (Atalanta)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Rafael Leão (Milan)

Over 2.5

-125

Under 2.5

-

Christopher Nkunku (Milan)

Over 2.5

-128

Under 2.5

-

Santiago Giménez (Milan)

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-

Niclas Füllkrug (Milan)

Over 2.5

+118

Under 2.5

-

Gianluca Scamacca (Atalanta)

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-

Nikola Krstovic (Atalanta)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

Over 2.5

-123

Under 2.5

-

Adrien Rabiot (Milan)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Nicola Zalewski (Atalanta)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Giacomo Raspadori (Atalanta)

Over 1.5

+107

Under 1.5

-

Charles De Ketelaere (Atalanta)

Over 1.5

-127

Under 1.5

-

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

-

Lazar Samardzic (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-294

Under 0.5

-

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

Over 0.5

-278

Under 0.5

-

Youssouf Fofana (Milan)

Over 0.5

-270

Under 0.5

-

Kamal-Deen Sulemana (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Mario Pasalic (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Ardon Jashari (Milan)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Davide Zappacosta (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Éderson José dos Santos Lourenco da Silva (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Samuele Ricci (Milan)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-

Davide Bartesaghi (Milan)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-

Pervis Estupiñán (Milan)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

Mitchel Bakker (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-

Stats: Serie A matches only
Milan have secured five wins, four draws and one defeat in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 0.90.

Atalanta have recorded four victories, four draws and two defeats in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding 0.80.

Atalanta won 1-0 when they last played Milan at San Siro. There have been two Milan victories, one Atalanta win and one draw in the past 4 H2H games at San Siro.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
AC Milan Home Stats		5-4-1	2.20	1.30	0.90	5	5	4	6
Atalanta Away Stats		4-4-2	2.20	1.40	0.80	3	7	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

AC Milan vs Atalanta Lineups & Team News

Always review the Milan vs Atalanta team news before locking in your bets. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed Serie A lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.

AC Milan Team Page Atalanta Team Page

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