AC Milan vs Atalanta Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 18 Oct 2026
AC Milan vs Atalanta Predictions
Milan look like a spot of value at -130 when it comes to the Full-Time Result market. I Rossoneri should be able to deliver a victory against Atalanta based on the information available.
Dive into our Milan vs Atalanta betting breakdown for the complete analysis of our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
AC Milan vs Atalanta Preview
AC Milan go head-to-head with Atalanta at San Siro, with kick-off set for 12:00 on Sunday 18 October.
AC Milan have made a solid start to the Serie A season, collecting 12 points from their opening six matches. In their previous league outing, Ruben Amorim's side played out a 1-1 away draw against Sassuolo at Mapei Stadium. Milan enjoyed 59% possession and registered six shots on target, with Adrien Rabiot on the scoresheet.
On Thursday night, Milan won 4-0 in the Europa League when visiting Austrian Bundesliga team Red Bull Salzburg.
Atalanta have picked up nine points from their first six league games, with back-to-back away defeats affecting their early-season form. La Dea returned to winning ways with a 3-1 home victory over Venezia at New Balance Arena when last in Serie A action. They had 36% possession and recorded eleven shots on target, with Nikola Krstovic scoring twice and Franck Kessie also finding the net.
Three days ago, Atalanta claimed a 3-1 victory in the Europa Conference League when hosting Cypriot First Division side Pafos FC.
H2H: 3-2 Victory for Atalanta in Last Head-to-Head
Atalanta haven’t lost to Milan in their past seven games. In their last clash, Atalanta claimed a 3-2 away victory at San Siro. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved five Atalanta wins, two Milan victories and three draws.
| Serie A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |  AC Milan |
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23:13 | 24 |
| 12 |  Atalanta |
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 17:20 | 14 |
Milan have 4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 12.6 attempts. I Rossoneri have averaged 54.8% possession, 516.8 passes and 3.3 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.3 goals from 4.2 shots on goal, 11.4 attempts and 3.3 corners.
Top scorers Adrien Rabiot and Diego Moreira have found the net 3 times, with Alphadjo Cisse getting 2. Adrien Rabiot, Christian Pulisic and Samuel Chukwueze have the most assists with 2, while goalie Mike Maignan has recorded 2 clean sheets.
Atalanta have won 4, lost 4 and drawn 2, averaging 4.7 shots on goal, 13.9 attempts and 1.2 goals. Maurizio Sarri's team average 48.4% possession, 479.3 passes, 3.4 corners awarded and 4.5 corners against, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 15.8 attempts and 5.6 shots on goal.
The leading scorer has been Nikola Krstovic with 3, while Ederson and Giacomo Raspadori have 2. Nikola Krstovic is top assists provider with 2, while Marco Carnesecchi has recorded 2 clean sheets in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
AC Milan confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Mike Maignan (GK), Mario Gila, Koni De Winter, Strahinja Pavlovic, Samuel Chukwueze, Yunus Musah, Luka Modric, Diego Moreira, Adrien Rabiot, Christian Pulisic, Goncalo Ramos.
Atalanta confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Marco Carnesecchi (GK), Raoul Bellanova, Thomas Kristensen, Sead Kolasinac, Lorenzo Bernasconi, Lazar Samardzic, Ederson, Mario Pasalic, Charles De Ketelaere, Nikola Krstovic, Jonathan Rowe.
Main Match Prediction
We’ll take the plunge and back Milan to secure victory when they line up in this Serie A encounter. There’s plenty of confidence behind this wager and the odds of -130 look attractive.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
We’re always aware of the injuries and suspensions for each team before we decide which way to go with our football picks. The form and data also help the Serie A experts at Sportsgambler.com when it comes to a betting view on the action.
According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 56.5% chance of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 60-65%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.
There is a fantastic betting option which allows you to combine Milan to win with both teams to find the net. Simply head to the Result + BTTS market to secure bigger odds.
Find top value before betting. Our guide includes the latest free bets and sign-up bonuses from trusted sites.
Correct Score Prediction
2
-
0
Atalanta
Let’s go for Milan to win 2-0, a bet which is available at +750. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.
Player Prop Picks
Nikola Krstovic (Atalanta) has totalled at least one shot on goal in seven of his past nine Serie A matches on the road. We’re going to take him on the Overs for Shots on Target, with this line making plenty of appeal at odds of -159.
Adrien Rabiot (Milan) has scored two goals in his past five Serie A games. He looks like a value bet to find the net and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of +410.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
In their past ten games, Milan have had less than 5.5 corners. There are odds of -161 when it comes to this Team Corners bet and we can see Milan fall short of the line here.
Milan
Atalanta
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Our bet builder is packed with these picks: Milan on the Full-Time Result, BTTS No and Nikola Krstovic (Atalanta) to finish with one or more shots on target.
If you’re keen to wager different selections for the same football match, a bet builder will provide a solution. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single bet. The odds can combine to great effect.
AC Milan vs Atalanta Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
AC Milan are forecasted to have a 60% chance of triumphing in this Serie A encounter according to the bookmakers. It leads to their latest betting odds being -152. For those wanting to back Atalanta, you will find +360 about this outsider.
Milan -0.75 are -125 against Atalanta on the Asian Handicap. If the favourites win by a goal, you win with half your stake and get the rest refunded. If they win by two or more, you get a full payout.
The Over 2.5 option is currently favourite on the Total Goals betting market. Both Teams to Score is one of the top markets and the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -167.
It’s great that you can tap into hundreds of markets for every Serie A match. Each of our recommended football betting sites provide exciting pre-match and In-Play betting options.
Favourite Gonçalo Ramos is available at +330 to be the First Goalscorer. Similar odds apply if you’re interested in him to score the last goal.
Stats: Last 10 Serie A matches only.
Milan have collected five wins, three draws and two defeats in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 0.90.
Atalanta have failed to win in their last three matches on their travels. La Dea have finished with four losses, three victories and three draws in the past 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.40.
The last San Siro meeting saw Atalanta beat Milan 3-2. The previous 5 H2H meetings at San Siro have yielded two wins apiece and a draw.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan Home Stats |
5-3-2 | 2.40 | 1.50 | 0.90 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 7 | |
| Atalanta Away Stats |
3-3-4 | 2.90 | 1.50 | 1.40 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 3 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Serie A: 10/05 2026 AC Milan 2 Atalanta 3
- Serie A: 28/10 2025 Atalanta 1 AC Milan 1
- Serie A: 20/04 2025 AC Milan 0 Atalanta 1
- Serie A: 06/12 2024 Atalanta 2 AC Milan 1
- Serie A: 25/02 2024 AC Milan 1 Atalanta 1
- Coppa Italia: 10/01 2024 AC Milan 1 Atalanta 2
- Serie A: 09/12 2023 Atalanta 3 AC Milan 2
- Serie A: 26/02 2023 AC Milan 2 Atalanta 0
- Serie A: 21/08 2022 Atalanta 1 AC Milan 1
- Serie A: 15/05 2022 AC Milan 2 Atalanta 0
AC Milan League Stats
Atalanta League Stats
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.30 corners awarded and 3.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 corners awarded and 3.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.70 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 3.40 corners awarded and 4.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.30 corners awarded and 4.60 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 7.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 54.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 56.20% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 48.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.00% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for AC Milan this season are Adrien Rabiot (3), Diego Moreira (3), Alphadjo Cisse (2)
- Top Assistors for AC Milan this season are Adrien Rabiot (2), Samuel Chukwueze (2), Alexis Saelemaekers (1)
AC Milan vs Atalanta Lineups & Team News
Double-check the Milan vs Atalanta team news before placing your bets. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for Serie A and the newest injury information.
AC Milan Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
Atalanta Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
AC Milan Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
Atalanta Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
AC Milan Substitutes
- 2Pervis Estupinan
- 8Ruben Loftus-Cheek
- 13Sankhoun Diawara
- 20Omari Hutchinson
- 23Fikayo Tomori
- 28Christian Comotto
- 30Ardon Jashari
- 33Davide Bartesaghi
- 35Valeri Vladimirov
- 41Leo Paul Bouyer
- 42Filippo Terracciano
- 70Alphadjo Cisse
- 73Francesco Camarda
- 96Lorenzo Torriani
Atalanta Substitutes
- 9Gianluca Scamacca
- 40Relja Obric
- 41Javison Idele
- 45Digne Pounga
- 51Mattia Sonzogni
- 53Matteo Plaia
- 57Marco Sportiello
- 59Nicola Zalewski
- 70Gianluca Gaetano
- 77Davide Zappacosta
Previous AC Milan Lineups
Previous Atalanta Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
AC Milan Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Ruben Amorim
Atalanta Player Stats & Squad
Serie A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 25:9 | 29 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28:13 | 28 |
| 3 | Roma | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 31:10 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | 24 |
| 5 | Como | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24:15 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 8 | Bologna | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 10 | Napoli | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:17 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17:20 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 11:16 | 13 |
| 14 | Lecce | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12:22 | 10 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16:29 | 8 |
| 18 | Monza | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17:25 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12:25 | 5 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 19:7 | 18 |
| 2 | Roma | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17:5 | 16 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16:6 | 15 |
| 4 | Lazio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:5 | 13 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13:7 | 12 |
| 6 | Como | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 8 | Atalanta | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:11 | 10 |
| 9 | Genoa | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 10 | Napoli | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 11 | Cagliari | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 7 |
| 12 | Torino | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 13 | Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:14 | 7 |
| 14 | Monza | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 15 | Venezia | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:11 | 6 |
| 16 | Bologna | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | 5 |
| 17 | Parma | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | 5 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7:13 | 3 |
| 19 | Lecce | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:12 | 3 |
| 20 | Udinese | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4:14 | 1 |
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