Real Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 16 Jan 2026

EuroLeague Betting Preview: Real Madrid vs Barcelona

Real Madrid host Barcelona in this EuroLeague El Clásico clash at Movistar Arena, with tip-off set for 14:45 on Friday 16 January.

Our prediction is that Barcelona can outperform their odds against Real Madrid. It leads us to a bet on the spread lines considering that +5 has been chalked up at -112.

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Real Madrid won their last game, beating Maccabi Tel Aviv at home by a 98-86 scoreline.

Barcelona won their previous game which was at home. It was a 88-70 triumph against Partizan.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Madrid beat Barcelona when the teams last met. It was a 101-92 scoreline. Madrid have enjoyed three consecutive El Clásico victories against Barcelona. They’ve landed 7 wins from the past 10 head-to-head meetings.

EuroLeague	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
6  Barcelona	16	10	2207	2173	34	9-4	7-6	2L
8  Real Madrid	16	11	2364	2258	106	12-1	4-10	3L

View Full Standings

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Real Madrid lineup: Alberto Abalde, Facundo Campazzo, Chuma Okeke, Mario Hezonja, Edy Tavares.

Barcelona lineup: Kevin Punter, Miles Norris, Jan Vesely, Tomas Satoransky, Joel Parra.

Real Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Real Madrid vs Barcelona betting guide delivers expert insight, including a main match pick, our correct score angle and bet builder recommendations. Dive into each section below for more.

Game Prediction

There’s a great opportunity to back Barcelona against the spread considering they should perform well in this EuroLeague matchup. Snap up the -112 when it comes to the underdogs covering the +5.

The basketball predictions stem from knowing the team news and the latest form for each EuroLeague club. We work hard to unearth the most pertinent stats which can also act as a guide.

Key Real Madrid vs Barcelona EuroLeague stats:

• The +5 line has been covered by Barcelona in 9 consecutive games on the road.
• The +5 line has been covered by Barcelona in 17 of their last 20 games.
• The +5 line has been covered by Barcelona in 7 of their last 10 games against Madrid.

Barca +5 Probability

If you go by the top basketball betting sites, our pick has a 52.9% chance of delivering a return. However, our tipsters think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

A Bet Builder provides you with the chance to combine Barca against the spread with other picks. For every additional selection, the odds are boosted.

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Our Game Prediction

Barcelona +5 @ -112 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (18:55, 15 January 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Real Madrid 84 - 83 Barcelona

We’ll throw a dart when it comes to Madrid claiming a 84-83 victory. This correct score pick is available at huge odds and could be an entertaining bet to place.

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Real Madrid vs Barcelona Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Real Madrid are -200 favorites and that means a 67% chance of winning this EuroLeague game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. For those wanting to back Barcelona, you will find +160 about the underdogs.

The spread is currently 4.5, with the total points line at 173.5. Basketball bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. If you want to bet Under 173.5, there are odds of -109.

If you’re planning to place a bet on the EuroLeague, visit the top betting sites and check out the huge selection of game lines and team props. Find the lines and odds which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Real Madrid

-200

Barcelona

+160

Point Spread

Real Madrid -4.5

-109

Barcelona +4.5

-111

Total Points

Under 173.5

-109

Over 173.5

-111

Prop betting is very popular, with bettors looking to wager on player props such as Points, Assists, Rebounds, Steals and Three-Pointers. It’s a great way of betting on individual player performance and the gambling sites will provide lots of options.

You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to EuroLeague micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tends to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game basketball odds are always changing.

Latest 0 regular season and play-off games stats.

Real Madrid Stats

Barcelona Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 176.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 175.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 173.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 173.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 90.70 pts and allowed 86.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 92.20 pts and allowed 83.50 pts in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 171.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 162.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 173.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 173.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 89.30 pts and allowed 82.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 83.10 pts and allowed 79.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Starting Lineups

Real Madrid Confirmed Lineup

6 Alberto Abalde

7 Facundo Campazzo

8 Chuma Okeke

11 Mario Hezonja

22 Edy Tavares

Barcelona Confirmed Lineup

0 Kevin Punter

5 Miles Norris

6 Jan Vesely

13 Tomas Satoransky

44 Joel Parra

EuroLeague Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Fenerbahce	19	7	2144	2056	88	11-3	8-4	6W
2  Olympiacos	16	9	2226	2085	141	9-3	7-6	1L
3  Valencia	17	10	2434	2334	100	11-2	6-8	1W
4  Hapoel Tel Aviv	16	10	2225	2124	101	8-5	8-5	4L
5  Crvena zvezda	16	10	2265	2217	48	10-3	6-7	5W
6  Barcelona	16	10	2207	2173	34	9-4	7-6	2L
7  Panathinaikos	16	11	2302	2255	47	9-4	7-7	1L
8  Real Madrid	16	11	2364	2258	106	12-1	4-10	3L
9  Zalgiris	15	11	2308	2156	152	8-4	7-7	1W
10  Monaco	15	12	2423	2298	125	8-4	7-8	5L
11  Olimpia Milano	13	13	2210	2219	-9	8-6	5-7	2W
12  Dubai	13	14	2347	2375	-28	10-3	3-11	2W
13  Virtus Bologna	12	14	2140	2164	-24	8-5	4-9	1L
14  Bayern Munich	12	15	2158	2232	-74	10-5	2-10	4W
15  Maccabi	11	15	2301	2370	-69	7-6	4-9	1W
16  Baskonia	9	17	2235	2332	-97	8-4	1-13	1L
17  Partizan	9	18	2153	2376	-223	7-6	2-12	1W
18  Paris	8	18	2317	2400	-83	5-9	3-9	2L
19  Anadolu Efes	7	19	2022	2155	-133	4-10	3-9	1W
20  ASVEL	7	19	2024	2226	-202	6-8	1-11	1W

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