New Orleans Pelicans
Miami Heat
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Pelicans vs Heat

The New Orleans Pelicans hit the hardwood against the Miami Heat in this NBA clash. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

Fancy Heat Against The Spread?

It’s great to see the Heat with a -7 line on the spread at -110 as we’re expecting a bigger margin of victory against the Pelicans.

Heat Have 9 Wins in Last 10 H2H Matchups

New Orleans Pelicans suffered a sixth consecutive defeat when losing 122-109 in their previous game. This was at home to Portland Trail Blazers at Smoothie King Center. Zion Williamson dropped 35 points, as Jeremiah Fears finished with 18 and Karlo Matkovic 16.

Miami Heat lost when they last took to the court. At Kaseya Center, they were turned over 125-115 at home to Minnesota Timberwolves. Norman Powell scored 21 points, with Nikola Jovic putting up 14 and Davion Mitchell contributing 14.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Heat have won the last two meetings against the Pelicans. They triumphed 119-108 at Kaseya Center and then 153-104 at Smoothie King Center. The past 10 H2H games have seen the Heat land nine wins.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Heat logo Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Pelicans logo Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
View Full Standings
New Orleans Pelicans – Last 10 Games

The Pelicans have 4 wins and 6 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 118.6 points, 45.6 rebounds, 23.9 assists, 8.6 steals and 5.5 blocks while shooting 46.2% from the field and 80.1% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 121.9 points and 49.3 rebounds per matchup.

Zion Williamson is averaging 24.6 points, with Trey Murphy making 2.4 (43.6%) 3-pointers per game. Derik Queen averages 8.1 rebounds and 3.7 assists.

Miami Heat – Last 10 Games

The Heat have won 5 and lost 5 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 118.2 points, 46.1 rebounds, 26.8 assists, 10.4 steals and 3.7 blocks per game while shooting 45.9% from the field and 82.2% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 116.1 points and 42.9 rebounds.

Norman Powell is averaging 23.1 points and 2.6 (34.2%) 3-pointers made. Kel'el Ware has an average of 11.7 rebounds and Davion Mitchell 5.9 assists.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

New Orleans Pelicans lineup: Jeremiah Fears, Zion Williamson, Karlo Matkovic, Derik Queen, Trey Murphy.

Miami Heat lineup: Kel'el Ware, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks

From our main match prediction to correct score advice, must-watch player props and a custom bet builder — this New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat betting preview covers it all.

Game Prediction

We’re very excited to see Heat at -7 on the spread in this NBA matchup. We think it’s a good number for the betting favorites to cover at odds of -110.

We put solid research behind every basketball prediction, starting with recent form and a clear read on injuries. From there, key NBA stats and advanced metrics help complete the picture and support smarter betting decisions.

Key Pelicans vs Heat stats:

  • The -7 line has been covered by Heat in 3 of their last 5 games.
  • The +7 line hasn’t been covered by Pelicans in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
  • The +7 line hasn’t been covered by Pelicans in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
  • The +7 line hasn’t been covered by Pelicans in 2 consecutive games.
  • The -7 line has been covered by Heat in 2 consecutive games against Pelicans.

Heat -7 Probability

Looking at the latest odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of delivering a return. After careful examination, our cappers have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If you’re in pursuit of bigger odds, then a Bet Builder could be a way forward. Take the Heat to cover the line with additional selections until you’re satisfied with the price.

Make your bet count—our comprehensive bonus guide highlights the latest free bets and betting promo codes worth grabbing.

Our Game Prediction
Heat -7 @ -110 Bet Now BetMGM logo
BetMGM logo
BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 4, 00:55). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 00:55, 04 January 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Bam Adebayo Over 2.5 Assists -109 BetMGM logo

Bam Adebayo (Heat) has had Over 2.5 assists in 3 straight games at home. The line is attractive when it comes to betting on Player Assists and you can get -109 that he is able to land a return.

Latest Bam Adebayo Player Prop Odds


Zion Williamson Over 24.5 Points -120 BetMGM logo

Zion Williamson (Pelicans) has had Over 24.5 points in 3 straight games. We think this is the pick of the prop bets, with odds of -120 available when it comes to backing him on Player Points.

Latest Zion Williamson Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Heat -9
Totals Under 247.5
Player Assists Bam Adebayo Over 2.5

We’ve loaded up a same game parlay with the combined picks of Heat -9, Under 247.5 and Bam Adebayo (Heat) to have Over 2.5 assists.

We recommend a same game parlay as it’s an exciting way of wagering on a single event. Many bettors like to create a personalised basketball bet which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Pelicans Pelicans logo 111 - 122 Heat logo Heat

We’re going for the Heat to win by a 122-111 scoreline, something which is available at huge odds. This speculative wager can provide a big return for a small stake.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Heat Trading at Shorter Odds Than Pelicans

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Miami Heat as -294 favorites for this NBA game, implying that they are 75% likely to win. New Orleans Pelicans are the underdogs at +240 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The spread is calculated to be 8, while total points comes in at 246.5. The Totals offers basketball bettors an alternative way of getting involved. Those that want to back Under 246.5 can find odds of -106 available.

There are a wide range of team props and game lines when it comes to wagering on this exciting league and we recommend visiting the best basketball sportsbooks to find the wager that matches your view on the contest.

Betting Lines & Odds
Norman Powell Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

Norman Powell is the favorite to score most points. Odds of -120 can be found for him scoring Over 24.5 points and there is -110 for him to go Under.

Player Points
Zion Williamson (Pelicans)
Over 23.5
-120
Under 23.5
-110
BetMGM Logo
Trey Murphy III (Pelicans)
Over 19.5
-120
Under 19.5
-112
BetMGM Logo
Player Assists
Davion Mitchell (Heat)
Over 7.5
-147
Under 7.5
+110
BetMGM Logo
Jaime Jaquez Jr (Heat)
Over 4.5
-111
Under 4.5
-116
BetMGM Logo
Derik Queen (Pelicans)
Over 4.5
+118
Under 4.5
-159
BetMGM Logo
Zion Williamson (Pelicans)
Over 3.5
-156
Under 3.5
+117
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Derik Queen (Pelicans)
Over 7.5
+106
Under 7.5
-141
BetMGM Logo
Zion Williamson (Pelicans)
Over 6.5
+118
Under 6.5
-156
BetMGM Logo
Micro Betting

You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to basketball micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.

Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Best Betting Offers
Kaseya Center
Kaseya Center
Heat With Five Wins in Past Ten Home Games

The Heat are 5-5 in their last 10 home games, averaging 118.90 points scored and 117.50 points allowed.

The Pelicans have two wins and eight losses in the last 10 games on the road, putting up 110.10 points on average and giving up 119.90.

The Heat beat the Pelicans 119-108 in their most recent meeting at Kaseya Center. From the past 10 head-to-heads at Kaseya Center, the Heat have won eight while the Pelicans have taken two.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O240.5 U240.5
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Home Stats 5-5 236.40 118.90 117.50 4 6
New Orleans Pelicans logo New Orleans Pelicans Away Stats 2-8 230.00 110.10 119.90 4 6
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O240.5 = Games Over 240.5 Points
  • U240.5 = Games Under 240.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New Orleans Pelicans logo New Orleans Pelicans Stats
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Stats
Moneyline
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

New Orleans Pelicans Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Trey Murphy 33 35.39 676 114 20.5 3.5 2.7 6.1 0.2 1.6
Saddiq Bey 34 29.88 513 78 15.1 2.3 1.6 5.9 0.1 1.0
Zion Williamson 20 28.62 467 66 23.4 3.3 - 5.9 0.6 1.2

Miami Heat Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Andrew Wiggins 31 32.27 506 90 16.3 2.9 1.9 4.9 1.1 1.2
Tyler Herro 6 31.83 139 14 23.2 2.3 2.5 5.0 0.5 1.0
Norman Powell 30 31.12 723 79 24.1 2.6 2.9 3.8 0.2 1.3

Injuries & Suspensions

New Orleans Pelicans Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Miami Heat Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup
7 Kel'el Ware
13 Bam Adebayo
22 Andrew Wiggins
24 Norman Powell
45 Davion Mitchell
New Orleans Pelicans logo New Orleans Pelicans Confirmed Lineup
0 Jeremiah Fears
1 Zion Williamson
17 Karlo Matkovic
22 Derik Queen
25 Trey Murphy

Previous New Orleans Pelicans Lineups

02 Jan NBA
Trail Blazers 122-109 Pelicans
31 Dec NBA
Pelicans 118-134 Bulls
29 Dec NBA
Knicks 130-125 Pelicans
27 Dec NBA
Suns 123-114 Pelicans
26 Dec NBA
Suns 115-108 Pelicans
23 Dec NBA
Pelicans 118-141 Cavaliers
22 Dec NBA
Mavericks 113-119 Pelicans
20 Dec NBA
Pacers 109-128 Pelicans
18 Dec NBA
Rockets 128-133 Pelicans
14 Dec NBA
Pelicans 114-104 Bulls

Previous Miami Heat Lineups

03 Jan NBA
Timberwolves 125-115 Heat
01 Jan NBA
Heat 118-112 Pistons
29 Dec NBA
Nuggets 123-147 Heat
27 Dec NBA
Pacers 116-142 Heat
26 Dec NBA
Heat 126-111 Hawks
23 Dec NBA
Raptors 112-91 Heat
21 Dec NBA
Heat 125-132 Knicks
19 Dec NBA
Heat 116-129 Celtics
18 Dec NBA
Heat 106-95 Nets
15 Dec NBA
Raptors 106-96 Heat

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak