AC Milan vs Benfica Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Sep 2026

AC Milan vs Benfica Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Benfica Asian Hcp +0.25 @ +102

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Benfica look a nice wager to topple Milan and we can take them at +102 with a +0.25 goal headstart on the Asian Handicap. This means dividing our stake equally between 0 and +0.5 in the hope of a payout.

We analyse several betting angles in our Milan vs Benfica betting preview, expanding on our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

AC Milan vs Benfica Preview

Italian Serie A team AC Milan host Portuguese Primeira Liga outfit Benfica at San Siro, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Wednesday 16 September.

AC Milan faced Lazio away when last in action. It was a 2-2 Serie A draw at Stadio Olimpico. The Lombardy club enjoyed 66% possession and had seven shots on target, with Diego Moreira scoring both goals.

Benfica claimed a home win in their previous game. A 3-1 Primeira Liga victory occurred against Gil Vicente at Estadio da Luz. Marco Silva's team enjoyed 64% possession and managed five shots on goal, with Vangelis Pavlidis on the scoresheet twice and Gianluca Prestianni also finding the net.

Europa League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
7	Benfica	1	1	0	0	2	0	2	2:0	3
29	AC Milan	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0:2	0

View Full Table

4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 11.6 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal. Milan have had 52.1% possession, 477.9 passes and 2.8 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.2 goals from 11.9 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 3.6 corners.

Diego Moreira, Alphadjo Cisse, Adrien Rabiot and Christopher Nkunku are joint-top scorers with 2 goals on the board. Adrien Rabiot, Christian Pulisic and Samuel Chukwueze have the most assists with 2, while goalie Mike Maignan has recorded 3 clean sheets.

Benfica have 7 victories and 3 draws, averaging 7.5 shots on goal, 19.1 attempts and 3.2 goals. The Lisbon outfit average 59.3% possession, 518.6 passes, 7.7 corners awarded and 2.1 corners against, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 7.6 attempts and 2.7 shots on goal.

Vangelis Pavlidis is the leading scorer with 9 goals, followed by Gianluca Prestianni on 5, with Leandro Barreiro and two others bagging 3. Andreas Schjelderup and Gianluca Prestianni are top assists providers with 3, while Samuel Soares has recorded 3 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

AC Milan confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Mike Maignan (GK), Filippo Terracciano, Koni De Winter, Strahinja Pavlovic, Samuel Chukwueze, Ardon Jashari, Yunus Musah, Davide Bartesaghi, Omari Hutchinson, Alphadjo Cisse, Goncalo Ramos.

Benfica confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Anatoliy Trubin (GK), Daniel Banjaqui, Alessandro Circati, Tomas Araujo, Souffian El Karouani, Fredrik Aursnes, Joao Palhinha, Dodi Lukebakio, Georgiy Sudakov, Jakub Kaminski, Jhon Duran.

Main Match Prediction

Benfica have a good chance of winning this Europa League clash and we’ll wager them on the Asian Handicap. Take the visitors at +102 with a +0.25 goal start in then expectation that they can perform well.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (domestic league and Europa League matches):

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Benfica in 20 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Milan in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Milan in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Milan in 2 consecutive games.

Sportsgambler.com has plenty of Europa League insights and that includes getting the team news immediately. The recent form will also help deliver our expert football predictions and we ensure that the most relevant stats are used to good effect.

According to the latest odds, there’s a 49.5% likelihood of our pick winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

If you are hunting down bigger odds for Benfica to cover the line, then consider placing a Bet Builder. Add different picks to your wager until you’re happy with the overall price.

Get more from your bets with our detailed guide, featuring the best free bets and generous welcome bonuses.

Benfica Asian Hcp +0.25 @ +102 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Sep 14, 21:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Milan 1 - 2 Benfica

We’re going for Benfica at +700 to secure a 2-1 win. It’s exciting to bet on the correct score and this wager will hopefully be able to land a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Gianluca Prestianni Over 0.5 Shots On Target +185

Gianluca Prestianni (Benfica) has recorded at least one shot on goal in eight consecutive matches. There is odds of +185 on offer for this Shots on Target wager and we think he’ll cover the line.

Latest Gianluca Prestianni Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+350

First

+950

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 1.5

-250

Under 1.5

-

---

Andreas Schjelderup to Score +350

Andreas Schjelderup (Benfica) has netted two goals in his past five away matches. Based on the stats, we think that odds of +350 are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Andreas Schjelderup Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+350

First

+950

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Milan Under 5.5 Corners -147

The 5.5 corners line has not been covered by Milan in ten straight games, while the past eight Benfica matches have seen under 5.5 corners conceded. There are odds of -147 for this Milan Team Corners wager and we think the line is too high.

Europa League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Milan

Total

6.40 2.80 3.60

Home

7.40 3.80 3.60

Away

7.50 3.80 3.70

Benfica

Total

9.80 7.70 2.10

Home

11.40 9.50 1.90

Away

10.20 7.30 2.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-111

Under 9.5

-128

Milan Corners

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-118

Benfica Corners

Over 4.5

-112

Under 4.5

-127

Most Corners

1

-104

X

+600

2

+107

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

AC Milan vs Benfica Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookies have chalked up the draw at +240 on the 1x2 betting, with AC Milan available to bet at odds of +133. Benfica are +200 to claim victory in this Europa League encounter.

Milan can be backed alternatively on the Draw No Bet market and that means getting -156. However, if you want insurance on the underdogs instead, Benfica are +108.

The Total Goals odds suggest that Over 2.5 is a strong probability in this contest. For those expecting both sides to find the net, Both Teams to Score Yes is available at -182.

Hundreds of markets are now a guarantee for each of the Europa League matches, with the recommended football betting sites making sure that customers have quality options.

Full-Time Result

1

+133

X

+240

2

+200

Half-Time Result

1

+180

X

+128

2

+235

Double Chance

1X

-263

12

-333

X2

-172

Draw No Bet

1

-156

2

+108

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-102

2 Hcp +0.25

-123

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+114

Over 2.5

-147

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-182

No

+133

You will find Gonçalo Ramos at +400 to be First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite. There’s the chance to get +140 that he finds the net at anytime.

Gonçalo Ramos (Milan)

First

+400

Anytime

+140

Vangelis Pavlidis (Benfica)

First

+430

Anytime

+150

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

First

+575

Anytime

+210

Jhon Durán (Benfica)

First

+600

Anytime

+210

Alphadjo Cissè (Milan)

First

+650

Anytime

+240

Rafa Silva (Benfica)

First

+750

Anytime

+280

Samuel Chukwueze (Milan)

First

+800

Anytime

+300

Dodi Lukébakio (Benfica)

First

+850

Anytime

+320

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

First

+900

Anytime

+330

Claudio Echeverri (Benfica)

First

+900

Anytime

+350

Gianluca Prestianni (Benfica)

First

+950

Anytime

+350

Andreas Schjelderup (Benfica)

First

+950

Anytime

+350

Jakub Kamiński (Benfica)

First

+950

Anytime

+350

Omari Hutchinson (Milan)

First

+1000

Anytime

+370

Armindo Bruma (Benfica)

First

+1100

Anytime

+400

Adrien Rabiot (Milan)

First

+1150

Anytime

+430

Georgiy Sudakov (Benfica)

First

+1200

Anytime

+450

Diego Moreira (Milan)

First

+1200

Anytime

+450

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

First

+1150

Anytime

+475

Luka Modric (Milan)

First

+1400

Anytime

+550

Leandro Barreiro (Benfica)

First

+1600

Anytime

+575

Ardon Jashari (Milan)

First

+1600

Anytime

+650

Souffian El Karouani (Benfica)

First

+1700

Anytime

+650

Yunus Musah (Milan)

First

+1900

Anytime

+700

Davide Bartesaghi (Milan)

First

+1900

Anytime

+750

João Palhinha (Benfica)

First

+2000

Anytime

+750

Filippo Terracciano (Milan)

First

+2000

Anytime

+800

Pervis Estupiñán (Milan)

First

+2000

Anytime

+800

Fredrik Aursnes (Benfica)

First

+2200

Anytime

+800

Mario Gila (Milan)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Jhon Durán (Benfica)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Alphadjo Cissè (Milan)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Gianluca Prestianni (Benfica)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-

Rafa Silva (Benfica)

Over 0.5

-119

Under 0.5

-

Samuel Chukwueze (Milan)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Dodi Lukébakio (Benfica)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Jakub Kamiński (Benfica)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-

Omari Hutchinson (Milan)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Claudio Echeverri (Benfica)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-

Armindo Bruma (Benfica)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-

Andreas Schjelderup (Benfica)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-

Vangelis Pavlidis (Benfica)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Gonçalo Ramos (Milan)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Adrien Rabiot (Milan)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-

Georgiy Sudakov (Benfica)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-

Diego Moreira (Milan)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-

Luka Modric (Milan)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-

Ardon Jashari (Milan)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-

Leandro Barreiro (Benfica)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-

Souffian El Karouani (Benfica)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-

Yunus Musah (Milan)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-

Davide Bartesaghi (Milan)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-

João Palhinha (Benfica)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-

Filippo Terracciano (Milan)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-

Fredrik Aursnes (Benfica)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-

Pervis Estupiñán (Milan)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-

Mario Gila (Milan)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-

Vangelis Pavlidis (Benfica)

Over 3.5

+105

Under 3.5

-

Gonçalo Ramos (Milan)

Over 3.5

-100

Under 3.5

-

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

Over 2.5

+102

Under 2.5

-

Jhon Durán (Benfica)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

Alphadjo Cissè (Milan)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

Andreas Schjelderup (Benfica)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-

Diego Moreira (Milan)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Omari Hutchinson (Milan)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Jakub Kamiński (Benfica)

Over 1.5

-108

Under 1.5

-

Adrien Rabiot (Milan)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-

Gianluca Prestianni (Benfica)

Over 1.5

-250

Under 1.5

-

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

Over 1.5

-109

Under 1.5

-

Dodi Lukébakio (Benfica)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

Samuel Chukwueze (Milan)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-

Rafa Silva (Benfica)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Claudio Echeverri (Benfica)

Over 1.5

+117

Under 1.5

-

Yunus Musah (Milan)

Over 0.5

-112

Under 0.5

-

Pervis Estupiñán (Milan)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-

Filippo Terracciano (Milan)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-

João Palhinha (Benfica)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Davide Bartesaghi (Milan)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-

Leandro Barreiro (Benfica)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

Souffian El Karouani (Benfica)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-

Ardon Jashari (Milan)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Luka Modric (Milan)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Georgiy Sudakov (Benfica)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Fredrik Aursnes (Benfica)

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-

Latest Europa League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

AC Milan Stats

Benfica Stats

Full-Time Result

• 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 7 wins and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 3.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.80 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 4.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 10 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 2.80 corners awarded and 3.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 3.60 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 6.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 7.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 7.70 corners awarded and 2.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 7.30 corners awarded and 2.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 52.10% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 56.10% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 59.30% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 56.60% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches

AC Milan vs Benfica Lineups & Team News

Make sure to look over the Milan vs Benfica team news before betting. Stay informed with our predicted and confirmed Europa League lineups and the latest injury reports.

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