AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 20 Sep 2026
AC Milan vs Lecce Predictions
Lecce are an attractive Asian Handicap bet at +1.75 when they go up against Milan. With our stake divided between +1.5 and +2.0, we think the visitors can produce a good performance at odds of -122.
Take a closer look at our complete Milan vs Lecce betting analysis, which presents a full breakdown of our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
AC Milan vs Lecce Preview
AC Milan clash with Lecce at San Siro, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Sunday 20 September.
AC Milan faced Lazio away when last in Serie A action. It was a 2-2 draw at Stadio Olimpico. The Lombardy side had seven shots on target and boasted 66% possession, with Diego Moreira grabbing the goals.
On Wednesday night, Milan were defeated 2-0 when hosting Benfica in the Europa League.
Lecce won their previous game, beating Monza at home. It was a 3-2 win at Stadio Via del Mare. I Salentini enjoyed just 39% possession and had three shots on goal, while Lassana Coulibaly found the net twice and Tiago Gabriel scored one.
H2H: 8 Victories for Milan in Previous 10 Head-to-Head Games
Milan have racked up six consecutive wins over Lecce. In their last encounter, Milan enjoyed a 1-0 victory when hosting at San Siro. The 10 most recent H2H games have included eight Milan victories along with two draws.
| Serie A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | AC Milan |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7:4 | 8 |
| 12 | Lecce |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 5:7 | 6 |
4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 11.6 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal. Milan have had 52.1% possession, 477.9 passes and 2.8 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.2 goals from 11.9 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 3.6 corners.
The four top scorers are Diego Moreira, Alphadjo Cisse, Adrien Rabiot and Christopher Nkunku, with these players all scoring 2 goals. Adrien Rabiot, Christian Pulisic and Samuel Chukwueze have recorded the most assists with 2 apiece. Meanwhile, goalkeeper Mike Maignan has kept 3 clean sheets.
Lecce have 5 victories, 3 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.2 goals from 9.6 attempts and 3.6 shots on goal. The Apulia outfit average 40.5% possession, 324.2 passes, 3.4 corners awarded and 4.4 corners against them, while conceding 1.2 goals from 13.7 attempts and 6.0 shots on goal.
Tiago Gabriel and Walid Cheddira have scored 3, followed by Lassana Coulibaly with 2. Ivan Ilic, Danilo Veiga and Santiago Pierotti have had 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Wladimiro Falcone has 3 clean sheets to his name.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
AC Milan predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Mike Maignan (GK), Mario Gila, Koni De Winter, Strahinja Pavlovic, Samuel Chukwueze, Luka Modric, Adrien Rabiot, Pervis Estupinan, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Alphadjo Cisse, Goncalo Ramos.
Lecce predicted lineup (4-3-3): Wladimiro Falcone (GK), Danilo Veiga, Jamil Siebert, Tiago Gabriel, Antonino Gallo, Lassana Coulibaly, Youssef Maleh, Ivan Ilic, Konan N'Dri, Nikola Stulic, Joel Monteiro.
Main Match Prediction
It could be all about backing Lecce +1.75 when it comes to this Serie A clash. The underdogs can play well and the odds of -122 are appealing for a side who should be able to serve it up.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
The football experts at Sportsgambler.com check injury updates regularly and combine this with the form guide. We’re also able to consult a database of Serie A stats and present the key numbers to our readers.
According to the top betting sites, our pick has a 54.9% chance of landing a return. Based on our experts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.
Those searching for a different wager to betting Lecce on the Asian Handicap should consider a Winning Margin bet. Select the right option for you.
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Correct Score Prediction
We’ve picked out a correct score of 1-0 being landed by Milan. You can secure odds of +650 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.
Player Prop Picks
Nikola Stulic (Lecce) has racked up at least one shot on goal in three straight Serie A matches away from home. If you side with our view that he can cover the Shots on Target line, then you are able to secure odds of +120 for this outcome.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Milan have not covered the 5.5 corners line in ten straight games, while Lecce have conceded an average of 4.40 corners in the past 10 games. On this basis, we can take a price of -103 that this Milan Team Corners bet falls short of the line.
Milan
Lecce
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve loaded up a bet builder with the picks of Lecce with the +1.75 Asian Handicap, No on the BTTS market and Nikola Stulic (Lecce) to have a minimum of one shot on target.
Should you want to back different outcomes for the same football game, then a bet builder will suit your needs. The bookmakers provide this personalised betting facility where you select various picks and the odds are combined.
AC Milan vs Lecce Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
According to the betting odds, AC Milan are major -385 favourites with the bookies to triumph and that means a 79% chance of winning this Serie A clash. Lecce are an outside chance to get the job done and you can now back them at +1000.
There’s sometimes a case for betting on the Half-Time Result market, with Milan available at -149 and Lecce at +700. The third option is the draw which is priced at +175.
For those expecting a high-scoring contest, Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest price. The Both Teams to Score No option is -143 if you think at least one side will fail to score.
The top football betting sites definitely give customers lots of choice. When it comes to Serie A games, choose from hundreds of markets until you find the most attractive odds.
Gonçalo Ramos is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +310 while there’s also the chance to back him to find the net at +105.
Stats: Last 10 Serie A matches only.
Milan have clocked up five wins, three draws and two defeats in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 0.90.
Lecce have finished with five defeats, four wins and one draw in the past 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.20.
Milan beat Lecce 1-0 when they last met at San Siro. The previous 5 H2H matches at San Siro have featured four Milan wins and one draw.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AC Milan Home Stats |
5-3-2 | 2.20 | 1.30 | 0.90 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 7 | |
Lecce Away Stats |
4-1-5 | 2.30 | 1.10 | 1.20 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 6 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Serie A: 18/01 2026 AC Milan 1 Lecce 0
- Coppa Italia: 23/09 2025 AC Milan 3 Lecce 0
- Serie A: 29/08 2025 Lecce 0 AC Milan 2
- Serie A: 08/03 2025 Lecce 2 AC Milan 3
- Serie A: 27/09 2024 AC Milan 3 Lecce 0
- Serie A: 06/04 2024 AC Milan 3 Lecce 0
- Serie A: 11/11 2023 Lecce 2 AC Milan 2
- Serie A: 23/04 2023 AC Milan 2 Lecce 0
- Serie A: 14/01 2023 Lecce 2 AC Milan 2
- Serie A: 22/06 2020 Lecce 1 AC Milan 4
AC Milan League Stats
Lecce League Stats
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.80 corners awarded and 3.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 3.60 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 3.40 corners awarded and 4.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 6.00 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 7.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 52.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 56.10% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 40.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 37.90% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for AC Milan this season are Alphadjo Cisse (2), Diego Moreira (2), Adrien Rabiot (1)
- Top Assistors for AC Milan this season are Adrien Rabiot (2), Samuel Chukwueze (2), Alexis Saelemaekers (1)
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AC Milan vs Lecce Lineups & Team News
Avoid surprises — review the Milan vs Lecce team news before you bet. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for Serie A together with updated injury news.
AC Milan Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Lecce Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
AC Milan Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Lecce Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Previous AC Milan Lineups
Previous Lecce Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
AC Milan Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Ruben Amorim
Lecce Player Stats & Squad
Serie A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Como | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 10 |
| 4 | Lazio | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 10 |
| 5 | Cagliari | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 9 |
| 6 | AC Milan | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 8 |
| 7 | Frosinone | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 8 | Juventus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 7 |
| 10 | Napoli | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 12 | Lecce | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:10 | 4 |
| 14 | Monza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:12 | 4 |
| 15 | Torino | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 17 | Bologna | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 18 | Parma | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 19 | Genoa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4:11 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:6 | 9 |
| 2 | Roma | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sassuolo | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 4 | Atalanta | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 5 | Juventus | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 6 | Lazio | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 7 | AC Milan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 8 | Como | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 9 | Monza | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 10 | Frosinone | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 11 | Napoli | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 12 | Cagliari | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 13 | Lecce | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 14 | Udinese | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 15 | Bologna | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 16 | Parma | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 17 | Genoa | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 18 | Torino | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 19 | Venezia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
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