AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 20 Sep 2026

AC Milan vs Lecce Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Lecce Asian Hcp +1.75 @ -122

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Lecce are an attractive Asian Handicap bet at +1.75 when they go up against Milan. With our stake divided between +1.5 and +2.0, we think the visitors can produce a good performance at odds of -122.

Take a closer look at our complete Milan vs Lecce betting analysis, which presents a full breakdown of our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

AC Milan vs Lecce Preview

AC Milan clash with Lecce at San Siro, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Sunday 20 September.

AC Milan remain unbeaten in Serie A after collecting eight points from their opening four games. In their previous league outing, they played out a 2-2 draw away to Lazio at Stadio Olimpico. The Lombardy side enjoyed 66% possession and recorded seven shots on target, with Diego Moreira scoring both goals.

On Wednesday night, Milan suffered a 2-0 home defeat to Portuguese Primeira Liga side Benfica in the Europa League.

Lecce have won two and lost two of their opening four Serie A games, recording a 3-2 home victory over Monza at Stadio Via del Mare last time out. I Salentini had 39% possession and three shots on target, with Lassana Coulibaly scoring twice and Tiago Gabriel also finding the net.

H2H: 8 Victories for Milan in Previous 10 Head-to-Head Games

Milan have racked up six consecutive wins over Lecce. In their last encounter, Milan enjoyed a 1-0 victory when hosting at San Siro. The 10 most recent H2H games have included eight Milan victories along with two draws.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	AC Milan	10	6	3	1	21	12	9	21:12	21
14	Lecce	10	3	0	7	11	21	-10	11:21	9

View Full Table

4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 11.6 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal. Milan have had 52.1% possession, 477.9 passes and 2.8 corners per match. On average, I Rossoneri have conceded 1.2 goals from 11.9 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 3.6 corners.

The four top scorers are Diego Moreira, Alphadjo Cisse, Adrien Rabiot and Christopher Nkunku, with these players all scoring 2 goals. Adrien Rabiot, Christian Pulisic and Samuel Chukwueze have recorded the most assists with 2 apiece. Meanwhile, goalkeeper Mike Maignan has kept 3 clean sheets.

Lecce have 5 victories, 3 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.2 goals from 9.6 attempts and 3.6 shots on goal. The Apulia outfit average 40.5% possession, 324.2 passes, 3.4 corners awarded and 4.4 corners against them, while conceding 1.2 goals from 13.7 attempts and 6.0 shots on goal.

Tiago Gabriel and Walid Cheddira have scored 3, followed by Lassana Coulibaly with 2. Ivan Ilic, Danilo Veiga and Santiago Pierotti have had 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Wladimiro Falcone has 3 clean sheets to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

AC Milan confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Mike Maignan (GK), Mario Gila, Koni De Winter, Strahinja Pavlovic, Samuel Chukwueze, Luka Modric, Adrien Rabiot, Pervis Estupinan, Christian Pulisic, Alexis Saelemaekers, Goncalo Ramos.

Lecce confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Wladimiro Falcone (GK), Danilo Veiga, Kialonda Gaspar, Jamil Siebert, Antonino Gallo, Lassana Coulibaly, Ivan Ilic, Youssef Maleh, Santiago Pierotti, Nikola Stulic, Joel Monteiro.

Main Match Prediction

It could be all about backing Lecce +1.75 when it comes to this Serie A clash. I Salentini can play well and the odds of -122 are appealing for a side who should be able to serve it up.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• The +1.75 line has been covered by Lecce in 5 consecutive games on the road.
• The +1.75 line has been covered by Lecce in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +1.75 line has been covered by Lecce in 15 of their last 20 games.
• The -1.75 line hasn’t been covered by Milan in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The -1.75 line hasn’t been covered by Milan in 18 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -1.75 line hasn’t been covered by Milan in 2 consecutive games.

The football experts at Sportsgambler.com check injury updates regularly and combine this with the form guide. We’re also able to consult a database of Serie A stats and present the key numbers to our readers.

According to the top betting sites, our pick has a 54.9% chance of landing a return. Based on our experts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Sep 18, 20:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Milan 1 - 0 Lecce

We’ve picked out a correct score of 1-0 being landed by Milan. You can secure odds of +650 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nikola Stulic Over 0.5 Shots On Target +125

Nikola Stulic (Lecce) has had a minimum of one shot on goal in three consecutive Serie A away games. Our opinion is that there’s value for him to cover the Shots on Target line, with betting odds of +125 currently on offer.

Latest Nikola Stulic Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+480

First

+1300

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

---

Gonçalo Ramos To Score +105

Gonçalo Ramos (Milan) can be wagered to be among the goals at +105. All things considered, we think that the odds are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Gonçalo Ramos Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

-100

First

+310

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

Shots

Over 4.5

+102

Under 4.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Milan Under 5.5 Corners -103

Milan have not covered the 5.5 corners line in ten straight games, while Lecce have conceded an average of 4.40 corners in the past 10 games. On this basis, we can take a price of -103 that this Milan Team Corners bet falls short of the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Milan

Total

6.40 2.80 3.60

Home

7.40 3.80 3.60

Away

7.50 3.80 3.70

Lecce

Total

7.80 3.40 4.40

Home

7.40 3.20 4.20

Away

9.90 3.90 6.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-104

Under 9.5

-135

Milan Corners

Over 6.5

+104

Under 6.5

-149

Lecce Corners

Over 2.5

-147

Under 2.5

+102

Most Corners

1

-435

X

+750

2

+380

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

AC Milan vs Lecce Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

According to the betting odds, AC Milan are major -417 favourites with the bookies to triumph and that means a 81% chance of winning this Serie A clash. Lecce are an outside chance to get the job done and you can now back them at +1050.

There’s sometimes a case for betting on the Half-Time Result market, with Milan available at -159 and Lecce at +750. The third option is the draw which is priced at +180.

For those expecting a high-scoring contest, Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest price. The Both Teams to Score No option is -143 if you think at least one side will fail to score.

The top football betting sites definitely give customers lots of choice. When it comes to Serie A games, choose from hundreds of markets until you find the most attractive odds.

Full-Time Result

1

-417

X

+475

2

+1050

Half-Time Result

1

-159

X

+180

2

+750

Double Chance

1X

-3333

12

-769

X2

+285

Draw No Bet

1

-2000

2

+700

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.75

-109

2 Hcp +1.75

-116

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+133

Over 2.5

-175

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+108

No

-143

Gonçalo Ramos is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +310 while there’s also the chance to back him to find the net at -100.

Gonçalo Ramos (Milan)

First

+310

Anytime

-100

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

First

+380

Anytime

+132

Alphadjo Cissè (Milan)

First

+475

Anytime

+160

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

First

+575

Anytime

+210

Omari Hutchinson (Milan)

First

+700

Anytime

+260

Samuel Chukwueze (Milan)

First

+700

Anytime

+260

Adrien Rabiot (Milan)

First

+850

Anytime

+290

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

First

+800

Anytime

+300

Diego Moreira (Milan)

First

+950

Anytime

+330

Luka Modric (Milan)

First

+1050

Anytime

+360

Ardon Jashari (Milan)

First

+1100

Anytime

+400

Yunus Musah (Milan)

First

+1300

Anytime

+475

Nikola Stulic (Lecce)

First

+1300

Anytime

+480

Davide Bartesaghi (Milan)

First

+1300

Anytime

+500

Pervis Estupiñán (Milan)

First

+1300

Anytime

+500

Matteo Gabbia (Milan)

First

+1600

Anytime

+600

Mohamed Kaba (Lecce)

First

+1800

Anytime

+600

Sankhoun Diawara (Milan)

First

+1800

Anytime

+650

Strahinja Pavlovic (Milan)

First

+1800

Anytime

+650

Mario Gila (Milan)

First

+1800

Anytime

+650

Koni De Winter (Milan)

First

+1900

Anytime

+650

Fikayo Tomori (Milan)

First

+1900

Anytime

+650

Omri Gandelman (Lecce)

First

+2000

Anytime

+700

Konan Ignace Jocelyn N'dri (Lecce)

First

+2000

Anytime

+700

Santiago Pierotti (Lecce)

First

+2000

Anytime

+700

Amar Fatah (Lecce)

First

+2000

Anytime

+800

Oumar Ngom (Lecce)

First

+1900

Anytime

+850

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

Over 0.5

-286

Under 0.5

-

Alphadjo Cissè (Milan)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

Over 0.5

-130

Under 0.5

-

Omari Hutchinson (Milan)

Over 0.5

+106

Under 0.5

-

Samuel Chukwueze (Milan)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-

Gonçalo Ramos (Milan)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

Nikola Stulic (Lecce)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-

Adrien Rabiot (Milan)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-

Diego Moreira (Milan)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-

Mohamed Kaba (Lecce)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-

Luka Modric (Milan)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-

Santiago Pierotti (Lecce)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-

Ardon Jashari (Milan)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-

Konan Ignace Jocelyn N'dri (Lecce)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-

Omri Gandelman (Lecce)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-

Amar Fatah (Lecce)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-

Yunus Musah (Milan)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-

Davide Bartesaghi (Milan)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-

Pervis Estupiñán (Milan)

Over 0.5

+245

Under 0.5

-

Oumar Ngom (Lecce)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-

Matteo Gabbia (Milan)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-

Mario Gila (Milan)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-

Koni De Winter (Milan)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-

Strahinja Pavlovic (Milan)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-

Sankhoun Diawara (Milan)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-

Fikayo Tomori (Milan)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-

Gonçalo Ramos (Milan)

Over 4.5

+102

Under 4.5

-

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-

Alphadjo Cissè (Milan)

Over 1.5

-417

Under 1.5

-

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

Over 1.5

-200

Under 1.5

-

Omari Hutchinson (Milan)

Over 1.5

-127

Under 1.5

-

Samuel Chukwueze (Milan)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Adrien Rabiot (Milan)

Over 1.5

-109

Under 1.5

-

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Diego Moreira (Milan)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Nikola Stulic (Lecce)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Pervis Estupiñán (Milan)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

Mohamed Kaba (Lecce)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Luka Modric (Milan)

Over 0.5

-294

Under 0.5

-

Ardon Jashari (Milan)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Yunus Musah (Milan)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-

Davide Bartesaghi (Milan)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Matteo Gabbia (Milan)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-

Sankhoun Diawara (Milan)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Strahinja Pavlovic (Milan)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Mario Gila (Milan)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-

Koni De Winter (Milan)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Fikayo Tomori (Milan)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Omri Gandelman (Lecce)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Konan Ignace Jocelyn N'dri (Lecce)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Santiago Pierotti (Lecce)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Amar Fatah (Lecce)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Oumar Ngom (Lecce)

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-

Stats: Last 10 Serie A matches only.
Milan have clocked up five wins, three draws and two defeats in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 0.90.

Lecce have finished with five defeats, four wins and one draw in the past 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

Milan beat Lecce 1-0 when they last met at San Siro. The previous 5 H2H matches at San Siro have featured four Milan wins and one draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
AC Milan Home Stats		5-3-2	2.20	1.30	0.90	4	6	3	7
Lecce Away Stats		4-1-5	2.30	1.10	1.20	4	6	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

AC Milan vs Lecce Lineups & Team News

Avoid surprises — review the Milan vs Lecce team news before you bet. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for Serie A together with updated injury news.

AC Milan Team Page Lecce Team Page

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