AEK vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Apr 2026

Europa Conference League Betting Preview: AEK vs Rayo Vallecano

Greek Super League team AEK host Spanish La Liga club Rayo Vallecano in the second leg of this Europa Conference League quarter-final at OPAP Arena, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Thursday 16 April. Rayo won the first leg 3-0.

There’s a strong case for AEK in the Full-Time Result market. With the visitors able to lose by two goals and still progress, the Double-Headed Eagle should prove too strong for Rayo, and +107 appeals.

AEK Athens did not play at the weekend, while Rayo Vallecano suffered a 3-0 away defeat to Mallorca at Estadi Son Moix in La Liga. The Madrid club enjoyed 55% possession and had three shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Rayo beat AEK 3-0 at home in the first leg at the Estadio de Vallecas. AEK enjoyed 54% possession, while Rayo had four shots on target to two, with Ilias Akhomach, Unai López and Isi Palazón on the scoresheet.

Europa Conference League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	AEK	6	4	1	1	14	7	7	14:7	13
5	Rayo Vallecano	6	4	1	1	13	7	6	13:7	13

View Full Table

AEK Athens have 5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 11.8 attempts. The Double-Headed Eagle have averaged 51.3% possession and 5.9 corners per game, with the opposition getting 0.9 goals from 2.8 shots on goal, 7.4 attempts and 3.4 corners.

Top scorer Luka Jovic has found the net 4 times, with Barnabas Varga and Harold Moukoudi getting 3 apiece. Leading assistor is Razvan Marin with 3, while goalkeeper Thomas Strakosha has one clean sheet.

Rayo have 4 victories, 3 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 4.7 shots on goal, 13.7 attempts and 1.3 goals. Inigo Perez's team average 49.5% possession, 350.2 passes, 6.5 corners taken and 4.5 corners against them, while 0.9 goals have been conceded from 10.5 attempts and 3.1 shots on goal.

Jorge de Frutos has top scored with 3, while Alexandre Zurawski and Alvaro Garcia are next best on 2. Alvaro Garcia and Isi Palazon have managed 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Augusto Batalla has 3 clean sheets to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

AEK confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Thomas Strakosha (GK), Lazaros Rota, Harold Moukoudi, Filipe Relvas, Stavros Pilios, Aboubakary Koita, Razvan Marin, Orbelin Pineda, Dereck Kutesa, Zini, Barnabas Varga.

Rayo Vallecano confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Augusto Batalla (GK), Andrei Ratiu, Florian Lejeune, Luiz Felipe, Pep Chavarria, Unai Lopez, Pathe Ciss, Ilias Akhomach, Isi Palazon, Alvaro Garcia, Jorge de Frutos.

AEK vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Betting Tips

Get ready for AEK vs Rayo Vallecano with all the betting angles covered, from an expert match prediction and correct score advice to corners market insight, player props and a custom bet builder.

Match Prediction

AEK can deliver the goods and we’ll back them with confidence for this Europa Conference League quarter-final. The odds of +107 look attractive when it comes to the home team and we’re feeling confident.

The formbook is always a good place to start ahead of making football predictions. The latest Europa Conference League team news is also an important port of call, while the stats we present always tell an interesting story.

Key AEK vs Rayo Vallecano Europa Conference League & league stats:

• AEK have won 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• AEK have won 13 of their last 20 games.
• Rayo have lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Rayo have lost 3 of their last 5 games.
• Rayo have lost their last 2 games on the road.

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 48.3% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

We suggest a Bet Builder for anyone looking to back AEK to win along with other selections. This option gives you the chance to secure bigger odds by adding a number of legs.

Find generous betting offers before placing your next wager. The latest free bets, promos, and welcome bonuses included.

Our Match Prediction

AEK To Win @ +107 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 14, 21:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

AEK 1 - 0 Rayo

A 1-0 win in favor of AEK is available at odds of +700. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Ilias Akhomach Over 1.5 Shots +130

Ilias Akhomach (Rayo) has finished with over 1.5 shots in four of his past seven matches. If you side with our view that he can cover the Player Shots line, then you are able to secure odds of +130 for this outcome.

Latest Ilias Akhomach Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+430

First

+1300

Shots

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

---

Barnabás Varga to Score +180

Barnabás Varga (AEK) has managed two goals in his past four home matches. Considering the numbers, we think that odds of +180 offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Barnabás Varga Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+165

First

+450

Shots

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

AEK Under 7.5 Corners -120

There’s been an average of 5.40 corners for AEK in their past 5 home games, with the corner count against Rayo Vallecano being under 7.5 in their last five away matches. Let’s stick with this betting trend and back AEK to go under the Team Corners line at a price of -120.

Europa Conference League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

AEK

Total

9.30 5.90 3.40

Home

8.00 5.60 2.40

Away

9.90 5.80 4.10

Rayo

Total

11.00 6.50 4.50

Home

10.50 6.20 4.30

Away

10.00 5.10 4.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-102

Under 10.5

-139

AEK Corners

Over 7.5

+107

Under 7.5

-147

Rayo Corners

Over 2.5

-141

Under 2.5

+104

Most Corners

1

-625

X

+950

2

+500

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

AEK vs Rayo Vallecano Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookmakers have AEK at -106 when it comes to 1x2. This suggests that the favourites have a 52% chance of winning this Europa Conference League clash based on the betting odds. Rayo Vallecano are regarded as the least likely winner at +275.

You can choose AEK -0.5 or Rayo +0.5 at respective Asian Handicap odds of -106 and -116. The former is the same as betting the favourites to win, with the latter giving you a return if it’s a draw.

The Total Goals market reveals that Over 2.5 Goals is the current betting favourite. BTTS Yes is available at -161 for anyone expecting Both Teams to Score.

If you visit one of the recommended sports betting sites, it’s fantastic to access hundreds of markets for whichever Europa Conference League match appeals. Scan through the choices and pick your football wager.

Full-Time Result

1

-106

X

+260

2

+275

Half-Time Result

1

+145

X

+128

2

+295

Double Chance

1X

-400

12

-385

X2

-128

Draw No Bet

1

-238

2

+160

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-106

2 Hcp +0.5

-116

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+104

Over 2.5

-133

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-161

No

+118

You will find favourite Luka Jovic at +350 to be First Goalscorer and there’s also the chance to get +120 that he finds the net any time.

Luka Jovic (AEK)

First

+120

Anytime

+350

Barnabás Varga (AEK)

First

+165

Anytime

+450

Dereck Kutesa (AEK)

First

+185

Anytime

+480

Aboubakary Koita (AEK)

First

+200

Anytime

+525

Alemão (Rayo)

First

+250

Anytime

+700

Ambrosini António Cabaça (AEK)

First

+260

Anytime

+700

Roberto Pereyra (AEK)

First

+260

Anytime

+700

Jorge de Frutos (Rayo)

First

+270

Anytime

+700

Álvaro García (Rayo)

First

+320

Anytime

+900

Sergio Camello (Rayo)

First

+370

Anytime

+1050

Niclas Eliasson (AEK)

First

+380

Anytime

+950

Razvan Marin (AEK)

First

+380

Anytime

+1050

Mijat Gaćinović (AEK)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Isi Palazón (Rayo)

First

+420

Anytime

+1100

Ilias Akhomach (Rayo)

First

+430

Anytime

+1300

Carlos Martín (Rayo)

First

+440

Anytime

+1200

Randy Nteka (Rayo)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Fran Pérez (Rayo)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Petros Mantalos (AEK)

First

+480

Anytime

+1300

Hakim Sahabo (AEK)

First

+575

Anytime

+1600

Óscar Trejo (Rayo)

First

+575

Anytime

+1600

Florian Lejeune (Rayo)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Orbelín Pineda (AEK)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Pedro Diaz (Rayo)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Marko Grujic (AEK)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Gerard Gumbau (Rayo)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Alfonso Espino (Rayo)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Stavros Pilios (AEK)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Unai López (Rayo)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Pathé Ciss (Rayo)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Barnabás Varga (AEK)

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-

Luka Jovic (AEK)

Over 3.5

-127

Under 3.5

-

Dereck Kutesa (AEK)

Over 3.5

+108

Under 3.5

-

Aboubakary Koita (AEK)

Over 2.5

-149

Under 2.5

-

Alemão (Rayo)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-

Ambrosini António Cabaça (AEK)

Over 2.5

-127

Under 2.5

-

Roberto Pereyra (AEK)

Over 2.5

-128

Under 2.5

-

Isi Palazón (Rayo)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Petros Mantalos (AEK)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Randy Nteka (Rayo)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Carlos Martín (Rayo)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Ilias Akhomach (Rayo)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Mijat Gaćinović (AEK)

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-

Niclas Eliasson (AEK)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

Sergio Camello (Rayo)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

Álvaro García (Rayo)

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-

Jorge de Frutos (Rayo)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Razvan Marin (AEK)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-

Gerard Gumbau (Rayo)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-

Unai López (Rayo)

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-

Stavros Pilios (AEK)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-

Alfonso Espino (Rayo)

Over 0.5

-106

Under 0.5

-

Óscar Trejo (Rayo)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Marko Grujic (AEK)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

-

Orbelín Pineda (AEK)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Florian Lejeune (Rayo)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Hakim Sahabo (AEK)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Fran Pérez (Rayo)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Pathé Ciss (Rayo)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-

Latest Europa Conference League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

AEK Stats

Rayo Vallecano Stats

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.70 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.30 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.30 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 5.90 corners awarded and 3.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 2.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.00 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 6.50 corners awarded and 4.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 4.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 11.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 51.30% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 55.20% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 49.50% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 51.20% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches

AEK vs Rayo Vallecano Lineups & Team News

Make sure you're up to date on the AEK vs Rayo team news before betting. We’ll bring you both the expected and confirmed lineups for the Europa Conference League, along with current injury news.

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