AEK vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Apr 2026
Europa Conference League Betting Preview: AEK vs Rayo Vallecano
Greek Super League team AEK host Spanish La Liga club Rayo Vallecano in the second leg of this Europa Conference League quarter-final at OPAP Arena, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Thursday 16 April. Rayo won the first leg 3-0.
There’s a strong case for AEK in the Full-Time Result market. With the visitors able to lose by two goals and still progress, the Double-Headed Eagle should prove too strong for Rayo, and +107 appeals.
AEK Athens did not play at the weekend, while Rayo Vallecano suffered a 3-0 away defeat to Mallorca at Estadi Son Moix in La Liga. The Madrid club enjoyed 55% possession and had three shots on goal.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Rayo beat AEK 3-0 at home in the first leg at the Estadio de Vallecas. AEK enjoyed 54% possession, while Rayo had four shots on target to two, with Ilias Akhomach, Unai López and Isi Palazón on the scoresheet.
| Europa Conference League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | AEK |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14:7 | 13 |
| 5 | Rayo Vallecano |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13:7 | 13 |
AEK Athens have 5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 11.8 attempts. The Double-Headed Eagle have averaged 51.3% possession and 5.9 corners per game, with the opposition getting 0.9 goals from 2.8 shots on goal, 7.4 attempts and 3.4 corners.
Top scorer Luka Jovic has found the net 4 times, with Barnabas Varga and Harold Moukoudi getting 3 apiece. Leading assistor is Razvan Marin with 3, while goalkeeper Thomas Strakosha has one clean sheet.
Rayo have 4 victories, 3 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 4.7 shots on goal, 13.7 attempts and 1.3 goals. Inigo Perez's team average 49.5% possession, 350.2 passes, 6.5 corners taken and 4.5 corners against them, while 0.9 goals have been conceded from 10.5 attempts and 3.1 shots on goal.
Jorge de Frutos has top scored with 3, while Alexandre Zurawski and Alvaro Garcia are next best on 2. Alvaro Garcia and Isi Palazon have managed 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Augusto Batalla has 3 clean sheets to his name.
AEK vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Betting Tips
Get ready for AEK vs Rayo Vallecano with all the betting angles covered, from an expert match prediction and correct score advice to corners market insight, player props and a custom bet builder.
Match Prediction
AEK can deliver the goods and we’ll back them with confidence for this Europa Conference League quarter-final. The odds of +107 look attractive when it comes to the home team and we’re feeling confident.
The formbook is always a good place to start ahead of making football predictions. The latest Europa Conference League team news is also an important port of call, while the stats we present always tell an interesting story.
Key AEK vs Rayo Vallecano Europa Conference League & league stats:
When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 48.3% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.
We suggest a Bet Builder for anyone looking to back AEK to win along with other selections. This option gives you the chance to secure bigger odds by adding a number of legs.
Find generous betting offers before placing your next wager. The latest free bets, promos, and welcome bonuses included.
Correct Score Prediction
A 1-0 win in favor of AEK is available at odds of +575. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.
Player Prop Picks
Luka Jovic (AEK) has netted ten goals in his past ten home matches. He looks like a value bet to find the net and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of +150.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
There’s been an average of 5.40 corners for AEK in their past 5 home games, with the corner count against Rayo Vallecano being under 7.5 in their last five away matches. Let’s stick with this betting trend and back AEK to go under the Team Corners line at a price of -120.
AEK
Rayo
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
If you’re up for a same-game multi, then we’ve got AEK to win, two or less goals in total together with AEK to have under 7.5 corners.
We recommend a bet builder as it’s an exciting way of wagering on a football match. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.
AEK vs Rayo Vallecano Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookmakers have AEK at +107 when it comes to 1x2. This suggests that the favourites have a 48% chance of winning this Europa Conference League clash based on the betting odds. Rayo Vallecano are regarded as the least likely winner at +245.
For those wanting some insurance backing AEK, taking the -0.25 Asian Handicap option means a half stake return if it’s a draw. There’s -125 that they manage to beat Rayo on this market.
The Total Goals market could be a toss-up considering that Over and Under 2.5 Goals are trading at a similar price. BTTS Yes is available at -141 for anyone expecting Both Teams to Score.
If you visit one of the recommended sports betting sites, it’s fantastic to access hundreds of markets for whichever Europa Conference League match appeals. Scan through the choices and pick your football wager.
You will find favourite Luka Jovic at +380 to be First Goalscorer and there’s also the chance to get +150 that he finds the net any time.
Latest Europa Conference League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.
AEK Stats
Rayo Vallecano Stats
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.90 corners awarded and 3.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 2.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.00 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.50 corners awarded and 4.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 4.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 51.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 55.20% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
AEK vs Rayo Vallecano Lineups & Team News
Make sure you're up to date on the AEK vs Rayo team news before betting. We’ll bring you both the expected and confirmed lineups for the Europa Conference League, along with current injury news.
Previous AEK Lineups
Previous Rayo Vallecano Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
AEK Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Marko Nikolic
Rayo Vallecano Player Stats & Squad
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Strasbourg | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Rakow | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:2 | 14 |
| 3 | AEK | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:3 | 13 |
| 5 | Rayo Vallecano | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:7 | 13 |
| 6 | Sh. Donetsk | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 13 |
| 7 | Mainz 05 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 13 |
| 8 | Larnaca | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7:1 | 12 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 11 |
| 10 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 10 |
| 11 | Lech | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:8 | 10 |
| 12 | Samsunspor | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 13 | NK Celje | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 14 | AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 16 | Rijeka | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:2 | 9 |
| 17 | Jagiellonia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 9 |
| 18 | Omonia Nicosia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 19 | FC Noah | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | 8 |
| 20 | Drita | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | 8 |
| 21 | KuPS | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 22 | KF Shkendija | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:5 | 7 |
| 23 | Zrinjski Mostar | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | 7 |
| 24 | Sigma Olomouc | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 25 | U Craiova | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 26 | Lincoln Red Imps | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:15 | 7 |
| 27 | Dynamo Kiev | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 28 | Legia | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 29 | Slovan Bratislava | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | 6 |
| 30 | Breidablik | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | 5 |
| 31 | Shamrock Rovers | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:13 | 4 |
| 32 | Hacken | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 33 | Hamrun Spartans | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 34 | Shelbourne | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0:7 | 2 |
| 35 | Aberdeen | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:14 | 2 |
| 36 | Rapid Vienna | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:14 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rayo Vallecano | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Rakow | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 9 |
| 3 | Mainz 05 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 9 |
| 4 | AEK | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 |
| 5 | Zrinjski Mostar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 7 |
| 6 | Sparta Prague | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 7 | Lech | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 8 | Larnaca | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 10 | Rijeka | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | 7 |
| 11 | Strasbourg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 12 | NK Celje | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 13 | KF Shkendija | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 14 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 7 |
| 15 | Lincoln Red Imps | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 16 | Dynamo Kiev | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:2 | 6 |
| 17 | Samsunspor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 19 | FC Noah | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 20 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 21 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 22 | Breidablik | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 23 | KuPS | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 5 |
| 24 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 25 | Sh. Donetsk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 26 | Sigma Olomouc | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 27 | U Craiova | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 28 | Drita | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 29 | Legia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 30 | Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 31 | Shamrock Rovers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 32 | Hamrun Spartans | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 33 | Hacken | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | 2 |
| 34 | Aberdeen | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 1 |
| 35 | Shelbourne | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:4 | 1 |
| 36 | Rapid Vienna | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:5 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 49:17 | 60 |
| 2 | Olympiacos | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 45:11 | 58 |
| 3 | PAOK | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 52:17 | 57 |
| 4 | Panathinaikos | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 44:26 | 49 |
| 5 | Levadiakos | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 51:37 | 42 |
| 6 | OFI Crete | 26 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 34:45 | 32 |
| 7 | Volos | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 26:38 | 31 |
| 8 | Aris | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 20:27 | 30 |
| 9 | Atromitos | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 26:30 | 29 |
| 10 | Kifisia | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 32:42 | 27 |
| 11 | Panetolikos | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 24:38 | 26 |
| 12 | Larissa | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 22:39 | 23 |
| 13 | Panserraikos | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 16:55 | 17 |
| 14 | Asteras Tripolis | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 22:41 | 17 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 50:17 | 63 |
| 2 | PAOK | 27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 52:17 | 58 |
| 3 | Olympiacos | 27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 45:12 | 58 |
| 4 | Panathinaikos | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 44:26 | 50 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levadiakos | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 52:38 | 22 |
| 2 | Volos | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 27:39 | 17 |
| 3 | OFI Crete | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 35:46 | 17 |
| 4 | Aris | 27 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 21:28 | 16 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atromitos | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 27:31 | 31 |
| 2 | Panetolikos | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27:40 | 30 |
| 3 | Kifisia | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 33:44 | 28 |
| 4 | Larissa | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 24:44 | 23 |
| 5 | Panserraikos | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18:56 | 21 |
| 6 | Asteras Tripolis | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 25:42 | 21 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 31 | 26 | 1 | 4 | 84:30 | 79 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 65:29 | 70 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 31 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 56:36 | 61 |
| 4 | Atlético Madrid | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 51:32 | 57 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 45:38 | 46 |
| 6 | Celta Vigo | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 44:40 | 44 |
| 7 | Real Sociedad | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 49:48 | 42 |
| 8 | Getafe | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 27:32 | 41 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 37:38 | 39 |
| 10 | Espanyol | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 37:48 | 38 |
| 11 | Athletic Club | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 33:45 | 38 |
| 12 | Girona | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 33:45 | 38 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 29:38 | 35 |
| 14 | Valencia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 34:46 | 35 |
| 15 | Mallorca | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 39:48 | 34 |
| 16 | Sevilla | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 39:51 | 34 |
| 17 | Alavés | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 35:46 | 33 |
| 18 | Elche | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 39:47 | 32 |
| 19 | Levante | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 35:50 | 29 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 31 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 24:48 | 27 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 16 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 51:9 | 48 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 37:13 | 40 |
| 3 | Atlético Madrid | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 35:14 | 40 |
| 4 | Villarreal | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 34:13 | 37 |
| 5 | Osasuna | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 26:17 | 29 |
| 6 | Elche | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25:16 | 28 |
| 7 | Real Sociedad | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 32:24 | 28 |
| 8 | Mallorca | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 26:19 | 28 |
| 9 | Real Betis | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 26:16 | 26 |
| 10 | Athletic Club | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 20:19 | 26 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 17:11 | 23 |
| 12 | Valencia | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 21:18 | 23 |
| 13 | Girona | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | 22 |
| 14 | Getafe | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 14:11 | 21 |
| 15 | Alavés | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 19:18 | 21 |
| 16 | Espanyol | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:21 | 21 |
| 17 | Sevilla | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21:23 | 19 |
| 18 | Celta Vigo | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23:24 | 17 |
| 19 | Levante | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19:26 | 17 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7:14 | 17 |
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