Ajax vs Atalanta Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 22 Oct 2026
Ajax vs Atalanta Predictions
The price for Over 2.5 on the Total Goals market is -147 and we think that these odds are especially attractive. We anticipate that Ajax and Atalanta can combine to good effect and it’s therefore a value wager.
Continue reading for our full Ajax vs Atalanta betting analysis, outlining the core arguments for our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks and bet builder tips.
Ajax vs Atalanta Preview
Dutch Eredivisie team Ajax host Italian Serie A outfit Atalanta at Johan Cruyff Arena, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Thursday 22 October.
Ajax won last time out by a 5-2 Eredivisie scoreline. It was on their travels against FC Groningen at Euroborg Stadion. Michel's team enjoyed 50% possession and had twelve shots on target, with Julian Brandt and Jorthy Mokio both registering two goals.
Atalanta suffered a defeat in their previous game. A 3-2 Serie A scoreline occurred away from home at San Siro against AC Milan. The Bergamo outfit managed four shots on goal and had 44% possession, while Gianluca Gaetano and Nikola Krstovic were on the scoresheet.
In their previous Europa Conference League matches, Ajax visited Hajduk Split and lost 2-1, while Atalanta triumphed 3-1 at home to Pafos FC.
| Europa Conference League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |  Atalanta |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 25 |  Ajax |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1:2 | 0 |
Ajax have 5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 2.8 goals from 7.8 shots on goal and 21.6 attempts. The Amsterdam side have averaged 61.8% possession and 6.8 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.4 goals from 4.4 shots on goal, 10.3 attempts and 3.0 corners.
Top goalscorer is Julian Brandt on 6 goals, while Davy Klaassen and Tolu Arokodare have both bagged 4. Oscar Gloukh has the most assists with 4, while goalie Marc-Andre ter Stegen has recorded 2 clean sheets.
Atalanta have 4 victories, 5 defeats and 1 draw, averaging 4.6 shots on goal, 14.2 attempts and 1.4 goals. La Dea average 49.0% possession, 3.4 corners awarded and 4.5 corners against, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 15.1 attempts and 5.6 shots on goal.
Nikola Krstovic has top scored with 4, while Giacomo Raspadori and Gianluca Scamacca are next best on 2. Nicola Zalewski has had 2 assists in the previous 10 games, while Marco Carnesecchi has one clean sheet to his name.
Main Match Prediction
The latest stats suggest that we’ll see a number of goals being scored during this Europa Conference League clash. If you agree with this verdict, you can secure a price of -147 when it comes to betting on Over 2.5 Goals.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (domestic league and Europa Conference League matches):
Our job is to consult the latest Europa Conference League team news in order to produce the best football predictions. Then we crack on with the job of analysing the stats that are going to be the most effective.
Based on the odds from the best betting apps, our pick carries a 59.5% chance of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 65-70%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.
There’s the opportunity to look at other betting angles and that includes Over 3.5 Goals if you want to get bigger odds. With this bet, you will get a pay out if four or more are scored in total.
Before you bet, take a look at our complete guide to the best free bets and new customer bonuses on offer now.
Correct Score Prediction
2
-
1
Atalanta
We’ve found an attractive bet at odds of +575 and it involves Ajax winning 2-1. We like a wager on correct score as there’s the chance to bank a bigger return.
Player Prop Picks
Tolu Arokodare (Ajax) has scored at least one goal in three straight home games. We’re content to land the +145 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he features on the scoresheet.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Get in the game with a bet builder. Our picks are at least three goals in total, Ajax to win as well as Tolu Arokodare (Ajax) to score at any time.
Placing a bet builder means you can have various selections for one football match. It’s a great bet to have if you’re confident of certain outcomes, especially as the price for each selection is combined.
Ajax vs Atalanta Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
For this Europa Conference League clash, Ajax are the +117 favourites to triumph according to the latest Full-Time Result betting odds. This reflects that they have a 46% chance of winning. The market suggests that Atalanta are least likely to win at +210.
Ajax are -122 at -0.25 on the Asian Handicap and this gives you a half stake refund in the event of a draw. However, you get a full payout on your wager if they manage to beat Atalanta.
For those expecting a high-scoring contest, Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest price. Both Teams to Score is one of the top markets and the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -172.
There are hundreds of markets when it comes to betting on the Europa Conference League coupon and we recommend visiting the leading betting sites to find the football bet that matches your view on the game.
Favourite Tolu Arokodare is +370 to be the First Goalscorer, while similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.
Latest Europa Conference League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.
Ajax Stats
Atalanta Stats
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 4.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 6.80 corners awarded and 3.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 2.60 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 3.40 corners awarded and 4.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.10 corners awarded and 4.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 7.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.40 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 61.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 60.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 home matches
Ajax vs Atalanta Lineups & Team News
Make sure to look over the Ajax vs Atalanta team news before betting. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Europa Conference League lineups alongside the newest injury information.
Previous Ajax Lineups
Previous Atalanta Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Ajax Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Michel
Atalanta Player Stats & Squad
Europa Conference League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brighton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 2 | FC Copenhagen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 4 | Atalanta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 5 | Sint-Truiden | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Mjallby | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 7 | Lugano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 9 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 10 | Brann | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 10 | Panathinaikos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 10 | Hajduk Split | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 13 | Twente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 13 | Gent | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 15 | FC Midtjylland | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 15 | Kairat Almaty | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 15 | Getafe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 15 | Nordsjaelland | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 19 | U Craiova | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 19 | Riga FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 19 | Hearts | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 19 | Egnatia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 23 | Crvena Zvezda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 23 | Jablonec | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 25 | Borac Banja Luka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 25 | Ajax | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 25 | Lincoln Red Imps | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 28 | CSKA Sofia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 29 | Thun | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 29 | AGF Aarhus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 31 | KuPS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 32 | Pafos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 33 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 33 | Iberia 1999 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 35 | Braga | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 36 | FK Kauno Zalgiris | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brighton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 2 | FC Copenhagen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Atalanta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Mjallby | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Sint-Truiden | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Lugano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 8 | Brann | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 9 | Hajduk Split | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 10 | Panathinaikos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 11 | Twente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 12 | Gent | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 13 | Hearts | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 14 | Egnatia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 15 | U Craiova | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 16 | Riga FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 17 | Trabzonspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 | Monaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 19 | Kairat Almaty | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 20 | FC Midtjylland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 21 | Getafe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 22 | Nordsjaelland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 23 | Jablonec | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 24 | Crvena Zvezda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 25 | Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 26 | Borac Banja Luka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 27 | Lincoln Red Imps | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 28 | AGF Aarhus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 29 | Thun | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 30 | Pafos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 31 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 32 | Iberia 1999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 33 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 34 | FK Kauno Zalgiris | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 35 | CSKA Sofia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 36 | KuPS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 0 |
Eredivisie Table
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 31:10 | 23 |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | 20 |
| 3 | PSV | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 27:12 | 19 |
| 4 | Ajax | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 27:12 | 18 |
| 5 | Twente | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:10 | 17 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:17 | 15 |
| 7 | Groningen | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22:19 | 14 |
| 8 | SC Heerenveen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:11 | 12 |
| 9 | Go Ahead E. | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 20:21 | 11 |
| 10 | Excelsior | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16:18 | 11 |
| 11 | Utrecht | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16:26 | 11 |
| 12 | NEC Nijmegen | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 13 | Sp. Rotterdam | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16:22 | 9 |
| 14 | Cambuur | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13:21 | 9 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:22 | 7 |
| 16 | Telstar | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 6 |
| 17 | Den Haag | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11:20 | 6 |
| 18 | Willem II | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9:26 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Twente | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | 12 |
| 2 | PSV | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 10 |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 8 |
| 5 | Go Ahead E. | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11:6 | 8 |
| 6 | SC Heerenveen | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 7 | Groningen | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:11 | 7 |
| 8 | Ajax | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11:9 | 6 |
| 9 | Sp. Rotterdam | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:12 | 5 |
| 10 | Den Haag | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 11 | Fortuna Sittard | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 12 | Utrecht | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:14 | 4 |
| 13 | Cambuur | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:15 | 4 |
| 14 | NEC Nijmegen | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7:10 | 3 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:14 | 3 |
| 17 | Telstar | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8:15 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:10 | 1 |
Serie A Table
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21:9 | 19 |
| 2 | Lazio | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14:4 | 19 |
| 3 | Roma | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16:3 | 17 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 5 | Como | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 14 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 13 |
| 7 | Cagliari | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 13 |
| 8 | Juventus | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 9 | Napoli | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 10 | Torino | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 10 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10:11 | 9 |
| 12 | Lecce | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 13 | Sassuolo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 14 | Monza | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13:15 | 7 |
| 15 | Bologna | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | 5 |
| 16 | Udinese | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9:16 | 4 |
| 17 | Genoa | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | 4 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:17 | 4 |
| 19 | Parma | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6:16 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15:6 | 12 |
| 2 | Roma | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 10 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 9 |
| 4 | Frosinone | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Atalanta | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 6 | Lazio | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 7 | Sassuolo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 8 | Juventus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 9 | Monza | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 10 | Napoli | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 11 | Como | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 12 | Cagliari | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 13 | Parma | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 14 | Genoa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 15 | Torino | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 16 | Lecce | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 17 | Venezia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 18 | Bologna | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | 2 |
| 19 | Udinese | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:9 | 1 |
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