Ajax vs Excelsior Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 19 Sep 2026
Ajax vs Excelsior Predictions
It could be all about Excelsior at +1.75 on the Asian Handicap. This sees our money divided between +1.5 and +2.0 at a betting price of -104. They’re sure to acquit themselves well against Ajax.
This Ajax vs Excelsior betting analysis delivers a full overview of our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Ajax vs Excelsior Preview
Ajax square off against Excelsior at Johan Cruyff Arena, with kick-off set for 14:00 on Saturday 19 September.
Ajax have recorded back-to-back Eredivisie wins, most recently beating Willem II 5-1. It was a home triumph at Johan Cruyff Arena. The Sons of God recorded thirteen shots on target and boasted 69% possession, with Davy Klaassen being among the scorers in a goalfest where five different players found the net.
Excelsior were defeated in their previous game, being beaten at home to FC Utrecht by a 2-1 scoreline at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion. Ruben den Uil's team enjoyed 56% possession and managed four shots on goal, while Aymen Sliti was on the scoresheet.
H2H: 2-2 Draw in Pair’s Last Meeting
Excelsior have avoided defeat against Ajax in the past four games, with their last clash being a 2-2 draw at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion. The previous 7 H2H matches have ended up with three Ajax wins, one Excelsior victory and three draws.
| Eredivisie | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |  Ajax |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 19:7 | 13 |
| 6 |  Excelsior |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13:7 | 10 |
Ajax have 6 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, averaging 2.7 goals from 7.4 shots on goal and 20.9 attempts. The Amsterdam outfit have averaged 60.3% possession, 591.0 passes and 6.8 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.3 goals from 4.4 shots on goal, 10.9 attempts and 3.6 corners.
Davy Klaassen is the top goalscorer with 5, Julian Brandt has 3, with Kasper Dolberg and two other players on 2. Leading assistor is Oscar Gloukh with 3, while goalkeepers Maarten Paes and Marc-Andre ter Stegen have collectively recorded 4 clean sheets.
Excelsior have 6 victories, 2 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 2.5 goals from 13.2 attempts and 5.5 shots on goal. The Kralingers average 48.6% possession, 420.8 passes, 4.8 corners in their favour and 3.8 corners against, while conceding 1.2 goals from 12.4 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal.
Noah Naujoks has scored 4, followed by David Garden, Irakli Yegoian and Derensili Sanches Fernandes with 3 goals apiece. Irakli Yegoian has had 4 assists, with Stijn van Gassel notching 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Ajax predicted lineup (4-3-3): Maarten Paes (GK), Lucas Rosa, Thilo Kehrer, Youri Baas, Owen Wijndal, Davy Klaassen, Jorthy Mokio, Julian Brandt, Steven Berghuis, Kasper Dolberg, Oscar Gloukh.
Excelsior predicted lineup (4-1-4-1): Stijn van Gassel (GK), Eric da Silva Moreira, Casper Widell, Jan Plug, Kasey Bos, Rick Meissen, Aymen Sliti, Irakli Yegoian, Lennard Hartjes, Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson, David Garden.
Main Match Prediction
We expect Excelsior to play well as outsiders and you can back them at +1.75 on the Asian Handicap at odds of -104. This looks like a value selection when it comes to this Eredivisie encounter.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
We’re always the first to know about team news, with our football tipsters also studying the latest Eredivisie form to enhance their view. You will also find a mixture of stats which provide some valuable predictions ahead of the action.
The betting odds at the top bookies suggest our pick carries a 51% chance of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.
If you are looking for larger odds, there’s plenty of choice when it comes to selling goals. Taking this option involves more risk and a bigger potential return.
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Correct Score Prediction
2
-
1
Excelsior
A 2-1 win in favor of Ajax is available at odds of +650. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.
Player Prop Picks
Irakli Yegoian (Excelsior) has recorded one or more shots on goal in four straight Eredivisie away matches. There is odds of -100 on offer for this Shots on Target wager and we think he’ll cover the line.
Kasper Dolberg (Ajax) has been among the goals in back-to-back Eredivisie games. When it comes to him finding the net, we believe the +145 available is appealing when backing him on the Anytime Goalscorer market.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The past five Excelsior games have seen the 9.5 Total Corners line not covered four times, with the previous five home matches involving Ajax averaging 8.40 corners. It stands to reason that the line won’t be reached and you can secure odds of +102 for this Total Corners bet.
Ajax
Excelsior
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
A same-game multi can be a fun wager and we’ve gone for Excelsior with the +1.75 Asian Handicap, BTTS Yes together with Irakli Yegoian (Excelsior) to end up with one or more shots on target.
Placing a bet builder means you can have various selections for one football match. Should a bettor get all selections correct, then they can achieve a good return from a small stake.
Ajax vs Excelsior Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With a proposed 81% probability of securing a victory, the bookmakers are taking few risks with their -417 odds about Ajax coming out on top in this Eredivisie encounter. Excelsior are the outsiders at +850 which suggests a low likelihood of winning.
Ajax and Excelsior can be backed at -172 and +575 respectively on the Half-Time Result market. This is an ideal route for bettors who want a quick settlement and the draw is +215.
Over 2.5 Goals is the market leader and that means three or more goals are predicted. BTTS Yes is on offer at -175 for anyone who wants to side with Both Teams to Score.
The best football betting sites have excellent coverage for the latest Eredivisie games. They supply customers with hundreds of markets and it’s down to you to find the best angle.
You will find Tolu Arokodare at +340 to be First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite. There’s the chance to get -118 that he finds the net at anytime.
Stats: Last 10 Eredivisie matches only.
Ajax have secured four wins, three draws and three defeats in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 2.30 goals per game and conceding 1.40.
Excelsior haven’t lost any of their past seven away games. Ruben den Uil's team have five wins, three draws and two losses in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 2.20 goals per match and conceding 1.30.
When the sides last met at Johan Cruyff Arena, Excelsior beat Ajax 2-1. We’ve seen the past 4 H2H matches at Johan Cruyff Arena involve two wins for Ajax, one draw and one victory for Excelsior.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax Home Stats |
4-3-3 | 3.70 | 2.30 | 1.40 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 2 | |
| Excelsior Away Stats |
5-3-2 | 3.50 | 2.20 | 1.30 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 3 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Ajax League Stats
Excelsior League Stats
- 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 4.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.50 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 6.80 corners awarded and 3.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 3.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 3.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 5.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 60.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 56.80% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 48.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 47.70% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Ajax this season are Davy Klaassen (3), Julian Brandt (3), Kasper Dolberg (2)
- Top Assistors for Ajax this season are Oscar Gloukh (3), Kasper Dolberg (2), Steven Berghuis (2)
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Ajax vs Excelsior Lineups & Team News
Make sure to look over the Ajax vs Excelsior team news before betting. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed Eredivisie lineups and the latest on injuries.
Ajax Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Excelsior Predicted Lineup 4-1-4-1
Ajax Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Excelsior Predicted Lineup 4-1-4-1
Previous Ajax Lineups
Previous Excelsior Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Ajax Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Michel
Excelsio Player Stats & Squad
Eredivisie Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22:7 | 16 |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20:7 | 14 |
| 4 | Ajax | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19:7 | 13 |
| 5 | Twente | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:5 | 13 |
| 6 | Excelsior | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:7 | 10 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:14 | 10 |
| 8 | Go Ahead E. | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15:13 | 9 |
| 9 | Groningen | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 10 | NEC Nijmegen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 7 |
| 11 | SC Heerenveen | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:9 | 6 |
| 12 | Sp. Rotterdam | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10:13 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:11 | 5 |
| 14 | Utrecht | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11:19 | 5 |
| 15 | Cambuur | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:18 | 4 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:17 | 4 |
| 17 | Willem II | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:19 | 2 |
| 18 | Den Haag | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6:16 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Twente | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 9 |
| 2 | PSV | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 7 |
| 4 | Go Ahead E. | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 7 |
| 5 | Ajax | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 4 |
| 6 | Groningen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 7 | SC Heerenveen | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 8 | Excelsior | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 9 | Fortuna Sittard | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 10 | Cambuur | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:13 | 3 |
| 11 | Feyenoord | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 2 |
| 12 | Sp. Rotterdam | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | 2 |
| 13 | NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 14 | Telstar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:9 | 1 |
| 15 | Willem II | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:9 | 1 |
| 16 | Utrecht | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:13 | 1 |
| 17 | Den Haag | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | 0 |
| 18 | PEC Zwolle | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:12 | 0 |
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