Ajax vs Groningen Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 May 2026

Eredivisie Betting Preview: Ajax vs Groningen

Ajax meet Groningen in this European play-offs semi-final at Johan Cruyff Arena, with kick-off set for 12:45 on Thursday 21 May.

Ajax can’t be ignored when they meet Groningen, especially as betting odds of -119 are available for this prediction. The Full-Time Result market offers strong value here, making the hosts an appealing option.

Ajax played out a 0-0 draw in their last game. This was away from home at Abe Lenstra Stadion against Heerenveen. Oscar Garcia's men managed six shots on target and had 47% possession.

FC Groningen won their previous league game 2-1. This away victory at Asito Stadion against Heracles was their second the Eredivisie triumph on the spin. Groningen had 48% possession and managed five shots on goal, while David van der Werff and Tygo Land were both on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last encounter between Groningen and Ajax saw the former win at home. It was a 3-1 scoreline at Euroborg Stadion. In the past 10 H2H meetings, we have seen seven Ajax wins, two Groningen victories and one draw.

Eredivisie		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
6	Groningen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 13.2 attempts. Ajax have had 53.9% possession, 499.0 passes and 4.2 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.0 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 13.5 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 6.7 corners.

Top scorer Mika Godts has found the net 4 times, Steven Berghuis 3, with Wout Weghorst and Davy Klaassen both scoring 2. Mika Godts has the most assists with 4, while goalkeeper Maarten Paes has 5 clean sheets.

Groningen have won 5, lost 3 and drawn 2, averaging 5.9 shots on goal, 16.5 attempts and 1.8 goals. Dick Lukkien's side average 49.7% possession, 397.9 passes, 6.2 corners awarded and 6.0 corners against, while 1.3 goals have been conceded from 12.4 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal.

Thom van Bergen has scored 5, followed by Tygo Land on 3 and Oskar Zawada with 2. Younes Taha has clocked up 4 assists, with Etienne Vaessen and Hidde Jurjus collectively keeping 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Ajax confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Maarten Paes (GK), Anton Gaaei, Aaron Bouwman, Youri Baas, Lucas Rosa, Sean Steur, Jorthy Mokio, Davy Klaassen, Steven Berghuis, Wout Weghorst, Mika Godts.

FC Groningen confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Etienne Vaessen (GK), Marco Rente, Thijmen Blokzijl, Dies Janse, Marvin Peersman, Tygo Land, Tika de Jonge, Travis Hernes, David van der Werff, Jorg Schreuders, Thom van Bergen.

Ajax vs Groningen Prediction & Betting Tips

Get ahead of the game with our Ajax vs Groningen betting rundown, featuring our trusted match prediction, likely score outcome, corners betting edge, standout player prop plays and a fully loaded bet builder.

Match Prediction

Ajax could land the money in this Eredivisie game and we’ll take this pick with confidence. There are appealing odds of -119 and we can’t pass up the chance to back the favourites.

The Eredivisie tipsters at Sportsgambler.com always have a strong handle on team news. A form guide is also utilised for our betting verdict along with checking out the numbers that are going to help inform our final football picks.

Key Ajax vs FC Groningen league stats:

• Groningen have lost 10 of their last 19 games on the road.
• Ajax have won 7 of their last 10 games against Groningen.

Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 54.3% chance of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

For those bettors who want to boost their odds for Ajax to secure a victory, why not combine this pick with some of the other available options in a Bet Builder.

Before you place your bets, explore our updated guide packed with the latest free bets and betting bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Ajax To Win @ -119 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 19, 18:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Ajax 2 - 1 Groningen

You can secure odds of +600 that Ajax are able to land a 2-1 victory. Correct score betting can provide plenty of fun and it’s a way of landing bigger odds.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Thom van Bergen Over 2.5 Shots -100

Thom van Bergen (Groningen) has fired over 2.5 shots in seven of his past ten Eredivisie games. There is odds of -100 on offer for this Player Shots wager and we think he’ll cover the line.

Latest Thom van Bergen Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+230

First

+650

Shots

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-

---

Davy Klaassen to Score +370

Davy Klaassen (Ajax) has managed two goals in his past six Eredivisie matches. We think there’s value in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop bet at +370 which will hopefully see him find the net.

Latest Davy Klaassen Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+380

First

+1100

Shots

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -143

All of the past five Ajax matches have seen the 9.5 Total Corners line covered, with an average of 12.20 corners in the previous ten Groningen games. The amount of corners might be larger than the line implies and that means a bet at odds of -143.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Ajax

Total

10.90 4.20 6.70

Home

8.90 4.40 4.50

Away

10.60 4.00 6.60

Groningen

Total

12.20 6.20 6.00

Home

13.20 7.10 6.10

Away

10.70 6.50 4.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-100

Under 10.5

-143

Ajax Corners

Over 5.5

-111

Under 5.5

-128

Groningen Corners

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-141

Most Corners

1

-154

X

+650

2

+150

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Ajax vs Groningen Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Ajax are forecasted to have a 53% chance of triumphing in this Eredivisie encounter according to the bookmakers. It leads to their latest betting odds being -115. The +285 means that FC Groningen are seen as having the lowest probability of succeeding.

The Asian Handicap -0.5 provides the chance to bet on Ajax to effectively win. If you want to oppose them, there’s the alternative to back Groningen +0.5 at -108 and that gets the draw onside.

The expectation is that Over 2.5 Goals will be scored according to the latest odds. The Yes option in the Both Teams to Score market is regarded as the most likely outcome and is trading at -200.

The top football betting sites cover Eredivisie matches in serious depth and there are hundreds of markets. We recommend scanning through the various bets before picking out the best angle.

Full-Time Result

1

-115

X

+260

2

+285

Half-Time Result

1

+138

X

+130

2

+265

Double Chance

1X

-400

12

-370

X2

-111

Draw No Bet

1

-263

2

+175

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-115

2 Hcp +0.5

-108

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+132

Over 2.5

-172

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-200

No

+140

Mika Godts is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +370. If you want to back him to score the last goal, you can get similar odds.

Mika Godts (Ajax)

First

+370

Anytime

+120

Wout Weghorst (Ajax)

First

+400

Anytime

+140

David van der Werff (Groningen)

First

+650

Anytime

+230

Thom van Bergen (Groningen)

First

+650

Anytime

+230

Kasper Dolberg (Ajax)

First

+700

Anytime

+230

Steven Berghuis (Ajax)

First

+800

Anytime

+280

Oscar Gloukh (Ajax)

First

+850

Anytime

+290

Brynjolfur Andersen Willumsson (Groningen)

First

+850

Anytime

+290

Don-Angelo Konadu (Ajax)

First

+850

Anytime

+290

Maher Carrizo (Ajax)

First

+950

Anytime

+340

Younes Taha (Groningen)

First

+1050

Anytime

+350

Rayane Bounida (Ajax)

First

+1000

Anytime

+350

Kian Fitz-Jim (Ajax)

First

+1100

Anytime

+370

Oliver Edvardsen (Ajax)

First

+1100

Anytime

+370

Davy Klaassen (Ajax)

First

+1100

Anytime

+380

Stije Resink (Groningen)

First

+1200

Anytime

+420

Jorg Schreuders (Groningen)

First

+1500

Anytime

+525

Oleksandr Zinchenko (Ajax)

First

+1900

Anytime

+700

Jorthy Mokio (Ajax)

First

+2000

Anytime

+750

Marvin Peersman (Groningen)

First

+2000

Anytime

+750

Anton Gaaei (Ajax)

First

+2200

Anytime

+750

Youri Baas (Ajax)

First

+2200

Anytime

+800

Mika Godts (Ajax)

Over 4.5

+130

Under 4.5

-

Wout Weghorst (Ajax)

Over 3.5

-111

Under 3.5

-

Younes Taha (Groningen)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-

David van der Werff (Groningen)

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-

Thom van Bergen (Groningen)

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-

Stije Resink (Groningen)

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-

Davy Klaassen (Ajax)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

Oliver Edvardsen (Ajax)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

Kian Fitz-Jim (Ajax)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

Rayane Bounida (Ajax)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

Maher Carrizo (Ajax)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

Don-Angelo Konadu (Ajax)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-

Brynjolfur Andersen Willumsson (Groningen)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Oscar Gloukh (Ajax)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

-

Steven Berghuis (Ajax)

Over 1.5

-204

Under 1.5

-

Kasper Dolberg (Ajax)

Over 1.5

-250

Under 1.5

-

Jorg Schreuders (Groningen)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Oleksandr Zinchenko (Ajax)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

Jorthy Mokio (Ajax)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Marvin Peersman (Groningen)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-

Anton Gaaei (Ajax)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Youri Baas (Ajax)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-

Ajax vs Groningen Lineups & Team News

Don’t bet on Ajax vs Groningen without reviewing the latest team news. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed Eredivisie lineups and the latest on injuries.

Ajax Team Page FC Groningen Team Page

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