Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 10 Oct 2026

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Predictions

Main Match Prediction

NEC Nijmegen Asian Hcp +1.75 @ -108

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NEC +1.75 at -108 stand out when they go up against Ajax, with half our Asian Handicap money going on +1.5 and the other half placed at +2.0. The underdogs can deliver a solid performance.

Continue reading for our complete Ajax vs NEC betting analysis, delivering an in-depth look at our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Preview

Ajax welcome NEC Nijmegen to Johan Cruyff Arena, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Saturday 10 October.

Ajax faced Excelsior at home when last in action. It was a 2-2 draw at Johan Cruyff Arena. The Sons of God recorded an incredible 81% of possession and had eight shots on target, with Julian Brandt and Tolu Arokodare scoring one goal each.

NEC Nijmegen hosted Go Ahead Eagles at Stadion De Goffert in their previous game, ending in a 1-1 draw. Dick Schreuder's side had 46% possession and five shots on goal, while Perr Schuurs found the net.

H2H: 1-1 Draw in Pair’s Last Meeting

NEC have not lost to Ajax in the past three meetings, with their last encounter ending in a 1-1 draw at Johan Cruyff Arena. The previous 10 H2H games have featured five Ajax wins, four draws and one NEC victory.

Eredivisie		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	12	21:9	14
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	12:13	8

View Full Table

6 wins, 1 loss and 3 draws, averaging 2.8 goals from 22.8 attempts and 7.6 shots on goal. Ajax have had 62.0% possession, 606.8 passes and 7.3 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.3 goals from 9.9 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 2.9 corners.

Davy Klaassen is the top scorer with 5 goals, while Julian Brandt has 4 and Tolu Arokodare 3. Oscar Gloukh is the leading assists maker with 4, while goalkeepers Marc-Andre ter Stegen and Maarten Paes collectively have 4 clean sheets.

NEC have 3 victories, 4 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 1.6 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 17.7 attempts. NEC have averaged 60.5% possession, 6.3 corners awarded and 3.5 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.7 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 10.3 attempts.

Tjaronn Chery is the leading scorer with 4 goals, followed by Noe Lebreton on 3, with Perr Schuurs and two others bagging 2. Tjaronn Chery and Dusan Tadic have been the top assists providers with 2 in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Ajax predicted lineup (4-3-3): Marc-Andre ter Stegen (GK), Anton Gaaei, Thilo Kehrer, Youri Baas, Caio Henrique, Davy Klaassen, Jorthy Mokio, Julian Brandt, Viktor Tsygankov, Oliver Valaker Edvardsen, Oscar Gloukh.

NEC Nijmegen predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Nikolas Polster (GK), Gabriel Bras, Perr Schuurs, Tobias Storm, Kevin Kers, Darko Nejasmic, Noé Lebreton, Ayodele Thomas, Tjaronn Chery, Dusan Tadic, Brian Linssen.

Main Match Prediction

NEC can stay close to their opponents and we’re happy to team up with the visitors at +1.75 on the Asian Handicap. It’s anticipated that we’ll see a bright display and we’ll back them at -108 for this Eredivisie game.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• The +1.75 line has been covered by NEC in 17 of their last 18 games on the road.
• The +1.75 line has been covered by NEC in 9 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -1.75 line hasn’t been covered by Ajax in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -1.75 line hasn’t been covered by Ajax in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -1.75 line hasn’t been covered by Ajax in 9 consecutive games against NEC.

We’re always focused on the Eredivisie form guide to identify the latest betting trends. When it comes to key players getting injured, that can also have a bearing. The latest stats provide even more information to make a football prediction.

According to the top bookies, our pick has a 51.8% chance of landing a return. Based on our tipsters research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

If you’re searching for a larger price and feel confident that your selection will perform well, then moving the line can secure an increased possible pay out.

Get more from your wager using our bonus guide, which highlights top betting offers, free bets, and welcome promotions.

NEC Nijmegen Asian Hcp +1.75 @ -108 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 8, 21:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Ajax 2 - 1 NEC

We’re going for Ajax at +650 to secure a 2-1 win. It’s exciting to bet on the correct score and this wager will hopefully be able to land a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Bryan Linssen Over 0.5 Shots On Target -130

Bryan Linssen (NEC) has finished with at least one shot on goal in seven of his past ten Eredivisie games on the road. Our opinion is that there’s value for him to cover the Shots on Target line, with betting odds of -130 currently on offer.

Latest Bryan Linssen Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+300

First

+1050

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-130

Under 0.5

-

---

Julian Brandt to Score +145

Julian Brandt (Ajax) has scored in three consecutive Eredivisie matches. He looks like an attractive wager to be on the scoresheet and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer selection at odds of +145.

Latest Julian Brandt Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+145

First

+500

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

NEC Over 3.5 Corners -122

It’s been an average of 6.30 NEC Nijmegen corners in the past ten games. In our opinion, there is value when it comes to NEC covering the Team Corners line, with odds of -122 on offer.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Ajax

Total

10.20 7.30 2.90

Home

8.40 5.90 2.50

Away

11.70 5.40 6.30

NEC

Total

9.80 6.30 3.50

Home

10.30 7.50 2.80

Away

10.20 5.60 4.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-115

Under 9.5

-123

Ajax Corners

Over 5.5

-114

Under 5.5

-125

NEC Corners

Over 3.5

-120

Under 3.5

-118

Most Corners

1

-213

X

+650

2

+210

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The latest betting odds suggest that Ajax are convincing -370 favourites to claim a victory and that means a 79% probability of coming out on top in this Eredivisie encounter. If you’re interested in wagering NEC Nijmegen, you can get +800 for the underdog.

Ajax can be backed alternatively on the Half-Time Result market and that means getting -172. However, NEC are +525 and the draw is +200 if you want to take a different option.

If you want to bet on three goals or more, then Over 2.5 is the shortest odds. For those expecting both sides to find the net, Both Teams to Score Yes is available at -182.

Hundreds of markets for every Eredivisie game await you, with the leading football betting sites providing a huge range of choice. A first-class service awaits whether you’re betting pre-match or In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

-370

X

+500

2

+800

Half-Time Result

1

-172

X

+200

2

+525

Double Chance

1X

-1667

12

-833

X2

+260

Draw No Bet

1

-1429

2

+525

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.75

-116

2 Hcp +1.75

-108

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+255

Over 2.5

-357

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-182

No

+130

Tolu Arokodare is the market leader at +330 to be First Goalscorer but if you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Tolu Arokodare (Ajax)

First

+330

Anytime

-118

Marcos Leonardo Santos Almeida (Ajax)

First

+380

Anytime

+105

Kasper Dolberg (Ajax)

First

+475

Anytime

+130

Julian Brandt (Ajax)

First

+500

Anytime

+145

Viktor Tsygankov (Ajax)

First

+525

Anytime

+150

Oscar Gloukh (Ajax)

First

+525

Anytime

+155

Steven Berghuis (Ajax)

First

+600

Anytime

+175

Abdellah Ouazane (Ajax)

First

+600

Anytime

+175

Davy Klaassen (Ajax)

First

+600

Anytime

+180

Simon Adingra (Ajax)

First

+650

Anytime

+185

Oliver Edvardsen (Ajax)

First

+750

Anytime

+220

Rayane Bounida (Ajax)

First

+800

Anytime

+250

Kaj Sierhuis (NEC)

First

+1000

Anytime

+280

Bryan Linssen (NEC)

First

+1050

Anytime

+300

Emre Mor (NEC)

First

+1100

Anytime

+330

Tjaronn Chery (NEC)

First

+1150

Anytime

+330

Jorthy Mokio (Ajax)

First

+1200

Anytime

+360

Noé Lebreton (NEC)

First

+1200

Anytime

+370

Dusan Tadic (NEC)

First

+1500

Anytime

+420

Aaron Bouwman (Ajax)

First

+1400

Anytime

+430

Clement Bischoff (NEC)

First

+1400

Anytime

+450

Anton Gaaei (Ajax)

First

+1600

Anytime

+480

Adam Tahaui (NEC)

First

+1500

Anytime

+500

Ayodele Thomas (NEC)

First

+1600

Anytime

+525

Youri Baas (Ajax)

First

+1700

Anytime

+525

Kasper Dolberg (Ajax)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Tjaronn Chery (NEC)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Julian Brandt (Ajax)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Oscar Gloukh (Ajax)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Viktor Tsygankov (Ajax)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Steven Berghuis (Ajax)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Kaj Sierhuis (NEC)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

Abdellah Ouazane (Ajax)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

Simon Adingra (Ajax)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

Davy Klaassen (Ajax)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-

Bryan Linssen (NEC)

Over 0.5

-130

Under 0.5

-

Emre Mor (NEC)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-

Oliver Edvardsen (Ajax)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-

Tolu Arokodare (Ajax)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

Noé Lebreton (NEC)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Rayane Bounida (Ajax)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Marcos Leonardo Santos Almeida (Ajax)

Over 1.5

+118

Under 1.5

-

Dusan Tadic (NEC)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-

Clement Bischoff (NEC)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-

Adam Tahaui (NEC)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-

Ayodele Thomas (NEC)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-

Jorthy Mokio (Ajax)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-

Aaron Bouwman (Ajax)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-

Anton Gaaei (Ajax)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-

Youri Baas (Ajax)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-

Stats: Last 10 Eredivisie matches only.
Ajax have racked up four draws, three wins and three losses in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 2.30 goals per match and conceding 1.60.

NEC have secured five wins, three draws and two defeats in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.90 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

Ajax drew 1-1 with NEC in their last Johan Cruyff Arena meeting. The previous 5 H2H meetings at Johan Cruyff Arena have included two wins for Ajax, one victory for NEC along with two draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Ajax Home Stats		3-4-3	3.90	2.30	1.60	9	1	9	1
NEC Nijmegen Away Stats		5-3-2	3.20	1.90	1.30	6	4	8	2

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Lineups & Team News

Make sure to look over the Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen team news before betting. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Eredivisie along with the latest injury news.

Ajax Team Page NEC Nijmegen Team Page

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