Alavés vs Atlético Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 10 Oct 2026

Alavés vs Atlético Madrid Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Alavés Asian Hcp +0.75 @ -128

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Our experts think that siding with Alavés +0.75 at -128 on the Asian Handicap is the way forward, with stakes split between +0.5 and +1.0 against Atlético Madrid. The home team should be able to avoid defeat in this contest.

Dive into our Alavés vs Atlético Madrid betting breakdown for the complete analysis of our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Alavés vs Atlético Madrid Preview

Alavés take on Atlético Madrid at Estadio Mendizorroza, with kick-off set for 10:15 on Saturday 10 October.

Deportivo Alavés played Athletic Club away in their last game. It was a 0-0 draw at San Mamés. Quique Sanchez Flores' team were dominated in possession and had just 31% of the ball, with no shots on target.

Atlético Madrid made it three straight victories after a 2-1 home win over Real Madrid at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. Los Colchoneros managed eight shots on goal and enjoyed 61% possession, while Alejandro Grimaldo and Jonathan David were both on target.

H2H: 1-0 Win for Atléti in Pair’s Last Encounter

Atléti have not lost any of the past four games against Alavés. Their last clash was at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, with Atléti claiming a 1-0 home victory. The past 10 H2H meetings have featured six Atléti victories, two draws and two Alavés wins.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Atlético Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	9	16:7	16
6	Alavés	7	3	2	2	11	6	5	11:6	11

View Full Table

5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 12.2 attempts. Alavés have had 39.5% possession, 300.9 passes and 4.8 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 0.8 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 11.0 attempts, while being awarded 5.0 corners.

Top goalscorer is Lucas Boye on 4 goals, while Mariano Diaz has bagged 3 and Antonio Martinez 2. Mariano Diaz and Angel Perez have been top assistors on 3, with goalkeeper Antonio Sivera keeping 5 clean sheets.

Atléti have won 7, lost 2 and drawn 1, with an average of 2.0 goals from 5.7 shots on goal and 14.7 attempts. There’s been an average of 54.1% possession, 525.4 passes, 5.7 corners awarded and 4.2 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.3 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 13.2 attempts.

The top scorers have been Alejandro Baena on 4, followed by Jonathan David and Ademola Lookman with 3. Giuliano Simeone, David Hancko and Marcos Llorente have clocked up 2 assists, with Jan Oblak keeping 4 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Alavés predicted lineup (5-3-2): Antonio Sivera (GK), Nahuel Tenaglia, Nicolas Valentini, Jonny Otto, Angel Perez, Abderrahman Rebbach, Pablo Ibanez, Antonio Blanco, Carles Alena, Antonio Martinez, Lucas Boye.

Atlético Madrid predicted lineup (4-4-2): Jan Oblak (GK), Marcos Llorente, Marc Pubill, Robin Le Normand, David Hancko, Giuliano Simeone, Koke, Johnny Cardoso, Alejandro Baena, Kang-In Lee, Ademola Lookman.

Main Match Prediction

Alavés +0.75 could be a good bet at odds of -128 in this La Liga clash. Our experts are confident that the underdogs can perform well and we don’t think they’ll be easily beaten.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• The +0.75 line has been covered by Alavés in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.75 line has been covered by Alavés in 14 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Atléti in 12 of their last 20 games on the road.

Our football predictions are always well-researched and it starts with a combination of team news and form guide. Once we have a clear idea of what might happen, we match up the latest La Liga data.

The best betting apps make it a 56.2% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, we think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

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Alavés Asian Hcp +0.75 @ -128 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 8, 16:30). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Alavés 1 - 1 Atléti

Our prediction for the correct score is for the teams to play out a 1-1 draw and this is available at +575. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Kang-In Lee Over 0.5 Shots On Target -118

Kang-In Lee (Atléti) has had one or more shots on goal in his past two La Liga games. We think that the value can be found by wagering on Shots on Target and you can get -118 that he goes over the line.

Latest Kang-In Lee Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+280

First

+700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-

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Giuliano Simeone to Score +400

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti) has scored two goals in his past nine La Liga matches. When it comes to him scoring, we think that the +400 available is attractive when betting on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Giuliano Simeone Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+400

First

+1000

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Atléti Under 5.5 Corners -156

It’s been an average of 4.60 Atlético Madrid corners in the past 10 away games, while the previous four Alavés matches have involved them conceding under 5.5 corners. There are odds of -156 when it comes to this Team Corners bet and we can see Atléti fall short of the line here.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Alavés

Total

9.80 4.80 5.00

Home

9.70 5.70 4.00

Away

11.10 3.90 7.20

Atléti

Total

9.90 5.70 4.20

Home

9.30 6.30 3.00

Away

10.70 4.60 6.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-137

Under 9.5

-103

Alavés Corners

Over 4.5

-104

Under 4.5

-135

Atléti Corners

Over 5.5

+110

Under 5.5

-156

Most Corners

1

+130

X

+650

2

-130

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Alavés vs Atlético Madrid Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookmakers have Atlético Madrid as -125 favourites for this La Liga encounter, with the 1x2 odds suggesting that they are 56% likely to triumph. Deportivo Alavés are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +340.

If you want to back the favourites to be ahead by the break, then Atléti are +130 on the Half-Time Result market. Alternatively, Alavés are +350 and the draw is priced at +128.

You can find the shortest odds for Over 2.5 Goals, which means three goals or more being scored. BTTS Yes is available at -143 for anyone expecting Both Teams to Score.

If you’re betting on La Liga games, we recommend heading to the best football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

+340

X

+270

2

-125

Half-Time Result

1

+350

X

+128

2

+130

Double Chance

1X

-102

12

-370

X2

-500

Draw No Bet

1

+205

2

-313

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.75

-128

2 Hcp -0.75

-104

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-100

Over 2.5

-130

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-143

No

+106

Alexander Sørloth is available at +170 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer, with the favourite priced at odds of +400 to find the net first.

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

First

+400

Anytime

+170

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

First

+420

Anytime

+170

Ademola Lookman (Atléti)

First

+475

Anytime

+190

Jonathan David (Atléti)

First

+480

Anytime

+200

Álex Baena (Atléti)

First

+510

Anytime

+210

Toni Martínez (Alavés)

First

+575

Anytime

+230

Lucas Boyé (Alavés)

First

+600

Anytime

+245

Kang-In Lee (Atléti)

First

+700

Anytime

+280

Mariano Diaz (Alavés)

First

+850

Anytime

+340

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

First

+1000

Anytime

+400

Álex Grimaldo (Atléti)

First

+1050

Anytime

+400

Miguel Rodríguez (Alavés)

First

+1100

Anytime

+430

Pablo Ibáñez (Alavés)

First

+1100

Anytime

+475

Rodrigo Mendoza (Atléti)

First

+1150

Anytime

+475

Abde Rebbach (Alavés)

First

+1400

Anytime

+650

Carles Aleñá (Alavés)

First

+1600

Anytime

+650

Pablo Barrios (Atléti)

First

+1700

Anytime

+750

Cristian Romero (Atléti)

First

+2000

Anytime

+800

Antonio Blanco (Alavés)

First

+1900

Anytime

+850

Morten Hjulmand (Atléti)

First

+2000

Anytime

+850

Marcos Llorente (Atléti)

First

+2000

Anytime

+900

Selu Diallo (Alavés)

First

+2000

Anytime

+900

Denis Suárez (Alavés)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Hugo Novoa (Alavés)

First

+2200

Anytime

+950

Marc Pubill (Atléti)

First

+2200

Anytime

+950

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Toni Martínez (Alavés)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Jonathan David (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Ademola Lookman (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Boyé (Alavés)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Álex Baena (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-

Kang-In Lee (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-

Mariano Diaz (Alavés)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-

Miguel Rodríguez (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Pablo Ibáñez (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-

Álex Grimaldo (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-

Rodrigo Mendoza (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-

Abde Rebbach (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-

Carles Aleñá (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-

Antonio Blanco (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-

Selu Diallo (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-

Pablo Barrios (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-

Hugo Novoa (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-

Cristian Romero (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-

Denis Suárez (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-

Marcos Llorente (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-

Morten Hjulmand (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-

Marc Pubill (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+360

Under 0.5

-

Stats: Last 10 La Liga matches only.
Alavés have recorded five victories, three defeats and two draws in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.80 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

Atléti have five wins and five defeats in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.70 goals per match and conceding 1.80.

The last meeting at Estadio Mendizorroza saw Alavés and Atléti draw 1-1. There have been three draws in the past 7 H2H games at Estadio Mendizorroza along with two wins apiece.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Alavés Home Stats		5-2-3	3.10	1.80	1.30	6	4	6	4
Atlético Madrid Away Stats		5-0-5	3.50	1.70	1.80	8	2	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Alavés vs Atlético Madrid Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the Alavés vs Atléti team news. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for La Liga together with updated injury news.

Alavés Team Page Atlético Madrid Team Page

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