Alavés vs Málaga Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 Oct 2026
Alavés vs Málaga Predictions
We’ll take Alavés at attractive betting odds of -132 considering that they could be dominant against Málaga. The Full-Time Result market provides plenty of value and a nice potential return.
This Alavés vs Málaga betting analysis delivers a full overview of our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Alavés vs Málaga Preview
Alavés host Málaga at Estadio Mendizorroza, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Friday 23 October.
Deportivo Alavés have suffered defeat in their last two La Liga games. Most recently, a 2-1 scoreline occurred away at Estadio Balaídos against Celta Vigo. Los Babazorros had 52% possession and nine shots on target, while Hugo Novoa bagged the goal.
Málaga were defeated in their previous game, being beaten at home to Real Sociedad by a 5-2 scoreline at Estadio La Rosaleda. The Andalusia team recorded 46% possession and totalled six shots on goal, while Adrian Nino and Pablo Martinez were on the scoresheet.
H2H: Alavés 2-1 Winners in Last Head-to-Head Battle
Alavés overcame Málaga in their last head-to-head encounter. It was a 2-1 La Liga 2 home triumph at Estadio Mendizorroza.
| La Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |  Alavés |
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 13:10 | 11 |
| 20 |  Málaga |
9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 6:18 | 4 |
Alavés have 3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 13.0 attempts. Quique Sanchez Flores' side have averaged 42.5% possession, 336.6 passes and 4.4 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.2 goals from 4.6 shots on goal, 12.2 attempts and 5.1 corners.
Top goalscorer Lucas Boye has found the net 5 times, Mariano Diaz 3, with Hugo Novoa and two other players on 1. Mariano Diaz is the leading assists maker on 4, with goalkeeper Antonio Sivera keeping 3 clean sheets.
Málaga have won 1, lost 5 and drawn 4, with an average of 0.8 goals from 11.6 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal. Los Boquerones average 51.0% possession, 5.7 corners awarded and 5.1 corners against them, while conceding 1.9 goals from 14.5 attempts and 5.8 shots on goal.
Adrian Nino is the leading scorer with 3 goals, followed by Chupe on 2, with Pablo Martinez and two others bagging 1. Pablo Martinez has had 2 assists, with Alfonso Herrero notching one clean sheet in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Alavés predicted lineup (5-3-2): Antonio Sivera (GK), Jonny Otto, Ville Koski, Nicolas Valentini, Nahuel Tenaglia, Abderrahman Rebbach, Pablo Ibanez, Antonio Blanco, Carles Alena, Antonio Martinez, Lucas Boye.
Málaga predicted lineup (4-4-2): Alfonso Herrero (GK), Rafita, Fernando Calero, Angel Recio, Jose Salinas, David Larrubia, Izan Merino, Carlos Dotor, Pablo Martinez, Adrian Nino, Chupe.
Main Match Prediction
Alavés can’t be ignored when they play this La Liga clash, especially as odds of -132 are available for this prediction. Head to the Full-Time Result market to back this value selection.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
We’re constantly keeping tabs on the La Liga team news. Along with the latest form, this helps us get the value every time. Our football experts are able to take a stats-led approach, with the key numbers providing a guide.
According to the top betting sites, our pick has a 56.8% chance of landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 60-65%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.
There are some excellent alternatives when it comes to backing Alavés if you think they’ll prove too strong. One option is the Asian Handicap where you can choose a line at bigger odds.
Before placing your wager, explore the best betting offers. Our in-depth bonus guide features a wide range of promotions to choose from.
Correct Score Prediction
2
-
0
Málaga
We’re going for Alavés at +650 to secure a 2-0 win. It’s exciting to bet on the correct score and this wager will hopefully be able to land a nice return.
Player Prop Picks
Lucas Boyé (Alavés) can be backed to find the net at +133. He looks like a value pick and we think that the odds offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Málaga have covered the 3.5 corners line in eight consecutive matches, while Alavés have yielded an average of 5.60 corners in their previous 5 home games. We think it’s possible that Málaga will cover the Team Corners line and there are odds of -123 available.
Alavés
Málaga
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
A bet builder can be a fun wager and we’ve gone for Alavés to win, Under 2.5 together with Lucas Boyé (Alavés) to find the net.
Placing a bet builder means you can have various selections for one football match. You need all your predictions to be correct and many readers love to place a tailored bet on the clash which interests them most.
Alavés vs Málaga Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With an approximate 57% chance of succeeding, the bookies are being cautious with their -132 betting odds for Deportivo Alavés triumphing in this La Liga encounter. If you want to back the outsider, Málaga are available at +370.
Alavés -0.75 on the Asian Handicap is available at -105 and means a full payout if they win by two or more against Málaga. A victory by one goal means half the stake wins and the other half is refunded.
The Over 2.5 / Under 2.5 Goals betting market has the two outcomes at a similar price. The Both Teams to Score market provides some good options, with Yes and No hard to split in terms of odds.
The good news is that you can access hundreds of markets for any La Liga match. All the leading football betting sites have a massive range of pre-match and In-Play betting options.
Those interested in Lucas Boyé to find the net anytime are able to get +133. There is the chance to back the favourite to score the first goal at odds of +340.
Stats: Last 10 League matches only.
Alavés have managed five victories, four losses and one draw in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.80 goals per game and conceding 1.40.
Málaga haven’t triumphed in four straight games on the road. The Andalusia team have collected five victories, four losses and one draw in the last 10 away games, recording an average of 1.60 goals per match and conceding 1.50.
The previous Estadio Mendizorroza encounter involved a 2-1 Alavés win against Málaga.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alavés Home Stats |
5-1-4 | 3.20 | 1.80 | 1.40 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 4 | |
| Málaga Away Stats |
5-1-4 | 3.10 | 1.60 | 1.50 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Alavés League Stats
Málaga League Stats
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 1 win, 5 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 5.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 4.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 5.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.30 corners awarded and 4.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.60 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 42.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 41.80% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 51.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 51.40% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Alavés this season are Lucas Boye (5), Mariano Diaz (3), Hugo Novoa (1)
- Top Assistors for Alavés this season are Mariano Diaz (4), Angel Perez (3), Antonio Sivera (1)
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Alavés vs Málaga Lineups & Team News
Alavés Predicted Lineup 5-3-2
Málaga Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Alavés Predicted Lineup 5-3-2
Málaga Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Previous Alavés Lineups
Previous Málaga Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Alavés Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Quique Sanchez Flores
Málaga Player Stats & Squad
La Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 39:9 | 27 |
| 2 | Atlético Madrid | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19:8 | 22 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 23:9 | 21 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:14 | 19 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:17 | 16 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:16 | 14 |
| 7 | Alavés | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:10 | 11 |
| 8 | Celta Vigo | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10:7 | 11 |
| 9 | Deportivo | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:12 | 11 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:18 | 11 |
| 11 | Levante | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 12 | Villarreal | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 9 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | 9 |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:17 | 9 |
| 15 | Getafe | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:11 | 9 |
| 16 | Espanyol | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:12 | 8 |
| 17 | Racing Club | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:25 | 8 |
| 18 | Elche | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:17 | 7 |
| 19 | Valencia | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6:15 | 6 |
| 20 | Málaga | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6:18 | 4 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17:3 | 15 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17:4 | 12 |
| 3 | Real Betis | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 4 | Atlético Madrid | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 10 |
| 5 | Alavés | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 6 | Getafe | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:3 | 9 |
| 7 | Racing Club | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:7 | 8 |
| 8 | Osasuna | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 8 |
| 9 | Levante | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13:10 | 7 |
| 10 | Celta Vigo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 7 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 13 | Deportivo | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 14 | Sevilla | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 6 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 5 |
| 16 | Villarreal | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 17 | Espanyol | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 18 | Málaga | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 19 | Valencia | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:9 | 2 |
| 20 | Elche | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:11 | 1 |
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