Almería vs Burgos Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Dec 2025

La Liga 2 Betting Preview: Almería vs Burgos

Almería take on Burgos at UD Almeria Stadium, with kick-off set for 12:30 on Sunday 14 December.

There’s a strong case for siding with Almería when it comes to the Full-Time Result betting market. We think the favourites could prove too strong for Burgos and odds of -141 are attractive.

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Almería won their last game. It was on the road where Andorra were beaten 2-1 at Estadi de la FAF. Los Indálicos managed nine shots on target and recorded 40% possession, while Sergio Arribas scored both goals.

Burgos have been defeated in three consecutive games. They were recently beaten at home to Albacete by a 1-0 scoreline at Estadio El Plantio. The Castile and León team boasted 54% possession and had three shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Burgos overcame Almería at home when the teams last played. It was a 3-1 scoreline at Estadio El Plantio. In the past 4 H2H games, we’ve seen three Almería wins and one Burgos triumph.

La Liga 2		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Almería	21	10	6	5	40	30	10	40:30	36
8	Burgos	21	9	5	7	25	20	5	25:20	32

View Full Table

6 wins, 1 loss and 3 draws, averaging 2.0 goals from 11.1 attempts and 6.2 shots on goal. Almería have had 53.5% possession and 5.2 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 0.9 goals from 9.5 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 4.4 corners.

Top goalscorers Sergio Arribas and Adrian Embarba have found the net 5 times, with Daijiro Chirino scoring 3. Sergio Arribas is the top assists maker on 4.

Burgos have 4 victories, 5 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 2.7 shots on goal, 6.3 attempts and 0.9 goals. Los Burgaleses average 49.7% possession, 4.4 corners taken and 4.7 corners against them, while 0.9 goals have been conceded from 7.0 attempts and 2.7 shots on goal.

David Gonzalez got 3 goals, Mario Gonzalez notched 2, while Fer Nino and two other players scored 1. Alex Lizancos has been the top assist maker with 2 in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Almería confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Andres Fernandez (GK), Daijiro Chirino, Aridane Hernandez, Pedro Cedillo, Alex Munoz, Arnau Puigmal, Dion Lopy, Stefan Dzodic, Sergio Arribas, Thalys, Adrian Embarba.

Burgos confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Ander Cantero (GK), Alex Lizancos, Aitor Cordoba, Grego Sierra, Florian Miguel, Ivan Morante, Miguel Atienza, David Gonzalez, Curro Sanchez, Inigo Cordoba, Mateo Mejia.

Almería vs Burgos Prediction & Betting Tips

From our main match prediction to correct score advice, a corners pick, must-watch player props and a custom bet builder — this Almería vs Burgos betting preview covers it all.

Match Prediction

We’re confident with our selection of Almería to land a victory, with odds of -141 looking really generous. We think they have the ability to claim a win in this La Liga 2 game.

The football tipsters at Sportsgambler.com regularly look at the injury situatuation along with the La Liga 2 form guide. We have a wide range of stats at our disposal which means we can illustrate the key data to readers.

Key Almería vs Burgos league stats:

• Almería have won 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• Almería have won 6 of their last 10 games.
• Burgos have lost their last 3 games.
• Almería have won 3 of their last 4 games against Burgos.

The best betting apps make it a 58.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 65-70%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

The Asian Handicap market offers some alternatives if you strongly fancy Almería and want bigger odds. Back them at -1, -1.5 or even -2 depending on how confident you are.

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Our Match Prediction

Almería To Win @ -141 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Almería 2 - 0 Burgos

One bet that has caught our eye is Almería to claim a 2-0 correct score win. This selection is available at +500 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Arnau Puigmal to Score +650

Arnau Puigmal (Almería) has netted three goals in his past ten La Liga 2 games. We’ll throw a dart at +650 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look pretty attractive.

Latest Arnau Puigmal Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+650

First

+1300

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Corners Prediction

Burgos Over 3.5 Corners -103

Burgos have had over 3.5 corners in eight consecutive games, while Almería have had an average of 4.40 corners against them in their last 10 matches. We’re expecting history to be repeated and that would mean the Burgos Team Corners line is covered at -103.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Almería

Total

9.60 5.20 4.40

Home

11.70 7.70 4.00

Away

7.70 3.20 4.50

Burgos

Total

9.10 4.40 4.70

Home

7.60 3.90 3.70

Away

9.30 3.90 5.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-104

Under 9.5

-139

Almería Corners

Over 5.5

-119

Under 5.5

-125

Burgos Corners

Over 3.5

-102

Under 3.5

-147

Most Corners

1

-250

X

+700

2

+230

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Almería vs Burgos Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Almería are forecasted to be the most likely winner in this La Liga 2 encounter. The -137 for them coming out on top suggests a 58% probability based on their latest betting odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +360 about Burgos.

Almería are -108 if you take them on the Asian Handicap at -0.75. Stakes are split between -0.5 and -1 which means you need a 2+ goal win for a full payout. A one-goal victory means a return with half your stake and the other half refunded.

If you’re anticipating that two goals or less will be netted throughout the contest, then Under 2.5 Goals is a definite runner. An alternative angle is a BTTS bet and Both Teams to Score No is available at -147.

If you’re betting on La Liga 2 matches, we recommend heading to the top football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

-137

X

+240

2

+360

Half-Time Result

1

+143

X

+115

2

+380

Double Chance

1X

-667

12

-385

X2

-106

Draw No Bet

1

-357

2

+225

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-108

2 Hcp +0.75

-130

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-161

Over 2.5

+112

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+102

No

-147

You will find Ibrahima Koné at +430 to be First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite. There’s the chance to get +200 that he finds the net at anytime.

Ibrahima Koné (Almería)

First

+200

Anytime

+430

Patrick Soko (Almería)

First

+250

Anytime

+525

Adri Embarba (Almería)

First

+265

Anytime

+525

Sergio Arribas (Almería)

First

+275

Anytime

+575

Fernando Niño "Fer Niño" (Burgos)

First

+410

Anytime

+800

Curro Sanchez (Burgos)

First

+450

Anytime

+900

Georges Rober Junior Nsukula Mazeya (Burgos)

First

+460

Anytime

+950

David González Ballesteros (Burgos)

First

+475

Anytime

+1000

Silvi Clua (Almería)

First

+500

Anytime

+1050

Ivan Chapela (Burgos)

First

+525

Anytime

+1050

Iñigo Córdoba (Burgos)

First

+550

Anytime

+1100

Lucas Robertone (Almería)

First

+575

Anytime

+1150

Arnau Puigmal (Almería)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Marcelo Expósito Jiménez (Burgos)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Dion Lopy (Almería)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

Álex Muñoz (Almería)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Ivan Morante (Burgos)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Almería have swerved defeat at UD Almeria Stadium in the previous six matches. Los Indálicos have six victories, two draws and two defeats in the last 10 home matches, netting an average of 2.20 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

Burgos have secured four victories, four defeats and two draws in the previous 10 away games, netting an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 1.20.

Almería won 2-0 when they last played Burgos at UD Almeria Stadium.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Almería Home Stats		6-2-2	3.50	2.20	1.30	7	3	6	4
Burgos Away Stats		4-2-4	2.60	1.40	1.20	6	4	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Almería vs Burgos Lineups & Team News

Get the latest team news for Almería vs Burgos before you bet. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed La Liga 2 lineups plus current injury reports.

Almería Team Page Burgos Team Page

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