Almería vs Burgos Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 Oct 2026
Almería vs Burgos Predictions
Almería are priced at -159 to secure a Full-Time Result victory and we think these odds are too big. We’re expecting the hosts to land a win against Burgos and a nice potential return is on the cards.
Read on for our full Almería vs Burgos betting analysis, featuring the reasoning behind our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Almería vs Burgos Preview
Almería clash with Burgos at UD Almeria Stadium, with kick-off set for 10:15 on Saturday 3 October.
Almería won last time out by a 1-0 scoreline. On their travels against Mallorca at Estadi Son Moix, they made it four wins on the bounce. Garcia Pimienta's team had 46% possession and totalled three shots on target, with Miguel de la Fuente netting the winner in the 35th minute.
Burgos beat Eldense in their previous game, making it three straight victories. It was a 1-0 home win at Estadio El Plantio. Los Burgaleses had 48% possession and two shots on goal, with David Gonzalez on target late in the first half.
H2H: Last Clash Between Teams Finished Goalless
Burgos boast an unbeaten record in the past three matches against Almería, with the last encounter ending 0-0 at Estadio El Plantio. The past 6 H2H meetings have included three victories for Almería, two wins for Burgos and a single draw.
| La Liga 2 | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |  Almería |
7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 4 |  Burgos |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 11:7 | 14 |
6 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 11.1 attempts. Almería have had 50.5% possession and 3.8 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 0.8 goals from 3.4 shots on goal and 12.8 attempts, while being awarded 5.9 corners.
Miguel de la Fuente, Nico Ribaudo, Javier Munoz, Leo Baptistao and Stefan Dzodic are joint-top scorers with 2 goals on the board. Brian Cipenga is the top assists maker on 3.
Burgos have 7 victories, 1 defeat and 2 draws, with an average of 1.5 goals from 9.6 attempts and 2.9 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 44.6% possession, 3.1 corners awarded and 5.9 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 0.7 goals from 13.7 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal.
David Gonzalez is the leading scorer with 6 goals, followed by Alex Fores on 3, with Alberto Dadie and two others bagging 1. Jon Karrikaburu and David Gonzalez are the top assist makers with 2 in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Almería predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Andres Fernandez (GK), Daijiro Chirino, Chumi, Federico Bonini, Álex Muñoz, Javi Munoz, Mikel Vesga, Quim Junyent, Sergio Arribas, Adrián Embarba, Miguel de la Fuente.
Burgos predicted lineup (4-4-2): Ander Cantero Armendariz (GK), Alberto Dadie, Oier Luengo, Grego Sierra, Ignasi Vilarrasa, David González, José Gragera, Unai Vencedor, Javi Llabrés, Jon Karrikaburu, Alex Forés.
Main Match Prediction
Our opinion is that Almería will prove too strong for their opponents and we’ll therefore take the -159 for this La Liga 2 game. This bet really stands out when it comes to securing value.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
We’re constantly keeping tabs on the La Liga 2 team news. Along with the latest form, this helps us get the value every time. Our football experts are able to take a stats-led approach, with the key numbers providing a guide.
The top betting apps make it a 61.3% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 70%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.
You can choose an alternative if you want bigger odds about a win for Almería. The Double Result market allows you to wager on them to lead at the halfway stage too.
Start betting with confidence. Our bonus guide highlights the most valuable free bets and sign-up offers today.
Correct Score Prediction
2
-
0
Burgos
A 2-0 win in favor of Almería is available at odds of +525. Correct score betting can be rewarding and you can also get plenty of entertainment with this option.
Player Prop Picks
Miguel De La Fuente (Almería) has scored two goals in his past five La Liga 2 matches. When it comes to him finding the net, we believe the +215 available is appealing when backing him on the Anytime Goalscorer market.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Burgos have had over 3.5 corners in three consecutive away matches, with Almería conceding over 3.5 corners in the previous ten games. We’re expecting history to be repeated and that would mean the Burgos Team Corners line is covered at -128.
Almería
Burgos
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Check out our bet builder which has the following: Almería to succeed, no more than two goals along with Burgos to rack up over 3.5 corners.
A bet builder is a single event wager where you select outcomes for a particular football game. You’re able to scan through each market and pick out the selections that make the most appeal. The odds for each pick are multiplied together.
Almería vs Burgos Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Almería are the skinniest price to succeed in this La Liga 2 clash, with the favourites afforded a 61% probability based on their -159 betting odds with the bookies. If you want to get against the market leader, then you’re able to secure +370 for Burgos.
If you think Almería can win by two or more goals against Burgos, consider them at -0.75 on the Asian Handicap at -128. You’ll even win with half your stake if they win by one goal, with the other half refunded.
You’re able to back Over 2.5 Goals or Under 2.5 Goals at roughly the same price right now. There are always two Both Teams to Score choices, with Yes available at -125 and No at -119.
If you visit one of the recommended sports betting sites, it’s fantastic to access hundreds of markets for whichever La Liga 2 match appeals. Scan through the choices and pick your football wager.
Sergio Arribas can be backed to find the net anytime at +138, with +320 available that the market leader scores the first goal.
Stats: Last 10 La Liga 2 matches only.
Almería are three wins from three at UD Almeria Stadium. Garcia Pimienta's team have racked up eight wins and two defeats in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 2.30 goals per game and conceding 1.30.
Burgos have five victories, three draws and two defeats in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.00 goals per game and conceding 0.70.
Burgos beat Almería 2-1 when the teams last met at UD Almeria Stadium. The past 3 H2H games at UD Almeria Stadium have seen two Almería victories and just one triumph for Burgos.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almería Home Stats |
8-0-2 | 3.60 | 2.30 | 1.30 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 3 | |
| Burgos Away Stats |
5-3-2 | 1.70 | 1.00 | 0.70 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Almería League Stats
Burgos League Stats
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins and 2 defeats in the previous 10 home matches
- 7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 5.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 4.90 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 3.10 corners awarded and 5.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 corners awarded and 5.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 50.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 52.20% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 44.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 44.20% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Almería this season are Javier Munoz (2), Miguel de la Fuente (2), Nico Ribaudo (2)
- Top Assistors for Almería this season are Brian Cipenga (3), Javier Munoz (2), Leo Baptistao (1)
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Almería vs Burgos Lineups & Team News
Be prepared — check the Almería vs Burgos team news before wagering. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for La Liga 2 along with the latest injury news.
Almería Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Burgos Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Almería Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Burgos Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Previous Almería Lineups
Previous Burgos Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Almería Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Garcia Pimienta
Burgos Player Stats & Squad
La Liga 2 Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Castellón | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14:2 | 19 |
| 2 | Eibar | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15:6 | 18 |
| 3 | Almería | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 4 | Burgos | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | 14 |
| 5 | Girona | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 13 |
| 6 | Mallorca | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:3 | 13 |
| 7 | Sabadell | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | 12 |
| 8 | Real Oviedo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:4 | 11 |
| 9 | Tenerife | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | 11 |
| 10 | Leganés | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | 11 |
| 11 | Las Palmas | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:11 | 10 |
| 12 | Sporting Gijon | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | 10 |
| 13 | Granada | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | 8 |
| 14 | Real Sociedad B | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 15 | Celta Fortuna | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 16 | Real Valladolid | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | 8 |
| 17 | Andorra | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12:15 | 6 |
| 18 | Córdoba | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10:16 | 6 |
| 19 | Eldense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:9 | 5 |
| 20 | Cádiz | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7:10 | 4 |
| 21 | Ceuta | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:17 | 4 |
| 22 | Albacete | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:12 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Burgos | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:5 | 10 |
| 2 | Almería | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Mallorca | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:1 | 9 |
| 4 | Sabadell | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 9 |
| 5 | Eibar | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 6 | Castellón | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:0 | 7 |
| 7 | Girona | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 8 | Tenerife | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 9 | Leganés | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 6 |
| 10 | Real Valladolid | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 6 |
| 11 | Real Oviedo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:1 | 5 |
| 12 | Granada | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 13 | Las Palmas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 14 | Ceuta | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 15 | Sporting Gijon | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 16 | Celta Fortuna | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 17 | Andorra | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:8 | 3 |
| 18 | Córdoba | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 19 | Eldense | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 20 | Cádiz | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | 2 |
| 21 | Real Sociedad B | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 22 | Albacete | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 0 |
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