Almería vs Las Palmas Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 May 2026

La Liga 2 Betting Preview: Almería vs Las Palmas

Almería meet Las Palmas at UD Almeria Stadium, with both teams in the hunt for promotion. Kick-off is set for 12:30 on Saturday 16 May.

Almería and Las Palmas look likely to play out a high-scoring encounter, with Over 2.5 looking like a sound wager on the Total Goals market. You can get a price of -132 for this outcome which looks worth snapping up.

Three teams are promoted to La Liga, with the top two earning automatic promotion and the third decided through a play-off involving the teams that finish third to sixth.

Third-placed Almería played Burgos away in their last game. It was a 0-0 draw at Estadio El Plantio. Rubi's team recorded four shots on target and had 46% possession.

Las Palmas, who sit sixth in the La Liga 2 standings, lost their last outing, suffering a heavy 5-1 away defeat to Andorra at Estadi de la FAF. Los Amarillos recorded four shots on goal and had 40% possession, while Jese was on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Almería have beaten Las Palmas in their last two clashes, winning by 1-0 and 1-0 scorelines when visiting Estadio de Gran Canaria. The past 10 meetings between these sides have resulted in four Almería victories and three Las Palmas wins. There have also been three draws.

La Liga 2		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Almería	42	22	8	12	81	63	18	81:63	74
5	Las Palmas	42	20	13	9	57	40	17	57:40	73

View Full Table

6 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw, averaging 2.2 goals from 5.5 shots on goal and 13.1 attempts. Almería have had 50.8% possession and 4.0 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.8 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 11.5 attempts, while being awarded 5.7 corners.

Top goalscorer is Sergio Arribas on 7 goals, while Adrian Embarba has bagged 4 and Leo Baptistao 3. Alex Munoz has made the most assists with 3.

Las Palmas have won 6 and lost 4, with an average of 1.4 goals from 9.0 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal. The Gran Canaria side average 55.4% possession, 4.9 corners awarded and 4.4 corners against them, while conceding 1.5 goals from 9.9 attempts and 4.5 shots on goal.

Jese and Estanis Pedrola have top scored with 3, while Kirian Rodriguez is next on 2. Manuel Fuster has been the chief assist maker in the previous 10 games with 3.

Confirmed Lineups

Almería confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Andres Fernandez (GK), Marcos Luna, Federico Bonini, Rodrigo Ely, Alex Munoz, Stefan Dzodic, Andre Horta, Leo Baptistao, Sergio Arribas, Adrian Embarba, Miguel de la Fuente.

Las Palmas confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Dinko Horkas (GK), Marvin Park, Mika Marmol, Alex Suarez, Enrique Clemente, Taisei Miyashiro, Kirian Rodriguez, Lorenzo Amatucci, Estanis Pedrola, Jese, Manuel Fuster.

Almería vs Las Palmas Prediction & Betting Tips

This Almería vs Las Palmas betting guide features sharp analysis across major markets, including a match prediction, correct score bet, corner kick insight, valuable player prop picks and a strategic bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’re going to take the price of -132 when it comes to wagering Over 2.5 Goals for this La Liga 2 encounter. The stats imply that the two teams will combine to score at least three goals.

The team at Sportsgambler.com are right across the latest La Liga 2 injury news and the form guide also informs our football predictions. This data is combined with the latest stats.

Key Almería vs Las Palmas league stats:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 11 Almería games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 18 of the last 20 Almería games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Las Palmas games on the road.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Las Palmas games on the road.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 3 Las Palmas games.

Based on the odds from the best betting apps, our pick carries a 56.8% chance of winning. Based on our tipsters research, we calculate the actual probability to be 60-65%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

If you want more juice from your Over 2.5 Goals bet, there’s the option to combine this pick with a certain team to land a victory. A Result & Total Goals wager can be backed at bigger odds.

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Our Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -132 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 14, 18:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Almería 2 - 1 Las Palmas

There are betting odds of +575 that Los Indálicos land a 2-1 victory. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Adri Embarba to Score +225

Adri Embarba (Almería) has scored three goals in his past five La Liga 2 matches. We’ll throw a dart at +225 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look pretty attractive.

Latest Adri Embarba Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+220

First

+525

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -139

The ten past away games involving Las Palmas have had an average of 7.90 corners, with the previous five Almería home matches featuring 8.00. It looks a logical viewpoint that the line won’t be reached and you can land a price of -139 for this Total Corners wager.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Almería

Total

9.70 4.00 5.70

Home

8.60 4.40 4.20

Away

10.00 4.00 6.00

Las Palmas

Total

9.30 4.90 4.40

Home

9.10 5.20 3.90

Away

7.90 4.30 3.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-106

Under 9.5

-135

Almería Corners

Over 5.5

+102

Under 5.5

-154

Las Palmas Corners

Over 3.5

-141

Under 3.5

-105

Most Corners

1

-175

X

+650

2

+175

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Almería vs Las Palmas Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Almería are regarded as having a 54% chance of winning this La Liga 2 clash in the eyes of the bookies. It means that their current betting odds are -118. Las Palmas are the outsiders at +275 which suggests a lower likelihood of winning.

You can choose between Almería -0.5 at -122 or Las Palmas +0.5 at -116 if you’re looking to bet on the Asian Handicap. The former is the same as the 1x2 market, while the latter means you also get a payout if it’s a draw.

Over 2.5 Goals is trading at a shorter price than Under 2.5 Goals right now. If you think both sides will find the net, then you can back the Yes option on the Both Teams to Score market at -161.

Customers love the flexibility that hundreds of markets provide and that is for every La Liga 2 match. The recommended football betting sites ensure that bettors always have plenty of options.

Full-Time Result

1

-118

X

+255

2

+275

Half-Time Result

1

+138

X

+132

2

+300

Double Chance

1X

-455

12

-417

X2

-122

Draw No Bet

1

-263

2

+175

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-122

2 Hcp +0.5

-116

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-104

Over 2.5

-137

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-161

No

+107

Those interested in favourite Sergio Arribas to find the net first are able to get +330. If the Anytime Goalscorer angle makes more appeal, then this is +130.

Sergio Arribas (Almería)

First

+330

Anytime

+130

Adri Embarba (Almería)

First

+525

Anytime

+220

Taisei Miyashiro (Las Palmas)

First

+550

Anytime

+220

Miguel De La Fuente (Almería)

First

+575

Anytime

+235

Ibrahima Koné (Almería)

First

+600

Anytime

+245

Jon Morcillo (Almería)

First

+600

Anytime

+255

Léo Baptistão (Almería)

First

+650

Anytime

+265

Patrick Soko (Almería)

First

+650

Anytime

+270

Sandro Ramírez (Las Palmas)

First

+750

Anytime

+350

Nicolás Melamed (Almería)

First

+800

Anytime

+350

Iker Bravo (Las Palmas)

First

+850

Anytime

+350

Ale Garcia (Las Palmas)

First

+850

Anytime

+350

Ivan Gil (Las Palmas)

First

+950

Anytime

+400

Jonathan Viera (Las Palmas)

First

+1000

Anytime

+400

Manuel Fuster (Las Palmas)

First

+1000

Anytime

+420

Nicolás Benedetti (Las Palmas)

First

+1050

Anytime

+440

Iddrisu Baba (Almería)

First

+1200

Anytime

+510

Pejiño (Las Palmas)

First

+1200

Anytime

+525

Arnau Puigmal (Almería)

First

+1300

Anytime

+575

Kirian Rodríguez (Las Palmas)

First

+1500

Anytime

+650

Marvin Olawale Akinlabi Park (Las Palmas)

First

+1600

Anytime

+700

Lorenzo Amatucci (Las Palmas)

First

+1700

Anytime

+750

Nélson Monte (Almería)

First

+2000

Anytime

+850

Rodrigo Ely (Almería)

First

+2000

Anytime

+850

Juan 'Chumi' Brandáriz (Almería)

First

+2200

Anytime

+850

Daijiro Chirino (Almería)

First

+2000

Anytime

+900

Marcos Luna (Almería)

First

+2000

Anytime

+900

Álex Muñoz (Almería)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Viti Rozada (Las Palmas)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Álex Centelles (Almería)

First

+2200

Anytime

+950

Stats: La Liga 2 matches only
Almería have won eight on the bounce at UD Almeria Stadium. Los Indálicos have collected nine victories and one defeat in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 3.00 goals per game and conceding 1.50.

Las Palmas have five defeats, three victories and two draws in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 2.00.

In the last meeting at UD Almeria Stadium, Las Palmas defeated Almería by a 2-1 scoreline. We’ve seen the previous 4 H2H meetings at UD Almeria Stadium involve two triumphs for Las Palmas, one draw and one win for Almería.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Almería Home Stats		9-0-1	4.50	3.00	1.50	10	0	9	1
Las Palmas Away Stats		3-2-5	3.30	1.30	2.00	7	3	8	2

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Almería vs Las Palmas Lineups & Team News

The Almería vs Las Palmas team news could change everything — review it before betting. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed La Liga 2 lineups along with the latest injury developments.

Almería Team Page Las Palmas Team Page

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