Almería vs Las Palmas Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 May 2026

La Liga 2 Betting Preview: Almería vs Las Palmas

Almería meet Las Palmas at UD Almeria Stadium, with kick-off set for 12:30 on Saturday 16 May.

Almería and Las Palmas look likely to play out a high-scoring encounter, with Over 2.5 looking like a sound wager on the Total Goals market. You can get a price of -132 for this outcome which looks worth snapping up.

Almería played Burgos away in their last game. It was a 0-0 draw at Estadio El Plantio. Rubi's team recorded four shots on target and had 46% possession.

Las Palmas lost their previous game. Away from home, they suffered a 5-1 defeat against Andorra at Estadi de la FAF. Los Amarillos recorded four shots on goal and had 40% possession, while Jese was on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Almería have beaten Las Palmas in their last two clashes, winning by 1-0 and 1-0 scorelines when visiting Estadio de Gran Canaria. The past 10 meetings between these sides have resulted in four Almería victories and three Las Palmas wins. There have also been three draws.

La Liga 2		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Almería	39	21	8	10	78	58	20	78:58	71
5	Las Palmas	39	18	12	9	52	37	15	52:37	66

View Full Table

6 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw, averaging 2.2 goals from 5.5 shots on goal and 13.1 attempts. Almería have had 50.8% possession and 4.0 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.8 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 11.5 attempts, while being awarded 5.7 corners.

Top goalscorer is Sergio Arribas on 7 goals, while Adrian Embarba has bagged 4 and Leo Baptistao 3. Alex Munoz has made the most assists with 3.

Las Palmas have won 6 and lost 4, with an average of 1.4 goals from 9.0 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal. The Gran Canaria side average 55.4% possession, 4.9 corners awarded and 4.4 corners against them, while conceding 1.5 goals from 9.9 attempts and 4.5 shots on goal.

Jese and Estanis Pedrola have top scored with 3, while Kirian Rodriguez is next on 2. Manuel Fuster has been the chief assist maker in the previous 10 games with 3.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Almería predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Andres Fernandez (GK), Marcos Luna, Rodrigo Ely, Federico Bonini, Álex Muñoz, André Horta, Stefan Dzodic, Leo Baptistao, Sergio Arribas, Adrián Embarba, Miguel de la Fuente.

Las Palmas predicted lineup (4-4-2): Dinko Horkaš (GK), Victor Álvarez Rozada, Juanma Herzog, Mika Mármol, Enrique Clemente, Taisei Miyashiro, Lorenzo Amatucci, Kirian Rodríguez, Estanis Pedrola, Jesé, Manuel Fuster.

Almería vs Las Palmas Prediction & Betting Tips

This Almería vs Las Palmas betting guide features sharp analysis across major markets, including a match prediction, correct score bet, corner kick insight, valuable player prop picks and a strategic bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’re going to take the price of -132 when it comes to wagering Over 2.5 Goals for this La Liga 2 encounter. The stats imply that the two teams will combine to score at least three goals.

The team at Sportsgambler.com are right across the latest La Liga 2 injury news and the form guide also informs our football predictions. This data is combined with the latest stats.

Key Almería vs Las Palmas league stats:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 11 Almería games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 18 of the last 20 Almería games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Las Palmas games on the road.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Las Palmas games on the road.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 3 Las Palmas games.

Based on the odds from the best betting apps, our pick carries a 56.8% chance of winning. Based on our tipsters research, we calculate the actual probability to be 60-65%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

If you want more juice from your Over 2.5 Goals bet, there’s the option to combine this pick with a certain team to land a victory. A Result & Total Goals wager can be backed at bigger odds.

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Our Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -132 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 14, 18:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Almería 2 - 1 Las Palmas

There are betting odds of +550 that Almería land a 2-1 victory. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Adri Embarba to Score +225

Adri Embarba (Almería) has scored three goals in his past five La Liga 2 matches. We’ll throw a dart at +225 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look pretty attractive.

Latest Adri Embarba Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+225

First

+550

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -139

The ten past away games involving Las Palmas have had an average of 7.90 corners, with the previous five Almería home matches featuring 8.00. It looks a logical viewpoint that the line won’t be reached and you can land a price of -139 for this Total Corners wager.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Almería

Total

9.70 4.00 5.70

Home

8.60 4.40 4.20

Away

10.00 4.00 6.00

Las Palmas

Total

9.30 4.90 4.40

Home

9.10 5.20 3.90

Away

7.90 4.30 3.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-104

Under 9.5

-139

Almería Corners

Over 5.5

+110

Under 5.5

-164

Las Palmas Corners

Over 3.5

-152

Under 3.5

+102

Most Corners

1

-161

X

+650

2

+160

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Almería vs Las Palmas Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Almería are regarded as having a 52% chance of winning this La Liga 2 clash in the eyes of the bookies. It means that their current betting odds are -109. Las Palmas are the outsiders at +255 which suggests a lower likelihood of winning.

You can choose between Almería -0.5 at -114 or Las Palmas +0.5 at -125 if you’re looking to bet on the Asian Handicap. The former is the same as the 1x2 market, while the latter means you also get a payout if it’s a draw.

Over 2.5 Goals is trading at a shorter price than Under 2.5 Goals right now. If you think both sides will find the net, then you can back the Yes option on the Both Teams to Score market at -164.

Customers love the flexibility that hundreds of markets provide and that is for every La Liga 2 match. The recommended football betting sites ensure that bettors always have plenty of options.

Full-Time Result

1

-109

X

+245

2

+255

Half-Time Result

1

+145

X

+130

2

+285

Double Chance

1X

-417

12

-400

X2

-132

Draw No Bet

1

-238

2

+155

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-114

2 Hcp +0.5

-125

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-108

Over 2.5

-132

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-164

No

+110

Those interested in favourite Sergio Arribas to find the net first are able to get +320. If the Anytime Goalscorer angle makes more appeal, then this is +133.

Sergio Arribas (Almería)

First

+133

Anytime

+320

Taisei Miyashiro (Las Palmas)

First

+215

Anytime

+550

Adri Embarba (Almería)

First

+225

Anytime

+550

Miguel De La Fuente (Almería)

First

+240

Anytime

+600

Ibrahima Koné (Almería)

First

+250

Anytime

+600

Jon Morcillo (Almería)

First

+260

Anytime

+650

Léo Baptistão (Almería)

First

+280

Anytime

+650

Patrick Soko (Almería)

First

+285

Anytime

+650

Iker Bravo (Las Palmas)

First

+340

Anytime

+800

Sandro Ramírez (Las Palmas)

First

+350

Anytime

+750

Ale Garcia (Las Palmas)

First

+350

Anytime

+850

Nicolás Melamed (Almería)

First

+375

Anytime

+900

Manuel Fuster (Las Palmas)

First

+390

Anytime

+900

Jonathan Viera (Las Palmas)

First

+400

Anytime

+950

Ivan Gil (Las Palmas)

First

+400

Anytime

+950

Nicolás Benedetti (Las Palmas)

First

+410

Anytime

+950

Pejiño (Las Palmas)

First

+500

Anytime

+1100

Iddrisu Baba (Almería)

First

+540

Anytime

+1300

Arnau Puigmal (Almería)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Marvin Olawale Akinlabi Park (Las Palmas)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Kirian Rodríguez (Las Palmas)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Lorenzo Amatucci (Las Palmas)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Viti Rozada (Las Palmas)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Nélson Monte (Almería)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Álex Muñoz (Almería)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Almería have won eight on the bounce at UD Almeria Stadium. Rubi's team have collected nine victories and one defeat in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 3.00 goals per game and conceding 1.50.

Las Palmas have five defeats, three victories and two draws in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 2.00.

In the last meeting at UD Almeria Stadium, Las Palmas defeated Almería by a 2-1 scoreline. We’ve seen the previous 4 H2H meetings at UD Almeria Stadium involve two triumphs for Las Palmas, one draw and one win for Almería.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Almería Home Stats		9-0-1	4.50	3.00	1.50	10	0	9	1
Las Palmas Away Stats		3-2-5	3.30	1.30	2.00	7	3	8	2

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Almería vs Las Palmas Lineups & Team News

The Almería vs Las Palmas team news could change everything — review it before betting. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed La Liga 2 lineups along with the latest injury developments.

Almería Team Page Las Palmas Team Page

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