Almería vs Málaga Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 20 Jun 2026

Almería vs Málaga Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -123

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There’s plenty of juice when it comes to backing the -123 about Over 2.5 on the Total Goals market. Almería and Málaga should be able to find the net at least three times combined and we’re optimistic of a payout.

Dive into our Almería vs Málaga betting breakdown for the complete analysis of our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Almería vs Málaga Preview

Almería take on Málaga at UD Almeria Stadium in the second leg of this La Liga 2 promotion play-off final, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Saturday 20 June. The first leg ended in a goalless draw.

Goalless Draw in in Pair’s Previous H2H

Malaga and Almeria met in the first leg on Sunday night, with the game ending 0-0 at UD Almeria Stadium. Malaga enjoyed 59% possession and edged the shots on target count 3-2.

Looking back to the previous 10 H2H meetings, there has been four draws. Almería have won five games and Málaga one.

La Liga 2		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Almería	42	22	8	12	81	63	18	81:63	74
4	Málaga	42	21	10	11	75	52	23	75:52	73

View Full Table

Almería have 5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.8 goals from 5.2 shots on goal and 15.4 attempts. Los Indálicos have averaged 49.3% possession and 3.7 corners per match, conceding 1.4 goals and 5.4 corners from 4.8 shots on goal and 12.5 attempts.

Sergio Arribas is the top scorer with 5 goals, Adrian Embarba has 4, with Miguel de la Fuente and Leo Baptistao on 2. Miguel de la Fuente, Adrian Embarba and Alex Munoz have racked up the most assists with 2 each.

Málaga have won 5, lost 2 and drawn 3, averaging 5.1 shots on goal, 13.2 attempts and 1.9 goals. Juan Funes' men average 54.0% possession, 4.1 corners taken and 3.0 corners against them, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 10.7 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal.

The leading scorer has been Chupe with 8, while Joaquin Munoz and Adrian Nino have 3. Rafa Rodriguez has had 3 assists in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Almería predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Andres Fernandez (GK), Daijiro Chirino, Rodrigo Ely, Federico Bonini, Álex Muñoz, Dion Lopy, Stefan Dzodic, Arnau Puigmal, Sergio Arribas, Adrián Embarba, Miguel de la Fuente.

Málaga predicted lineup (4-4-1-1): Alfonso Herrero (GK), Carlos Puga, Diego Murillo, Francisco Javier Montero, Rafita, David Larrubia, Carlos Dotor, Rafa Rodríguez, Aarón Ochoa, Dani Lorenzo, Adrián Niño.

Main Match Prediction

There is a generous -123 available when it comes to Over 2.5 Goals to be scored and that looks too good an opportunity to miss. Bet on at least three goals to be netted in this La Liga 2 clash.

The football betting tips are created after keeping tabs on the latest La Liga 2 team news along with the form guide. We also delve into the latest stats which can provide a barometer for how the action might play out.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in 9 of the last 10 Almería games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 17 of the last 20 Almería games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Málaga games on the road.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 12 of the last 20 Málaga games on the road.

The betting apps are estimating that there is a 55.2% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, we think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we can recommend this wager.

There are plenty of wagering options, with the Both Teams to Score market presenting bettors with a BTTS Yes pick. It’s a straightforward wager where you need a goal from each side.

Before placing your bet, explore our exclusive betting promo codes, welcome offers, and best free bets for today.

Over 2.5 Goals @ -123 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jun 18, 21:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Almería 2 - 1 Málaga

Almería are available at +650 to win by a 2-1 scoreline. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: David Larrubia Over 0.5 Shots On Target -100

David Larrubia (Málaga) can be backed at -100 to have at least one shot on goal. We’ll take a chance with this Shots on Target pick as the betting odds look pretty attractive.

Latest David Larrubia Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+335

First

+900

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

---

Adri Embarba to Score +225

Adri Embarba (Almería) has netted four goals in his past five La Liga 2 matches on home soil. Based on the numbers, we are looking to bet the +225 for him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Adri Embarba Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+225

First

+600

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -130

We’ve not seen the 9.5 Total Corners line covered in five consecutive Málaga away games. We expect the teams to fall short and this Total Corners bet can be backed at -130.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Almería

Total

9.10 3.70 5.40

Home

8.90 4.40 4.50

Away

9.80 3.80 6.00

Málaga

Total

7.10 4.10 3.00

Home

8.80 4.60 4.20

Away

8.30 3.60 4.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-100

Under 9.5

-147

Almería Corners

Over 4.5

-143

Under 4.5

-103

Málaga Corners

Over 3.5

-161

Under 3.5

+107

Most Corners

1

-143

X

+650

2

+143

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Almería vs Málaga Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Almería are the +102 favourites on the Full-Time Result. That means a 50% chance of winning this La Liga 2 encounter according to the latest betting odds. If you want to back the outsider, Málaga are available at +225.

If you think that Almería are able to beat Málaga, then the -128 could be the option for you on the Asian Handicap -0.25. Built into this bet is the half stake refund should the scoreline end level.

You’re able to back Over 2.5 Goals or Under 2.5 Goals at roughly the same price right now. BTTS wagering is popular and you can back Yes at -161 on the Both Teams to Score market.

No matter what La Liga 2 game is taking place, you will find hundreds of markets being offered. Peruse the various choices that are presented at the best football betting sites.

Full-Time Result

1

+102

X

+240

2

+225

Half-Time Result

1

+155

X

+123

2

+275

Double Chance

1X

-333

12

-357

X2

-143

Draw No Bet

1

-200

2

+133

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-128

2 Hcp +0.25

-104

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-111

Over 2.5

-123

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-161

No

+107

Those interested in Sergio Arribas to find the net anytime can get +143, with the favourite on offer to score the first goal at odds of +370.

Sergio Arribas (Almería)

First

+143

Anytime

+370

Carlos Ruiz Rubio (Málaga)

First

+170

Anytime

+450

Adri Embarba (Almería)

First

+225

Anytime

+600

Ibrahima Koné (Almería)

First

+265

Anytime

+650

Miguel De La Fuente (Almería)

First

+265

Anytime

+700

Léo Baptistão (Almería)

First

+275

Anytime

+750

Adrián Niño (Málaga)

First

+280

Anytime

+700

Nicolás Melamed (Almería)

First

+280

Anytime

+750

Jon Morcillo (Almería)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

David Larrubia (Málaga)

First

+335

Anytime

+900

Eneko Jauregi (Málaga)

First

+340

Anytime

+900

Patrick Soko (Almería)

First

+350

Anytime

+900

Haitam Abaida (Málaga)

First

+375

Anytime

+1100

Rafa Rodríguez (Málaga)

First

+390

Anytime

+1050

Julen Lobete (Málaga)

First

+430

Anytime

+1050

Aarón Ochoa (Málaga)

First

+430

Anytime

+1150

Arnau Puigmal (Almería)

First

+500

Anytime

+1400

Dani Lorenzo (Málaga)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Joaquín Muñoz (Málaga)

First

+600

Anytime

+1800

Iddrisu Baba (Almería)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Dion Lopy (Almería)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Ramón Enríquez (Málaga)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Darko Brasanac (Málaga)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Carlos Dotor (Málaga)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Rodrigo Ely (Almería)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Sergio Arribas (Almería)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Carlos Ruiz Rubio (Málaga)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

Miguel De La Fuente (Almería)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-

Adri Embarba (Almería)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

Léo Baptistão (Almería)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-

Adrián Niño (Málaga)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-

Nicolás Melamed (Almería)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-

David Larrubia (Málaga)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Eneko Jauregi (Málaga)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Jon Morcillo (Almería)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-

Joaquín Muñoz (Málaga)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-

Patrick Soko (Almería)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-

Rafa Rodríguez (Málaga)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-

Aarón Ochoa (Málaga)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-

Julen Lobete (Málaga)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-

Haitam Abaida (Málaga)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-

Arnau Puigmal (Almería)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-

Dani Lorenzo (Málaga)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-

Dion Lopy (Almería)

Over 0.5

+235

Under 0.5

-

Darko Brasanac (Málaga)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-

Iddrisu Baba (Almería)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-

Ramón Enríquez (Málaga)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-

Carlos Dotor (Málaga)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-

Rodrigo Ely (Almería)

Over 0.5

+400

Under 0.5

-

Stats: La Liga 2 matches only
Almería have nine wins and one defeat in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 2.70 goals per match and conceding 1.30.

Málaga have enjoyed four straight wins on the road. Los Boquerones have six wins, two draws and two losses in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 2.20 goals per match and conceding 1.20.

Almería were 3-2 victors against Málaga last time out at UD Almeria Stadium. There have been two draws in the previous 5 H2H matches at UD Almeria Stadium along with three Almería victories.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Almería Home Stats		9-0-1	4.00	2.70	1.30	9	1	8	2
Málaga Away Stats		6-2-2	3.40	2.20	1.20	6	4	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Almería vs Málaga Lineups & Team News

Always review the Almería vs Málaga team news before locking in your bets. Expect the predicted and confirmed La Liga 2 lineups along with timely injury updates.

Almería Team Page Málaga Team Page

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