Arouca vs Nacional Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 01 Nov 2026
Arouca vs Nacional Predictions
Arouca look like the bet to place on the Full-Time Result market, especially as odds of -122 are available. Back our value selection with confidence when they clash with Nacional.
We analyse several betting angles in our Arouca vs Nacional betting preview, expanding on our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Arouca vs Nacional Preview
Arouca meet Nacional at Municipal de Arouca, with kick-off set for 11:30 on Sunday 1 November.
Arouca have won two Primeira Liga games on the spin, triumphing 1-0 in their previous league clash. This was away from home against Alverca at Complexo Desportivo Futebol Clube de Alverca. The Wolves boasted 71% possession and had four shots on target, with Taichi Fukui getting the all-important goal in the 24th minute.
Nacional have lost their previous three away games. Their latest appearance was a 1-0 home victory at Estadio da Madeira against Braga. The Madeira team recorded just 29% possession and had four shots on goal, with Miguel Baeza scoring the winner in the 19th minute.
H2H: 3-0 Arouca Win When Teams Last Clashed
It was a 3-0 home victory for Arouca at Municipal de Arouca when they last faced Nacional. In the previous 4 H2H games, Arouca have secured a victory on every occasion.
| Primeira Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |  Arouca |
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 12:7 | 17 |
| 15 |  Nacional |
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 10:18 | 7 |
6 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 11.6 attempts. Arouca have had 51.6% possession, 458.7 passes and 3.3 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 0.8 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 13.1 attempts, while being awarded 5.2 corners.
Top goalscorer Ivan Barbero has found the net 5 times, with Taichi Fukui, Jose Fontan and Dylan Nandin scoring 2 each. Nais Djouahra has the most assists with 5, while goalie Ignacio de Arruabarrena has recorded 5 clean sheets.
Nacional have 3 victories, 6 defeats and 1 draw, averaging 3.2 shots on goal, 9.2 attempts and 1.2 goals. The White and Black average 46.1% possession, 361.3 passes, 4.1 corners awarded and 5.0 corners against, while 1.8 goals have been conceded from 14.7 attempts and 5.5 shots on goal.
The top scorers have been Miguel Baeza, Njoya Kader and Jesus Ramirez, with 2 goals apiece. Min-Kyu Song, Chico Goncalves and Liziero have all made 1 assists in the last 10 games, while Renato Marin has 2 clean sheets.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Arouca predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Ignacio de Arruabarrena (GK), Tiago Esgaio, Javi Sánchez, Jose Fontán, Orest Lebedenko, Espen van Ee, Pedro Santos, Alfonso Trezza, Taichi Fukui, Näis Djouahra, Ivan Barbero.
Nacional predicted lineup (5-4-1): Renato Marin (GK), Markus Jensen, Chico Gonçalves, Matheus Dias, Zé Vítor, Williams Kokolo, Stavros Gavriel, Chiheb Labidi, Miguel Baeza, Min-kyu Song, Abdel Njoya.
Main Match Prediction
Our opinion is that Arouca will prove too strong for their opponents and we’ll therefore take the -122 for this Primeira Liga game. This bet really stands out when it comes to securing value.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
The football experts at Sportsgambler.com are aware of injuries that could affect the outcome along with the form guide. We also leave no stone unturned when it comes to presenting the latest Primeira Liga stats.
The best bookies are estimating that there is a 54.9% likelihood of this pick landing a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.
There are lots of ways to get with Arouca beyond the match winner market. This includes backing them to be leading at half-time and full-time and on the Asian Handicap.
Thinking about claiming free bets? Our bonus guide lists the best sign-up offers from the biggest names in betting.
Correct Score Prediction
2
-
1
Nacional
Arouca are available at +540 to win by a 2-1 scoreline. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.
Player Prop Picks
Miguel Baeza (Nacional) has managed two goals in his past seven Primeira Liga away matches. He looks like a value bet to find the net and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of +460.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Arouca have had under 5.5 corners in ten straight matches. It stands to reason that the line won’t be reached and you can secure odds of -154 for this Arouca Team Corners bet.
Arouca
Nacional
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
It’s great fun to place a bet builder and our picks are Arouca to come out on top, at least three goals as well as Miguel Baeza (Nacional) to score.
A bet builder provides football punters an option to bet a multiple on the same match. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.
Arouca vs Nacional Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookmakers have Arouca at -122 when it comes to 1x2. This suggests that the favourites have a 55% chance of winning this Primeira Liga clash based on the betting odds. Nacional are seen as the most unlikely winner at +275.
The Asian Handicap -0.5 bet means you need your selection to simply win. Arouca are -125, although Nacional are +0.5 at -115 and you win with the latter if things end in a draw.
Over 2.5 Goals is the market leader and that means three or more goals are predicted. BTTS betting is always a warm order and you can bet Yes at -149 on the Both Teams to Score market.
If you’re wanting hundreds of football markets, then the good news is that the best betting apps can provide this. For any Primeira Liga game, take your pick and hopefully find a winning angle.
Dylan Alexander Nandín Berrutti is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +420. If you want to back him to score the last goal, you can get similar odds.
Stats: Last 10 Primeira Liga matches only.
Arouca have managed seven victories, two losses and one draw in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 2.10 goals per game and conceding 1.00.
It’s now been three straight Nacional defeats on the road. The Madeira team have recorded seven defeats, two draws and one victory in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 0.70 goals per game and conceding 1.70.
In the last meeting at Municipal de Arouca, Arouca defeated Nacional by a 3-0 scoreline.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca Home Stats |
7-1-2 | 3.10 | 2.10 | 1.00 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 4 | |
| Nacional Away Stats |
1-2-7 | 2.40 | 0.70 | 1.70 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Arouca League Stats
Nacional League Stats
- 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 7 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.70 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.30 corners awarded and 5.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 4.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.10 corners awarded and 5.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.30 corners awarded and 7.00 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 51.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 50.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 46.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 45.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Arouca this season are Ivan Barbero (5), Dylan Nandin (2), Jose Fontan (2)
- Top Assistors for Arouca this season are Nais Djouahra (5), Alfonso Trezza (1), Hyun-Ju Lee (1)
It’s great to access Primeira Liga live streaming on your iPhone, iPad or Android device, with desktop also an option. Place a recent bet or have a funded sportsbook account.
You’re never short of viewing opportunities. Check out the daily list of sporting events that are being covered through this service.
Arouca vs Nacional Lineups & Team News
Arouca Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Nacional Predicted Lineup 5-4-1
Arouca Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Nacional Predicted Lineup 5-4-1
Previous Arouca Lineups
Previous Nacional Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Arouca Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Vitor Severino
Nacional Player Stats & Squad
Primeira Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 21:4 | 27 |
| 2 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 26:8 | 22 |
| 3 | Sporting | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 23:11 | 21 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 18 |
| 5 | Arouca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | 17 |
| 6 | Viseu | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 17 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | 14 |
| 8 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 9 | Braga | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 10 | Moreirense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:16 | 11 |
| 11 | Famalicão | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrela | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:17 | 10 |
| 13 | Vitória | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 14 | Marítimo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Nacional | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:18 | 7 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8:21 | 7 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5:19 | 7 |
| 18 | Estoril | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5:15 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Benfica | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 10 |
| 3 | Sporting | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 10 |
| 4 | Arouca | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 5 | Vitória | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:2 | 8 |
| 6 | Santa Clara | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 8 | Braga | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 9 | Viseu | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 10 | Nacional | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:10 | 6 |
| 11 | Alverca | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 12 | Estrela | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | 5 |
| 13 | Moreirense | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 14 | Marítimo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:15 | 4 |
| 16 | Famalicão | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | 2 |
| 17 | Estoril | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:8 | 2 |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1:15 | 0 |
Moreirense
Estrela Amadora
Porto
Estoril
Racing Club
Aldosivi
Predictions
20:15 - Fri 30 Oct
Argentine Primera División
Sarmiento
Rosario Central
Predictions
21:00 - Fri 30 Oct
Liga MX
San Luis
Atlas
Predictions
21:00 - Fri 30 Oct
Liga MX
Juárez
Querétaro
Predictions
21:05 - Fri 30 Oct
Categoría Primera A
Bucaramanga
Deportivo Pasto
Predictions
Friday
NBA
Denver Nuggets
Phoenix Suns
Predictions
Where to Bet on Football Games
Where to Trade Football Games
Availability varies by jurisdiction. Some platforms featured may not be accessible in your location. Please check the relevant review page for details.
Top Football Pages
- Football Predictions
- Football Lineups
- Football Injuries
- Football Fixtures
- Football Standings
- Football Transfer News
- Football Live Streaming
- Football Betting Sites
- Football Betting Explained
- FIFA World Cup Predictions
- UEFA Champions League Predictions
- Premier League Predictions
- La Liga Predictions
- Serie A Predictions
- Bundesliga Predictions