Arouca vs Tondela Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 May 2026

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Arouca vs Tondela

Arouca go head-to-head with survival-chasing Tondela at Municipal de Arouca, with kick-off set for 13:00 on Saturday 16 May.

We’ll split our stake by backing Arouca +0.25 at odds of -120 for this Asian Handicap wager. It means we have a return if they draw but a nice payout should the home team claim a victory against Tondela.

Arouca won last time out by a 3-1 scoreline. It was away from home against Gil Vicente at Municipal de Barcelos. The Wolves enjoyed 55% possession and had six shots on target, with Bas Kuipers, Ivan Barbero and Taichi Fukui each scoring one goal.

Tondela made it back-to-back Primeira Liga victories after a 2-0 home win over Moreirense at Estadio Joao Cardoso. Goncalo Feio's team had 40% possession and three shots on goal, while Makan Aiko and Rony Lopes were both on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Tondela won the last clash between the pair. Enjoying a 3-1 home triumph when facing Arouca at Estadio Joao Cardoso. The past 3 H2H meetings have seen Arouca triumphing once, one draw and a win for Tondela.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	Arouca	34	12	6	16	47	64	-17	47:64	42
17	Tondela	34	6	10	18	27	55	-28	27:55	28

View Full Table

Arouca have 4 wins, 5 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.3 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 10.7 attempts. Vasco Seabra's side have averaged 48.4% possession, 412.1 passes and 3.3 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.4 goals from 4.0 shots on goal, 12.6 attempts and 5.8 corners.

Top goalscorer Ivan Barbero has found the net 3 times, Tiago Esgaio 2, with Bas Kuipers and two other players on 1. Tiago Esgaio is top assists maker with 2, while goalkeeper Ignacio de Arruabarrena has kept 2 clean sheets.

Tondela have won 2, lost 4 and drawn 4, with an average of 0.9 goals from 10.4 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 47.8% possession, 381.9 passes, 3.9 corners awarded and 5.8 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 1.6 goals from 12.4 attempts and 4.2 shots on goal.

Rony Lopes and Bebeto have top scored with 2 goals, while Makan Aiko is next on 1. Pedro Henryque, Tiago Manso and Hugo Felix have had 1 assists in the last 10 games, while Bernardo Fontes has 3 clean sheets to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

Arouca confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Ignacio de Arruabarrena (GK), Tiago Esgaio, Omar Fayed, Javi Sanchez, Bas Kuipers, Espen van Ee, Taichi Fukui, Alfonso Trezza, Pablo Gozalbez, Nais Djouahra, Ivan Barbero.

Tondela confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Bernardo Fontes (GK), Tiago Manso, Christian Marques, Joao Silva, Rodrigo Conceicao, Cicero, Juan Rodriguez, Pedro Henryque, Hugo Felix, Makan Aiko, Rony Lopes.

Arouca vs Tondela Prediction & Betting Tips

Take on Arouca vs Tondela with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, corners market insight, key player props and a value-driven bet builder.

Match Prediction

Arouca look a good bet in this Primeira Liga clash and we can back them at -120 with a +0.25 goal start. The latest stats suggest that the home team can avoid defeat and potentially triumph.

When it comes to making our expert football predictions, it’s important to study team news and observe the latest form. There are lots of Primeira Liga stats that can also help to shape our picks.

Key Arouca vs Tondela league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Arouca in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Arouca in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Arouca in 3 consecutive games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Tondela in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Tondela in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Arouca in 2 of their last 3 games against Tondela.

The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 54.6% chance of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

If you want to get an odds boost when it comes to Arouca covering the line, then consider a Bet Builder where multiple picks on the same game can be combined together.

Get more from your wager using our bonus guide, which highlights top betting offers, free bets, and welcome promotions.

Our Match Prediction

Arouca Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -120 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 14, 19:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Arouca 2 - 1 Tondela

Arouca can be backed at +700 to triumph by a 2-1 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Alfonso Trezza to Score +270

Alfonso Trezza (Arouca) has managed three goals in his past nine Primeira Liga matches on home soil. It’s worth a gamble on the +270 for him to be Anytime Goalscorer as there’s plenty of juice in these betting odds.

Latest Alfonso Trezza Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+270

First

+600

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -100

We’ve seen an average 10.80 corners in the past five Tondela games. We’re going to select the Overs for Total Corners, with this line standing out and you can secure odds of -100.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Arouca

Total

9.10 3.30 5.80

Home

9.50 3.50 6.00

Away

8.10 3.90 4.20

Tondela

Total

9.70 3.90 5.80

Home

11.00 4.30 6.70

Away

9.20 3.70 5.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-102

Under 9.5

-141

Arouca Corners

Over 4.5

-116

Under 4.5

-122

Tondela Corners

Over 4.5

-102

Under 4.5

-141

Most Corners

1

-110

X

+600

2

+112

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Arouca vs Tondela Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Tondela are the skinniest price to succeed in this Primeira Liga clash, with the favourites afforded a 46% probability based on their +116 betting odds with the bookies. If you want to back the outsider, Arouca are available at +200.

There’s sometimes a case for betting on the Draw No Bet market, with Tondela available at -172 for those who want insurance on their bet. The same applies to opponents Arouca at +118.

The Over 2.5 option is currently favourite on the Total Goals betting market. For those expecting both sides to find the net, Both Teams to Score Yes is available at -156.

If you’re betting on Primeira Liga matches, we recommend heading to the top football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

+200

X

+250

2

+116

Half-Time Result

1

+245

X

+125

2

+175

Double Chance

1X

-167

12

-400

X2

-303

Draw No Bet

1

+118

2

-172

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-120

2 Hcp -0.25

-119

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-110

Over 2.5

-128

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-156

No

+110

Favourite Pedro Henryque Pereira dos Santos is now available at +450 to be the First Goalscorer. You will find similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.

Pedro Henryque Pereira dos Santos (Tondela)

First

+185

Anytime

+450

Barbero (Arouca)

First

+220

Anytime

+525

Jordan Siebatcheu (Tondela)

First

+225

Anytime

+550

Arjen Van der Heide (Tondela)

First

+240

Anytime

+600

Fally Mayulu (Arouca)

First

+250

Anytime

+600

Alfonso Trezza (Arouca)

First

+270

Anytime

+600

Makan Aïko (Tondela)

First

+280

Anytime

+650

Miguel Puche (Arouca)

First

+290

Anytime

+650

Xabier Huarte Armendáriz (Tondela)

First

+350

Anytime

+850

Pablo Gozálbez (Arouca)

First

+500

Anytime

+1150

Pedro Carvalho Santos (Arouca)

First

+540

Anytime

+1200

Joe Hodge (Tondela)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Tiago Manso (Tondela)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Espen van Ee (Arouca)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

João Afonso (Tondela)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Bas Kuipers (Arouca)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Sphephelo Sithole (Tondela)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Jose Fontan (Arouca)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Rémy Vita (Tondela)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Matías Rocha (Arouca)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Cícero Alves Santana (duplicate) (Tondela)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Brayan Medina (Tondela)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Emmanuel Maviram (Tondela)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Tiago Esgaio (Arouca)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Boris Popovic (Arouca)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Stats: Primeira Liga matches only
Arouca have not tasted defeat at Municipal de Arouca in three straight matches. The Wolves have recorded five victories, three defeats and two draws in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.70 goals per game and conceding 1.60.

Tondela have finished with five defeats, three wins and two draws in the past 10 away matches, netting an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.80.

Arouca beat Tondela 2-0 when the teams last met at Municipal de Arouca.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Arouca Home Stats		5-2-3	3.30	1.70	1.60	8	2	6	4
Tondela Away Stats		3-2-5	2.70	0.90	1.80	5	5	3	7

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Arouca vs Tondela Lineups & Team News

The latest Arouca vs Tondela team news could impact your bets — review it first. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups alongside the newest injury information.

Arouca Team Page Tondela Team Page

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