Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 05 May 2026

Champions League Betting Preview: Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid

Premier League side Arsenal host Spanish La Liga club Atlético Madrid at Emirates Stadium, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Tuesday 5 May.

The standout bet can be found on the Full-Time Result market where Arsenal are currently priced at -159. We think they can overcome Atlético Madrid and this looks a value play.

Arsenal were winners last time out. Landing a 3-0 Premier League home triumph against Fulham at Emirates Stadium. The North London outfit boasted 54% possession and had nine shots on target, while Viktor Gyoekeres netted twice along with a goal for Bukayo Saka.

Atlético Madrid got the win in their previous game. A 2-0 La Liga victory occurred on the road at Estadio Mestalla when playing Valencia. Los Colchoneros had six shots on goal and 47% possession, while Iker Luque and Miguel Llorente were on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The most recent encounter between Atléti and Arsenal saw the former host a 1-1 draw at Riyadh Air Metropolitano.

Champions League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Arsenal	8	8	0	0	23	4	19	23:4	24
14	Atlético Madrid	8	4	1	3	17	15	2	17:15	13

View Full Table

5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 13.7 attempts. Arsenal have had 52.1% possession, 448.8 passes and 5.9 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 0.6 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 11.1 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 4.1 corners.

Top goalscorer Viktor Gyoekeres has found the net 5 times, with Kai Havertz and Eberechi Eze scoring 3 and 2 respectively. The leading assistors are Leandro Trossard and Gabriel Martinelli with 2, while goalie David Raya has recorded 6 clean sheets.

Atléti have won 3, lost 6 and drawn 1, averaging 4.4 shots on goal, 12.0 attempts and 1.7 goals. Diego Simeone's team average 46.0% possession, 419.1 passes, 3.7 corners taken and 5.6 corners against them, while 1.8 goals have been conceded from 15.1 attempts and 5.7 shots on goal.

The top scorers have been Julian Alvarez and Alexander Soerloth on 3, with Nico Gonzalez getting 2. Julian Alvarez has been chief assist maker on 2, with Juan Musso recording 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Arsenal predicted lineup (4-3-3): David Raya (GK), Ben White, William Saliba, Gabriel, Piero Hincapie, Martin Oedegaard, Martin Zubimendi, Declan Rice, Noni Madueke, Viktor Gyoekeres, Gabriel Martinelli.

Atlético Madrid predicted lineup (4-4-2): Jan Oblak (GK), Marcos Llorente, Marc Pubill, David Hancko, Matteo Ruggeri, Rodrigo Mendoza, Koke, Johnny Cardoso, Ademola Lookman, Antoine Griezmann, Alexander Soerloth.

Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips

This Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid betting guide features sharp analysis across major markets, including a match prediction, correct score bet, corner kick insight, valuable player prop picks and a strategic bet builder.

Match Prediction

Arsenal are priced at -159 to secure a victory and we think these odds look too big. We’re expecting the hosts to land a Champions League win and a nice potential return could be on the cards.

The team news that emerges can have an impact on the odds depending on which players are missing. Our football experts also study the form guide, while the latest stats are also checked before a Champions League verdict is reached.

Key Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid Champions League & league stats:

• Arsenal have won 16 of their last 20 games at home.
• Arsenal have won 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• Arsenal have won 2 consecutive games at home.
• Atléti have lost 6 of their last 10 games.
• Atléti have lost 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

The betting apps are estimating that there is a 61.3% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Based on our experts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

If you’re looking for bigger odds, check out Arsenal on the Asian Handicap. You can potentially back them at -1 or even -1.5 if you’re expecting a comfortable win.

Considering placing a bet? Explore today’s best welcome bonuses and sign-up offers in our full guide before you get started.

Our Match Prediction

Arsenal To Win @ -159 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 3, 21:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Arsenal 2 - 0 Atléti

Arsenal can be backed to win 2-0 when it comes to the correct score. We’ll go for the +600 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Ademola Lookman Over 1.5 Shots -109

Ademola Lookman (Atléti) has recorded over 1.5 shots in his past two matches. We think it’s achievable that he will cover the Player Shots line and there are odds of -109 available.

Latest Ademola Lookman Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+510

First

+1300

Shots

Over 1.5

-109

Under 1.5

-

---

Gabriel Martinelli To Score +250

Gabriel Martinelli (Arsenal) is available to be on the scoresheet at +250. Using all evidence, we are happy to back him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Gabriel Martinelli Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+250

First

+600

Shots

Over 2.5

-102

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -100

The 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered in three straight Arsenal games, while the same outcome has happened in three  consecutive Atlético Madrid matches. We think that the teams will come up short and this Total Corners wager can be backed at -100.

Champions League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Arsenal

Total

10.00 5.90 4.10

Home

11.20 7.60 3.60

Away

8.70 4.70 4.00

Atléti

Total

9.30 3.70 5.60

Home

8.50 4.80 3.70

Away

10.70 4.90 5.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-139

Under 9.5

-102

Arsenal Corners

Over 6.5

-102

Under 6.5

-139

Atléti Corners

Over 3.5

+106

Under 3.5

-152

Most Corners

1

-333

X

+750

2

+310

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The favourites are 61% likely to win according to the latest betting odds, with Arsenal being priced at -159 to come away with a victory in this Champions League encounter. The market suggests that Atlético Madrid are least likely to win at +440.

If you think Arsenal can win by two or more goals against Atléti, consider them at -0.75 on the Asian Handicap at -123. You’ll even win with half your stake if they win by one goal, with the other half refunded.

The current odds reflect that there’s not much between Under 2.5 Goals and Over 2.5 Goals. If you’re looking to wager on Both Teams to Score, there’s not a lot of difference between Yes and No.

The best betting sites push the boat out to ensure that football bettors can select from hundreds of markets. You can access them for every Champions League match before making a decision.

Full-Time Result

1

-159

X

+295

2

+440

Half-Time Result

1

+120

X

+123

2

+440

Double Chance

1X

-667

12

-417

X2

+120

Draw No Bet

1

-435

2

+265

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-123

2 Hcp +0.75

-100

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-119

Over 2.5

-104

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-109

No

-119

Viktor Gyökeres is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +370 while there’s also the chance to back him to find the net at +150.

Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)

First

+150

Anytime

+370

Gabriel Jesus (Arsenal)

First

+210

Anytime

+525

Kai Havertz (Arsenal)

First

+220

Anytime

+550

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

First

+220

Anytime

+575

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)

First

+240

Anytime

+575

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

First

+240

Anytime

+600

Eberechi Eze (Arsenal)

First

+250

Anytime

+600

Gabriel Martinelli (Arsenal)

First

+250

Anytime

+600

Noni Madueke (Arsenal)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Leandro Trossard (Arsenal)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal)

First

+450

Anytime

+1150

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

First

+460

Anytime

+1150

Declan Rice (Arsenal)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Ademola Lookman (Atléti)

First

+510

Anytime

+1300

Christian Nørgaard (Arsenal)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Álex Baena (Atléti)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Riccardo Calafiori (Arsenal)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Jurriën Timber (Arsenal)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Martín Zubimendi (Arsenal)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Gabriel Magalhães (Arsenal)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

William Saliba (Arsenal)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Cristhian Mosquera (Arsenal)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Piero Hincapié (Arsenal)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)

Over 3.5

-122

Under 3.5

-

Gabriel Jesus (Arsenal)

Over 2.5

-149

Under 2.5

-

Kai Havertz (Arsenal)

Over 2.5

-122

Under 2.5

-

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 2.5

-125

Under 2.5

-

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)

Over 2.5

-128

Under 2.5

-

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 2.5

+114

Under 2.5

-

Eberechi Eze (Arsenal)

Over 2.5

-102

Under 2.5

-

Gabriel Martinelli (Arsenal)

Over 2.5

-102

Under 2.5

-

Ademola Lookman (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-109

Under 1.5

-

Declan Rice (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+108

Under 1.5

-

Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

+116

Under 1.5

-

Leandro Trossard (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-204

Under 1.5

-

Noni Madueke (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-204

Under 1.5

-

Christian Nørgaard (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Álex Baena (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

-

Riccardo Calafiori (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Jurriën Timber (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Martín Zubimendi (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-

Gabriel Magalhães (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

William Saliba (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Latest Champions League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Arsenal Stats

Atlético Madrid Stats

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.30 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.90 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 5.90 corners awarded and 4.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 7.60 corners awarded and 3.60 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 11.20 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 3.70 corners awarded and 5.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 5.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 10.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 52.10% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 53.10% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 46.00% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 50.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches

Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid Lineups & Team News

Be smart with your bets — check the Arsenal vs Atléti team news beforehand. We’ll deliver both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Champions League as well as the latest injury reports.

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