Arsenal vs Burnley Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 18 May 2026

Premier League Betting Preview: Arsenal vs Burnley

Premier League leaders Arsenal clash with relegated Burnley at Emirates Stadium, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Monday 18 May.

The Gunners look too good to ignore on the Asian Handicap market at -2.5. A highly motivated Arsenal side should be capable of winning comfortably against a Burnley team with little left to play for, especially with goal difference still potentially proving decisive in the title race.

Considering the latest xG data, home and away form, along with Arsenal’s title motivation, odds of -118 for the hosts to win by three or more goals look appealing.

With two games remaining, Arsenal are two points clear of Manchester City and favourites in the Premier League title race. Mikel Arteta's team face Crystal Palace away in their final game, with Palace likely to have one eye on their Europa Conference League final just three days later.

Arsenal head into this clash on the back of three straight league wins, most recently beating West Ham United 1-0 away at London Stadium. The Gunners had four shots on target and enjoyed 64% possession, with Leandro Trossard bagging a late winning goal.

Burnley drew 2-2 against Aston Villa in their previous game. This was on home soil at Turf Moor. Mike Jackson's team had just 34% possession and recorded six shots on goal, with Jaidon Anthony and Zian Flemming on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Arsenal have enjoyed three straight wins against Burnley. In their last clash, visitors Arsenal secured a 2-0 victory at Turf Moor. The past 10 H2H matches have included six Arsenal victories, three draws and one Burnley win.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Arsenal have 7 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.8 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 14.1 attempts. The North London outfit have averaged 52.3% possession, 429.9 passes and 5.2 corners per game, with the opposition getting 0.8 goals from 3.2 shots on goal, 9.6 attempts and 3.9 corners.

Top goalscorer Viktor Gyoekeres has found the net 6 times, with Bukayo Saka and Eberechi Eze scoring 3 each. Martin Oedegaard, Jurrien Timber and Declan Rice are tied for the most assists on 2, with goalie David Raya managing 5 clean sheets.

Burnley have 7 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 0.9 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 10.1 attempts. There’s been an average of 42.0% possession, 379.8 passes, 4.0 corners awarded and 6.7 corners against, while they’ve conceded 2.2 goals from 5.8 shots on goal and 17.2 attempts.

Zian Flemming is top of the team’s scoring charts with 5, Jaidon Anthony is on 2 and Loum Tchaouna on 1. Hannibal Mejbri has had 3 assists, with Martin Dubravka notching one clean sheet in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Arsenal confirmed lineup (4-3-3): David Raya (GK), Cristhian Mosquera, William Saliba, Gabriel, Riccardo Calafiori, Martin Oedegaard, Declan Rice, Eberechi Eze, Bukayo Saka, Kai Havertz, Leandro Trossard.

Burnley confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Max Weiss (GK), Kyle Walker, Axel Tuanzebe, Maxime Esteve, Lucas Pires, Florentino, Lesley Ugochukwu, Loum Tchaouna, Hannibal Mejbri, Jaidon Anthony, Zian Flemming.

Arsenal vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips

Step into Arsenal vs Burnley with confidence, armed with our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, top corners angle, key player prop plays and a custom-built bet builder for maximum value.

Match Prediction

Arsenal could be head and shoulders above their opponents in this Premier League encounter. This leads us to back the big favourites -2.5 at odds of -118 and we are confident of landing a return with this wager.

It's important to understand the players who are unavailable for the upcoming Premier League action and the respective form of each team. If you want stats, you have come to the right place and they form the basis of our football predictions.

Key Arsenal vs Burnley league stats:

• The -2.5 line has been covered by Arsenal in 3 of their last 10 games at home.
• Burnley have lost their last 4 away games by two goals or more.

According to the top bookmakers, our pick has a 54.1% chance of landing a return. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

If you’re searching for a larger price, then there’s the opportunity to move the line. Select from a host of choices and get paid out if your selection lands.

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Our Match Prediction

Arsenal Asian Hcp -2.5 @ -118 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 16, 21:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Arsenal 3 - 0 Burnley

We’re taking a chance on the Gunners to achieve a 3-0 winning scoreline. Odds of +480 means we can place a smaller stake and still achieve a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Leandro Trossard Over 2.5 Shots -127

Leandro Trossard (Arsenal) has recorded over 2.5 shots in back-to-back Premier League games. There is odds of -127 available when it comes to this Player Shots wager and we think he’ll cover the line.

Latest Leandro Trossard Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+170

First

+550

Shots

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-

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Eberechi Eze To Score +135

Eberechi Eze (Arsenal) can be wagered to be on the scoresheet at +135. He looks like a value bet to find the net and we recommend backing this Anytime Goalscorer pick.

Latest Eberechi Eze Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+140

First

+450

Shots

Over 3.5

+128

Under 3.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Arsenal Under 7.5 Corners +104

Arsenal have had under 7.5 corners in four straight games, with Burnley conceding less than 7.5 corners in their past four away games. It looks a logical viewpoint that the Team Corners line won’t be reached and you can land a price of +104 for this Arsenal wager.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Arsenal

Total

9.10 5.20 3.90

Home

8.90 6.00 2.90

Away

9.40 5.20 4.20

Burnley

Total

10.70 4.00 6.70

Home

9.70 4.00 5.70

Away

8.70 3.00 5.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-133

Under 10.5

-106

Arsenal Corners

Over 8.5

-123

Under 8.5

-115

Burnley Corners

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

+120

Most Corners

1

-1667

X

+1500

2

+1300

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Arsenal vs Burnley Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Arsenal are the massive -1429 favourites to triumph in this Premier League clash which suggests a 93% likelihood of landing the spoils according to the latest Full-Time Result betting odds. Burnley are regarded as a long shot to win and you can back them at +2400.

There’s a nice alternative in the form of the Half-Time Result market. This allows you to back Arsenal at -313 to lead at the break or alternatively opt for Burnley at +1300. The draw is the third option at +255.

The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting contest. If you’re expecting at least one team to keep a clean sheet, you might be interested in the -222 about Both Teams to Score No.

Hundreds of markets are now a guarantee for each of the Premier League matches, with the recommended football betting sites making sure that customers have quality options.

Full-Time Result

1

-1429

X

+1000

2

+2400

Half-Time Result

1

-313

X

+255

2

+1300

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -2.5

-116

2 Hcp +2.5

-105

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+210

Over 2.5

-278

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+160

No

-222

Viktor Gyökeres is the First Goalscorer favourite at +230. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to simply back him to find the net anytime at -161.

Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)

First

+230

Anytime

-161

Kai Havertz (Arsenal)

First

+350

Anytime

+102

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)

First

+370

Anytime

+105

Eberechi Eze (Arsenal)

First

+450

Anytime

+140

Gabriel Martinelli (Arsenal)

First

+480

Anytime

+150

Leandro Trossard (Arsenal)

First

+550

Anytime

+170

Noni Madueke (Arsenal)

First

+575

Anytime

+180

Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal)

First

+750

Anytime

+240

Declan Rice (Arsenal)

First

+1000

Anytime

+300

Gabriel Magalhães (Arsenal)

First

+1100

Anytime

+350

Riccardo Calafiori (Arsenal)

First

+1200

Anytime

+400

Zian Flemming (Burnley)

First

+1300

Anytime

+400

Martín Zubimendi (Arsenal)

First

+1400

Anytime

+450

Cristhian Mosquera (Arsenal)

First

+1700

Anytime

+550

William Saliba (Arsenal)

First

+1800

Anytime

+550

Piero Hincapié (Arsenal)

First

+1700

Anytime

+575

Myles Lewis-Skelly (Arsenal)

First

+1700

Anytime

+575

Lyle Foster (Burnley)

First

+2200

Anytime

+700

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley)

First

+2200

Anytime

+700

Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)

Over 4.5

-143

Under 4.5

-

Kai Havertz (Arsenal)

Over 3.5

+108

Under 3.5

-

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)

Over 3.5

-120

Under 3.5

-

Eberechi Eze (Arsenal)

Over 3.5

+128

Under 3.5

-

Gabriel Martinelli (Arsenal)

Over 2.5

-204

Under 2.5

-

Leandro Trossard (Arsenal)

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-

Zian Flemming (Burnley)

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

-

Riccardo Calafiori (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-

Gabriel Magalhães (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Declan Rice (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-

Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

Noni Madueke (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-417

Under 1.5

-

Martín Zubimendi (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

-

Cristhian Mosquera (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-

William Saliba (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-123

Under 0.5

-

Piero Hincapié (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-

Myles Lewis-Skelly (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-116

Under 0.5

-

Lyle Foster (Burnley)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley)

Over 0.5

-270

Under 0.5

-

Stats: Premier League matches only
Arsenal have secured back-to-back Premier League victories at Emirates Stadium. The Gunners have collected eight wins, one draw and one defeat in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.90 goals per match and conceding 0.30.

Burnley have been defeated in four straight away matches. Mike Jackson's team have six losses, three draws and one victory in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 2.20.

The most recent Emirates Stadium meeting saw Arsenal claim a 3-1 win over Burnley. The past 4 H2H meetings at Emirates Stadium have involved two Arsenal victories, a single draw and one Burnley win.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Arsenal Home Stats		8-1-1	2.20	1.90	0.30	5	5	2	8
Burnley Away Stats		1-3-6	3.10	0.90	2.20	5	5	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Arsenal vs Burnley Lineups & Team News

Make sure you're up to date on the Arsenal vs Burnley team news before betting. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups and the latest on injuries.

Arsenal Team Page Burnley Team Page

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