Arsenal vs Leeds Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 10 Oct 2026
Arsenal vs Leeds Predictions
It could be that at least one of Arsenal or Leeds fail to get on the scoresheet here. Therefore, we’ll take the BTTS No option at -147 which means a nice return if our pick wins.
Read on for our full Arsenal vs Leeds betting analysis, featuring the reasoning behind our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Arsenal vs Leeds Preview
Arsenal square off against Leeds at Emirates Stadium, with kick-off set for 07:30 on Saturday 10 October.
Arsenal have enjoyed two Premier League home victories in a row. They were defeated in their last league game when losing 3-0 away to Brighton. Mikel Arteta's team boasted 60% possession and had two shots on target.
Leeds United drew 0-0 in their previous game. This was at home against Crystal Palace at Elland Road. The Whites were 51% in the possession stakes and managed two shots on goal.
H2H: Arsenal Have Claimed 9 Wins in 10 on Head-to-Head
Arsenal have racked up eight straight victories over Leeds. Their last clash saw Arsenal enjoy a 4-0 away win at Elland Road. The previous 10 H2H meetings have featured nine Arsenal wins and one draw.
| Premier League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |  Arsenal |
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8:4 | 12 |
| 5 |  Leeds |
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7:3 | 9 |
Arsenal have 9 wins and 1 loss, averaging 1.6 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 13.9 attempts. The Gunners have averaged 58.3% possession, 490.3 passes and 4.5 corners per match, conceding 0.5 goals and 3.2 corners from 2.4 shots on goal and 9.8 attempts.
Bukayo Saka is the top scorer with 4 goals, Kai Havertz has 3, with Martin Oedegaard and Viktor Gyoekeres on 2. Declan Rice, Riccardo Calafiori and Kai Havertz have recorded the most assists with 2 apiece. Meanwhile, goalkeeper David Raya has kept 7 clean sheets.
Leeds have 4 victories, 1 defeat and 5 draws, with an average of 1.4 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 12.1 attempts. The West Yorkshire side have averaged 45.0% possession, 361.0 passes, 4.1 corners taken and 6.4 corners against, while conceding 1.0 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 14.9 attempts.
Dominic Calvert-Lewin has scored 6, followed by Noah Okafor and Anton Stach with 2 goals apiece. James Justin, Tarik Muharemovic and Ao Tanaka have all made 1 assists in the last 10 games, while James Trafford has 2 clean sheets.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Arsenal predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): David Raya (GK), Jurrien Timber, Piero Hincapie, Gabriel, Riccardo Calafiori, Eberechi Eze, Bruno Guimaraes, Bukayo Saka, Martin Oedegaard, Noni Madueke, Viktor Gyoekeres.
Leeds predicted lineup (3-5-2): James Trafford (GK), James Justin, Nico Elvedi, Tarik Muharemovic, Jayden Bogle, Anton Stach, Ethan Ampadu, Ao Tanaka, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Noah Okafor.
Main Match Prediction
It’s hard to see how the Premier League sides can both find the net and that means a BTTS No wager. We’re more than happy to land the generous -147 when it comes to this particular outcome.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
We’re constantly keeping tabs on the Premier League team news. Along with the latest form, this helps us get the value every time. Our football experts are able to take a stats-led approach, with the key numbers providing a guide.
Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 59.5% chance of winning. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 65-70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.
If you think BTTS No is a good option but want bigger odds, then take the Bet Builder route to boost your price. You can cheer on multiple outcomes for the same game.
Searching for betting perks? Explore our bonus guide for the freshest sportsbook promo codes, free bets, and offers today.
Correct Score Prediction
2
-
0
Leeds
There are odds of +500 available that Arsenal land a 2-0 win. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.
Player Prop Picks
Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds) has had one or more shots on goal in four straight Premier League games. We think this could be a telling statistic and we’ll back him to cover the Shots on Target line which is available at odds of -143.
Bukayo Saka (Arsenal) has scored three goals in his past five Premier League games. There are odds of +185 available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for the player to find the net.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The 2.5 corners line has been covered by Leeds in four consecutive matches, with Arsenal conceding over 2.5 corners in their past three games. The number of Leeds corners might be larger than the line implies and that means a bet at odds of -156.
Arsenal
Leeds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
If you’re keen to place a bet builder, go for one or both teams not scoring, Arsenal with the -1.25 Asian Handicap combined with Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds) to end up with one or more shots on target.
The bet builder feature allows football punters to place a multiple wager on the same game. Many bettors like to create a personalised bet which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.
Arsenal vs Leeds Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Bettors might not get rich backing Arsenal at -263 to triumph in this Premier League clash although these odds suggest a 72% probability that the favourites end up triumphing. If you’re interested in wagering Leeds United, you can get +700 for the underdog.
Arsenal -1.25 on the Asian Handicap can be wagered at -119 and it would suit anyone who thinks they beat Leeds by two or more. A one-goal margin of victory sees you get half your stake back.
You can get a similar price whether you’re betting Under or Over 2.5 Goals. A fresh approach might involve siding with a BTTS wager and there’s -147 on offer for Both Teams to Score No.
There’s lots to like about the top football betting sites and that includes the hundreds of markets available for each Premier League match. You are spoilt for choice when it comes to available options.
There is +114 available that Viktor Gyökeres finds the net anytime. If you’re interested in the favourite to score the first goal, then you are able to secure +310.
Stats: Last 10 Premier League matches only.
Arsenal have managed five consecutive victories at Emirates Stadium. Mikel Arteta's team have recorded eight victories and two defeats in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 2.00 goals per game and conceding 0.70.
Leeds have recorded seven draws, two wins and one loss in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.20.
The most recent Emirates Stadium meeting saw Arsenal claim a 5-0 win over Leeds. For the past 4 H2H meetings at Emirates Stadium, Arsenal have won every time.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal Home Stats |
8-0-2 | 2.70 | 2.00 | 0.70 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | |
| Leeds Away Stats |
2-7-1 | 2.30 | 1.10 | 1.20 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 3 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Premier League: 31/01 2026 Leeds 0 Arsenal 4
- Premier League: 23/08 2025 Arsenal 5 Leeds 0
- Premier League: 01/04 2023 Arsenal 4 Leeds 1
- Premier League: 16/10 2022 Leeds 0 Arsenal 1
- Premier League: 08/05 2022 Arsenal 2 Leeds 1
- Premier League: 18/12 2021 Leeds 1 Arsenal 4
- EFL Cup: 26/10 2021 Arsenal 2 Leeds 0
- Premier League: 14/02 2021 Arsenal 4 Leeds 2
- Premier League: 22/11 2020 Leeds 0 Arsenal 0
- FA Cup: 06/01 2020 Arsenal 1 Leeds 0
Arsenal League Stats
Leeds League Stats
- 9 wins and 1 defeat in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins and 2 defeats in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 1 defeat and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 1 defeat and 7 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 3.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 3.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 7.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.10 corners awarded and 6.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 2.90 corners awarded and 7.60 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 0 and least corners in 9 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 58.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 54.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 45.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 41.00% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Arsenal this season are Bukayo Saka (3), Kai Havertz (2), Martin Oedegaard (2)
- Top Assistors for Arsenal this season are Declan Rice (2), Riccardo Calafiori (2), Ben White (1)
Arsenal vs Leeds Lineups & Team News
Double-check the Arsenal vs Leeds team news before placing your bets. Get the predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.
Arsenal Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Leeds Predicted Lineup 3-5-2
Arsenal Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Leeds Predicted Lineup 3-5-2
Previous Arsenal Lineups
Previous Leeds Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Arsenal Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Mikel Arteta
Leeds Player Stats & Squad
Premier League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 12 |
| 3 | Brighton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16:5 | 10 |
| 4 | Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10:4 | 9 |
| 5 | Leeds | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:3 | 9 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 7 | Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 8 | Hull | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 9 | Newcastle | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:9 | 8 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:12 | 7 |
| 11 | Ipswich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | 6 |
| 12 | Man United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 5 |
| 13 | Nott’m Forest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 14 | Sunderland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | 3 |
| 18 | Coventry | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1:10 | 3 |
| 19 | Fulham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | 2 |
| 20 | Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:8 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Brighton | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 3 | Brentford | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 4 | Everton | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 5 | Arsenal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 6 | Leeds | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 5 |
| 7 | Newcastle | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 5 |
| 8 | Hull | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 4 |
| 9 | Chelsea | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:5 | 4 |
| 10 | Man United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 11 | Ipswich | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 12 | Sunderland | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 13 | Liverpool | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 15 | Fulham | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 1 |
| 16 | Nott’m Forest | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:2 | 1 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 18 | Aston Villa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 19 | Crystal Palace | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | 0 |
| 20 | Coventry | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:6 | 0 |
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