Aston Villa vs Lille Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 19 Mar 2026

Europa League Betting Preview: Aston Villa vs Lille

Premier League team Aston Villa host French Ligue 1 club Lille in the second leg of their Europa League round of 16 tie at Villa Park, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Thursday 19 March. Villa won the first leg 1-0.

Aston Villa and Lille could be set for a low-scoring contest, with Under 2.5 looking like a strong pick. The latest stats point in that direction, and with Villa likely to control the game after winning away, we are not expecting many goals. -102 in the Total Goals market looks like value.

Aston Villa were beaten last game and this was on their travels at Old Trafford. Manchester United claimed a 3-1 Premier League win. Unai Emery's team had 47% possession and recorded two shots on target, while Ross Barkley bagged the goal.

LOSC Lille triumphed in their previous game. It was away from home in Ligue 1 where Rennes were beaten 2-1 at Roazhon Park. The Hauts-de-France outfit had 41% possession and recorded three shots on goal, with Matias Fernandez-Pardo and Hakon Arnar Haraldsson finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Villa claimed a 1-0 away win in the first leg, beating Lille at Stade Pierre-Mauroy. Lille had more shots on target, leading 3-1 in that count, while Villa enjoyed 54% possession. Ollie Watkins scored the winner in the 61st minute.

Europa League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Aston Villa	8	7	0	1	14	6	8	14:6	21
18	Lille	8	4	0	4	12	9	3	12:9	12

View Full Table

Villa have 4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 13.2 attempts. The Birmingham team have averaged 54.2% possession and 5.5 corners per match, conceding 1.4 goals and 4.4 corners from 4.8 shots on goal and 12.1 attempts.

Ollie Watkins and Morgan Rogers lead the way with 2 goals, while Ross Barkley has 1. Leading assistor is Emiliano Buendia with 2, while goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez has 3 clean sheets.

Lille have won 4, lost 3 and drawn 3, averaging 3.6 shots on goal, 11.8 attempts and 0.8 goals. Bruno Genesio's side average 55.7% possession, 504.1 passes, 6.1 corners taken and 2.9 corners against them, while 0.6 goals have been conceded from 8.5 attempts and 2.8 shots on goal.

The top scorers have been Nathan Ngoy, Matias Fernandez-Pardo and Olivier Giroud, with 2 goals apiece. Felix Correia has clocked up 2 assists, with Berke Ozer keeping 4 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Aston Villa confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Emiliano Martinez (GK), Lamare Bogarde, Victor Nilsson Lindeloef, Pau Torres, Ian Maatsen, Amadou Onana, Douglas Luiz, Jadon Sancho, Morgan Rogers, John McGinn, Tammy Abraham.

Lille confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Berke Ozer (GK), Nathan Ngoy, Chancel Mbemba, Alexsandro Ribeiro, Thomas Meunier, Ayyoub Bouaddi, Nabil Bentaleb, Romain Perraud, Ngal Ayel Mukau, Felix Correia, Olivier Giroud.

Aston Villa vs Lille Prediction & Betting Tips

We dive into the top Aston Villa vs Lille betting angles, including our main match prediction, correct score play, corners market tip, standout player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

We can’t pass up the chance to wager Under 2.5 for this Europa League clash. This bet offers us the chance to take odds of -102 and we think a return could definitely be on the cards.

The formbook is always a good place to start ahead of making football predictions. The latest Europa League team news is also an important port of call, while the stats we present always tell an interesting story.

Key Aston Villa vs Lille Europa League & league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Villa games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Villa games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Lille games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Lille games.

The best bookies are estimating that there is a 50.5% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, we have this number closer to 60% based on our in-depth research. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

Bettors have an opportunity to visit the Result & Total Goals market in the quest for a bigger price. This bet allows you to select Under 2.5 and a particular team to land a victory.

Thinking about claiming free bets? Our bonus guide lists the best sign-up offers from the biggest names in betting.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -102 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 17, 21:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Aston Villa 1 - 0 Lille

A potentially entertaining bet is going for the Villans to win by a 1-0 scoreline. At odds of +510, there’s the chance to get a handsome return should this wager win.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Matias Fernandez-Pardo Over 1.5 Shots -112

Matias Fernandez-Pardo (Lille) has fired over 1.5 shots in seven of his past ten games. The numbers imply that he can succeed with our Overs bet and we’re delighted to take the -112 available.

Latest Matias Fernandez-Pardo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+360

First

+950

Shots

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

---

Emiliano Buendía To Score +250

Emiliano Buendía (Villa) is available at +250 to find the net. We’ll have a play on this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look pretty attractive.

Latest Emiliano Buendía Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+240

First

+650

Shots

Over 1.5

-204

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -143

There has been four consecutive Lille games where the 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered, while it has been an average of 8.40 corners in the last five Aston Villa matches. There are odds of -143 for this Total Corners wager and we think the line is too high.

Europa League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Aston Villa

Total

9.90 5.50 4.40

Home

9.50 5.80 3.70

Away

9.30 4.50 4.80

Lille

Total

9.00 6.10 2.90

Home

8.60 5.80 2.80

Away

8.80 4.70 4.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-100

Under 9.5

-143

Aston Villa Corners

Over 5.5

+104

Under 5.5

-147

Lille Corners

Over 3.5

-120

Under 3.5

-116

Most Corners

1

-189

X

+650

2

+188

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Aston Villa vs Lille Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The favourites have a 60% likelihood of success according to the bookies, with Aston Villa chalked up at -149 to land a win in this Europa League clash. LOSC Lille are the +410 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.

A 2+ goal margin of victory for Villa against Lille means a full payout at -114 when backing them on the Asian Handicap -0.75. A one-goal win means half the stake wins and half is refunded.

The Total Goals market looks like a close call, with Under and Over 2.5 Goals trading at a similar price. BTTS is always an intriguing wager to have and the Yes/No selections are regarded as being evenly-matched.

The best football betting sites cover Europa League games in serious depth and there are hundreds of markets. We recommend scanning through the various bets before picking out the best angle.

Full-Time Result

1

-149

X

+280

2

+410

Half-Time Result

1

+125

X

+128

2

+400

Double Chance

1X

-625

12

-385

X2

+112

Draw No Bet

1

-400

2

+245

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-114

2 Hcp +0.75

-109

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-115

Over 2.5

-110

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-122

No

-110

There’s the chance to back Ollie Watkins at +420 to be the First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and available at similar odds to find the net last instead.

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

First

+165

Anytime

+420

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

First

+170

Anytime

+450

Tammy Abraham (Villa)

First

+185

Anytime

+480

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

First

+240

Anytime

+650

Olivier Giroud (Lille)

First

+290

Anytime

+750

Ross Barkley (Villa)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Villa)

First

+350

Anytime

+900

Matias Fernandez-Pardo (Lille)

First

+360

Anytime

+950

Gaetan Perrin (Lille)

First

+370

Anytime

+1000

Jadon Sancho (Villa)

First

+410

Anytime

+1050

Leon Bailey (Villa)

First

+420

Anytime

+1100

John McGinn (Villa)

First

+430

Anytime

+1100

Soriba Diaoune (Lille)

First

+450

Anytime

+1150

Douglas Luiz (Villa)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Noah Edjouma (Lille)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Matty Cash (Villa)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Hákon Haraldsson (Lille)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Félix Correia (Lille)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Ian Maatsen (Villa)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Nabil Bentaleb (Lille)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Osame Sahraoui (Lille)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Ngay Ayel Mukau (Lille)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Amadou Onana (Villa)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Victor Lindelöf (Villa)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Lucas Digne (Villa)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Ezri Konsa (Villa)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Tyrone Mings (Villa)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Lamare Bogarde (Villa)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Andrés García (Villa)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Pau Torres (Villa)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

Over 2.5

-139

Under 2.5

-

Tammy Abraham (Villa)

Over 2.5

-109

Under 2.5

-

Olivier Giroud (Lille)

Over 2.5

+143

Under 2.5

-

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

Over 2.5

-125

Under 2.5

-

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

Over 1.5

-204

Under 1.5

-

Ross Barkley (Villa)

Over 1.5

-179

Under 1.5

-

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Villa)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Matias Fernandez-Pardo (Lille)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

Gaetan Perrin (Lille)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Jadon Sancho (Villa)

Over 1.5

+143

Under 1.5

-

Leon Bailey (Villa)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-

Soriba Diaoune (Lille)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Ian Maatsen (Villa)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Ngay Ayel Mukau (Lille)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-

Osame Sahraoui (Lille)

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

-

Nabil Bentaleb (Lille)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-

John McGinn (Villa)

Over 0.5

-278

Under 0.5

-

Félix Correia (Lille)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

-

Hákon Haraldsson (Lille)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

-

Matty Cash (Villa)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Noah Edjouma (Lille)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

Douglas Luiz (Villa)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Amadou Onana (Villa)

Over 0.5

+104

Under 0.5

-

Latest Europa League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Aston Villa Stats

Lille Stats

Full-Time Result

• 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 0.80 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 1.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 1 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 4.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 3.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 6.10 corners awarded and 2.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 4.10 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 54.20% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 57.10% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 55.70% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 52.90% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches

Aston Villa vs Lille Lineups & Team News

Before placing any bets on Villa vs Lille, check the team news first. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed Europa League lineups as well as the most recent injury news.

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