Aston Villa vs Liverpool Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 15 May 2026

Premier League Betting Preview: Aston Villa vs Liverpool

Fifth-placed Aston Villa go head-to-head with fourth-placed Liverpool at Villa Park, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Friday 15 May.

When Aston Villa meet Liverpool, we will back the hosts at -120 on the Asian Handicap +0.25. With the stake split between 0 and +0.5, they look capable of landing a return by avoiding defeat.

Both sides are level on 59 points after 36 games as they battle for a top-five finish and Champions League qualification, with Bournemouth and Brighton still applying pressure behind them.

Aston Villa played Burnley on their travels in their last game. It was a 2-2 draw at Turf Moor. Unai Emery's side recorded seven shots on target and boasted 66% possession, with Ross Barkley and Ollie Watkins each scoring one goal.

Liverpool played Chelsea at home in their previous game. It was a 1-1 draw at Anfield. The Merseyside club enjoyed 49% possession and had three shots on goal, with Ryan Gravenberch finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Liverpool have gone unbeaten in their past ten meetings with Villa. Their last encounter took place at Anfield and Liverpool secured a 2-0 home win. The 10 most recent H2H games have included seven Liverpool victories along with three draws.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Aston Villa	38	19	8	11	56	49	7	56:49	65
5	Liverpool	38	17	9	12	63	53	10	63:53	60

View Full Table

Villa have 2 wins, 5 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 13.2 attempts. The Birmingham team have averaged 55.7% possession, 464.1 passes and 5.2 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.9 goals from 4.9 shots on goal, 12.7 attempts and 4.3 corners.

Ollie Watkins is the top scorer with 4 goals, while Ross Barkley and Tammy Abraham each have 2. John McGinn is the leading assists maker on 2, with goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez keeping one clean sheet.

Liverpool have 5 victories, 3 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.9 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 13.8 attempts. There’s been an average of 55.8% possession, 495.0 passes, 5.8 corners awarded and 4.5 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.3 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 12.8 attempts.

Mohamed Salah is top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Cody Gakpo, Dominik Szoboszlai, Virgil van Dijk and Alexis Mac Allister have 2. Dominik Szoboszlai has been the top assist maker on 3, with Giorgi Mamardashvili and Alisson Becker collectively notching 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Aston Villa confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Emiliano Martinez (GK), Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Pau Torres, Lucas Digne, Victor Nilsson Lindeloef, Youri Tielemans, John McGinn, Morgan Rogers, Emiliano Buendia, Ollie Watkins.

Liverpool confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Giorgi Mamardashvili (GK), Joseph Gomez, Ibrahima Konate, Virgil van Dijk, Milos Kerkez, Ryan Gravenberch, Alexis Mac Allister, Curtis Jones, Dominik Szoboszlai, Rio Ngumoha, Cody Gakpo.

Aston Villa vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips

Take in the full Aston Villa vs Liverpool betting outlook — from our expert match prediction and correct score pick to sharp corners advice, player prop insights and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

Aston Villa look a good bet in this Premier League clash and we can back them at -120 with a +0.25 goal start. The latest stats suggest that the home team can avoid defeat and potentially triumph.

The team news that emerges can have an impact on the odds depending on which players are missing. Our football experts also study the form guide, while the latest stats are also checked before a Premier League verdict is reached.

Key Aston Villa vs Liverpool league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Villa in 15 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Villa in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Liverpool in 13 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Liverpool in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Liverpool in 2 consecutive games.

The betting apps are estimating that there is a 54.6% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

If you’re looking for a good alternative to backing Villa on the Asian Handicap, then consider the Winning Margin market. You can choose from a range of fixed intervals and odds.

Before betting, make sure to browse our bonus guide packed with the best betting promo codes, free bets, and sign-up offers.

Our Match Prediction

Aston Villa Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -120 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 13, 21:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Aston Villa 2 - 1 Liverpool

We’re taking a chance on Aston Villa to achieve a 2-1 winning scoreline. Odds of +850 means we can place a smaller stake and still achieve a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Cody Gakpo Over 2.5 Shots -105

Cody Gakpo (Liverpool) has had over 2.5 shots in his past two Premier League matches away from home. We think that the value can be found by wagering on Player Shots and you can get -105 that he goes over the line.

Latest Cody Gakpo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+200

First

+540

Shots

Over 2.5

+102

Under 2.5

-

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John McGinn to Score +500

John McGinn (Villa) has scored three goals in his past five Premier League home matches. We’ll use this stat and take odds of +500 that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest John McGinn Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+575

First

+1500

Shots

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 10.5 Corners -132

It has now been five straight Aston Villa matches where the 10.5 Total Corners line has not been covered. We’re going to bet on the teams to fall short when it comes to Total Corners and this pick is available at -132.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Aston Villa

Total

9.50 5.20 4.30

Home

10.40 5.90 4.50

Away

9.70 5.10 4.60

Liverpool

Total

10.30 5.80 4.50

Home

11.50 6.40 5.10

Away

9.60 6.50 3.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-119

Under 10.5

-119

Aston Villa Corners

Over 5.5

+106

Under 5.5

-152

Liverpool Corners

Over 4.5

-156

Under 4.5

+110

Most Corners

1

-104

X

+650

2

+105

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Aston Villa vs Liverpool Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

You can secure betting odds of +150 when it comes to Liverpool claiming a Premier League win and the bookmakers have Aston Villa on offer at +175. For those wishing to back the draw, it’s available at +225.

You can back Liverpool at -132 on the Draw No Bet market, with money back if the game is a draw. Villa are -108 and this could be an attractive option for those who want some insurance.

The Total Goals odds suggest that Over 2.5 is a strong probability in this contest. The Yes option in the Both Teams to Score market is regarded as the most likely outcome and is trading at -172.

It’s fantastic to find hundreds of markets on offer for Premier League games. You simply need to visit the best sports betting sites and select from the various football options that are presented.

Full-Time Result

1

+175

X

+225

2

+150

Half-Time Result

1

+225

X

+123

2

+200

Double Chance

1X

-200

12

-313

X2

-233

Draw No Bet

1

-108

2

-132

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-143

2 Hcp -0.25

+115

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-100

Over 2.5

-127

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-172

No

+125

Ollie Watkins is the favourite to be First Goalscorer at +390. If you’re interested in backing him to find the net at anytime, then the price is +145.

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

First

+145

Anytime

+390

Alexander Isak (Liverpool)

First

+170

Anytime

+475

Cody Gakpo (Liverpool)

First

+200

Anytime

+540

Mohamed Salah (Liverpool)

First

+200

Anytime

+550

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

First

+210

Anytime

+575

Federico Chiesa (Liverpool)

First

+230

Anytime

+700

Tammy Abraham (Villa)

First

+250

Anytime

+750

Dominik Szoboszlai (Liverpool)

First

+330

Anytime

+900

Florian Wirtz (Liverpool)

First

+360

Anytime

+900

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

First

+370

Anytime

+1000

Rio Ngumoha (Liverpool)

First

+400

Anytime

+1050

Ross Barkley (Villa)

First

+430

Anytime

+1200

Jadon Sancho (Villa)

First

+475

Anytime

+1300

Alexis Mac Allister (Liverpool)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

John McGinn (Villa)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Jeremie Frimpong (Liverpool)

First

+575

Anytime

+1600

Youri Tielemans (Villa)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Virgil van Dijk (Liverpool)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Douglas Luiz (Villa)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Curtis Jones (Liverpool)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Matty Cash (Villa)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Ryan Gravenberch (Liverpool)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Ian Maatsen (Villa)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

Over 2.5

-154

Under 2.5

-

Alexander Isak (Liverpool)

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-

Cody Gakpo (Liverpool)

Over 2.5

+102

Under 2.5

-

Mohamed Salah (Liverpool)

Over 2.5

-109

Under 2.5

-

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

Over 2.5

-115

Under 2.5

-

Dominik Szoboszlai (Liverpool)

Over 2.5

-102

Under 2.5

-

John McGinn (Villa)

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-

Alexis Mac Allister (Liverpool)

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-

Jadon Sancho (Villa)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Ross Barkley (Villa)

Over 1.5

+114

Under 1.5

-

Rio Ngumoha (Liverpool)

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Florian Wirtz (Liverpool)

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

-

Jeremie Frimpong (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Youri Tielemans (Villa)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

-

Virgil van Dijk (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Douglas Luiz (Villa)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-

Curtis Jones (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

Matty Cash (Villa)

Over 0.5

-130

Under 0.5

-

Ryan Gravenberch (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Ian Maatsen (Villa)

Over 0.5

-123

Under 0.5

-

Stats: Premier League matches only
Villa have finished with six wins, three losses and one draw in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 2.10 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

Liverpool have managed four victories, four losses and two draws in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.40.

The most recent Villa Park meeting saw Villa draw 2-2 with Liverpool. Liverpool have four wins from the past 8 H2H meetings at Villa Park, with two draws and two Villa victories also happening.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Aston Villa Home Stats		6-1-3	3.40	2.10	1.30	6	4	5	5
Liverpool Away Stats		4-2-4	2.80	1.40	1.40	7	3	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Aston Villa vs Liverpool Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the Villa vs Liverpool team news. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for the Premier League along with up-to-date injury news.

Aston Villa Team Page Liverpool Team Page

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